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MMA Handicapper Stats: Garys Picks

Garys Picks (GarysMMABets)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Garys Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 80 (56%) Right 33 (52%) Right 34 (57%) Right 13 (68%)
Wrong 62 (44%) Wrong 30 (48%) Wrong 26 (43%) Wrong 6 (32%)
Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.68
Units Bet 214.8 Units Bet 93.7 Units Bet 84.1 Units Bet 37.0
Avg Bet 1.51 Avg Bet 1.49 Avg Bet 1.40 Avg Bet 1.95
Units Profit 18.81 Units Profit 3.80 Units Profit 6.44 Units Profit 8.57
ROI % 9% ROI % 4% ROI % 8% ROI % 23%
View Handicapper's Profile

Garys Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 9.8 -3.5 -36% -0.1 / 3 (-3%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 1.1 / 2.3 (46%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 8.5 -6.0 -71% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 5.5 (-55%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 2.8 2.2 78% 2.2 / 2.8 (78%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 2 0.5 25% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 6.5 1.8 27% 0.1 / 2 (7%) 1.0 / 3 (33%) 0.6 / 1.5 (42%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 4.5 -2.2 -49% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.2 / 3.5 (-34%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 8.1 2.9 36% 2.1 / 3.5 (59%) 0.9 / 4.6 (19%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 7.8 -3.7 -47% -2.0 / 4.3 (-46%) 0.8 / 1 (80%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 7.9 1.2 15% 1.2 / 2 (62%) 1.2 / 4.6 (27%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 3.3 2.9 89% 1.0 / 1.3 (74%) 2.0 / 2 (98%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 3.5 -3.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 2.3 -0.1 -2% 0.9 / 1.3 (73%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 3.3 -1.0 -31% -0.0 / 2.3 (-1%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 5.5 4.1 75% 3.1 / 3.5 (90%) 1.0 / 2 (50%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 4.3 3.4 79% 3.4 / 4.3 (79%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3.4 -1.8 -52% -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) 0.5 / 1.1 (48%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 4.8 2.1 43% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%) 1.1 / 3.3 (32%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 7.3 -1.5 -20% 0.0 / 5.8 (0%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 5 3.3 67% 1.1 / 2 (57%) 1.2 / 1 (120%) 1.0 / 2 (50%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 9.1 -1.0 -11% 3.5 / 4.6 (76%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 4.3 1.2 27% 0.1 / 2 (7%) 1.0 / 2.3 (44%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 4.3 2.5 58% 1.5 / 3.3 (47%) 1.0 / 1 (95%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 6.6 3.3 51% -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) 3.9 / 6 (66%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4 1.6 40% 1.6 / 4 (40%)
28th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #2 1.3 1.0 79% 1.0 / 1.3 (79%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 10.5 -2.6 -25% -3.7 / 6.2 (-60%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.1 / 3.3 (64%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 4.9 -4.9 -100% -4.6 / 4.6 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 6.1 -1.5 -24% 0.0 / 2.3 (0%) -1.5 / 3.8 (-38%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 14.6 3.2 22% -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) 3.9 / 4.8 (81%) 1.6 / 7.5 (22%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 9 4.3 48% 1.0 / 4 (24%) 2.2 / 3 (73%) 1.2 / 2 (58%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 7.3 4.5 62% 1.2 / 2 (59%) 2.3 / 3.8 (60%) 1.1 / 1.5 (71%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 5.5 3.1 57% 3.1 / 3.5 (89%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (101%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 5.5 2.5 46% 2.1 / 3.5 (61%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.9 / 1.5 (61%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 8.5 0.9 11% -2.1 / 4.5 (-46%) 1.7 / 2.5 (69%) 1.3 / 1.5 (85%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 5 -0.2 -4% 1.8 / 3 (61%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jan '22 Bellator 273 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 7 1.5 22% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.5 / 6 (42%)


Winning Events: 22 (59%)
Losing Events: 15 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.84 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.60 units
Best Event: 4.52 units
Worst Event: -6.03 units
Average Event: 0.51 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 18.62
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.57

Garys Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 216.1 18.8 9% 3.8 / 93.7 (4%) 8.6 / 37 (23%) 22 / 15 (59%) 0.51

Garys Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Garys Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 212.8 19.8 9% 4.8 / 92.7 (5%) 6.4 / 85.4 (8%) 8.5 / 34.7 (25%)
Bellator 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
PFL 1.3 1.0 79% 1.0 / 1.3 (79%)

Garys Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (5%) 2 67 % 6.30 0.02 0.01 0%
Slight Favorites 34 (54%) 20 59 % 60.80 1.32 0.04 2%
Slight Underdogs 21 (33%) 10 48 % 22.10 4.05 0.19 18%
Big Underdogs 5 (8%) 1 20 % 4.50 -1.59 -0.32 -35%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (6%) 2 50 % 4.00 0.34 0.09 9%
Co-Main Event 6 (10%) 3 50 % 7.60 0.40 0.07 5%
Position 3-5 23 (37%) 13 57 % 39.40 2.17 0.09 6%
6+ (Undercard) 30 (48%) 15 50 % 42.70 0.89 0.03 2%

Garys Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (6%) 0 % 5.80 -5.80 -1.45 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (3%) 2 100 % 2.80 2.00 1.00 72%
Middleweight 11 (17%) 7 64 % 14.30 3.99 0.36 28%
Welterweight 7 (11%) 5 71 % 10.90 2.77 0.40 25%
Lightweight 10 (16%) 5 50 % 17.70 0.51 0.05 3%
Featherweight 8 (13%) 5 63 % 14.60 3.92 0.49 27%
Bantamweight 12 (19%) 4 33 % 14.10 -4.77 -0.40 -34%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 8 (13%) 5 63 % 11.50 3.18 0.40 28%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 3.00 0.24 0.12 8%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 3.90 2.45 0.82 63%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 4.60 0.49 0.16 11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 37 (100%) 30 81 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
37 30 81 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 14 (21%) 11 79 %
50-65% 29 (44%) 19 66 %
35-50% 15 (23%) 6 40 %
<35% chance 8 (12%) 2 25 %
66 38 58 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (11%) 3 43 % 1.50 1.80Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -1.7 (-24%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 14 (21%) 9 64 % 1.59 1.77Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 0.3 (2%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (5%) 3 100 % 1.45 1.59Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 1.4 (46%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 3 (5%) 2 67 % 1.53 1.63Pick was correct 1.42Pick was incorrect 0.0 (1%)
X Wins by KO 10 (15%) 4 40 % 2.30 5.75Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -1.7 (-17%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (8%) 2 40 % 3.09 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.6 (32%)
X Wins by Decision 7 (11%) 5 71 % 2.26 3.25Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 4.5 (65%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (9%) 3 50 % 1.87 2.30Pick was incorrect 1.54Pick was incorrect -0.4 (-6%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (8%) 2 40 % 3.29 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -1.2 (-25%)
Others 6 (9%) 5 83 % 1.60 1.83Pick was correct 1.48Pick was correct 2.0 (33%)
66 38 58 % 1.88     4.9 (7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Garys Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Jan UFC 270 7 1.5 22% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,015.13
29th Jan Bellator 273 2 -2.0 -100% $10.15 $1,015.13 $994.82
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 5 -0.2 -4% $9.95 $994.82 $993.03
12th Feb UFC 271 8.5 0.9 11% $9.93 $993.03 $1,002.29
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 5.5 2.5 46% $10.02 $1,002.29 $1,027.79
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 5.5 3.1 57% $10.28 $1,027.79 $1,059.77
5th Mar UFC 272 7.3 4.5 62% $10.60 $1,059.77 $1,107.67
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 9 4.3 48% $11.08 $1,107.67 $1,155.29
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 14.6 3.2 22% $11.55 $1,155.29 $1,192.46
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 6.1 -1.5 -24% $11.92 $1,192.46 $1,175.05
9th Apr UFC 273 4.9 -4.9 -100% $11.75 $1,175.05 $1,117.48
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 10.5 -2.6 -25% $11.17 $1,117.48 $1,088.46
28th Apr PFL 2022 #2 1.3 1.0 79% $10.88 $1,088.46 $1,099.68
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4 1.6 40% $11.00 $1,099.68 $1,117.43
7th May UFC 274 6.6 3.3 51% $11.17 $1,117.43 $1,154.68
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 4.3 2.5 58% $11.55 $1,154.68 $1,183.46
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 4.3 1.2 27% $11.83 $1,183.46 $1,197.14
11th Jun UFC 275 9.1 -1.0 -11% $11.97 $1,197.14 $1,185.39
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 5 3.3 67% $11.85 $1,185.39 $1,225.10
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 7.3 -1.5 -20% $12.25 $1,225.10 $1,206.99
2nd Jul UFC 276 4.8 2.1 43% $12.07 $1,206.99 $1,231.85
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3.4 -1.8 -52% $12.32 $1,231.85 $1,209.98
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 4.3 3.4 79% $12.10 $1,209.98 $1,250.88
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 5.5 4.1 75% $12.51 $1,250.88 $1,302.60
30th Jul UFC 277 3.3 -1.0 -31% $13.03 $1,302.60 $1,289.18
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 2.3 -0.1 -2% $12.89 $1,289.18 $1,288.52
20th Aug UFC 278 3.5 -3.5 -100% $12.89 $1,288.52 $1,243.43
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 3.3 2.9 89% $12.43 $1,243.43 $1,279.87
10th Sep UFC 279 7.9 1.2 15% $12.80 $1,279.87 $1,294.74
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 7.8 -3.7 -47% $12.95 $1,294.74 $1,247.35
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 8.1 2.9 36% $12.47 $1,247.35 $1,283.96
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 4.5 -2.2 -49% $12.84 $1,283.96 $1,255.72
22nd Oct UFC 280 6.5 1.8 27% $12.56 $1,255.72 $1,278.11
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 2 0.5 25% $12.78 $1,278.11 $1,284.50
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 2.8 2.2 78% $12.85 $1,284.50 $1,312.69
12th Nov UFC 281 8.5 -6.0 -71% $13.13 $1,312.69 $1,233.51
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 9.8 -3.5 -36% $12.34 $1,233.51 $1,189.89


ROI % from starting bank balance: 18.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Garys Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '22 Eryk Anders Kyle Daukaus 2.91 1 TKO, R2 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '22 Belal Muhammad Sean Brady 2.15 1 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Mike Davis Viacheslav Borshchev 1.59 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '22 Andre Fili Bill Algeo 1.80 1.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '22 Irene Aldana Macy Chiasson 1.62 2 TKO, R3 (2:21) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Juliana Miller Brogan Walker 1.73 1.3 TKO, R3 (3:57) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Nick Negumereanu Ihor Potieria 1.75 1.3 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Volkan Oezdemir Paul Craig 1.69 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Yair Rodriguez Brian Ortega 2.38 1 TKO, R1 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain 1.61 3.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Dricus Du Plessis Brad Tavares 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '22 Thiago Moises Christos Giagos 1.44 2.3 Sub, R1 (3:5) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '22 Sergey Morozov Raulian Paiva 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '22 Damir Ismagulov Guram Kutateladze 1.57 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '22 Weili Zhang Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.62 1.6 TKO, R2 (2:28) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Jack Della Maddalena Ramazan Emeev 1.66 2 TKO, R1 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Jake Matthews Andre Fialho 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (2:24) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '22 Michel Pereira Santiago Ponzinibbio 1.80 1.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '22 Sam Hughes Elise Reed 2.50 1 TKO, R3 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '22 Jack Hermansson Roman Dolidze 1.57 2 TKO, R2 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '22 Seung Woo Choi Mike Trizano 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '22 Brad Riddell Renato Moicano 2.03 1 Sub, R1 (3:20) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '22 Andrei Arlovski Marcos Rogerio de Lima 3.05 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '22 T.J. Dillashaw Aljamain Sterling 2.55 1 TKO, R2 (3:44) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '22 Cub Swanson Jonathan Martinez 2.79 1 TKO, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '22 Tanner Boser Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1.58 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Jose Aldo Merab Dvalishvili 2.24 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Julianna Pena Amanda Nunes 3.15 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Rafael dos Anjos Rafael Fiziev 2.80 1 TKO, R5 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Ronnie Lawrence Saidyokub Kakhramonov 1.73 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '22 J.P. Buys Cody Durden 1.81 2 TKO, R1 (1:8) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '22 Eryk Anders Jun Yong Park 2.90 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '22 Melissa Gatto Tracy Cortez 2.21 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '22 Tristan Connelly Darren Elkins 2.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '22 Trey Ogden Jordan Leavitt 1.70 1.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '22 Kevin Croom Heili Alateng 2.50 1 TKO, R1 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '22 Jesse Ronson Rafa Garcia 1.91 2.3 Sub, R2 (4:50) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '22 Vinc Pichel Mark O. Madsen 1.80 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '22 Jared Vanderaa Aleksei Oleinik 1.85 1.3 Sub, R1 (3:39) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Garys Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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