MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Luke Vith

Luke Vith (LukeVith)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	44 (44%)	Right	21 (55%)	Right	11 (34%)	Right	12 (40%)
Wrong	56 (56%)	Wrong	17 (45%)	Wrong	21 (66%)	Wrong	18 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.03	Avg Odds	1.89	Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	2.10
Units Bet	158.5	Units Bet	66.0	Units Bet	42.5	Units Bet	50.0
Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	1.74	Avg Bet	1.33	Avg Bet	1.67
Units Profit	-13.64	Units Profit	5.12	Units Profit	-12.97	Units Profit	-5.79
ROI %	-9%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	-31%	ROI %	-12%

Luke Vith: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	3.5	-0.6	-16%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.4 / 1.5 (95%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	5.5	-2.9	-53%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	1.1 / 1.5 (71%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Nov '22	PFL 2022 #10	1.5	-1.5	-100%			-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	1.5	1.4	91%		1.4 / 1.5 (91%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	9.5	-9.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	5.5	-2.9	-52%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.6 / 1 (165%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
12th Aug '22	Bellator 284	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	1.5	1.9	125%		1.9 / 1.5 (125%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	6	5.3	88%	1.8 / 3 (60%)		3.5 / 3 (115%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	7	5.1	73%	4.1 / 4 (101%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.0 / 2 (102%)
22nd Jul '22	Bellator 283	1	1.5	153%			1.5 / 1 (153%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	1	1.5	145%	1.5 / 1 (145%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	5.5	-2.9	-53%	-1.4 / 4 (-36%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	11.5	2.7	24%	1.5 / 6.5 (23%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	3.3 / 3 (109%)
1st Jul '22	PFL 2022 #6	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	3	-3.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Jun '22	Bellator 282	4.5	-0.4	-9%	1.6 / 2.5 (64%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	3	1.4	47%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.4 / 2 (121%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	6	-2.7	-45%	1.3 / 2 (65%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	4	-1.4	-36%		-1.4 / 4 (-36%)
6th May '22	PFL 2022 #3	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th May '22	Bellator 280	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	2	1.4	71%	1.4 / 2 (71%)
28th Apr '22	PFL 2022 #2	1.5	1.2	80%			1.2 / 1.5 (80%)
23rd Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	1.5	0.8	56%		0.8 / 1.5 (56%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	3	0.3	10%	1.8 / 1.5 (120%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	4	-4.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	2.5	2.3	91%		1.4 / 1.5 (91%)	0.9 / 1 (90%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	3	0.3	10%	1.3 / 2 (65%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Mar '22	Cage Warriors 133	2	1.7	87%	1.7 / 2 (87%)
25th Feb '22	Bellator 275	3	1.4	45%	1.4 / 3 (45%)
19th Feb '22	Bellator 274	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	3.5	-0.4	-10%	1.1 / 2 (57%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	4	0.3	7%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		2.3 / 2 (113%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	3	6.5	215%	1.3 / 1 (130%)	0.5 / 1 (53%)	4.6 / 1 (464%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	5	0.9	18%	0.9 / 5 (18%)
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	6.5	-1.1	-17%	1.1 / 2 (53%)	-0.6 / 3 (-22%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	11	-8.1	-74%	-0.6 / 3.5 (-18%)	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
3rd Dec '21	Bellator 272	1	1.5	150%	1.5 / 1 (150%)
3rd Dec '21	LFA 119	2	1.6	79%			1.6 / 2 (79%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	3.5	2.4	69%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.5 / 1 (250%)	0.9 / 1.5 (60%)

Winning Events: 22 (49%)
Losing Events: 23 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.52 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.50 units
Best Event: 6.46 units
Worst Event: -9.50 units
Average Event: -0.30 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 15.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.35

Luke Vith: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	3.5	-0.6	-16%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)			/ 1 (0%)	-0.57
2022	129	-7.3	-6%	6.2 / 56.5 (11%)		-4.3 / 42.5 (-10%)	19 / 19 (50%)	-0.19
2021	26	-5.7	-22%	0.9 / 7.5 (12%)		-1.5 / 7.5 (-20%)	3 / 3 (50%)	-0.96

Luke Vith: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Luke Vith: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	135	-13.7	-10%	0.9 / 55.5 (2%)	-12.0 / 41.5 (-29%)	-2.6 / 38 (-7%)
Bellator	12.5	1.0	8%	2.5 / 8.5 (29%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.5 / 3 (-16%)
PFL	7	-4.3	-61%			-4.3 / 7 (-61%)
Other	4	3.3	83%	1.7 / 2 (87%)		1.6 / 2 (79%)

Luke Vith: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (11%)	2	50 %	9.50	-2.08	-0.52	-22%
Slight Favorites	17 (45%)	11	65 %	34.00	2.36	0.14	7%
Slight Underdogs	17 (45%)	8	47 %	22.50	4.84	0.28	22%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (18%)	5	71 %	13.00	4.11	0.59	32%
Co-Main Event	4 (11%)	3	75 %	6.50	3.47	0.87	53%
Position 3-5	14 (37%)	7	50 %	23.00	0.44	0.03	2%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (34%)	6	46 %	23.50	-2.90	-0.22	-12%

Luke Vith: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (18%)	5	71 %	11.00	5.99	0.86	54%
Light Heavy	2 (5%)	1	50 %	2.50	0.07	0.04	3%
Middleweight	6 (16%)	2	33 %	11.50	-4.33	-0.72	-38%
Welterweight	8 (21%)	5	63 %	15.00	3.51	0.44	23%
Lightweight	4 (11%)	3	75 %	6.50	3.14	0.79	48%
Featherweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.70	1.70	170%
Bantamweight	5 (13%)	3	60 %	9.50	0.83	0.17	9%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	3.00	0.21	0.11	7%

Women's Fights	3 (8%)		0 %	6.00	-6.00	-2.00	-100%
Flyweight	2 (5%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-2.00	-100%
Strawweight	1 (3%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	65 (83%)	49	75 %
Slight Favorites	8 (10%)	3	38 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (5%)	2	50 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	78	54	69 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	10 (34%)	5	50 %
35-50%	17 (59%)	3	18 %
<35% chance	2 (7%)	1	50 %
	29	9	31 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (17%)	0	0 %	2.00	2.45	1.63	-5.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	20 (69%)	8	40 %	2.08	2.80	1.65	-3.6 (-18%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (7%)	0	0 %	2.09	2.30	1.91	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (7%)	1	50 %	4.87	8.00	3.50	1.5 (75%)
	29	9	31 %	2.15			-9.1 (-31%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Luke Vith's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
20th Nov	UFC FN	3.5	2.4	69%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,023.99
3rd Dec	LFA 119	2	1.6	79%		$10.24	$1,023.99	$1,040.24
3rd Dec	Bellator 272	1	1.5	150%		$10.40	$1,040.24	$1,055.84
4th Dec	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.56	$1,055.84	$1,034.73
11th Dec	UFC 269	11	-8.1	-74%		$10.35	$1,034.73	$950.54
18th Dec	UFC FN	6.5	-1.1	-17%		$9.51	$950.54	$940.11
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	5	0.9	18%		$9.40	$940.11	$948.68
22nd Jan	UFC 270	3	6.5	215%		$9.49	$948.68	$1,009.98
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	4	0.3	7%		$10.10	$1,009.98	$1,012.65
12th Feb	UFC 271	3.5	-0.4	-10%		$10.13	$1,012.65	$1,009.04
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.09	$1,009.04	$988.85
19th Feb	Bellator 274	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.89	$988.85	$978.97
25th Feb	Bellator 275	3	1.4	45%		$9.79	$978.97	$992.32
5th Mar	Cage Warriors 133	2	1.7	87%		$9.92	$992.32	$1,009.57
5th Mar	UFC 272	3	0.3	10%		$10.10	$1,009.57	$1,012.51
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	2.5	2.3	91%		$10.13	$1,012.51	$1,035.46
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.35	$1,035.46	$994.04
9th Apr	UFC 273	3	0.3	10%		$9.94	$994.04	$997.02
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$9.97	$997.02	$972.10
23rd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	1.5	0.8	56%		$9.72	$972.10	$980.20
28th Apr	PFL 2022 #2	1.5	1.2	80%		$9.80	$980.20	$991.99
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	2	1.4	71%		$9.92	$991.99	$1,006.17
6th May	Bellator 280	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.06	$1,006.17	$996.10
6th May	PFL 2022 #3	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.96	$996.10	$976.18
7th May	UFC 274	4	-1.4	-36%		$9.76	$976.18	$962.24
11th Jun	UFC 275	6	-2.7	-45%		$9.62	$962.24	$936.16
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	3	1.4	47%		$9.36	$936.16	$949.46
24th Jun	Bellator 282	4.5	-0.4	-9%		$9.49	$949.46	$945.59
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.46	$945.59	$917.22
1st Jul	PFL 2022 #6	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.17	$917.22	$898.88
2nd Jul	UFC 276	11.5	2.7	24%		$8.99	$898.88	$923.45
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	5.5	-2.9	-53%		$9.23	$923.45	$896.40
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	1	1.5	145%		$8.96	$896.40	$909.40
22nd Jul	Bellator 283	1	1.5	153%		$9.09	$909.40	$923.36
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	7	5.1	73%		$9.23	$923.36	$970.44
30th Jul	UFC 277	6	5.3	88%		$9.70	$970.44	$1,021.40
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	1.5	1.9	125%		$10.21	$1,021.40	$1,040.55
12th Aug	Bellator 284	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.41	$1,040.55	$1,030.15
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	5.5	-2.9	-52%		$10.30	$1,030.15	$1,000.79
20th Aug	UFC 278	9.5	-9.5	-100%		$10.01	$1,000.79	$905.71
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.06	$905.71	$887.60
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	1.5	1.4	91%		$8.88	$887.60	$899.70
25th Nov	PFL 2022 #10	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$9.00	$899.70	$886.21
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	5.5	-2.9	-53%		$8.86	$886.21	$860.25
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	3.5	-0.6	-16%		$8.60	$860.25	$855.34

ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Luke Vith: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '22	Alex Morono	Matt Semelsberger	2.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jul '22	Jack Hermansson	Chris Curtis	1.87	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '22	Curtis Blaydes	Tom Aspinall	2.10	2.5	TKO, R1 (0:15)
4.	Jul '22	Li Jingliang	Muslim Salikhov	2.45	1	TKO, R2 (4:38)
5.	Jul '22	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Karl Roberson	1.71	1.5	TKO, R3 (2:19)
6.	Jul '22	Bryan Barberena	Robbie Lawler	2.02	2	TKO, R2 (4:47)
7.	Jul '22	Ian Garry	Gabriel Green	1.57	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '22	Magomed Magomedov	Enrique Barzola	1.64	2.5	Sub, R4 (1:27)
9.	Jun '22	Jack Della Maddalena	Ramazan Emeev	1.65	2	TKO, R1 (2:32)
10.	Apr '22	Andrei Arlovski	Jake Collier	1.71	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '22	Mark O. Madsen	Vinc Pichel	2.20	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '22	Jalin Turner	Jamie Mullarkey	1.65	2	TKO, R2 (0:46)
13.	Mar '22	Wilson Reis	Jeremiah Labiano	1.87	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Feb '22	Gegard Mousasi	Austin Vanderford	1.45	3	TKO, R1 (1:25)
15.	Feb '22	Andrei Arlovski	Jared Vanderaa	1.57	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jan '22	Francis Ngannou	Ciryl Gane	2.30	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Jan '22	Brandon Royval	Rogerio Bontorin	1.61	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Dec '21	Mateusz Gamrot	Carlos Diego Ferreira	1.53	2	TKO, R2 (3:26)
19.	Jan '22	Calvin Kattar	Giga Chikadze	2.70	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Dec '21	Tai Tuivasa	Augusto Sakai	1.91	1.5	TKO, R2 (0:26)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '23	Jessica Andrade	Erin Blanchfield	1.74	2	Sub, R2 (1:37)	No
2.	Dec '22	Jack Hermansson	Roman Dolidze	1.51	2	TKO, R2 (4:6)	No
3.	Dec '22	Tai Tuivasa	Sergey Pavlovich	2.70	1	TKO, R1 (0:54)	No
4.	Aug '22	Bruna Ellen	Ilima-Lei Macfarlane	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '22	Cynthia Calvillo	Nina Nunes	1.59	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '22	Jose Aldo	Merab Dvalishvili	2.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '22	Derrick Lewis	Sergey Pavlovich	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (0:55)	No
8.	Jul '22	Ricky Turcios	Aiemann Zahabi	1.53	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '22	Brad Tavares	Dricus Du Plessis	2.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '22	Rodolfo Vieira	Chris Curtis	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '22	Alex Polizzi	Yoel Romero	2.30	1	TKO, R3 (4:59)	No
12.	Apr '22	Vicente Luque	Belal Muhammad	1.59	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '22	Max Griffin	Neil Magny	2.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Feb '22	Marc-Andre Barriault	Chidi Njokuani	1.83	2	TKO, R1 (0:16)	No
15.	Jan '22	Ramiz Brahimaj	Court McGee	1.87	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '21	Miranda Maverick	Erin Blanchfield	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '21	Natan Levy	Rafa Garcia	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Luke Vith: Progress Chart

Chart

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