MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Chase Picks

Chase Picks (Chasepicks)

MMA MHandicapper - Chase Picks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	23 (43%)	Right	13 (41%)	Right	2 (50%)	Right	8 (44%)
Wrong	31 (57%)	Wrong	19 (59%)	Wrong	2 (50%)	Wrong	10 (56%)
Avg Odds	2.24	Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	2.38	Avg Odds	2.97
Units Bet	51.8	Units Bet	34.8	Units Bet	1.8	Units Bet	15.2
Avg Bet	0.96	Avg Bet	1.09	Avg Bet	0.44	Avg Bet	0.85
Units Profit	-3.20	Units Profit	-3.97	Units Profit	0.15	Units Profit	0.62
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	4%

Chase Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	5.13	2.8	55%	1.0 / 3 (34%)		1.8 / 2.13 (85%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	2	-0.1	-7%			-0.1 / 2 (-7%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	6.23	-1.0	-16%	-1.2 / 3 (-40%)		0.2 / 3.23 (6%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	6.82	-4.1	-60%	-4.7 / 4.65 (-100%)		0.6 / 2.17 (25%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	8.156	0.7	9%	0.6 / 6.05 (11%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.6 / 1.606 (35%)
21st May '22	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	4.7	0.8	16%	0.8 / 4.7 (16%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	2.9	-2.0	-68%	-2.0 / 2.9 (-68%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	4.25	-1.6	-37%	-1.0 / 2.75 (-36%)	0.4 / 0.5 (80%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	4.85	1.9	40%	1.8 / 3.25 (56%)		0.1 / 1.6 (7%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	6.75	-0.7	-10%	0.6 / 4.5 (13%)	0.3 / 0.75 (33%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 4 (40%)
Losing Events: 6 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.18 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.16 units
Best Event: 2.83 units
Worst Event: -4.10 units
Average Event: -0.32 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 2.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -5.23

Chase Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	51.786	-3.2	-6%	-4.0 / 34.8 (-11%)		0.6 / 15.236 (4%)	4 / 6 (40%)	-0.32

Chase Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Chase Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	51.786	-3.2	-6%	-4.0 / 34.8 (-11%)	0.1 / 1.75 (9%)	0.6 / 15.236 (4%)

Chase Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (9%)	1	33 %	3.40	-2.18	-0.73	-64%
Slight Favorites	17 (52%)	10	59 %	23.35	0.33	0.02	1%
Slight Underdogs	9 (27%)	3	33 %	6.35	-0.42	-0.05	-7%
Big Underdogs	4 (12%)	0	0 %	1.70	-1.70	-0.43	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (18%)	1	17 %	8.85	-5.60	-0.93	-63%
Co-Main Event	6 (18%)	3	50 %	5.10	-0.38	-0.06	-7%
Position 3-5	8 (24%)	2	25 %	7.35	-1.00	-0.12	-14%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (39%)	8	62 %	13.50	3.01	0.23	22%

Chase Picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (9%)	1	33 %	3.90	-2.13	-0.71	-55%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)		0 %	0.80	-0.80	-0.80	-100%
Middleweight	4 (12%)	2	50 %	4.90	-0.20	-0.05	-4%
Welterweight	7 (21%)	4	57 %	5.60	0.20	0.03	4%
Lightweight	7 (21%)	4	57 %	5.75	1.20	0.17	21%
Featherweight	4 (12%)	1	25 %	3.80	0.22	0.05	6%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.35	-1.35	-1.35	-100%

Women's Fights	6 (18%)	2	33 %	8.70	-1.10	-0.18	-13%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)		0 %	2.70	-2.70	-1.35	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Strawweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	5.50	2.10	0.70	38%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	22 (54%)	19	86 %
Slight Favorites	16 (39%)	8	50 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (5%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %
	41	28	68 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (46%)	5	83 %
50-65%	1 (8%)	1	100 %
35-50%	5 (38%)	1	20 %
<35% chance	1 (8%)	0	0 %
	13	7	54 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (38%)	5	100 %	1.35	2.00	1.12	2.0 (40%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (15%)	1	50 %	1.45	1.49	1.41	-0.6 (-30%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (8%)	0	0 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (8%)	0	0 %	3.75	3.75	3.75	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	4 (31%)	1	25 %	2.28	2.75	1.83	-2.2 (-54%)
	13	7	54 %	1.71			-2.7 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Chase Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	6.75	-0.7	-10%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$988.13
23rd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	4.85	1.9	40%		$9.88	$988.13	$1,007.29
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	4.25	-1.6	-37%		$10.07	$1,007.29	$991.36
7th May	UFC 274	2.9	-2.0	-68%		$9.91	$991.36	$971.88
21st May	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	4.7	0.8	16%		$9.72	$971.88	$979.40
2nd Jul	UFC 276	8.156	0.7	9%		$9.79	$979.40	$986.39
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	6.82	-4.1	-60%		$9.86	$986.39	$945.95
12th Nov	UFC 281	6.23	-1.0	-16%		$9.46	$945.95	$936.57
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	2	-0.1	-7%		$9.37	$936.57	$935.31
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	5.13	2.8	55%		$9.35	$935.31	$961.82

ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.82% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Chase Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '22	Francis Marshall	Marcelo Rojo	1.61	2.5	TKO, R2 (1:14)
2.	Nov '22	Renato Moicano	Brad Riddell	1.80	1	Sub, R1 (3:20)
3.	Jul '22	Dricus Du Plessis	Brad Tavares	1.61	1.65	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '22	Dricus Du Plessis	Brad Tavares	1.95	1.05	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '22	Bryan Barberena	Robbie Lawler	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (4:47)
6.	May '22	Tabatha Ricci	Polyana Viana	1.74	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '22	Michel Pereira	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.87	0.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	May '22	Francisco Trinaldo	Danny Roberts	1.87	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '22	Andrei Arlovski	Jake Collier	1.77	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '22	Jessica Andrade	Amanda Lemos	1.63	2	Sub, R1 (3:13)
11.	Apr '22	Claudio Puelles	Clay Guida	2.15	0.85	Sub, R1 (3:1)
12.	Apr '22	Jordan Leavitt	Trey Ogden	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Apr '22	Rafa Garcia	Jesse Ronson	1.74	1	Sub, R2 (4:50)
14.	Apr '22	Drakkar Klose	Brandon Jenkins	1.22	1	TKO, R2 (0:33)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '22	Bryan Barberena	Rafael dos Anjos	3.85	0.5	Sub, R2 (3:20)	Yes
2.	Nov '22	Ottman Azaitar	Matt Frevola	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (2:30)	No
3.	Nov '22	Molly McCann	Erin Blanchfield	4.20	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:37)	No
4.	Nov '22	Claudio Puelles	Daniel Hooker	2.45	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:6)	No
5.	Jul '22	Paul Craig	Volkan Oezdemir	2.25	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '22	Chris Curtis	Jack Hermansson	1.87	1.15	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '22	Tom Aspinall	Curtis Blaydes	1.74	2.7	TKO, R1 (0:15)	No
8.	Jul '22	Jessica-Rose Clark	Julija Stoliarenko	1.77	1.3	Sub, R1 (0:42)	No
9.	Jul '22	Sean Strickland	Alex Pereira	1.95	1.05	TKO, R1 (2:36)	No
10.	May '22	Parker Porter	Jailton Junior	6.00	0.2	Sub, R1 (4:35)	No
11.	May '22	Holly Holm	Ketlen Vieira	1.44	1.4	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	May '22	Kalinn Williams	Randy Brown	1.74	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	May '22	Rose Namajunas	Carla Esparza	1.50	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	May '22	Justin Gaethje	Charles Oliveira	2.35	0.4	Sub, R1 (3:22)	No
15.	Apr '22	Tristan Connelly	Darren Elkins	2.10	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '22	Rob Font	Marlon Vera	1.74	1.35	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '22	Lando Vannata	Charles Jourdain	2.16	0.4	Sub, R1 (2:32)	No
18.	Apr '22	T.J. Laramie	Pat Sabatini	3.75	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
19.	Apr '22	Vicente Luque	Belal Muhammad	1.54	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Chase Picks: Progress Chart

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