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MMA Handicapper Stats: CPH 609

CPH 609 (cph609)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - CPH 609

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 84 (43%) Right 35 (51%) Right 15 (33%) Right 34 (40%)
Wrong 113 (57%) Wrong 33 (49%) Wrong 30 (67%) Wrong 50 (60%)
Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 2.29
Units Bet 156.2 Units Bet 72.9 Units Bet 27.9 Units Bet 55.3
Avg Bet 0.79 Avg Bet 1.07 Avg Bet 0.62 Avg Bet 0.66
Units Profit -21.94 Units Profit -5.00 Units Profit -6.27 Units Profit -10.67
ROI % -14% ROI % -7% ROI % -22% ROI % -19%
View Handicapper's Profile

CPH 609: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 2 -2.0 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 7.65 -2.8 -36% -2.4 / 5.25 (-45%) -0.4 / 2.4 (-16%)
13th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #8 2 0.3 15% -0.3 / 1.5 (-23%) 0.7 / 0.5 (131%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 8 3.4 42% 3.0 / 6.3 (48%) 0.3 / 1.7 (20%)
5th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #7 0.5 0.0 0% 0.0 / 0.5 (0%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 11.4 2.7 24% 2.4 / 7 (34%) 0.3 / 4.4 (8%)
26th Jul '22 DWCS 2022: Week 1 0.5 0.5 105% 0.5 / 0.5 (105%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 11.7 -0.3 -2% 1.4 / 6.5 (22%) -0.3 / 1.5 (-20%) -1.4 / 3.7 (-37%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 8.65 -1.2 -13% 1.5 / 5 (29%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) -1.5 / 2.55 (-60%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 6.21 -0.8 -13% -1.7 / 2.54 (-66%) -0.1 / 1.28 (-8%) 1.0 / 2.39 (40%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 11.256 3.6 32% -0.1 / 2.3 (-3%) 0.1 / 5.026 (1%) 3.6 / 3.93 (92%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 13.635 -4.4 -33% -1.9 / 7.65 (-25%) -1.3 / 4.825 (-28%) -1.2 / 1.16 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 6.29 -5.2 -83% -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -1.1 / 2.19 (-51%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 6.35 -2.7 -42% 0.5 / 3.15 (17%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 4.7 -0.2 -4% 0.0 / 2.2 (0%) 0.8 / 0.5 (150%) -0.9 / 2 (-47%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 5.61 1.0 18% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.7 / 2.1 (82%) -0.2 / 3.01 (-7%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 8.9 -4.4 -50% -0.8 / 2.2 (-39%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.6 / 5.7 (-46%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 8.928 5.2 58% 2.9 / 3.25 (90%) 1.5 / 4.3 (35%) 0.8 / 1.378 (55%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4 -0.2 -6% -0.2 / 2 (-12%) 0.5 / 1.5 (33%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 7.2 -6.2 -85% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.7 / 1.7 (-39%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 6 -6.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 5.7 -1.7 -31% -0.4 / 1.5 (-25%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.9 / 3.7 (-23%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 5.5 0.6 10% 0.8 / 1 (80%) -1.4 / 2.5 (-58%) 1.2 / 2 (61%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 7.2 -1.1 -16% -0.6 / 3.5 (-17%) -0.6 / 3.7 (-15%)


Winning Events: 8 (33%)
Losing Events: 16 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.66 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.64 units
Best Event: 5.18 units
Worst Event: -6.16 units
Average Event: -0.91 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 6.90
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -14.13

CPH 609: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 159.879 -21.9 -14% -5.0 / 72.94 (-7%) -10.7 / 55.808 (-19%) 8 / 16 (33%) -0.91

CPH 609: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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CPH 609: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 154.879 -20.8 -13% -3.7 / 69.44 (-5%) -6.3 / 31.131 (-20%) -10.8 / 54.308 (-20%)
PFL 2.5 0.3 12% -0.3 / 1.5 (-23%) 0.7 / 1 (65%)
Other 2.5 -1.5 -59% -1.0 / 2 (-49%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

CPH 609: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 9 (13%) 7 78 % 25.40 -0.38 -0.04 -1%
Slight Favorites 27 (40%) 14 52 % 31.30 -4.35 -0.16 -14%
Slight Underdogs 28 (41%) 13 46 % 14.24 0.28 0.01 2%
Big Underdogs 4 (6%) 1 25 % 2.00 -0.55 -0.14 -28%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (15%) 5 50 % 16.50 -5.46 -0.55 -33%
Co-Main Event 4 (6%) 3 75 % 3.50 1.83 0.46 52%
Position 3-5 17 (25%) 9 53 % 17.90 1.44 0.08 8%
6+ (Undercard) 37 (54%) 18 49 % 35.04 -2.81 -0.08 -8%

CPH 609: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (6%) 4 100 % 4.90 3.83 0.96 78%
Light Heavy 5 (7%) 4 80 % 4.87 2.63 0.53 54%
Middleweight 9 (13%) 4 44 % 5.62 -1.72 -0.19 -31%
Welterweight 12 (18%) 5 42 % 11.65 -5.63 -0.47 -48%
Lightweight 9 (13%) 2 22 % 10.15 -5.87 -0.65 -58%
Featherweight 5 (7%) 2 40 % 4.00 -0.52 -0.10 -13%
Bantamweight 5 (7%) 2 40 % 5.50 -0.43 -0.09 -8%
Flyweight 6 (9%) 3 50 % 11.50 0.48 0.08 4%
               
Women's Fights 13 (19%) 9 69 % 14.75 2.25 0.17 15%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 1.00 0.18 0.09 18%
Flyweight 4 (6%) 3 75 % 4.35 1.25 0.31 29%
Strawweight 7 (10%) 5 71 % 9.40 0.82 0.12 9%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 140 (86%) 103 74 %
Slight Favorites 22 (13%) 12 55 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
163 115 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 84 (60%) 61 73 %
50-65% 15 (11%) 9 60 %
35-50% 33 (23%) 10 30 %
<35% chance 9 (6%) 1 11 %
141 81 57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 34 (24%) 28 82 % 1.37 2.40Pick was correct 1.09Pick was correct 8.2 (24%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (1%) 1 50 % 1.21 1.22Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct -0.8 (-40%)
Goes to Decision 3 (2%) 1 33 % 1.91 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct -1.3 (-42%)
Does not go to Decision 31 (22%) 22 71 % 1.36 2.50Pick was incorrect 1.11Pick was correct -1.9 (-6%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.13 1.13Pick was correct 1.13Pick was incorrect 0.1 (13%)
X Wins by KO 1 (1%) 0 0 % 3.75 3.75Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (3%) 1 25 % 4.09 9.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (6%) 2 22 % 2.56 4.80Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-16%)
X Wins Inside Distance 27 (19%) 9 33 % 2.03 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.13Pick was correct -11.5 (-43%)
Others 29 (21%) 16 55 % 1.38 2.65Pick was correct 1.12Pick was correct -2.2 (-8%)
141 81 57 % 1.55     -11.9 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail CPH 609's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 7.2 -1.1 -16% $10.00 $1,000.00 $988.62
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 5.5 0.6 10% $9.89 $988.62 $994.24
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 5.7 -1.7 -31% $9.94 $994.24 $976.95
9th Apr UFC 273 6 -6.0 -100% $9.77 $976.95 $918.33
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 7.2 -6.2 -85% $9.18 $918.33 $861.80
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4 -0.2 -6% $8.62 $861.80 $859.81
7th May UFC 274 8.928 5.2 58% $8.60 $859.81 $904.39
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 8.9 -4.4 -50% $9.04 $904.39 $864.18
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 5.61 1.0 18% $8.64 $864.18 $872.85
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 4.7 -0.2 -4% $8.73 $872.85 $871.19
11th Jun UFC 275 6.35 -2.7 -42% $8.71 $871.19 $847.88
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 6.29 -5.2 -83% $8.48 $847.88 $803.74
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 13.635 -4.4 -33% $8.04 $803.74 $768.09
2nd Jul UFC 276 11.256 3.6 32% $7.68 $768.09 $795.87
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 6.21 -0.8 -13% $7.96 $795.87 $789.45
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 8.65 -1.2 -13% $7.89 $789.45 $780.26
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 11.7 -0.3 -2% $7.80 $780.26 $778.21
26th Jul DWCS 2022: Week 1 0.5 0.5 105% $7.78 $778.21 $782.29
30th Jul UFC 277 11.4 2.7 24% $7.82 $782.29 $803.44
5th Aug PFL 2022 #7 0.5 0.0 0% $8.03 $803.44 $803.44
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 8 3.4 42% $8.03 $803.44 $830.47
13th Aug PFL 2022 #8 2 0.3 15% $8.30 $830.47 $832.99
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 7.65 -2.8 -36% $8.33 $832.99 $810.04
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 2 -2.0 -100% $8.10 $810.04 $793.84


ROI % from starting bank balance: -20.62% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

CPH 609: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '22 Marlon Vera Dominick Cruz 1.43 2 TKO, R4 (2:17) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Matheus Scheffel Juan Adams 2.30 0.5 TKO, R3 (3:45) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '22 Cory McKenna Miranda Granger 1.51 2 Sub, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '22 Juliana Miller Brogan Walker 1.77 1.3 TKO, R3 (3:57) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Jamahal Hill Thiago Santos 1.33 3 TKO, R4 (2:31) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Brandon Moreno Kai Kara-France 1.48 2 TKO, R3 (4:34) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.51 2 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Sergey Pavlovich Derrick Lewis 1.69 2 TKO, R1 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Joe Pyfer Ozzy Diaz 2.05 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:39) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Jack Hermansson Chris Curtis 1.91 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 1.91 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Muhammad Mokaev Charles Johnson 1.20 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Li Jingliang Muslim Salikhov 2.30 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Dustin Jacoby Da Un Jung 2.05 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:13) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Dustin Stoltzfus Dwight Grant 2.05 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Emily Ducote Jessica Penne 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain 1.61 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Cody Brundage Tresean Gore 2.35 0.37 TKO, R1 (3:50) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Bryan Barberena Robbie Lawler 1.91 0.55 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Julija Stoliarenko Jessica-Rose Clark 2.35 0.5 Sub, R1 (0:42) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '22 Claudia Leite Hailey Cowan 1.87 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Jack Cartwright Jose Johnson 1.95 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '22 Thomas Paull Esteban Ribovics 3.10 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '22 Carlos Leal Miranda Sadibou Sy 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Lupita Godinez Angela Hill 1.31 3.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Rafa Garcia Drakkar Klose 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Makwan Amirkhani Jonathan Pearce 2.45 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Herbert Burns Bill Algeo 2.80 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 1.59 1 TKO, R1 (4:11) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Karl Roberson Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.35 0.37 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Rafael dos Anjos Rafael Fiziev 2.75 0.5 TKO, R5 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Ronnie Lawrence Saidyokub Kakhramonov 1.77 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Sean Strickland Alex Pereira 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (2:36) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '22 Rodolfo Vieira Chris Curtis 2.05 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '22 Arman Tsarukyan Mateusz Gamrot 1.38 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '22 Deron Winn Phil Hawes 3.05 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Court McGee Jeremiah Wells 1.91 1.1 TKO, R1 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Ramazan Emeev Jack Della Maddalena 2.45 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:32) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '22 Jacob Malkoun Brendan Allen 3.35 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '22 Alex da Silva Joe Solecki 2.40 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

CPH 609: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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