MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: DK

DK (DanKwagers)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	115 (56%)	Right	74 (61%)	Right	27 (44%)	Right	14 (64%)
Wrong	89 (44%)	Wrong	47 (39%)	Wrong	34 (56%)	Wrong	8 (36%)
Avg Odds	1.82	Avg Odds	1.76	Avg Odds	1.94	Avg Odds	1.88
Units Bet	435.4	Units Bet	272.9	Units Bet	112.9	Units Bet	49.6
Avg Bet	2.13	Avg Bet	2.26	Avg Bet	1.85	Avg Bet	2.25
Units Profit	20.70	Units Profit	29.19	Units Profit	-16.79	Units Profit	8.30
ROI %	5%	ROI %	11%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	17%

DK : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	3	1.0	33%	1.0 / 3 (33%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	13.72	-1.1	-8%	3.3 / 5 (66%)	-4.5 / 4.45 (-100%)	0.0 / 4.27 (0%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5	-1.4	-28%	-1.4 / 5 (-28%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	7	-3.8	-54%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	10.05	1.4	14%	3.4 / 8.05 (42%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	4.3	-4.3	-100%	-4.3 / 4.3 (-100%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	7.9	4.8	60%	3.6 / 4.9 (73%)	1.2 / 3 (40%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	17.65	-3.7	-21%	-3.7 / 17.65 (-21%)
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	6.4	-2.0	-31%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	1.0 / 3.4 (29%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	18.5	-7.1	-38%	-3.1 / 14.5 (-21%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	2.5	1.5	59%	1.5 / 2.5 (59%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	3	1.7	57%	1.7 / 3 (57%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	13.5	-1.5	-11%	0.5 / 11.5 (5%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	3	3.4	114%	3.4 / 3 (114%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	10.5	2.4	23%	-0.9 / 5 (-19%)	1.6 / 3.5 (46%)	1.7 / 2 (86%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	11.5	6.5	56%	2.5 / 4.5 (56%)	6.0 / 5 (119%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	6	3.2	54%	1.1 / 3 (38%)	2.1 / 3 (70%)
5th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #7	5.15	-5.2	-100%	-5.2 / 5.15 (-100%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	11	-1.9	-18%	-1.9 / 11 (-18%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	13.9	4.0	29%	2.0 / 10.6 (19%)		2.0 / 3.3 (62%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	8	3.8	48%	2.3 / 6 (38%)	1.5 / 2 (77%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	9	5.8	65%	3.9 / 7 (55%)		2.0 / 2 (98%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	14.5	4.1	28%	3.3 / 5.5 (60%)	-0.2 / 7 (-3%)	1.1 / 2 (54%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	13.95	0.8	6%	3.3 / 11.45 (29%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
24th Jun '22	Bellator 282	3	2.0	67%	2.0 / 3 (67%)
24th Jun '22	PFL 2022 #5	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	9	0.8	8%	1.8 / 3 (59%)	2.0 / 3 (67%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	14	1.7	12%	3.9 / 7 (55%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	1.8 / 3 (60%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	24.5	4.3	18%	8.9 / 12.5 (71%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	3.4 / 4 (85%)
14th May '22	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	13	-6.1	-47%	-0.9 / 3.5 (-27%)	-3.1 / 7.5 (-42%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	7	6.6	94%	1.9 / 1 (190%)	2.5 / 4 (63%)	2.2 / 2 (108%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	14.2	5.1	36%	4.1 / 5 (81%)	1.0 / 9.2 (11%)
15th Apr '22	Bellator 277	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	12.25	-12.3	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-7.3 / 7.25 (-100%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	12	-0.0	-0%	0.1 / 8 (2%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.8 / 2 (92%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	7.6	-5.0	-66%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	10	2.0	20%	2.5 / 5 (50%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2.5 / 2 (125%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	29	5.6	19%	-1.5 / 18 (-8%)	5.7 / 8 (71%)	1.4 / 3 (47%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	9	7.1	78%	4.5 / 5 (89%)	1.4 / 2 (72%)	1.1 / 2 (57%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	3.2	1.0	31%	1.0 / 3.2 (31%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	15	2.5	17%	1.4 / 11 (13%)	1.1 / 4 (27%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	7.6	0.7	9%	2.3 / 4.1 (55%)	0.4 / 1.5 (27%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	10.5	2.5	24%	6.5 / 6.5 (100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	8.5	-3.3	-38%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)		2.2 / 3 (75%)

Winning Events: 27 (61%)
Losing Events: 17 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 29.00 units
Best Event: 7.05 units
Worst Event: -12.25 units
Average Event: 0.47 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 21.33
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -21.27

DK : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	21.72	-1.5	-7%	2.9 / 13 (22%)		0.0 / 4.27 (0%)	1 / 2 (33%)	-0.51
2022	413.65	22.2	5%	26.3 / 259.9 (10%)		8.3 / 45.3 (18%)	26 / 15 (63%)	0.54

DK : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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DK : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	420.22	30.8	7%	36.3 / 260.75 (14%)	-16.8 / 112.9 (-15%)	11.3 / 46.57 (24%)
Bellator	7	-2.0	-29%	-2.0 / 7 (-29%)
PFL	8.15	-8.2	-100%	-5.2 / 5.15 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

DK : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	29 (24%)	19	66 %	87.80	-10.78	-0.37	-12%
Slight Favorites	62 (50%)	41	66 %	145.10	27.54	0.44	19%
Slight Underdogs	22 (18%)	12	55 %	31.50	9.73	0.44	31%
Big Underdogs	10 (8%)	3	30 %	8.50	2.70	0.27	32%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	19 (15%)	10	53 %	44.60	-1.61	-0.08	-4%
Co-Main Event	12 (10%)	11	92 %	27.10	17.45	1.45	64%
Position 3-5	32 (26%)	21	66 %	78.75	12.96	0.40	16%
6+ (Undercard)	60 (49%)	33	55 %	122.45	0.40	0.01	0%

DK : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (7%)	4	50 %	14.50	5.63	0.70	39%
Light Heavy	17 (14%)	10	59 %	41.30	0.56	0.03	1%
Middleweight	21 (17%)	13	62 %	41.85	6.75	0.32	16%
Welterweight	12 (10%)	11	92 %	25.60	17.31	1.44	68%
Lightweight	22 (18%)	12	55 %	53.60	-3.93	-0.18	-7%
Featherweight	17 (14%)	7	41 %	40.75	-10.39	-0.61	-26%
Bantamweight	14 (11%)	10	71 %	36.70	5.16	0.37	14%
Flyweight	6 (5%)	5	83 %	10.60	6.72	1.12	63%

Women's Fights	6 (5%)	3	50 %	8.00	1.37	0.23	17%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	3.00	0.57	0.57	19%
Strawweight	3 (2%)	2	67 %	3.00	2.80	0.93	93%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	44 (88%)	35	80 %
Slight Favorites	6 (12%)	4	67 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	50	39	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (13%)	4	50 %
50-65%	29 (46%)	17	59 %
35-50%	18 (29%)	4	22 %
<35% chance	8 (13%)	3	38 %
	63	28	44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	19 (30%)	10	53 %	1.70	2.47	1.29	-2.2 (-12%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	15 (24%)	6	40 %	1.72	3.20	1.30	-5.1 (-34%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (10%)	4	67 %	1.74	2.35	1.45	1.1 (18%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (3%)	1	50 %	1.84	2.05	1.67	-0.3 (-17%)
X Wins by KO	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.30	2.30	2.30	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (6%)	1	25 %	4.08	11.00	2.65	-0.2 (-5%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (8%)	3	60 %	2.80	4.75	2.10	5.2 (105%)
X Wins Inside Distance	10 (16%)	3	30 %	2.12	3.15	1.72	-3.9 (-39%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	-1.0 (-100%)
	63	28	44 %	1.91			-7.5 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail DK 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	8.5	-3.3	-38%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$967.37
22nd Jan	UFC 270	10.5	2.5	24%		$9.67	$967.37	$991.69
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	7.6	0.7	9%		$9.92	$991.69	$998.37
12th Feb	UFC 271	15	2.5	17%		$9.98	$998.37	$1,023.49
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	3.2	1.0	31%		$10.23	$1,023.49	$1,033.73
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	9	7.1	78%		$10.34	$1,033.73	$1,106.64
5th Mar	UFC 272	29	5.6	19%		$11.07	$1,106.64	$1,168.58
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	10	2.0	20%		$11.69	$1,168.58	$1,191.64
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	7.6	-5.0	-66%		$11.92	$1,191.64	$1,132.06
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	12	-0.0	-0%		$11.32	$1,132.06	$1,131.78
9th Apr	UFC 273	12.25	-12.3	-100%		$11.32	$1,131.78	$993.13
15th Apr	Bellator 277	4	-4.0	-100%		$9.93	$993.13	$953.41
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	14.2	5.1	36%		$9.53	$953.41	$1,002.11
7th May	UFC 274	7	6.6	94%		$10.02	$1,002.11	$1,068.01
14th May	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	13	-6.1	-47%		$10.68	$1,068.01	$1,003.24
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	24.5	4.3	18%		$10.03	$1,003.24	$1,046.41
11th Jun	UFC 275	14	1.7	12%		$10.46	$1,046.41	$1,063.93
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	9	0.8	8%		$10.64	$1,063.93	$1,072.06
24th Jun	Bellator 282	3	2.0	67%		$10.72	$1,072.06	$1,093.50
24th Jun	PFL 2022 #5	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.94	$1,093.50	$1,060.70
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	13.95	0.8	6%		$10.61	$1,060.70	$1,069.45
2nd Jul	UFC 276	14.5	4.1	28%		$10.69	$1,069.45	$1,113.55
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	9	5.8	65%		$11.14	$1,113.55	$1,178.41
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	8	3.8	48%		$11.78	$1,178.41	$1,223.53
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	13.9	4.0	29%		$12.24	$1,223.53	$1,272.81
30th Jul	UFC 277	11	-1.9	-18%		$12.73	$1,272.81	$1,248.02
5th Aug	PFL 2022 #7	5.15	-5.2	-100%		$12.48	$1,248.02	$1,183.75
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	6	3.2	54%		$11.84	$1,183.75	$1,222.16
20th Aug	UFC 278	11.5	6.5	56%		$12.22	$1,222.16	$1,301.35
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	10.5	2.4	23%		$13.01	$1,301.35	$1,332.73
10th Sep	UFC 279	3	3.4	114%		$13.33	$1,332.73	$1,378.44
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	13.5	-1.5	-11%		$13.78	$1,378.44	$1,358.34
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	3	1.7	57%		$13.58	$1,358.34	$1,381.63
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	2.5	1.5	59%		$13.82	$1,381.63	$1,401.99
22nd Oct	UFC 280	18.5	-7.1	-38%		$14.02	$1,401.99	$1,302.62
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	6.4	-2.0	-31%		$13.03	$1,302.62	$1,276.57
12th Nov	UFC 281	17.65	-3.7	-21%		$12.77	$1,276.57	$1,229.45
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	7.9	4.8	60%		$12.29	$1,229.45	$1,288.08
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	4.3	-4.3	-100%		$12.88	$1,288.08	$1,232.69
10th Dec	UFC 282	10.05	1.4	14%		$12.33	$1,232.69	$1,249.50
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	7	-3.8	-54%		$12.49	$1,249.50	$1,201.99
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5	-1.4	-28%		$12.02	$1,201.99	$1,185.16
21st Jan	UFC 283	13.72	-1.1	-8%		$11.85	$1,185.16	$1,171.74
11th Feb	UFC 284	3	1.0	33%		$11.72	$1,171.74	$1,183.46

ROI % from starting bank balance: 18.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

DK : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '23	Johnny Walker	Paul Craig	1.53	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:16)
2.	Feb '23	Jack Della Maddalena	Randy Brown	1.33	3	Sub, R1 (2:13)
3.	Jan '23	Jamahal Hill	Glover Teixeira	1.80	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Jan '23	Dan Ige	Damon Jackson	1.80	2	TKO, R2 (4:13)
5.	Dec '22	Ilia Topuria	Bryce Mitchell	1.74	4.05	Sub, R2 (3:10)
6.	Dec '22	Raul Rosas Jr	Jay Perrin	1.45	3	Sub, R1 (2:44)
7.	Nov '22	Brady Hiestand	Fernando Garcia	1.61	1.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '22	Muslim Salikhov	Andre Fialho	1.96	1.6	TKO, R3 (1:3)
9.	Nov '22	Charles Johnson	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	1.63	1.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '22	Carlos Ulberg	Nick Negumereanu	1.80	4	TKO, R1 (3:44)
11.	Nov '22	Daniel Hooker	Claudio Puelles	1.69	4	TKO, R2 (4:6)
12.	Oct '22	Islam Makhachev	Charles Oliveira	1.59	2	Sub, R2 (3:16)
13.	Oct '22	Belal Muhammad	Sean Brady	2.20	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:47)
14.	Oct '22	Mana Martinez	Brandon Davis	1.68	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Oct '22	Dusko Todorovic	Jordan Wright	1.53	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:12)
16.	Oct '22	Mike Davis	Viacheslav Borshchev	1.57	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '22	Gregory Rodrigues	Chidi Njokuani	2.15	1	TKO, R2 (1:27)
18.	Sep '22	Andre Fili	Bill Algeo	1.85	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Sep '22	Gregory Rodrigues	Chidi Njokuani	2.15	1	TKO, R2 (1:27)
20.	Sep '22	Cory Sandhagen	Yadong Song	1.55	2	TKO, R4 (5:0)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '23	Punahele Soriano	Roman Kopylov	1.71	3	TKO, R2 (3:19)	No
2.	Dec '22	David Dvorak	Manel Kape	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '22	Sean Strickland	Jared Cannonier	1.95	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '22	Darren Till	Dricus Du Plessis	2.60	1	Sub, R3 (2:43)	No
5.	Dec '22	Scott Holtzman	Clay Guida	1.63	1.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '22	Kyle Daukaus	Eryk Anders	1.47	2.2	TKO, R2 (2:45)	No
7.	Dec '22	Tai Tuivasa	Sergey Pavlovich	2.75	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:54)	No
8.	Nov '22	Seung Woo Choi	Mike Trizano	1.60	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:51)	No
9.	Nov '22	Brad Riddell	Renato Moicano	2.15	1	Sub, R1 (3:20)	No
10.	Nov '22	Dominick Reyes	Ryan Spann	1.48	3.15	TKO, R1 (1:20)	No
11.	Nov '22	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira	1.61	1	TKO, R5 (2:1)	No
12.	Nov '22	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira	1.53	3	TKO, R5 (2:1)	No
13.	Oct '22	Josh Fremd	Tresean Gore	1.69	3	Sub, R2 (0:49)	No
14.	Oct '22	Petr Yan	Sean O'Malley	1.40	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '22	Mateusz Gamrot	Beneil Dariush	1.56	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Sep '22	Pat Sabatini	Damon Jackson	1.56	2	TKO, R1 (1:9)	No
17.	Sep '22	Daniel Zellhuber	Trey Ogden	1.36	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Sep '22	Charles Jourdain	Nathaniel Wood	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Sep '22	John Makdessi	Nasrat Haqparast	3.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '22	Leonardo Santos	Jared Gordon	3.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

DK : Progress Chart

Chart

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