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MMA Handicapper Stats: CaptnKbec

CaptnKbec (CaptnKbec)


MMA MHandicapper - CaptnKbec

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 47 (41%) Right 24 (52%) Right 9 (30%) Right 14 (36%)
Wrong 68 (59%) Wrong 22 (48%) Wrong 21 (70%) Wrong 25 (64%)
Avg Odds 2.38 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 2.64 Avg Odds 2.68
Units Bet 124.8 Units Bet 61.6 Units Bet 24.5 Units Bet 38.6
Avg Bet 1.08 Avg Bet 1.34 Avg Bet 0.82 Avg Bet 0.99
Units Profit -11.10 Units Profit -0.94 Units Profit -6.14 Units Profit -4.03
ROI % -9% ROI % -2% ROI % -25% ROI % -10%
View Handicapper's Profile

CaptnKbec : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
7th May '22 UFC 274 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 6.68 -0.1 -1% 0.9 / 5.68 (16%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 7.54 2.7 36% 0.0 / 2 (0%) 0.5 / 3.54 (15%) 2.1 / 2 (107%)
20th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #1 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 12.48 -3.8 -30% -1.7 / 4.08 (-42%) -0.2 / 4.4 (-5%) -1.9 / 4 (-46%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 18.2 -6.4 -35% 2.3 / 5.1 (44%) -0.6 / 3.5 (-17%) -8.1 / 9.6 (-84%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 18.54 -9.7 -52% -6.3 / 8.95 (-71%) -1.1 / 3.63 (-31%) -2.2 / 5.96 (-37%)
25th Mar '22 PFL Challenger Series 6 0.5 0.6 125% 0.6 / 0.5 (125%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 12.85 3.8 30% 1.6 / 7.45 (22%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) 2.6 / 5 (52%)
18th Mar '22 PFL Challenger Series 5 1 2.0 197% 2.0 / 1 (197%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 8.13 3.4 42% 0.9 / 6.13 (15%) 1.1 / 1 (110%) 1.4 / 1 (143%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 9.4 4.8 51% 3.5 / 6.4 (54%) 1.3 / 3 (43%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 12.98 -3.8 -29% -3.4 / 7.85 (-43%) -0.5 / 3.13 (-16%) 0.0 / 2 (2%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 14.47 -2.7 -18% 2.3 / 7 (32%) -4.9 / 4.94 (-100%) -0.0 / 2.53 (-0%)


Winning Events: 6 (43%)
Losing Events: 8 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.54 units
Best Event: 4.77 units
Worst Event: -9.67 units
Average Event: -0.79 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 14.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -20.83

CaptnKbec : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 124.77 -11.1 -9% -0.9 / 61.64 (-2%) -4.0 / 38.59 (-10%) 6 / 8 (43%) -0.79

CaptnKbec : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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CaptnKbec : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 122.27 -12.7 -10% 0.1 / 60.64 (0%) -6.1 / 24.54 (-25%) -6.6 / 37.09 (-18%)
PFL 2.5 1.6 64% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.6 / 1.5 (173%)

CaptnKbec : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (6%) 1 33 % 6.15 -3.09 -1.03 -50%
Slight Favorites 18 (38%) 10 56 % 28.41 -2.98 -0.17 -10%
Slight Underdogs 24 (50%) 14 58 % 25.08 7.13 0.30 28%
Big Underdogs 3 (6%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -0.67 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (6%) 2 67 % 3.80 0.40 0.13 11%
Co-Main Event 4 (8%) 3 75 % 5.33 1.85 0.46 35%
Position 3-5 10 (21%) 4 40 % 9.95 -0.65 -0.07 -7%
6+ (Undercard) 31 (65%) 16 52 % 42.56 -2.54 -0.08 -6%

CaptnKbec : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 2.48 2.00 1.00 81%
Light Heavy 3 (6%) 2 67 % 3.00 1.62 0.54 54%
Middleweight 5 (10%) 2 40 % 5.78 -1.13 -0.23 -20%
Welterweight 4 (8%) 2 50 % 5.28 -0.80 -0.20 -15%
Lightweight 9 (19%) 7 78 % 8.90 7.59 0.84 85%
Featherweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 8.10 1.12 0.22 14%
Bantamweight 6 (13%) 4 67 % 8.10 1.81 0.30 22%
Flyweight 4 (8%) 0 % 8.15 -8.15 -2.04 -100%
               
Women's Fights 10 (21%) 3 30 % 11.85 -5.00 -0.50 -42%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.90 -1.90 -1.90 -100%
Flyweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 3.50 -0.75 -0.19 -21%
Strawweight 5 (10%) 2 40 % 6.45 -2.35 -0.47 -36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 55 (86%) 44 80 %
Slight Favorites 9 (14%) 6 67 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
64 50 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 36 (44%) 25 69 %
50-65% 19 (23%) 8 42 %
35-50% 15 (19%) 5 33 %
<35% chance 11 (14%) 0 0 %
81 38 47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (11%) 5 56 % 1.36 1.71Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was correct -2.4 (-26%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (9%) 3 43 % 1.61 2.10Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct -1.8 (-26%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.72 1.72Pick was correct 1.72Pick was correct 0.7 (72%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (6%) 2 40 % 1.51 2.25Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was incorrect -2.1 (-41%)
X Wins by KO 1 (1%) 0 0 % 2.25 2.25Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (4%) 0 0 % 4.14 13.00Pick was incorrect 2.35Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (6%) 2 40 % 2.00 2.60Pick was correct 1.53Pick was correct -0.9 (-17%)
X Wins Inside Distance 13 (16%) 5 38 % 1.88 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct -6.0 (-46%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (6%) 0 0 % 11.21 19.00Pick was incorrect 9.00Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
Others 32 (40%) 20 63 % 1.57 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was correct -1.2 (-4%)
81 38 47 % 1.75     -22.6 (-28%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail CaptnKbec 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 14.47 -2.7 -18% $10.00 $1,000.00 $973.28
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 12.98 -3.8 -29% $9.73 $973.28 $936.22
5th Mar UFC 272 9.4 4.8 51% $9.36 $936.22 $980.86
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 8.13 3.4 42% $9.81 $980.86 $1,014.67
18th Mar PFL Challenger Series 5 1 2.0 197% $10.15 $1,014.67 $1,034.65
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 12.85 3.8 30% $10.35 $1,034.65 $1,074.21
25th Mar PFL Challenger Series 6 0.5 0.6 125% $10.74 $1,074.21 $1,080.92
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 18.54 -9.7 -52% $10.81 $1,080.92 $976.45
9th Apr UFC 273 18.2 -6.4 -35% $9.76 $976.45 $913.83
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 12.48 -3.8 -30% $9.14 $913.83 $879.50
20th Apr PFL 2022 #1 1 -1.0 -100% $8.80 $879.50 $870.71
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 7.54 2.7 36% $8.71 $870.71 $894.02
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 6.68 -0.1 -1% $8.94 $894.02 $893.12
7th May UFC 274 1 -1.0 -100% $8.93 $893.12 $884.19


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

CaptnKbec : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '22 Gabriel Green Yohan Lainesse 1.91 1.1 TKO, R2 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '22 Marlon Vera Rob Font 2.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '22 Andrei Arlovski Jake Collier 1.72 1.38 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '22 Philipe Lins Marcin Prachnio 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '22 Rafa Garcia Jesse Ronson 1.72 1.38 Sub, R2 (4:50) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '22 Julio Arce Daniel Santos 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '22 Mark O. Madsen Vinc Pichel 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '22 Piera Rodriguez Kay Hansen 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '22 Marc Diakiese Viacheslav Borshchev 2.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '22 Jack Shore Timur Valiev 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '22 Paul Craig Nikita Krylov 2.62 1 Sub, R1 (3:57) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '22 Arnold Allen Daniel Hooker 1.91 1.1 TKO, R1 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '22 Tom Aspinall Alexander Volkov 1.91 1.1 Sub, R1 (3:45) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '22 Damon Jackson Kamuela Kirk 2.30 1 Sub, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '22 Javid Basharat Trevin Jones 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '22 Khalil Rountree Karl Roberson 1.80 1.25 TKO, R2 (0:25) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '22 Ludovit Klein Devonte Smith 2.60 0.7 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '22 Rafael dos Anjos Renato Moicano 1.59 1.7 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '22 Maryna Moroz Mariya Agapova 2.75 1 Sub, R2 (3:27) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '22 Ludovit Klein Devonte Smith 2.60 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '22 Daniel Lacerda Francisco Figueiredo 1.91 2.2 Sub, R1 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '22 Natan Schulte Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '22 Montana De La Rosa Maycee Barber 2.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '22 Kevin Croom Heili Alateng 2.62 1 TKO, R1 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '22 Vicente Luque Belal Muhammad 1.59 1.7 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '22 Tecia Torres Mackenzie Dern 1.91 1.1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '22 Matt Brown Bryan Barberena 1.91 1.1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '22 Jennifer Maia Manon Fiorot 4.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '22 Bruno Souza Luis Saldana 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '22 David Dvorak Matheus Nicolau 1.72 2.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '22 Danaa Batgerel Chris Gutierrez 1.63 1.6 TKO, R2 (2:34) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '22 Luana Carolina Molly McCann 2.10 1 TKO, R3 (1:52) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '22 Cory McKenna Elise Reed 1.44 2.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '22 Dalcha Lungiambula Cody Brundage 2.38 1.38 Sub, R1 (3:41) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '22 Bruno Silva Alex Pereira 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '22 Michal Oleksiejczuk Dustin Jacoby 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '22 Yan Xiaonan Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 3.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '22 Victor Altamirano Carlos Hernandez 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '22 Joel Alvarez Arman Tsarukyan 3.35 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '22 Victor Altamirano Carlos Hernandez 1.91 2.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

CaptnKbec : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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