MMA Handicapper Stats: Poker Picks |
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Poker Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 6 (43%) Losing Events: 8 (57%)
Average Staked Per Event: 15.89 units Most Staked On One Event: 37.00 units Best Event: 24.50 units Worst Event: -37.00 units Average Event: -3.74 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 48.45 Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -99.45 |
Poker Picks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
222.5 |
-52.3 |
-24% |
-29.2 / 182.5 (-16%) |
|
-18.1 / 35 (-52%) |
6 / 8 (43%) |
-3.74 |
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Poker Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Poker Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
206 |
-56.1 |
-27% |
-33.1 / 166 (-20%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-18.1 / 35 (-52%) |
Bellator |
16.5 |
3.8 |
23% |
3.8 / 16.5 (23%) |
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Poker Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (6%) |
2 |
100 % |
15.00 |
7.05 |
3.53 |
47% |
Slight Favorites |
11 (33%) |
5 |
45 % |
71.00 |
-19.15 |
-1.74 |
-27% |
Slight Underdogs |
11 (33%) |
5 |
45 % |
61.00 |
-3.15 |
-0.29 |
-5% |
Big Underdogs |
9 (27%) |
2 |
22 % |
35.50 |
-14.00 |
-1.56 |
-39% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
7 (21%) |
4 |
57 % |
51.00 |
-1.55 |
-0.22 |
-3% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (15%) |
3 |
60 % |
21.50 |
11.35 |
2.27 |
53% |
Position 3-5 |
7 (21%) |
2 |
29 % |
31.50 |
-15.75 |
-2.25 |
-50% |
6+ (Undercard) |
14 (42%) |
5 |
36 % |
78.50 |
-23.30 |
-1.66 |
-30% |
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Poker Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
10.00 |
-10.00 |
-10.00 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
Middleweight |
5 (15%) |
1 |
20 % |
25.00 |
-14.75 |
-2.95 |
-59% |
Welterweight |
6 (18%) |
4 |
67 % |
33.50 |
14.90 |
2.48 |
44% |
Lightweight |
5 (15%) |
1 |
20 % |
32.50 |
-14.90 |
-2.98 |
-46% |
Featherweight |
3 (9%) |
3 |
100 % |
15.00 |
11.40 |
3.80 |
76% |
Bantamweight |
5 (15%) |
|
0 % |
26.50 |
-26.50 |
-5.30 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
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Women's Fights |
6 (18%) |
5 |
83 % |
30.00 |
20.60 |
3.43 |
69% |
Flyweight |
4 (12%) |
3 |
75 % |
20.00 |
9.65 |
2.41 |
48% |
Strawweight |
2 (6%) |
2 |
100 % |
10.00 |
10.95 |
5.48 |
110% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
9 (90%) |
6 |
67 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (10%) |
1 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
10 |
7 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
1 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
1 |
0 |
0 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Others |
1 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.25 |
2.25 |
2.25 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
|
1 |
0 |
0 % |
2.25 |
|
|
-1.0 (-100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Poker Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
20 |
-1.3 |
-7% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$986.60 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
15 |
3.2 |
22% |
|
$9.87 |
$986.60 |
$1,018.66 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
10 |
4.4 |
44% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,018.66 |
$1,063.49 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
5 |
7.5 |
150% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,063.49 |
$1,143.25 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 278 |
5 |
6.5 |
130% |
|
$11.43 |
$1,143.25 |
$1,217.56 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
12.5 |
24.5 |
196% |
|
$12.18 |
$1,217.56 |
$1,515.86 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 279 |
6.5 |
2.3 |
35% |
|
$15.16 |
$1,515.86 |
$1,550.72 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
25 |
-16.9 |
-68% |
$10 |
$15.51 |
$1,550.72 |
$1,278.65 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
31.5 |
-0.8 |
-3% |
$10 |
$12.79 |
$1,278.65 |
$1,258.42 |
13th May |
Bellator 281 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$12.58 |
$1,258.42 |
$1,185.50 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$11.86 |
$1,185.50 |
$1,056.95 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
25 |
-25.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$10.57 |
$1,056.95 |
$782.71 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
15 |
-4.7 |
-32% |
$10 |
$7.83 |
$782.71 |
$735.54 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
37 |
-37.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$7.36 |
$735.54 |
$453.39 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -54.66% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Poker Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
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1. |
Oct '22 |
Makhmud Muradov |
Caio Borralho |
2.80 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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2. |
Oct '22 |
Sean Brady |
Belal Muhammad |
1.72 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
No |
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3. |
Oct '22 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.50 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:44) |
No |
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4. |
Oct '22 |
Charles Oliveira |
Islam Makhachev |
2.45 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (3:16) |
No |
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5. |
Sep '22 |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.45 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (1:53) |
No |
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6. |
Sep '22 |
Alen Amedovski |
Joe Pyfer |
3.50 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:55) |
No |
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7. |
May '22 |
Vincent Morales |
Jonathan Martinez |
2.87 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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8. |
May '22 |
Parker Porter |
Jailton Junior |
5.50 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (4:35) |
No |
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9. |
May '22 |
Michael Page |
Logan Storley |
3.35 |
5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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10. |
May '22 |
Tony Ferguson |
Michael Chandler |
4.00 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:17) |
No |
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11. |
Apr '22 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Francisco Figueiredo |
1.72 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:18) |
No |
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12. |
Apr '22 |
Jared Gordon |
Grant Dawson |
2.50 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (4:11) |
No |
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13. |
May '22 |
Melissa Gatto |
Tracy Cortez |
2.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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14. |
May '22 |
Tony Ferguson |
Michael Chandler |
4.00 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:17) |
No |
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15. |
Apr '22 |
Rob Font |
Marlon Vera |
1.72 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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16. |
Apr '22 |
Juan Archulata |
Raufeon Stots |
3.15 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:16) |
No |
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17. |
Mar '22 |
Karl Roberson |
Khalil Rountree |
1.72 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:25) |
No |
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18. |
Mar '22 |
Kris Moutinho |
Guido Cannetti |
1.66 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:7) |
No |
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19. |
Mar '22 |
Nikita Krylov |
Paul Craig |
1.57 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:57) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Poker Picks: Progress Chart |
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