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MMA Handicapper Stats: Josh Picks |
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Josh Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 111 (60%)
Losing Events: 75 (40%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.87 units
Most Staked On One Event: 59.44 units
Best Event: 37.29 units
Worst Event: -30.89 units
Average Event: 0.56 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 52.61
Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -65.13 |
Josh Picks: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2025 |
23.97 |
-0.6 |
-3% |
-1.0 / 19.43 (-5%) |
-0.6 / 3.13 (-20%) |
1.0 / 1.41 (71%) |
4 / 4 (50%) |
-0.08 |
| 2024 |
392.62 |
52.5 |
13% |
10.2 / 222.28 (5%) |
12.8 / 77.05 (17%) |
29.5 / 93.29 (32%) |
33 / 20 (62%) |
0.99 |
| 2023 |
939.32 |
93.6 |
10% |
55.8 / 585.31 (10%) |
19.8 / 176.32 (11%) |
18.0 / 177.69 (10%) |
48 / 21 (70%) |
1.36 |
| 2022 |
1038.37 |
-41.5 |
-4% |
32.0 / 700.27 (5%) |
|
-38.2 / 179.11 (-21%) |
26 / 30 (46%) |
-0.74 |
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Josh Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Josh Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
1803.26 |
103.4 |
6% |
56.5 / 1132.53 (5%) |
4.9 / 371.97 (1%) |
41.9 / 298.76 (14%) |
|
Bellator |
124.55 |
-30.0 |
-24% |
-4.1 / 65.26 (-6%) |
2.0 / 11.75 (17%) |
-27.9 / 47.54 (-59%) |
|
PFL |
180.22 |
30.5 |
17% |
32.8 / 125.32 (26%) |
-1.7 / 14.55 (-12%) |
-0.6 / 40.35 (-2%) |
| Other |
286.25 |
0.2 |
0% |
11.8 / 204.18 (6%) |
-8.6 / 17.22 (-50%) |
-3.0 / 64.85 (-5%) |
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Josh Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
169 (35%) |
124 |
73 % |
773.60 |
25.40 |
0.15 |
3% |
| Slight Favorites |
178 (37%) |
108 |
61 % |
460.02 |
3.62 |
0.02 |
1% |
| Slight Underdogs |
117 (24%) |
56 |
48 % |
222.17 |
55.52 |
0.47 |
25% |
| Big Underdogs |
20 (4%) |
7 |
35 % |
37.04 |
12.48 |
0.62 |
34% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
65 (13%) |
36 |
55 % |
243.27 |
6.43 |
0.10 |
3% |
| Co-Main Event |
53 (11%) |
34 |
64 % |
170.13 |
7.80 |
0.15 |
5% |
| Position 3-5 |
143 (30%) |
93 |
65 % |
455.02 |
71.23 |
0.50 |
16% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
223 (46%) |
132 |
59 % |
624.41 |
11.55 |
0.05 |
2% |
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Josh Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
37 (8%) |
22 |
59 % |
91.54 |
2.56 |
0.07 |
3% |
| Light Heavy |
27 (6%) |
14 |
52 % |
66.29 |
-7.93 |
-0.29 |
-12% |
| Middleweight |
60 (12%) |
34 |
57 % |
190.71 |
10.90 |
0.18 |
6% |
| Welterweight |
68 (14%) |
49 |
72 % |
244.19 |
58.71 |
0.86 |
24% |
| Lightweight |
83 (17%) |
56 |
67 % |
244.94 |
65.15 |
0.78 |
27% |
| Featherweight |
70 (14%) |
39 |
56 % |
238.46 |
-34.48 |
-0.49 |
-14% |
| Bantamweight |
48 (10%) |
26 |
54 % |
156.27 |
7.79 |
0.16 |
5% |
| Flyweight |
27 (6%) |
16 |
59 % |
75.97 |
2.48 |
0.09 |
3% |
| |
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| Women's Fights |
64 (13%) |
39 |
61 % |
184.46 |
-8.16 |
-0.13 |
-4% |
| Featherweight |
5 (1%) |
3 |
60 % |
16.39 |
1.77 |
0.35 |
11% |
| Bantamweight |
14 (3%) |
7 |
50 % |
41.49 |
-9.71 |
-0.69 |
-23% |
| Flyweight |
23 (5%) |
14 |
61 % |
60.34 |
-6.75 |
-0.29 |
-11% |
| Strawweight |
22 (5%) |
15 |
68 % |
66.24 |
6.52 |
0.30 |
10% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
346 (94%) |
269 |
78 % |
| Slight Favorites |
18 (5%) |
10 |
56 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
5 (1%) |
3 |
60 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
369 |
282 |
76 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
85 (38%) |
67 |
79 % |
| 50-65% |
62 (28%) |
39 |
63 % |
| 35-50% |
39 (17%) |
17 |
44 % |
| <35% chance |
38 (17%) |
5 |
13 % |
|
224 |
128 |
57 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
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Tail Josh Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets for the last year, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows... To view all time stats, click here.
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
5 |
-0.5 |
-10% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$995.00 |
| 4th May |
UFC 301 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
91% |
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$9.95 |
$995.00 |
$1,004.95 |
| 11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
7.3 |
2.5 |
34% |
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$10.05 |
$1,004.95 |
$1,029.83 |
| 18th May |
Road to UFC: Episode 2 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
88% |
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$10.30 |
$1,029.83 |
$1,050.58 |
| 18th May |
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy |
12.76 |
5.3 |
42% |
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$10.51 |
$1,050.58 |
$1,106.51 |
| 25th May |
Cage Warriors 172 |
7.1 |
4.0 |
56% |
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$11.07 |
$1,106.51 |
$1,150.77 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
14.04 |
8.7 |
62% |
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$11.51 |
$1,150.77 |
$1,250.86 |
| 8th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov |
12.29 |
-1.6 |
-13% |
|
$12.51 |
$1,250.86 |
$1,230.77 |
| 14th Jun |
Ares FC 22 |
3.15 |
-3.2 |
-100% |
|
$12.31 |
$1,230.77 |
$1,192.00 |
| 15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
14.06 |
9.7 |
69% |
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$11.92 |
$1,192.00 |
$1,307.04 |
| 21st Jun |
PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.07 |
$1,307.04 |
$1,254.76 |
| 22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov |
11.2 |
4.5 |
41% |
|
$12.55 |
$1,254.76 |
$1,311.81 |
| 28th Jun |
PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season |
1.2 |
1.0 |
83% |
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$13.12 |
$1,311.81 |
$1,324.92 |
| 29th Jun |
UFC 303 |
4.6 |
-4.6 |
-100% |
|
$13.25 |
$1,324.92 |
$1,263.98 |
| 13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
7.21 |
-7.2 |
-100% |
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$12.64 |
$1,263.98 |
$1,172.84 |
| 27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
14.4 |
1.2 |
9% |
|
$11.73 |
$1,172.84 |
$1,187.24 |
| 3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
7 |
2.7 |
39% |
|
$11.87 |
$1,187.24 |
$1,219.32 |
| 9th Aug |
Invicta FC 56 |
2.04 |
1.0 |
49% |
|
$12.19 |
$1,219.32 |
$1,231.60 |
| 10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
6.5 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$12.32 |
$1,231.60 |
$1,230.00 |
| 17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
7.92 |
0.6 |
7% |
|
$12.30 |
$1,230.00 |
$1,236.93 |
| 3rd Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 4 |
1.41 |
-1.4 |
-100% |
|
$12.37 |
$1,236.93 |
$1,219.49 |
| 6th Sep |
BFL 81 |
7 |
1.0 |
14% |
|
$12.19 |
$1,219.49 |
$1,231.68 |
| 14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
6.79 |
-1.8 |
-27% |
|
$12.32 |
$1,231.68 |
$1,209.48 |
| 28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
2.84 |
2.0 |
70% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,209.48 |
$1,233.67 |
| 4th Oct |
Unified MMA 59 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.34 |
$1,233.67 |
$1,209.00 |
| 12th Oct |
Oktagon 62 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,209.00 |
$1,196.91 |
| 12th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira |
5.55 |
3.0 |
54% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,196.91 |
$1,232.86 |
| 19th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez |
4.54 |
0.6 |
13% |
|
$12.33 |
$1,232.86 |
$1,240.28 |
| 26th Oct |
UFC 308 |
3.65 |
0.8 |
21% |
|
$12.40 |
$1,240.28 |
$1,249.58 |
| 2nd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi |
7 |
-2.5 |
-36% |
|
$12.50 |
$1,249.58 |
$1,218.34 |
| 9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates |
3.1 |
2.0 |
65% |
|
$12.18 |
$1,218.34 |
$1,243.01 |
| 15th Nov |
Samourai MMA 12 |
15.74 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
|
$12.43 |
$1,243.01 |
$1,236.68 |
| 16th Nov |
A1 Combat 25 |
2.28 |
1.9 |
85% |
|
$12.37 |
$1,236.68 |
$1,260.54 |
| 16th Nov |
UFC 309 |
11 |
7.0 |
64% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,260.54 |
$1,348.71 |
| 23rd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo |
2 |
2.0 |
101% |
|
$13.49 |
$1,348.71 |
$1,375.85 |
| 7th Dec |
UFC 310 |
7.8 |
-1.0 |
-13% |
|
$13.76 |
$1,375.85 |
$1,362.10 |
| 14th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley |
8.66 |
4.4 |
51% |
|
$13.62 |
$1,362.10 |
$1,422.47 |
| 11th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II |
4.19 |
-1.8 |
-42% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,422.47 |
$1,397.25 |
| 18th Jan |
UFC 311 |
6 |
2.5 |
42% |
|
$13.97 |
$1,397.25 |
$1,432.49 |
| 7th Feb |
Invicta FC 60 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.32 |
$1,432.49 |
$1,403.84 |
| 8th Feb |
UFC 312 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$14.04 |
$1,403.84 |
$1,382.78 |
| 1st Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev |
2 |
2.2 |
110% |
|
$13.83 |
$1,382.78 |
$1,413.21 |
| 22nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady |
3.88 |
0.5 |
13% |
|
$14.13 |
$1,413.21 |
$1,420.20 |
| 29th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg |
2.3 |
1.5 |
67% |
|
$14.20 |
$1,420.20 |
$1,442.15 |
| 5th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy |
2.1 |
-2.1 |
-100% |
|
$14.42 |
$1,442.15 |
$1,411.86 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 41.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
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Josh Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Mar '25 |
Manuel Torres |
Drew Dober |
1.91 |
0.6 |
TKO, R1 (1:45) |
|
|
| 2. |
Mar '25 |
Lupita Godinez |
Julia Polastri |
1.59 |
1.7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '25 |
Nathaniel Wood |
Morgan Charriere |
2.50 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
Mar '25 |
Cody Brundage |
Julian Marquez |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
|
|
| 5. |
Jan '25 |
Jailton Junior |
Sergey Spivak |
1.51 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:51) |
|
|
| 6. |
Jan '25 |
Grant Dawson |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
1.34 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Nov '24 |
Adam Posener |
Trukon Carson |
1.38 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (4:55) |
|
|
| 8. |
Nov '24 |
Marcin Tybura |
Jhonata Diniz |
2.50 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
| 9. |
Nov '24 |
Jamey Lyn-Horth |
Ivana Petrovic |
1.50 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Oct '24 |
Charles Johnson |
Su Mudaerji |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. |
Oct '24 |
Clayton Carpenter |
Lucas Rocha |
1.44 |
2.25 |
Sub, R2 (2:12) |
|
|
| 12. |
Sep '24 |
Bryan Battle |
Kevin Jousset |
1.70 |
2.84 |
TKO, R2 (3:47) |
|
|
| 13. |
Sep '24 |
Radney Da Silva |
Drake Randall |
1.33 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (0:12) |
|
|
| 14. |
Aug '24 |
Valter Walker |
Junior Tafa |
2.06 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:56) |
|
|
| 15. |
Aug '24 |
Stephanie Luciano |
Talita Alencar |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Aug '24 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.63 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 17. |
Aug '24 |
Daniel Hooker |
Mateusz Gamrot |
3.40 |
0.42 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Jul '24 |
Arnold Allen |
Giga Chikadze |
1.41 |
2.45 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Jun '24 |
Gabriel Alves Braga |
Bubba Jenkins |
1.83 |
1.2 |
TKO, R2 (1:48) |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Israel Adesanya |
2.20 |
2 |
Sub, R4 (3:38) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
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