MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Chance Barton

Chance Barton (TakeaChanceMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Chance Barton

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	49 (43%)	Right	34 (53%)	Right	6 (27%)	Right	9 (33%)
Wrong	64 (57%)	Wrong	30 (47%)	Wrong	16 (73%)	Wrong	18 (67%)
Avg Odds	2.38	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	3.02	Avg Odds	3.35
Units Bet	130.4	Units Bet	86.8	Units Bet	13.2	Units Bet	30.4
Avg Bet	1.15	Avg Bet	1.36	Avg Bet	0.60	Avg Bet	1.13
Units Profit	-4.56	Units Profit	-4.40	Units Profit	-4.39	Units Profit	4.23
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	-33%	ROI %	14%

Chance Barton: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	15	-2.5	-17%	-2.5 / 15 (-17%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	23.75	0.8	3%	0.8 / 23.75 (3%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	10.5	-5.5	-52%	-3.0 / 8 (-37%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	5	0.6	11%	-0.9 / 3 (-30%)	1.5 / 2 (73%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	4.2	-1.9	-45%	0.8 / 0.5 (165%)	-1.7 / 2.7 (-63%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	5.75	-4.0	-69%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)	0.8 / 1 (77%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	3.5	-1.5	-43%	0.0 / 2 (0%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	10.95	0.9	8%	-0.4 / 4 (-9%)	-1.3 / 2.75 (-45%)	2.5 / 4.2 (59%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	6	-0.3	-5%	0.7 / 5 (14%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	3.5	-1.6	-45%	0.4 / 1.5 (27%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	11.2	-11.2	-100%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)		-6.7 / 6.7 (-100%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	5.5	6.5	119%	3.8 / 3.5 (107%)		2.8 / 2 (139%)
14th May '22	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	5	1.0	19%	0.7 / 1.5 (49%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	1.7 / 2 (87%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	5	-2.9	-59%	-0.9 / 3 (-32%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	9	-5.8	-64%	-1.3 / 3.5 (-37%)	-1.0 / 2 (-50%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	8.5	21.7	255%	3.7 / 4 (91%)	2.9 / 2 (143%)	15.2 / 2.5 (607%)
23rd Apr '22	Bellator 278	1	1.3	125%	1.3 / 1 (125%)

Winning Events: 7 (41%)
Losing Events: 10 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.84 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.75 units
Best Event: 21.68 units
Worst Event: -11.20 units
Average Event: -0.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 22.93
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.10

Chance Barton: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	38.75	-1.8	-5%	-1.8 / 38.75 (-5%)			1 / 1 (50%)	-0.88
2022	94.6	-2.8	-3%	-2.7 / 48 (-6%)		4.2 / 30.4 (14%)	6 / 9 (40%)	-0.19

Chance Barton: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Chance Barton: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	132.35	-5.8	-4%	-5.7 / 85.75 (-7%)	-4.4 / 16.2 (-27%)	4.2 / 30.4 (14%)
Bellator	1	1.3	125%	1.3 / 1 (125%)

Chance Barton: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (13%)	5	63 %	23.50	-1.86	-0.23	-8%
Slight Favorites	24 (38%)	16	67 %	30.25	3.80	0.16	13%
Slight Underdogs	28 (44%)	11	39 %	30.50	-7.12	-0.25	-23%
Big Underdogs	4 (6%)	2	50 %	2.50	0.78	0.19	31%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (13%)	5	63 %	10.00	2.30	0.29	23%
Co-Main Event	4 (6%)	1	25 %	5.25	-3.34	-0.84	-64%
Position 3-5	17 (27%)	10	59 %	24.25	0.84	0.05	3%
6+ (Undercard)	35 (55%)	18	51 %	47.25	-4.21	-0.12	-9%

Chance Barton: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (5%)	1	33 %	2.75	-0.84	-0.28	-31%
Light Heavy	5 (8%)	3	60 %	5.00	1.46	0.29	29%
Middleweight	9 (14%)	5	56 %	16.50	-3.12	-0.35	-19%
Welterweight	10 (16%)	5	50 %	14.25	-1.14	-0.11	-8%
Lightweight	8 (13%)	4	50 %	7.50	-1.57	-0.20	-21%
Featherweight	6 (9%)	3	50 %	11.25	0.12	0.02	1%
Bantamweight	6 (9%)	4	67 %	5.50	2.26	0.38	41%
Flyweight	3 (5%)	3	100 %	3.00	2.68	0.89	89%

Women's Fights	14 (22%)	6	43 %	21.00	-4.25	-0.30	-20%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	3.50	1.09	1.09	31%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	2	50 %	6.00	-1.92	-0.48	-32%
Strawweight	9 (14%)	3	33 %	11.50	-3.42	-0.38	-30%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	34 (48%)	23	68 %
Slight Favorites	30 (42%)	20	67 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (10%)	3	43 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	71	46	65 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (19%)	5	71 %
50-65%	5 (14%)	3	60 %
35-50%	8 (22%)	3	38 %
<35% chance	17 (46%)	1	6 %
	37	12	32 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (35%)	8	62 %	1.64	2.30	1.25	0.5 (4%)
Goes to Decision	1 (3%)	0	0 %	3.75	3.75	3.75	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	4 (11%)	0	0 %	4.16	4.50	3.40	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	7 (19%)	0	0 %	5.12	15.00	3.00	-6.0 (-86%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (5%)	0	0 %	3.24	5.50	2.30	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	10 (27%)	4	40 %	2.55	15.00	1.40	3.1 (31%)
	37	12	32 %	2.46			-9.3 (-25%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Chance Barton's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Apr	Bellator 278	1	1.3	125%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,012.50
23rd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	8.5	21.7	255%		$10.13	$1,012.50	$1,232.02
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	9	-5.8	-64%		$12.32	$1,232.02	$1,160.56
7th May	UFC 274	5	-2.9	-59%		$11.61	$1,160.56	$1,126.32
14th May	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	5	1.0	19%		$11.26	$1,126.32	$1,137.23
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	5.5	6.5	119%		$11.37	$1,137.23	$1,211.65
11th Jun	UFC 275	11.2	-11.2	-100%		$12.12	$1,211.65	$1,075.94
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	3.5	-1.6	-45%		$10.76	$1,075.94	$1,058.83
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	6	-0.3	-5%		$10.59	$1,058.83	$1,055.59
2nd Jul	UFC 276	10.95	0.9	8%		$10.56	$1,055.59	$1,064.75
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	3.5	-1.5	-43%		$10.65	$1,064.75	$1,048.78
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	5.75	-4.0	-69%		$10.49	$1,048.78	$1,007.03
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	4.2	-1.9	-45%		$10.07	$1,007.03	$988.14
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	5	0.6	11%		$9.88	$988.14	$993.67
22nd Oct	UFC 280	10.5	-5.5	-52%		$9.94	$993.67	$939.26
6th May	UFC 288	23.75	0.8	3%		$9.39	$939.26	$946.75
10th Jun	UFC 289	15	-2.5	-17%		$9.47	$946.75	$922.61

ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.74% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Chance Barton: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '23	Amanda Nunes	Irene Aldana	1.31	3.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Jun '23	Marc-Andre Barriault	Eryk Anders	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jun '23	Steve Erceg	David Dvorak	3.25	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jun '23	Diana Belbita	Maria Oliveira	1.83	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	May '23	Aljamain Sterling	Henry Cejudo	1.91	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
6.	May '23	Movsar Evloev	Diego Lopes	1.15	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '23	Matt Frevola	Drew Dober	2.80	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:8)
8.	May '23	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Devin Clark	1.56	2	Sub, R2 (2:28)
9.	May '23	Kalinn Williams	Rolando Bedoya	1.31	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '23	Ikram Aliskerov	Phil Hawes	1.49	2	TKO, R1 (2:10)
11.	May '23	Claudio Ribeiro	Joseph Holmes	1.59	2	TKO, R2 (3:21)
12.	Oct '22	Sean O'Malley	Petr Yan	3.30	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Oct '22	Belal Muhammad	Sean Brady	2.25	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:47)
14.	Oct '22	Tatsuro Taira	Carlos Vergara	1.40	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:19)
15.	Aug '22	Nina Nunes	Cynthia Calvillo	2.65	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jul '22	Saidyokub Kakhramonov	Ronnie Lawrence	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jul '22	Jalin Turner	Brad Riddell	1.74	1	Sub, R1 (0:45)
18.	Jul '22	Alex Pereira	Sean Strickland	1.91	1	TKO, R1 (2:36)
19.	Jun '22	Cody Durden	J.P. Buys	1.95	1	TKO, R1 (1:8)
20.	Jun '22	Chris Curtis	Rodolfo Vieira	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '23	Beneil Dariush	Charles Oliveira	1.71	2	TKO, R1 (4:10)	No
2.	Jun '23	Adam Fugitt	Mike Malott	2.75	1	Sub, R2 (1:6)	No
3.	Jun '23	Miranda Maverick	Jasmine Jasudavicius	1.34	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '23	Blake Bilder	Kyle Nelson	1.42	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '23	Gilbert Burns	Belal Muhammad	1.80	1.25	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	May '23	Jessica Andrade	Yan Xiaonan	1.53	2	TKO, R1 (2:20)	No
7.	May '23	Kron Gracie	Charles Jourdain	2.50	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '23	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Virna Jandiroba	1.71	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '23	Braxton Smith	Parker Porter	2.45	0.75	TKO, R1 (2:10)	No
10.	Oct '22	Charles Oliveira	Islam Makhachev	2.55	1	Sub, R2 (3:16)	No
11.	Oct '22	Gadzhi Omargadzhiev	Abubakar Nurmagomedov	2.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Oct '22	Sam Hughes	Piera Rodriguez	2.40	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jul '22	Makwan Amirkhani	Jonathan Pearce	2.60	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:10)	No
14.	Jul '22	Paul Craig	Volkan Oezdemir	2.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '22	Chris Curtis	Jack Hermansson	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '22	Tom Aspinall	Curtis Blaydes	1.77	1	TKO, R1 (0:15)	No
17.	Jul '22	Michael Johnson	Jamie Mullarkey	2.95	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jul '22	Robbie Lawler	Bryan Barberena	1.83	2	TKO, R2 (4:47)	No
19.	Jun '22	Brian Kelleher	Mario Bautista	2.50	1	Sub, R1 (2:27)	No
20.	Jun '22	Raulian Paiva	Sergey Morozov	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Chance Barton: Progress Chart

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