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MMA Handicapper Stats: Southpaw Bets

Southpaw Bets (southpawbets)


MMA MHandicapper - Southpaw  Bets

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 11 (19%) Right 5 (29%) Right 6 (17%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 46 (81%) Wrong 12 (71%) Wrong 30 (83%) Wrong 4 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.97 Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 3.74 Avg Odds 4.87
Units Bet 41.1 Units Bet 17.0 Units Bet 22.1 Units Bet 2.0
Avg Bet 0.72 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 0.61 Avg Bet 0.50
Units Profit -13.77 Units Profit -9.69 Units Profit -2.09 Units Profit -2.00
ROI % -34% ROI % -57% ROI % -9% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Southpaw Bets: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 4 1.5 39% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.5 / 3 (85%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 0.85 -0.9 -100% -0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 3.5 -0.6 -18% 1.4 / 1.5 (92%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 4.5 -3.1 -68% -0.6 / 2 (-28%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 3.6 -2.4 -67% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.9 / 2.1 (-43%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 4 -2.4 -60% -1.4 / 3 (-47%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3.25 5.3 165% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 6.3 / 2.25 (282%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 5.5 -3.5 -64% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 3 (-33%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 3.75 -2.4 -63% -1.1 / 2.5 (-44%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
24th Jun '22 Bellator 282 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 0.85 -0.9 -100% -0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)
17th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #4 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 2.75 -1.1 -41% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.1 / 1.75 (-8%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 1.5 1.5 100% 2.0 / 1 (200%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 3 (18%)
Losing Events: 14 (82%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.53 units
Most Staked On One Event: 5.50 units
Best Event: 5.35 units
Worst Event: -3.50 units
Average Event: -0.81 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 5.35
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -10.34

Southpaw Bets: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 43.05 -13.8 -32% -9.7 / 17 (-57%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 3 / 14 (18%) -0.81

Southpaw Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Southpaw Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 41.05 -11.8 -29% -8.7 / 16 (-54%) -2.1 / 24.05 (-9%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Bellator 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
PFL 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Southpaw Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (24%) 2 50 % 5.00 -2.16 -0.54 -43%
Slight Favorites 2 (12%) 2 100 % 2.00 1.14 0.57 57%
Slight Underdogs 10 (59%) 1 10 % 9.00 -7.68 -0.77 -85%
Big Underdogs 1 (6%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (12%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 4 (24%) 2 50 % 3.50 -0.73 -0.18 -21%
Position 3-5 4 (24%) 2 50 % 5.00 -2.01 -0.50 -40%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (41%) 1 14 % 6.50 -4.94 -0.71 -76%

Southpaw Bets: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Middleweight 1 (6%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Welterweight 3 (18%) 1 33 % 3.00 -1.68 -0.56 -56%
Lightweight 6 (35%) 1 17 % 6.00 -4.60 -0.77 -77%
Featherweight 2 (12%) 1 50 % 1.50 0.09 0.04 6%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Flyweight 2 (12%) 1 50 % 3.00 -1.56 -0.78 -52%
               
Women's Fights 2 (12%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.44 -0.22 -22%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Strawweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.56 0.56 56%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (90%) 7 78 %
Slight Favorites 1 (10%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
10 7 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (5%) 1 50 %
50-65% 3 (7%) 3 100 %
35-50% 7 (17%) 1 14 %
<35% chance 30 (71%) 4 13 %
42 9 21 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (10%) 3 75 % 1.50 1.67Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct 0.6 (16%)
X Wins by KO 6 (14%) 0 0 % 3.20 11.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (17%) 0 0 % 6.93 21.00Pick was incorrect 3.55Pick was incorrect -7.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 23 (55%) 6 26 % 3.58 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct 2.2 (10%)
Others 2 (5%) 0 0 % 3.74 29.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
42 9 21 % 3.36     -12.1 (-29%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Southpaw Bets's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $985.00
7th May UFC 274 1 -1.0 -100% $9.85 $985.00 $975.15
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 1.5 1.5 100% $9.75 $975.15 $989.78
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 2.75 -1.1 -41% $9.90 $989.78 $978.53
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.79 $978.53 $973.64
17th Jun PFL 2022 #4 1 -1.0 -100% $9.74 $973.64 $963.90
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 0.85 -0.9 -100% $9.64 $963.90 $955.71
24th Jun Bellator 282 1 -1.0 -100% $9.56 $955.71 $946.15
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 3.75 -2.4 -63% $9.46 $946.15 $923.91
2nd Jul UFC 276 5.5 -3.5 -64% $9.24 $923.91 $891.58
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3.25 5.3 165% $8.92 $891.58 $939.28
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 4 -2.4 -60% $9.39 $939.28 $916.61
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 3.6 -2.4 -67% $9.17 $916.61 $894.62
30th Jul UFC 277 4.5 -3.1 -68% $8.95 $894.62 $867.28
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 3.5 -0.6 -18% $8.67 $867.28 $861.91
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 0.85 -0.9 -100% $8.62 $861.91 $854.58
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 4 1.5 39% $8.55 $854.58 $867.83


ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Southpaw Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '22 Geoff Neal Vicente Luque 2.65 0.5 TKO, R3 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Cory McKenna Miranda Granger 1.56 1 Sub, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Brandon Moreno Kai Kara-France 1.44 1 TKO, R3 (4:34) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain 1.59 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '22 Thiago Moises Christos Giagos 1.40 1 Sub, R1 (3:5) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '22 John Makdessi Nasrat Haqparast 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Ji Yeon Kim Joselyne Edwards 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Makwan Amirkhani Jonathan Pearce 2.38 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Chris Curtis Jack Hermansson 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Su Mudaerji Matt Schnell 1.45 2 Sub, R2 (4:24) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Rafael dos Anjos Rafael Fiziev 2.90 1 TKO, R5 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Donald Cerrone Jim Miller 2.45 1.5 Sub, R2 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Brad Riddell Jalin Turner 2.10 1 Sub, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '22 Arman Tsarukyan Mateusz Gamrot 1.36 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '22 Brian Kelleher Mario Bautista 2.40 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '22 Raush Manfio Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '22 Santiago Ponzinibbio Michel Pereira 2.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Southpaw Bets: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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