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MMA Handicapper Stats: Kilo Graham

Kilo Graham (xKiloXL)

MMA MHandicapper - Kilo Graham

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	62 (44%)	Right	42 (46%)	Right	15 (38%)	Right	5 (50%)
Wrong	79 (56%)	Wrong	50 (54%)	Wrong	24 (62%)	Wrong	5 (50%)
Avg Odds	2.04	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	2.50	Avg Odds	2.30
Units Bet	206.3	Units Bet	150.0	Units Bet	44.3	Units Bet	12.0
Avg Bet	1.46	Avg Bet	1.63	Avg Bet	1.13	Avg Bet	1.20
Units Profit	-21.64	Units Profit	-24.08	Units Profit	5.20	Units Profit	-2.76
ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-16%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	-23%

Kilo Graham: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	5	-0.3	-5%	-0.3 / 5 (-5%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	3	-1.4	-45%	-1.4 / 3 (-45%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	5	2.7	55%	2.7 / 5 (55%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	5	-1.9	-39%	-1.9 / 5 (-39%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	8	0.1	1%	0.1 / 8 (1%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	13	-8.0	-62%	-7.0 / 12 (-58%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	13	-0.2	-2%	2.2 / 8 (28%)	-2.4 / 5 (-49%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	1	1.3	132%	1.3 / 1 (132%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	11	-6.8	-61%	-5.8 / 10 (-58%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	6	0.8	13%	0.8 / 6 (13%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	18	5.6	31%	1.8 / 15 (12%)	3.8 / 3 (125%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	8	5.1	64%	5.1 / 8 (64%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	18.5	0.1	1%	1.1 / 11 (10%)	-1.0 / 7.5 (-13%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	13.5	-6.9	-51%	-4.1 / 6 (-69%)	0.2 / 4.5 (4%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	23.25	0.8	3%	-4.4 / 8 (-55%)	5.1 / 15.25 (34%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	9	-7.0	-78%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	1.0 / 1 (95%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Apr '23	PFL 1: 2023	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	11	-2.8	-26%	-5.6 / 8 (-69%)	1.2 / 1 (120%)	1.5 / 2 (76%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	5.5	-1.1	-20%	-1.1 / 5.5 (-20%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	3	2.9	97%	2.9 / 3 (97%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	3	0.9	30%	0.9 / 3 (30%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	10	-1.6	-16%	0.0 / 4 (0%)	1.4 / 3 (48%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	8	1.6	20%	0.9 / 3 (29%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.7 / 3 (91%)

Winning Events: 11 (44%)
Losing Events: 14 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.25 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.25 units
Best Event: 5.58 units
Worst Event: -8.00 units
Average Event: -0.87 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.46
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -12.46

Kilo Graham: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	206.25	-21.6	-10%	-24.1 / 150 (-16%)		-2.8 / 12 (-23%)	11 / 14 (44%)	-0.87

Kilo Graham: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Kilo Graham: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	204.75	-20.1	-10%	-22.6 / 148.5 (-15%)	5.2 / 44.25 (12%)	-2.8 / 12 (-23%)
PFL	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

Kilo Graham: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	17 (18%)	10	59 %	43.00	1.53	0.09	4%
Slight Favorites	44 (48%)	24	55 %	66.50	-13.80	-0.31	-21%
Slight Underdogs	16 (17%)	4	25 %	23.50	-9.93	-0.62	-42%
Big Underdogs	15 (16%)	4	27 %	17.00	-1.87	-0.12	-11%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	16 (17%)	9	56 %	46.00	9.71	0.61	21%
Co-Main Event	10 (11%)	2	20 %	12.00	-8.96	-0.90	-75%
Position 3-5	23 (25%)	11	48 %	33.00	-9.87	-0.43	-30%
6+ (Undercard)	43 (47%)	20	47 %	59.00	-14.95	-0.35	-25%

Kilo Graham: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (7%)	4	67 %	17.00	4.50	0.75	26%
Light Heavy	9 (10%)	4	44 %	11.00	-4.31	-0.48	-39%
Middleweight	7 (8%)	2	29 %	15.00	-4.25	-0.61	-28%
Welterweight	7 (8%)	3	43 %	7.00	-0.60	-0.09	-9%
Lightweight	12 (13%)	4	33 %	20.00	-8.73	-0.73	-44%
Featherweight	18 (20%)	8	44 %	18.00	-3.64	-0.20	-20%
Bantamweight	12 (13%)	7	58 %	24.50	-4.53	-0.38	-18%
Flyweight	7 (8%)	2	29 %	13.00	-5.45	-0.78	-42%

Women's Fights	14 (15%)	8	57 %	24.50	2.94	0.21	12%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.69	0.69	69%
Bantamweight	4 (4%)	2	50 %	13.00	2.03	0.51	16%
Flyweight	5 (5%)	3	60 %	4.50	2.86	0.57	64%
Strawweight	4 (4%)	2	50 %	6.00	-2.64	-0.66	-44%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	20 (83%)	16	80 %
Slight Favorites	3 (13%)	3	100 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (4%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	24	19	79 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	10 (24%)	7	70 %
50-65%	3 (7%)	3	100 %
35-50%	8 (20%)	4	50 %
<35% chance	20 (49%)	3	15 %
	41	17	41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (15%)	4	67 %	1.64	2.05	1.29	0.2 (3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (7%)	3	100 %	1.62	2.31	1.24	2.2 (73%)
X Wins by KO	5 (12%)	1	20 %	3.46	6.25	2.95	-2.0 (-40%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (10%)	1	25 %	2.65	6.00	1.43	-1.8 (-45%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (7%)	0	0 %	3.72	5.50	3.15	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (7%)	2	67 %	1.31	1.33	1.29	-0.4 (-12%)
X Wins in Round X	10 (24%)	2	20 %	4.93	17.00	2.40	1.2 (12%)
Others	7 (17%)	4	57 %	1.95	3.75	1.29	0.2 (3%)
	41	17	41 %	2.39			-3.3 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Kilo Graham's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	8	1.6	20%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,015.81
21st Jan	UFC 283	10	-1.6	-16%		$10.16	$1,015.81	$999.85
11th Feb	UFC 284	3	0.9	30%		$10.00	$999.85	$1,008.94
4th Mar	UFC 285	3	2.9	97%		$10.09	$1,008.94	$1,038.33
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	5.5	-1.1	-20%		$10.38	$1,038.33	$1,027.17
18th Mar	UFC 286	11	-2.8	-26%		$10.27	$1,027.17	$997.97
1st Apr	PFL 1: 2023	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$9.98	$997.97	$983.00
8th Apr	UFC 287	9	-7.0	-78%		$9.83	$983.00	$913.72
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	23.25	0.8	3%		$9.14	$913.72	$920.80
6th May	UFC 288	13.5	-6.9	-51%		$9.21	$920.80	$856.83
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	18.5	0.1	1%		$8.57	$856.83	$857.67
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	3	-3.0	-100%		$8.58	$857.67	$831.94
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	8	5.1	64%		$8.32	$831.94	$874.61
10th Jun	UFC 289	18	5.6	31%		$8.75	$874.61	$923.44
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	6	0.8	13%		$9.23	$923.44	$930.37
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	11	-6.8	-61%		$9.30	$930.37	$867.51
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	1	1.3	132%		$8.68	$867.51	$878.96
8th Jul	UFC 290	13	-0.2	-2%		$8.79	$878.96	$877.17
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	13	-8.0	-62%		$8.77	$877.17	$806.96
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	8	0.1	1%		$8.07	$806.96	$807.60
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	5	-1.9	-39%		$8.08	$807.60	$791.97
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	5	2.7	55%		$7.92	$791.97	$813.69
9th Sep	UFC 293	3	-1.4	-45%		$8.14	$813.69	$802.63
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.03	$802.63	$794.61
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	5	-0.3	-5%		$7.95	$794.61	$792.43

ROI % from starting bank balance: -20.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Kilo Graham: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '23	Charles Jourdain	Ricardo Ramos	1.68	1	Sub, R1 (3:12)
2.	Sep '23	Bryan Battle	A.J. Fletcher	1.56	1	Sub, R2 (4:32)
3.	Sep '23	Bryce Mitchell	Dan Ige	1.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Sep '23	Kevin Jousset	Kiefer Crosbie	1.64	1	Sub, R1 (4:49)
5.	Sep '23	Taylor Lapilus	Caolan Loughran	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Sep '23	William Gomis	Yanis Ghemmouri	1.48	1	TKO, R3 (2:20)
7.	Sep '23	Benoit Saint-Denis	Thiago Moises	1.62	1	TKO, R2 (4:44)
8.	Sep '23	Manon Fiorot	Rose Namajunas	1.54	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '23	Ciryl Gane	Sergey Spivak	1.54	1	TKO, R2 (3:44)
10.	Aug '23	DaMon Blackshear	Jose Johnson	1.48	1	Sub, R1 (3:47)
11.	Aug '23	Khalil Rountree	Chris Daukaus	1.58	1	TKO, R1 (2:40)
12.	Aug '23	Diego Lopes	Gavin Tucker	1.63	1	Sub, R1 (1:38)
13.	Aug '23	Tanner Boser	Aleksa Camur	1.73	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Aug '23	Kyler Phillips	Raoni Barcelos	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Aug '23	Billy Quarantillo	Damon Jackson	1.63	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Aug '23	Sean Woodson	Dennis Buzukja	1.56	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jul '23	Norma Dumont	Chelsea Chandler	1.69	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jul '23	Viktoriya Dudakova	Istela Nunes	1.56	1	TKO, R1 (0:34)
19.	Jul '23	Nazim Sadykhov	Terrance McKinney	1.74	1	Sub, R2 (1:7)
20.	Jul '23	Dricus Du Plessis	Robert Whittaker	4.00	1	TKO, R2 (2:23)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '23	Andre Fialho	Tim Means	1.62	1	TKO, R3 (1:15)	No
2.	Sep '23	Rafael Fiziev	Mateusz Gamrot	1.67	1	TKO, R2 (2:3)	No
3.	Sep '23	Fernando Padilla	Kyle Nelson	1.42	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '23	Shane Young	Gabriel Miranda	1.74	1	Sub, R1 (0:59)	No
5.	Sep '23	Jack Jenkins	Jose Mariscal	1.50	1	TKO, R2 (3:19)	No
6.	Aug '23	Francis Marshall	Isaac Dulgarian	1.59	1	TKO, R1 (4:48)	No
7.	Aug '23	J.P. Buys	Marcus McGhee	4.00	1	TKO, R1 (2:19)	No
8.	Aug '23	Hakeem Dawodu	Cub Swanson	1.48	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Aug '23	Jessica Andrade	Tatiana Suarez	3.85	1	Sub, R2 (1:31)	No
10.	Aug '23	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Dustin Jacoby	1.64	1	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
11.	Aug '23	Jake Hadley	Cody Durden	1.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jul '23	Holly Holm	Mayra Bueno Silva	1.56	1	Sub, R2 (0:38)	No
13.	Jul '23	Albert Duraev	Jun Yong Park	2.35	1	Sub, R2 (4:45)	No
14.	Jul '23	Ottman Azaitar	Francisco Prado	1.86	1	TKO, R1 (4:5)	No
15.	Jul '23	Ashlee Evans-Smith	Ailin Perez	3.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '23	Tyson Nam	Azat Maksum	4.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '23	Carl Deaton	Alex Munoz	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jul '23	Genaro Valdez	Evan Elder	3.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jul '23	Austin Lingo	Melquizael Costa	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jul '23	Tucker Lutz	Melsik Bagdasaryan	2.27	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Kilo Graham: Progress Chart

Chart

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