MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
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MMA Handicapper Stats: CaptnKbec

CaptnKbec (CaptnKbec)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	47 (41%)	Right	24 (52%)	Right	9 (30%)	Right	14 (36%)
Wrong	68 (59%)	Wrong	22 (48%)	Wrong	21 (70%)	Wrong	25 (64%)
Avg Odds	2.38	Avg Odds	2.06	Avg Odds	2.64	Avg Odds	2.68
Units Bet	124.8	Units Bet	61.6	Units Bet	24.5	Units Bet	38.6
Avg Bet	1.08	Avg Bet	1.34	Avg Bet	0.82	Avg Bet	0.99
Units Profit	-11.10	Units Profit	-0.94	Units Profit	-6.14	Units Profit	-4.03
ROI %	-9%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-25%	ROI %	-10%

CaptnKbec : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
7th May '22	UFC 274	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	6.68	-0.1	-1%	0.9 / 5.68 (16%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	7.54	2.7	36%	0.0 / 2 (0%)	0.5 / 3.54 (15%)	2.1 / 2 (107%)
20th Apr '22	PFL 2022 #1	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	12.48	-3.8	-30%	-1.7 / 4.08 (-42%)	-0.2 / 4.4 (-5%)	-1.9 / 4 (-46%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	18.2	-6.4	-35%	2.3 / 5.1 (44%)	-0.6 / 3.5 (-17%)	-8.1 / 9.6 (-84%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	18.54	-9.7	-52%	-6.3 / 8.95 (-71%)	-1.1 / 3.63 (-31%)	-2.2 / 5.96 (-37%)
25th Mar '22	PFL Challenger Series 6	0.5	0.6	125%			0.6 / 0.5 (125%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	12.85	3.8	30%	1.6 / 7.45 (22%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)	2.6 / 5 (52%)
18th Mar '22	PFL Challenger Series 5	1	2.0	197%			2.0 / 1 (197%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	8.13	3.4	42%	0.9 / 6.13 (15%)	1.1 / 1 (110%)	1.4 / 1 (143%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	9.4	4.8	51%	3.5 / 6.4 (54%)		1.3 / 3 (43%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	12.98	-3.8	-29%	-3.4 / 7.85 (-43%)	-0.5 / 3.13 (-16%)	0.0 / 2 (2%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	14.47	-2.7	-18%	2.3 / 7 (32%)	-4.9 / 4.94 (-100%)	-0.0 / 2.53 (-0%)

Winning Events: 6 (43%)
Losing Events: 8 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.54 units
Best Event: 4.77 units
Worst Event: -9.67 units
Average Event: -0.79 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 14.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -20.83

CaptnKbec : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	124.77	-11.1	-9%	-0.9 / 61.64 (-2%)		-4.0 / 38.59 (-10%)	6 / 8 (43%)	-0.79

CaptnKbec : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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CaptnKbec : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	122.27	-12.7	-10%	0.1 / 60.64 (0%)	-6.1 / 24.54 (-25%)	-6.6 / 37.09 (-18%)
PFL	2.5	1.6	64%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		2.6 / 1.5 (173%)

CaptnKbec : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (6%)	1	33 %	6.15	-3.09	-1.03	-50%
Slight Favorites	18 (38%)	10	56 %	28.41	-2.98	-0.17	-10%
Slight Underdogs	24 (50%)	14	58 %	25.08	7.13	0.30	28%
Big Underdogs	3 (6%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-0.67	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (6%)	2	67 %	3.80	0.40	0.13	11%
Co-Main Event	4 (8%)	3	75 %	5.33	1.85	0.46	35%
Position 3-5	10 (21%)	4	40 %	9.95	-0.65	-0.07	-7%
6+ (Undercard)	31 (65%)	16	52 %	42.56	-2.54	-0.08	-6%

CaptnKbec : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	2.48	2.00	1.00	81%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)	2	67 %	3.00	1.62	0.54	54%
Middleweight	5 (10%)	2	40 %	5.78	-1.13	-0.23	-20%
Welterweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	5.28	-0.80	-0.20	-15%
Lightweight	9 (19%)	7	78 %	8.90	7.59	0.84	85%
Featherweight	5 (10%)	3	60 %	8.10	1.12	0.22	14%
Bantamweight	6 (13%)	4	67 %	8.10	1.81	0.30	22%
Flyweight	4 (8%)		0 %	8.15	-8.15	-2.04	-100%

Women's Fights	10 (21%)	3	30 %	11.85	-5.00	-0.50	-42%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.90	-1.90	-1.90	-100%
Flyweight	4 (8%)	1	25 %	3.50	-0.75	-0.19	-21%
Strawweight	5 (10%)	2	40 %	6.45	-2.35	-0.47	-36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	55 (86%)	44	80 %
Slight Favorites	9 (14%)	6	67 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	64	50	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	36 (44%)	25	69 %
50-65%	19 (23%)	8	42 %
35-50%	15 (19%)	5	33 %
<35% chance	11 (14%)	0	0 %
	81	38	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (11%)	5	56 %	1.36	1.71	1.18	-2.4 (-26%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (9%)	3	43 %	1.61	2.10	1.30	-1.8 (-26%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.72	1.72	1.72	0.7 (72%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (6%)	2	40 %	1.51	2.25	1.27	-2.1 (-41%)
X Wins by KO	1 (1%)	0	0 %	2.25	2.25	2.25	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (4%)	0	0 %	4.14	13.00	2.35	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (6%)	2	40 %	2.00	2.60	1.53	-0.9 (-17%)
X Wins Inside Distance	13 (16%)	5	38 %	1.88	4.50	1.29	-6.0 (-46%)
X Wins in Round X	5 (6%)	0	0 %	11.21	19.00	9.00	-5.0 (-100%)
Others	32 (40%)	20	63 %	1.57	3.50	1.18	-1.2 (-4%)
	81	38	47 %	1.75			-22.6 (-28%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail CaptnKbec 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	14.47	-2.7	-18%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$973.28
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	12.98	-3.8	-29%		$9.73	$973.28	$936.22
5th Mar	UFC 272	9.4	4.8	51%		$9.36	$936.22	$980.86
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	8.13	3.4	42%		$9.81	$980.86	$1,014.67
18th Mar	PFL Challenger Series 5	1	2.0	197%		$10.15	$1,014.67	$1,034.65
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	12.85	3.8	30%		$10.35	$1,034.65	$1,074.21
25th Mar	PFL Challenger Series 6	0.5	0.6	125%		$10.74	$1,074.21	$1,080.92
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	18.54	-9.7	-52%		$10.81	$1,080.92	$976.45
9th Apr	UFC 273	18.2	-6.4	-35%		$9.76	$976.45	$913.83
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	12.48	-3.8	-30%		$9.14	$913.83	$879.50
20th Apr	PFL 2022 #1	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.80	$879.50	$870.71
23rd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	7.54	2.7	36%		$8.71	$870.71	$894.02
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	6.68	-0.1	-1%		$8.94	$894.02	$893.12
7th May	UFC 274	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.93	$893.12	$884.19

ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

CaptnKbec : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '22	Gabriel Green	Yohan Lainesse	1.91	1.1	TKO, R2 (4:2)
2.	Apr '22	Marlon Vera	Rob Font	2.10	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
3.	Apr '22	Andrei Arlovski	Jake Collier	1.72	1.38	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '22	Philipe Lins	Marcin Prachnio	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Apr '22	Rafa Garcia	Jesse Ronson	1.72	1.38	Sub, R2 (4:50)
6.	Apr '22	Julio Arce	Daniel Santos	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '22	Mark O. Madsen	Vinc Pichel	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '22	Piera Rodriguez	Kay Hansen	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '22	Marc Diakiese	Viacheslav Borshchev	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '22	Jack Shore	Timur Valiev	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '22	Paul Craig	Nikita Krylov	2.62	1	Sub, R1 (3:57)
12.	Mar '22	Arnold Allen	Daniel Hooker	1.91	1.1	TKO, R1 (2:33)
13.	Mar '22	Tom Aspinall	Alexander Volkov	1.91	1.1	Sub, R1 (3:45)
14.	Mar '22	Damon Jackson	Kamuela Kirk	2.30	1	Sub, R2 (4:42)
15.	Mar '22	Javid Basharat	Trevin Jones	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '22	Khalil Rountree	Karl Roberson	1.80	1.25	TKO, R2 (0:25)
17.	Mar '22	Ludovit Klein	Devonte Smith	2.60	0.7	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '22	Rafael dos Anjos	Renato Moicano	1.59	1.7	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Mar '22	Maryna Moroz	Mariya Agapova	2.75	1	Sub, R2 (3:27)
20.	Mar '22	Ludovit Klein	Devonte Smith	2.60	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '22	Daniel Lacerda	Francisco Figueiredo	1.91	2.2	Sub, R1 (1:18)	No
2.	Apr '22	Natan Schulte	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	2.20	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '22	Montana De La Rosa	Maycee Barber	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '22	Kevin Croom	Heili Alateng	2.62	1	TKO, R1 (0:47)	No
5.	Apr '22	Vicente Luque	Belal Muhammad	1.59	1.7	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '22	Tecia Torres	Mackenzie Dern	1.91	1.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '22	Matt Brown	Bryan Barberena	1.91	1.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '22	Jennifer Maia	Manon Fiorot	4.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '22	Bruno Souza	Luis Saldana	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '22	David Dvorak	Matheus Nicolau	1.72	2.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '22	Danaa Batgerel	Chris Gutierrez	1.63	1.6	TKO, R2 (2:34)	No
12.	Mar '22	Luana Carolina	Molly McCann	2.10	1	TKO, R3 (1:52)	No
13.	Mar '22	Cory McKenna	Elise Reed	1.44	2.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '22	Dalcha Lungiambula	Cody Brundage	2.38	1.38	Sub, R1 (3:41)	No
15.	Mar '22	Bruno Silva	Alex Pereira	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '22	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Dustin Jacoby	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '22	Yan Xiaonan	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	3.25	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '22	Victor Altamirano	Carlos Hernandez	2.20	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '22	Joel Alvarez	Arman Tsarukyan	3.35	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:57)	No
20.	Feb '22	Victor Altamirano	Carlos Hernandez	1.91	2.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

CaptnKbec : Progress Chart

Chart

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