| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: Paisano Cowboy |
|
|
Paisano Cowboy: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 28 (44%)
Losing Events: 35 (56%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.14 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.00 units
Best Event: 14.50 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: 0.31 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 34.84
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -13.28 |
Paisano Cowboy: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
54.5 |
10.4 |
19% |
11.4 / 53.5 (21%) |
|
|
3 / 3 (50%) |
1.73 |
| 2022 |
453 |
7.8 |
2% |
-17.3 / 344.25 (-5%) |
|
-0.3 / 3 (-8%) |
24 / 32 (43%) |
0.14 |
| 2021 |
5.25 |
1.6 |
30% |
1.6 / 5.25 (30%) |
|
|
1 / (100%) |
1.60 |
|
Paisano Cowboy: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Paisano Cowboy: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
360.5 |
3.8 |
1% |
-1.1 / 289.5 (-0%) |
5.1 / 68 (8%) |
-0.3 / 3 (-8%) |
|
Bellator |
23 |
-6.8 |
-30% |
-5.8 / 22 (-27%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
PFL |
14.5 |
-11.0 |
-76% |
-9.5 / 13 (-73%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
| Other |
114.75 |
33.8 |
29% |
12.1 / 78.5 (15%) |
21.7 / 36.25 (60%) |
|
|
Paisano Cowboy: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
4 (2%) |
2 |
50 % |
15.00 |
-4.48 |
-1.12 |
-30% |
| Slight Favorites |
60 (36%) |
36 |
60 % |
164.50 |
22.91 |
0.38 |
14% |
| Slight Underdogs |
77 (46%) |
28 |
36 % |
172.00 |
-26.91 |
-0.35 |
-16% |
| Big Underdogs |
28 (17%) |
8 |
29 % |
51.50 |
4.15 |
0.15 |
8% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
16 (9%) |
9 |
56 % |
44.00 |
9.78 |
0.61 |
22% |
| Co-Main Event |
20 (12%) |
7 |
35 % |
55.50 |
-13.97 |
-0.70 |
-25% |
| Position 3-5 |
62 (37%) |
26 |
42 % |
152.00 |
3.09 |
0.05 |
2% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
71 (42%) |
32 |
45 % |
151.50 |
-3.23 |
-0.05 |
-2% |
|
Paisano Cowboy: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
9 (5%) |
4 |
44 % |
20.00 |
0.82 |
0.09 |
4% |
| Light Heavy |
12 (7%) |
5 |
42 % |
28.50 |
-1.82 |
-0.15 |
-6% |
| Middleweight |
21 (12%) |
8 |
38 % |
43.00 |
-0.74 |
-0.04 |
-2% |
| Welterweight |
21 (12%) |
12 |
57 % |
53.50 |
4.72 |
0.22 |
9% |
| Lightweight |
24 (14%) |
10 |
42 % |
62.00 |
-0.89 |
-0.04 |
-1% |
| Featherweight |
22 (13%) |
11 |
50 % |
48.50 |
-0.18 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
| Bantamweight |
20 (12%) |
9 |
45 % |
49.75 |
5.44 |
0.27 |
11% |
| Flyweight |
14 (8%) |
7 |
50 % |
46.00 |
1.55 |
0.11 |
3% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
26 (15%) |
8 |
31 % |
51.75 |
-13.23 |
-0.51 |
-26% |
| Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
3 (2%) |
1 |
33 % |
8.00 |
-5.15 |
-1.72 |
-64% |
| Flyweight |
4 (2%) |
1 |
25 % |
7.00 |
-2.70 |
-0.68 |
-39% |
| Strawweight |
18 (11%) |
6 |
33 % |
35.75 |
-4.38 |
-0.24 |
-12% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
19 (18%) |
11 |
58 % |
| 35-50% |
17 (16%) |
6 |
35 % |
| <35% chance |
66 (63%) |
14 |
21 % |
|
104 |
33 |
32 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Paisano Cowboy's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 18th Dec |
UFC FN |
5.25 |
1.6 |
30% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,016.00 |
| 15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
14.5 |
8.4 |
58% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,016.00 |
$1,101.45 |
| 22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
18.5 |
10.3 |
56% |
|
$11.01 |
$1,101.45 |
$1,215.01 |
| 5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
17.75 |
5.3 |
30% |
|
$12.15 |
$1,215.01 |
$1,279.44 |
| 12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
11.25 |
9.2 |
82% |
|
$12.79 |
$1,279.44 |
$1,397.33 |
| 19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
12 |
-4.2 |
-35% |
|
$13.97 |
$1,397.33 |
$1,338.64 |
| 25th Feb |
Bellator 275 |
3 |
1.6 |
54% |
|
$13.39 |
$1,338.64 |
$1,360.35 |
| 26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
8 |
0.3 |
3% |
|
$13.60 |
$1,360.35 |
$1,364.08 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
10 |
-6.6 |
-66% |
|
$13.64 |
$1,364.08 |
$1,274.03 |
| 12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
10 |
1.7 |
17% |
|
$12.74 |
$1,274.03 |
$1,296.24 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
17.5 |
-5.4 |
-31% |
|
$12.96 |
$1,296.24 |
$1,225.95 |
| 26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
20 |
-1.4 |
-7% |
|
$12.26 |
$1,225.95 |
$1,208.81 |
| 9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
7.5 |
2.1 |
28% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,208.81 |
$1,233.89 |
| 16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
7.5 |
-4.2 |
-56% |
|
$12.34 |
$1,233.89 |
$1,182.48 |
| 20th Apr |
PFL 2022 #1 |
4.25 |
-0.7 |
-17% |
|
$11.82 |
$1,182.48 |
$1,174.06 |
| 23rd Apr |
Bellator 278 |
4 |
-0.4 |
-10% |
|
$11.74 |
$1,174.06 |
$1,169.37 |
| 23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
6.25 |
6.6 |
106% |
|
$11.69 |
$1,169.37 |
$1,247.03 |
| 23rd Apr |
Bellator 279 |
9 |
-1.1 |
-12% |
|
$12.47 |
$1,247.03 |
$1,233.73 |
| 24th Apr |
Fury FC 60 |
3 |
2.5 |
82% |
|
$12.34 |
$1,233.73 |
$1,264.07 |
| 28th Apr |
PFL 2022 #2 |
2.25 |
-2.3 |
-100% |
|
$12.64 |
$1,264.07 |
$1,235.63 |
| 30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
10 |
4.8 |
48% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,235.63 |
$1,294.41 |
| 6th May |
Bellator 280 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.94 |
$1,294.41 |
$1,268.52 |
| 6th May |
LFA 131 |
1 |
1.3 |
125% |
|
$12.69 |
$1,268.52 |
$1,284.38 |
| 7th May |
UFC 274 |
10.5 |
-3.6 |
-34% |
|
$12.84 |
$1,284.38 |
$1,238.01 |
| 13th May |
Bellator 281 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.38 |
$1,238.01 |
$1,188.49 |
| 14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
8 |
-3.9 |
-49% |
|
$11.88 |
$1,188.49 |
$1,142.14 |
| 21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
4 |
-1.7 |
-42% |
|
$11.42 |
$1,142.14 |
$1,123.07 |
| 18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
1 |
2.3 |
225% |
|
$11.23 |
$1,123.07 |
$1,148.34 |
| 24th Jun |
Bellator 282 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.48 |
$1,148.34 |
$1,136.86 |
| 24th Jun |
PFL 2022 #5 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,136.86 |
$1,125.49 |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
6.5 |
-4.5 |
-69% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.49 |
$1,074.84 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
6 |
-1.8 |
-30% |
|
$10.75 |
$1,074.84 |
$1,055.49 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
11 |
3.5 |
32% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,055.49 |
$1,092.45 |
| 23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
10.25 |
-1.8 |
-18% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,092.45 |
$1,072.46 |
| 26th Jul |
DWCS 2022: Week 1 |
7 |
1.6 |
22% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.46 |
$1,089.31 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
10.25 |
-2.6 |
-26% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,089.31 |
$1,060.79 |
| 2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
13 |
0.2 |
1% |
|
$10.61 |
$1,060.79 |
$1,062.55 |
| 5th Aug |
PFL 2022 #7 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,062.55 |
$988.17 |
| 6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.88 |
$988.17 |
$968.41 |
| 9th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 3 |
8 |
-1.5 |
-19% |
|
$9.68 |
$968.41 |
$953.88 |
| 13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.54 |
$953.88 |
$934.81 |
| 16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
13 |
7.5 |
58% |
|
$9.35 |
$934.81 |
$1,004.92 |
| 20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.05 |
$1,004.92 |
$994.87 |
| 23rd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 5 |
15 |
14.5 |
97% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.87 |
$1,139.12 |
| 31st Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 6 |
8 |
13.2 |
165% |
|
$11.39 |
$1,139.12 |
$1,289.48 |
| 3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,289.48 |
$1,276.59 |
| 6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.77 |
$1,276.59 |
$1,136.16 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
7 |
4.8 |
69% |
|
$11.36 |
$1,136.16 |
$1,191.08 |
| 13th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 8 |
8.75 |
-1.8 |
-21% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,191.08 |
$1,169.05 |
| 17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
1 |
0.6 |
63% |
|
$11.69 |
$1,169.05 |
$1,176.35 |
| 21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.76 |
$1,176.35 |
$1,099.89 |
| 27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
8 |
3.8 |
47% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,099.89 |
$1,141.68 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.42 |
$1,141.68 |
$1,084.60 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
9 |
2.5 |
27% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.60 |
$1,111.26 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
6 |
2.7 |
45% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,111.26 |
$1,141.26 |
| 10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
19 |
-7.3 |
-38% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,141.26 |
$1,058.52 |
| 17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
22 |
-3.2 |
-14% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.52 |
$1,025.13 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,025.13 |
$1,014.88 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
10 |
-1.9 |
-19% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.88 |
$995.85 |
| 28th May |
Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 3 & 4 |
5 |
6.3 |
125% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.85 |
$1,058.10 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,058.10 |
$1,005.19 |
| 15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
7.5 |
3.9 |
52% |
|
$10.05 |
$1,005.19 |
$1,044.64 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
26 |
8.1 |
31% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.64 |
$1,128.75 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.88% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Paisano Cowboy: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Nov '23 |
Steve Erceg |
Alessandro Costa |
1.56 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Nov '23 |
Lupita Godinez |
Tabatha Ricci |
1.59 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '23 |
Tom Aspinall |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.83 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.83 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
|
|
| 5. |
Aug '23 |
Charalampos Grigoriou |
Cameron Smotherman |
2.70 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:0) |
|
|
| 6. |
Aug '23 |
Ibo Aslan |
Paulo Renato Jr |
1.87 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:22) |
|
|
| 7. |
May '23 |
Shin Haraguchi |
Windri Patilima |
2.25 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:25) |
|
|
| 8. |
Apr '23 |
Max Holloway |
Arnold Allen |
1.63 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '22 |
Jared Cannonier |
Sean Strickland |
2.00 |
5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '22 |
Drew Dober |
Bobby Green |
1.77 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:45) |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '22 |
Angela Hill |
Emily Ducote |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '22 |
Phil Rowe |
Niko Price |
2.30 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (3:26) |
|
|
| 13. |
Nov '22 |
Matt Frevola |
Ottman Azaitar |
2.05 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
|
|
| 14. |
Nov '22 |
Chris Gutierrez |
Frankie Edgar |
1.77 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:1) |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '22 |
Daniel Rodriguez |
Li Jingliang |
1.67 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '22 |
Daniel Marcos |
Brandon Lewis |
2.30 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 17. |
Aug '22 |
Viktoriya Dudakova |
Maria Silva |
3.35 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Aug '22 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Matej Penaz |
2.85 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (0:47) |
|
|
| 19. |
Aug '22 |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Erisson Ferreira |
3.00 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (1:56) |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '22 |
Jose Johnson |
Jack Cartwright |
2.90 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Nov '23 |
Matt Frevola |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.90 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Aug '23 |
Janaina Silva |
Eduarda Moura |
2.30 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Jun '23 |
Kai Kara-France |
Amir Albazi |
1.87 |
5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Apr '23 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Edson Barboza |
1.65 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:37) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Jan '23 |
Jimmy Flick |
Charles Johnson |
5.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Dec '22 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.80 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Dec '22 |
Jake Matthews |
Matt Semelsberger |
1.44 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Dec '22 |
Jay Perrin |
Raul Rosas Jr |
3.00 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:44) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '22 |
Bryce Mitchell |
Ilia Topuria |
2.20 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:10) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '22 |
Darren Till |
Dricus Du Plessis |
2.74 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (2:43) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '22 |
Kevin Holland |
Stephen Thompson |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Nov '22 |
Silvana Gomez Juarez |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
2.01 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Nov '22 |
Molly McCann |
Erin Blanchfield |
4.75 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:37) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '22 |
Joao Elias |
Rafael Estevam |
2.70 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:25) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '22 |
Vinicius Cenci |
Sam Patterson |
3.05 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:18) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '22 |
Richard Jacobi |
Austen Lane |
2.65 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:34) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '22 |
Mando Gutierrez |
Raul Rosas Jr |
2.30 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '22 |
Malik Lewis |
Trevor Peek |
1.80 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:37) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '22 |
Rodolfo Bellato |
Vitor Petrino |
2.70 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:36) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '22 |
Rayanne Amanda |
Denise Gomes |
3.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Paisano Cowboy: Progress Chart |
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