|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Garys Picks |
|
Garys Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 37 (58%) Losing Events: 27 (42%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.04 units Most Staked On One Event: 14.60 units Best Event: 4.54 units Worst Event: -6.03 units Average Event: 0.35 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 18.62 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -9.57 |
Garys Picks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
97.77 |
1.4 |
1% |
-3.6 / 46.25 (-8%) |
|
9.6 / 19.72 (48%) |
13 / 12 (52%) |
0.06 |
2022 |
224.92 |
21.2 |
9% |
5.2 / 101.22 (5%) |
|
9.6 / 38.3 (25%) |
24 / 15 (62%) |
0.54 |
|
Garys Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Garys Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
319.39 |
23.6 |
7% |
2.5 / 146.47 (2%) |
1.9 / 117.2 (2%) |
19.1 / 55.72 (34%) |
Bellator |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
PFL |
1.3 |
1.0 |
79% |
|
|
1.0 / 1.3 (79%) |
|
Garys Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
9 (9%) |
5 |
56 % |
20.65 |
-5.19 |
-0.58 |
-25% |
Slight Favorites |
53 (55%) |
33 |
62 % |
91.72 |
5.22 |
0.10 |
6% |
Slight Underdogs |
28 (29%) |
13 |
46 % |
29.10 |
4.59 |
0.16 |
16% |
Big Underdogs |
7 (7%) |
1 |
14 % |
6.00 |
-3.09 |
-0.44 |
-51% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
5 (5%) |
2 |
40 % |
7.00 |
-2.66 |
-0.53 |
-38% |
Co-Main Event |
13 (13%) |
8 |
62 % |
16.70 |
4.51 |
0.35 |
27% |
Position 3-5 |
32 (33%) |
18 |
56 % |
54.40 |
1.62 |
0.05 |
3% |
6+ (Undercard) |
47 (48%) |
24 |
51 % |
69.37 |
-1.95 |
-0.04 |
-3% |
|
Garys Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (6%) |
|
0 % |
8.80 |
-8.80 |
-1.47 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
3 (3%) |
3 |
100 % |
4.30 |
3.41 |
1.14 |
79% |
Middleweight |
12 (12%) |
8 |
67 % |
16.30 |
5.10 |
0.43 |
31% |
Welterweight |
13 (13%) |
8 |
62 % |
19.42 |
2.46 |
0.19 |
13% |
Lightweight |
18 (19%) |
9 |
50 % |
31.05 |
-0.79 |
-0.04 |
-3% |
Featherweight |
15 (15%) |
10 |
67 % |
26.20 |
6.02 |
0.40 |
23% |
Bantamweight |
16 (16%) |
7 |
44 % |
20.60 |
-4.10 |
-0.26 |
-20% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
7.00 |
-4.95 |
-1.24 |
-71% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
10 (10%) |
6 |
60 % |
13.80 |
3.18 |
0.32 |
23% |
Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.00 |
0.24 |
0.12 |
8% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.90 |
1.45 |
0.36 |
30% |
Strawweight |
4 (4%) |
3 |
75 % |
5.90 |
1.49 |
0.37 |
25% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
57 (100%) |
49 |
86 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
57 |
49 |
86 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
25 (25%) |
21 |
84 % |
50-65% |
42 (42%) |
24 |
57 % |
35-50% |
22 (22%) |
9 |
41 % |
<35% chance |
11 (11%) |
2 |
18 % |
|
100 |
56 |
56 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Garys Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
7 |
1.5 |
22% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,015.13 |
29th Jan |
Bellator 273 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,015.13 |
$994.82 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
5 |
-0.2 |
-4% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.82 |
$993.03 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
8.5 |
0.9 |
11% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.03 |
$1,002.29 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
5.5 |
2.5 |
46% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,002.29 |
$1,027.79 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
5.5 |
3.1 |
57% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,027.79 |
$1,059.77 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
7.3 |
4.5 |
62% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,059.77 |
$1,107.67 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
9 |
4.3 |
48% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,107.67 |
$1,155.29 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
14.6 |
3.2 |
22% |
|
$11.55 |
$1,155.29 |
$1,192.46 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
6.1 |
-1.5 |
-24% |
|
$11.92 |
$1,192.46 |
$1,175.05 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
4.9 |
-4.9 |
-100% |
|
$11.75 |
$1,175.05 |
$1,117.48 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
10.5 |
-2.6 |
-25% |
|
$11.17 |
$1,117.48 |
$1,088.46 |
28th Apr |
PFL 2022 #2 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
79% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,088.46 |
$1,099.68 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
4 |
1.6 |
40% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,099.68 |
$1,117.43 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
6.6 |
3.3 |
51% |
|
$11.17 |
$1,117.43 |
$1,154.68 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
4.3 |
2.5 |
58% |
|
$11.55 |
$1,154.68 |
$1,183.46 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
4.3 |
1.2 |
27% |
|
$11.83 |
$1,183.46 |
$1,197.14 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
9.1 |
-1.0 |
-11% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,197.14 |
$1,185.39 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
5 |
3.3 |
67% |
|
$11.85 |
$1,185.39 |
$1,225.10 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
7.3 |
-1.5 |
-20% |
|
$12.25 |
$1,225.10 |
$1,206.99 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
4.8 |
2.1 |
43% |
|
$12.07 |
$1,206.99 |
$1,231.85 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
3.4 |
-1.8 |
-52% |
|
$12.32 |
$1,231.85 |
$1,209.98 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
4.3 |
3.4 |
79% |
|
$12.10 |
$1,209.98 |
$1,250.88 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
5.5 |
4.1 |
75% |
|
$12.51 |
$1,250.88 |
$1,302.60 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
3.3 |
-1.0 |
-31% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,302.60 |
$1,289.18 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
2.3 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,289.18 |
$1,288.52 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,288.52 |
$1,243.43 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
3.3 |
2.9 |
89% |
|
$12.43 |
$1,243.43 |
$1,279.87 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
7.9 |
1.2 |
15% |
|
$12.80 |
$1,279.87 |
$1,294.74 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
7.8 |
-3.7 |
-47% |
|
$12.95 |
$1,294.74 |
$1,247.35 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
8.1 |
2.9 |
36% |
|
$12.47 |
$1,247.35 |
$1,283.96 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
4.5 |
-2.2 |
-49% |
|
$12.84 |
$1,283.96 |
$1,255.72 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
6.5 |
1.8 |
27% |
|
$12.56 |
$1,255.72 |
$1,278.11 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
2 |
0.5 |
25% |
|
$12.78 |
$1,278.11 |
$1,284.50 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
2.8 |
2.2 |
78% |
|
$12.85 |
$1,284.50 |
$1,312.69 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
8.5 |
-6.0 |
-71% |
|
$13.13 |
$1,312.69 |
$1,233.51 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
9.8 |
-3.5 |
-36% |
|
$12.34 |
$1,233.51 |
$1,189.89 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
4 |
2.4 |
59% |
|
$11.90 |
$1,189.89 |
$1,217.99 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
4.82 |
0.0 |
1% |
|
$12.18 |
$1,217.99 |
$1,218.49 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
5.2 |
4.1 |
78% |
|
$12.18 |
$1,218.49 |
$1,267.86 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
4.6 |
-2.1 |
-45% |
|
$12.68 |
$1,267.86 |
$1,241.37 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
2.6 |
-2.6 |
-100% |
|
$12.41 |
$1,241.37 |
$1,209.09 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
4.8 |
0.8 |
17% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,209.09 |
$1,219.10 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.19 |
$1,219.10 |
$1,194.72 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
4.52 |
-2.5 |
-56% |
|
$11.95 |
$1,194.72 |
$1,164.26 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
3.05 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,164.26 |
$1,164.26 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
5 |
-1.9 |
-38% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,164.26 |
$1,142.26 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
5.5 |
-2.4 |
-43% |
|
$11.42 |
$1,142.26 |
$1,115.04 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
5 |
1.6 |
32% |
|
$11.15 |
$1,115.04 |
$1,132.74 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
2.3 |
2.8 |
120% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,132.74 |
$1,164.12 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
4 |
0.9 |
23% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,164.12 |
$1,175.01 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
2.3 |
-2.3 |
-100% |
|
$11.75 |
$1,175.01 |
$1,147.98 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
3 |
-1.2 |
-41% |
|
$11.48 |
$1,147.98 |
$1,133.85 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
2.5 |
2.1 |
82% |
|
$11.34 |
$1,133.85 |
$1,157.10 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
2 |
2.2 |
111% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,157.10 |
$1,182.78 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
1.5 |
1.4 |
94% |
|
$11.83 |
$1,182.78 |
$1,199.52 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
9.6 |
-1.2 |
-13% |
|
$12.00 |
$1,199.52 |
$1,185.02 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
3 |
1.7 |
55% |
|
$11.85 |
$1,185.02 |
$1,204.63 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
39% |
|
$12.05 |
$1,204.63 |
$1,222.56 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
2.5 |
1.1 |
43% |
|
$12.23 |
$1,222.56 |
$1,235.75 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
4.7 |
4.5 |
97% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,235.75 |
$1,291.89 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
7.2 |
-0.9 |
-13% |
|
$12.92 |
$1,291.89 |
$1,279.96 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
5.1 |
-2.1 |
-41% |
|
$12.80 |
$1,279.96 |
$1,253.47 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.53 |
$1,253.47 |
$1,228.40 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 22.84% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Garys Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '23 |
Chase Hooper |
Jordan Leavitt |
1.52 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:58) |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Jared Gordon |
Mark O. Madsen |
1.53 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
|
|
3. |
Oct '23 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.75 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Sep '23 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Kevin Holland |
1.72 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Sep '23 |
Jose Mariscal |
Jack Jenkins |
2.72 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:19) |
|
|
6. |
Jul '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.93 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Jul '23 |
Francisco Prado |
Ottman Azaitar |
1.94 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:5) |
|
|
8. |
Jun '23 |
Carlos Hernandez |
Denys Bondar |
2.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Jun '23 |
John Castaneda |
Muin Gafurov |
1.77 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Apr '23 |
Gillian Robertson |
Piera Rodriguez |
1.77 |
1.3 |
Sub, R2 (4:21) |
|
|
11. |
Apr '23 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Chris Gutierrez |
2.77 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '23 |
Christian Duncan |
Dusko Todorovic |
1.56 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:52) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '23 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Esteban Ribovics |
1.49 |
2.05 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Feb '23 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Josh Emmett |
1.54 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
|
|
15. |
Jan '23 |
Dan Ige |
Damon Jackson |
1.77 |
1.3 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
|
|
16. |
Jan '23 |
Dan Ige |
Damon Jackson |
1.81 |
1.3 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
|
|
17. |
Dec '22 |
Rinat Fakhretdinov |
Bryan Battle |
1.66 |
1.52 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Dec '22 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Alexander Hernandez |
1.63 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:30) |
|
|
19. |
Dec '22 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Alex Morono |
1.56 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:29) |
|
|
20. |
Dec '22 |
Eryk Anders |
Kyle Daukaus |
2.91 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:45) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '23 |
Bobby Green |
Jalin Turner |
2.43 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Jake Matthews |
Michael Morales |
3.85 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Charles Johnson |
Rafael Estevam |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Matt Frevola |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.95 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Pat Sabatini |
Diego Lopes |
1.83 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '23 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Derrick Lewis |
1.61 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jul '23 |
Matt Semelsberger |
Uros Medic |
1.54 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:36) |
No |
|
|
8. |
May '23 |
Drew Dober |
Matt Frevola |
1.47 |
2.3 |
TKO, R1 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '23 |
Jake Collier |
Martin Buday |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '23 |
Omar Morales |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.84 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '23 |
Petr Yan |
Merab Dvalishvili |
1.40 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '23 |
Viviane Araujo |
Amanda Ribas |
1.91 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Feb '23 |
Charles Johnson |
Ode Osbourne |
1.51 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jan '23 |
Mounir Lazzez |
Gabriel Bonfim |
2.40 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (0:49) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Dec '22 |
Julian Erosa |
Alex Caceres |
1.63 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:4) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '22 |
Jack Hermansson |
Roman Dolidze |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Nov '22 |
Seung Woo Choi |
Mike Trizano |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Nov '22 |
Brad Riddell |
Renato Moicano |
2.03 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:20) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '22 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
3.05 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '22 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.55 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:44) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Garys Picks: Progress Chart |
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