MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: AK Caps

AK Caps (AKCaps)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	45 (47%)	Right	21 (50%)	Right	22 (46%)	Right	2 (40%)
Wrong	50 (53%)	Wrong	21 (50%)	Wrong	26 (54%)	Wrong	3 (60%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.81	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	1.71
Units Bet	195.3	Units Bet	103.5	Units Bet	78.8	Units Bet	13.0
Avg Bet	2.06	Avg Bet	2.46	Avg Bet	1.64	Avg Bet	2.60
Units Profit	-12.67	Units Profit	-15.78	Units Profit	3.07	Units Profit	0.03
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	0%

AK Caps: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	25.15	-13.1	-52%	-14.1 / 14.05 (-100%)	0.9 / 6.1 (14%)	0.1 / 5 (2%)
12th Mar '22	Bellator 276	2.3	-2.3	-100%	-2.3 / 2.3 (-100%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	23.08	-1.4	-6%	-1.8 / 10.9 (-17%)	0.4 / 12.18 (3%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	22.38	8.8	39%	2.7 / 8.5 (32%)	6.0 / 13.88 (44%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	18.85	-0.2	-1%	2.9 / 4.35 (67%)	-2.1 / 13.5 (-16%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Feb '22	Bellator 274	15.75	-7.8	-49%	-8.3 / 8.25 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	3.0 / 5 (59%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	27.13	-7.2	-27%	-4.1 / 13.8 (-30%)	-3.1 / 13.33 (-23%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	35.02	5.1	15%	4.1 / 24.37 (17%)	3.0 / 8.65 (35%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	20.15	4.5	22%	3.9 / 12.5 (31%)	0.6 / 7.65 (8%)
29th Jan '22	Bellator 273	4.25	1.0	23%	0.6 / 3.75 (16%)	0.4 / 0.5 (74%)
28th Jan '22	EFC 44	1.25	0.0	0%	0.5 / 0.75 (67%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 4 (36%)
Losing Events: 7 (64%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.76 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.02 units
Best Event: 8.77 units
Worst Event: -13.10 units
Average Event: -1.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.57
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.78

AK Caps: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	195.31	-12.7	-6%	-15.8 / 103.52 (-15%)		0.0 / 13 (0%)	4 / 7 (36%)	-1.15

AK Caps: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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AK Caps: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	171.76	-3.6	-2%	-6.3 / 88.47 (-7%)	5.7 / 75.29 (8%)	-2.9 / 8 (-37%)
Bellator	22.3	-9.1	-41%	-9.9 / 14.3 (-70%)	-2.1 / 3 (-71%)	3.0 / 5 (59%)
Other	1.25	0.0	0%	0.5 / 0.75 (67%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

AK Caps: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	11 (24%)	8	73 %	35.48	-0.21	-0.02	-1%
Slight Favorites	19 (42%)	8	42 %	46.14	-13.04	-0.69	-28%
Slight Underdogs	12 (27%)	6	50 %	19.00	0.38	0.03	2%
Big Underdogs	3 (7%)	0	0 %	2.90	-2.90	-0.97	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (11%)	1	20 %	10.20	-7.22	-1.44	-71%
Co-Main Event	4 (9%)	1	25 %	11.15	-4.75	-1.19	-43%
Position 3-5	14 (31%)	9	64 %	31.05	3.17	0.23	10%
6+ (Undercard)	22 (49%)	11	50 %	51.12	-6.98	-0.32	-14%

AK Caps: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	6.05	-2.75	-1.38	-45%
Light Heavy	5 (11%)	3	60 %	9.24	2.18	0.44	24%
Middleweight	8 (18%)	5	63 %	20.90	2.53	0.32	12%
Welterweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	5.63	-4.00	-2.00	-71%
Lightweight	8 (18%)	6	75 %	14.50	6.48	0.81	45%
Featherweight	8 (18%)	1	13 %	15.90	-11.20	-1.40	-70%
Bantamweight	6 (13%)	3	50 %	14.70	-4.32	-0.72	-29%

Women's Fights	6 (13%)	2	33 %	16.60	-4.70	-0.78	-28%
Bantamweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	9.50	-2.00	-0.67	-21%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.40	2.40	120%
Strawweight	2 (4%)		0 %	5.10	-5.10	-2.55	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	9 (100%)	7	78 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	9	7	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (14%)	3	43 %
50-65%	23 (47%)	14	61 %
35-50%	10 (20%)	4	40 %
<35% chance	9 (18%)	1	11 %
	49	22	45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (12%)	3	50 %	1.63	1.91	1.53	-1.2 (-20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	12 (24%)	8	67 %	1.78	2.35	1.57	2.2 (18%)
Goes to Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.67	1.67	1.67	0.7 (67%)
Does not go to Decision	8 (16%)	5	63 %	1.50	1.87	1.29	-0.1 (-1%)
X Wins by KO	2 (4%)	0	0 %	3.27	9.00	2.00	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (6%)	1	33 %	2.77	6.00	1.71	0.0 (0%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (14%)	3	43 %	2.39	3.50	1.83	0.0 (0%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (6%)	0	0 %	2.48	4.05	2.05	-3.0 (-100%)
Others	7 (14%)	1	14 %	2.71	11.00	1.43	-5.4 (-77%)
	49	22	45 %	1.98			-8.9 (-18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail AK Caps's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
28th Jan	EFC 44	1.25	0.0	0%	$12.5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$987.50
29th Jan	Bellator 273	4.25	1.0	23%	$12.5	$9.88	$987.50	$984.61
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	20.15	4.5	22%	$12.5	$9.85	$984.61	$1,016.42
12th Feb	UFC 271	35.02	5.1	15%	$12.5	$10.16	$1,016.42	$1,055.73
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	27.13	-7.2	-27%	$12.5	$10.56	$1,055.73	$966.93
19th Feb	Bellator 274	15.75	-7.8	-49%	$12.5	$9.67	$966.93	$879.05
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	18.85	-0.2	-1%	$12.5	$8.79	$879.05	$864.68
5th Mar	UFC 272	22.38	8.8	39%	$12.5	$8.65	$864.68	$928.05
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	23.08	-1.4	-6%	$12.5	$9.28	$928.05	$902.75
12th Mar	Bellator 276	2.3	-2.3	-100%	$12.5	$9.03	$902.75	$869.49
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	25.15	-13.1	-52%	$12.5	$8.69	$869.49	$743.04

ROI % from starting bank balance: -25.70% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

AK Caps: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '22	J.J. Aldrich	Gillian Robertson	2.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '22	Damon Jackson	Kamuela Kirk	2.35	2	Sub, R2 (4:42)
3.	Mar '22	Ludovit Klein	Devonte Smith	2.40	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '22	Dustin Jacoby	Michal Oleksiejczuk	1.56	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '22	Jalin Turner	Jamie Mullarkey	1.79	3	TKO, R2 (0:46)
6.	Feb '22	Terrance McKinney	Fares Ziam	2.10	1.5	Sub, R1 (2:11)
7.	Feb '22	Arman Tsarukyan	Joel Alvarez	1.44	2.85	TKO, R2 (1:57)
8.	Feb '22	Parker Porter	Alan Baudot	1.43	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Feb '22	Kyle Daukaus	Jamie Pickett	1.45	4.4	Sub, R1 (4:59)
10.	Feb '22	Jared Cannonier	Derek Brunson	1.63	5	TKO, R2 (4:29)
11.	Feb '22	Jeremiah Wells	Mike Mathetha	1.44	1.13	Sub, R1 (4:38)
12.	Feb '22	Carlos Ulberg	Fabio Cherant	1.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Feb '22	Renato Moicano	Alexander Hernandez	1.59	3	Sub, R2 (1:23)
14.	Feb '22	Ronnie Lawrence	Mana Martinez	1.36	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Feb '22	Maxim Grishin	William Knight	1.63	1.34	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '22	Bobby Green	Nasrat Haqparast	1.71	1.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '22	Bryan Battle	Tresean Gore	2.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jan '22	Enrique Barzola	Darrion Caldwell	1.93	2.25	TKO, R3 (3:1)
19.	Feb '22	Sean Strickland	Jack Hermansson	1.49	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Feb '22	Bryan Battle	Tresean Gore	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '22	Timur Valiev	Jack Shore	1.83	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '22	Daniel Hooker	Arnold Allen	2.10	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:33)	No
3.	Mar '22	Cory McKenna	Elise Reed	1.45	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '22	Nikita Krylov	Paul Craig	1.57	1.5	Sub, R1 (3:57)	No
5.	Mar '22	Mike Grundy	Makwan Amirkhani	1.74	1.35	Sub, R1 (0:57)	No
6.	Mar '22	Daniel Hooker	Arnold Allen	1.91	3.5	TKO, R1 (2:33)	No
7.	Mar '22	Mads Burnell	Adam Borics	1.43	2.3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '22	Kris Moutinho	Guido Cannetti	1.74	2	TKO, R1 (2:7)	No
9.	Mar '22	Terrance McKinney	Drew Dober	3.05	1.5	TKO, R1 (3:17)	No
10.	Mar '22	Karl Roberson	Khalil Rountree	2.00	3	TKO, R2 (0:25)	No
11.	Mar '22	Thiago Santos	Magomed Ankalaev	6.00	0.4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '22	Edson Barboza	Bryce Mitchell	2.45	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '22	Renato Moicano	Rafael dos Anjos	2.55	0.75	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Feb '22	Jessica-Rose Clark	Stephanie Egger	1.59	2.7	Sub, R1 (3:44)	No
15.	Feb '22	Said Sowma	Davion Franklin	1.71	3.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Feb '22	Neiman Gracie	Logan Storley	1.67	4.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '22	Jessica-Rose Clark	Stephanie Egger	1.56	1.8	Sub, R1 (3:44)	No
18.	Feb '22	Diana Belbita	Gloria de Paula	1.91	1.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '22	Gabriel Benitez	David Onama	2.44	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:24)	No
20.	Feb '22	Sergey Morozov	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.49	5	Sub, R2 (3:34)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

AK Caps: Progress Chart

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