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MMA Handicapper Stats: Luke Vith

Luke Vith (LukeVith)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Luke Vith

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 40 (49%) Right 21 (66%) Right 7 (28%) Right 12 (50%)
Wrong 41 (51%) Wrong 11 (34%) Wrong 18 (72%) Wrong 12 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 2.19 Avg Odds 2.17
Units Bet 128.5 Units Bet 56.5 Units Bet 33.0 Units Bet 39.0
Avg Bet 1.59 Avg Bet 1.77 Avg Bet 1.32 Avg Bet 1.63
Units Profit 5.35 Units Profit 14.62 Units Profit -14.48 Units Profit 5.21
ROI % 4% ROI % 26% ROI % -44% ROI % 13%
View Handicapper's Profile

Luke Vith: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 1.5 1.9 125% 1.9 / 1.5 (125%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 6 5.3 88% 1.8 / 3 (60%) 3.5 / 3 (115%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 7 5.1 73% 4.1 / 4 (101%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.0 / 2 (102%)
22nd Jul '22 Bellator 283 1 1.5 153% 1.5 / 1 (153%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 1 1.5 145% 1.5 / 1 (145%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 5.5 -2.9 -53% -1.4 / 4 (-36%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 11.5 2.7 24% 1.5 / 6.5 (23%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 3.3 / 3 (109%)
1st Jul '22 PFL 2022 #6 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 3 -3.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Jun '22 Bellator 282 4.5 -0.4 -9% 1.6 / 2.5 (64%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 3 1.4 47% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.4 / 2 (121%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 6 -2.7 -45% 1.3 / 2 (65%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 4 -1.4 -36% -1.4 / 4 (-36%)
6th May '22 PFL 2022 #3 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th May '22 Bellator 280 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 2 1.4 71% 1.4 / 2 (71%)
28th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #2 1.5 1.2 80% 1.2 / 1.5 (80%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 1.5 0.8 56% 0.8 / 1.5 (56%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 3 0.3 10% 1.8 / 1.5 (120%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 4 -4.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 2.5 2.3 91% 1.4 / 1.5 (91%) 0.9 / 1 (90%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 3 0.3 10% 1.3 / 2 (65%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Mar '22 Cage Warriors 133 2 1.7 87% 1.7 / 2 (87%)
25th Feb '22 Bellator 275 3 1.4 45% 1.4 / 3 (45%)
19th Feb '22 Bellator 274 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 3.5 -0.4 -10% 1.1 / 2 (57%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 4 0.3 7% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.3 / 2 (113%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 3 6.5 215% 1.3 / 1 (130%) 0.5 / 1 (53%) 4.6 / 1 (464%)
15th Jan '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 5 0.9 18% 0.9 / 5 (18%)
18th Dec '21 UFC FN 6.5 -1.1 -17% 1.1 / 2 (53%) -0.6 / 3 (-22%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 11 -8.1 -74% -0.6 / 3.5 (-18%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 2 -2.0 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
3rd Dec '21 Bellator 272 1 1.5 150% 1.5 / 1 (150%)
3rd Dec '21 LFA 119 2 1.6 79% 1.6 / 2 (79%)
20th Nov '21 UFC FN 3.5 2.4 69% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.5 / 1 (250%) 0.9 / 1.5 (60%)


Winning Events: 21 (57%)
Losing Events: 16 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.47 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.50 units
Best Event: 6.46 units
Worst Event: -8.14 units
Average Event: 0.14 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 15.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -11.23

Luke Vith: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 102.5 11.1 11% 13.7 / 49 (28%) 6.7 / 31.5 (21%) 18 / 13 (58%) 0.36
2021 26 -5.7 -22% 0.9 / 7.5 (12%) -1.5 / 7.5 (-20%) 3 / 3 (50%) -0.96

Luke Vith: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Luke Vith: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 107.5 2.8 3% 9.4 / 47 (20%) -13.5 / 32 (-42%) 6.9 / 28.5 (24%)
Bellator 11.5 2.0 17% 3.5 / 7.5 (46%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 3 (-16%)
PFL 5.5 -2.8 -51% -2.8 / 5.5 (-51%)
Other 4 3.3 83% 1.7 / 2 (87%) 1.6 / 2 (79%)

Luke Vith: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (9%) 2 67 % 7.50 -0.08 -0.03 -1%
Slight Favorites 15 (47%) 11 73 % 30.00 6.36 0.42 21%
Slight Underdogs 14 (44%) 8 57 % 19.00 8.34 0.60 44%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (19%) 5 83 % 11.00 6.11 1.02 56%
Co-Main Event 4 (13%) 3 75 % 6.50 3.47 0.87 53%
Position 3-5 10 (31%) 7 70 % 17.50 5.94 0.59 34%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (38%) 6 50 % 21.50 -0.90 -0.08 -4%

Luke Vith: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (19%) 5 83 % 10.00 6.99 1.16 70%
Light Heavy 2 (6%) 1 50 % 2.50 0.07 0.04 3%
Middleweight 5 (16%) 2 40 % 9.50 -2.33 -0.47 -25%
Welterweight 8 (25%) 5 63 % 15.00 3.51 0.44 23%
Lightweight 4 (13%) 3 75 % 6.50 3.14 0.79 48%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.70 1.70 170%
Bantamweight 4 (13%) 3 75 % 8.00 2.33 0.58 29%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.21 1.21 61%
               
Women's Fights 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 51 (82%) 41 80 %
Slight Favorites 6 (10%) 3 50 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (6%) 2 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
62 46 74 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 7 (32%) 2 29 %
35-50% 13 (59%) 2 15 %
<35% chance 2 (9%) 1 50 %
22 5 23 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (23%) 0 0 % 2.00 2.45Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 13 (59%) 4 31 % 2.10 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was incorrect -4.8 (-37%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (9%) 0 0 % 2.09 2.30Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (9%) 1 50 % 4.87 8.00Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was correct 1.5 (75%)
22 5 23 % 2.19     -10.3 (-47%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Luke Vith's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
20th Nov UFC FN 3.5 2.4 69% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,023.99
3rd Dec LFA 119 2 1.6 79% $10.24 $1,023.99 $1,040.24
3rd Dec Bellator 272 1 1.5 150% $10.40 $1,040.24 $1,055.84
4th Dec UFC FN 2 -2.0 -100% $10.56 $1,055.84 $1,034.73
11th Dec UFC 269 11 -8.1 -74% $10.35 $1,034.73 $950.54
18th Dec UFC FN 6.5 -1.1 -17% $9.51 $950.54 $940.11
15th Jan UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 5 0.9 18% $9.40 $940.11 $948.68
22nd Jan UFC 270 3 6.5 215% $9.49 $948.68 $1,009.98
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 4 0.3 7% $10.10 $1,009.98 $1,012.65
12th Feb UFC 271 3.5 -0.4 -10% $10.13 $1,012.65 $1,009.04
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 2 -2.0 -100% $10.09 $1,009.04 $988.85
19th Feb Bellator 274 1 -1.0 -100% $9.89 $988.85 $978.97
25th Feb Bellator 275 3 1.4 45% $9.79 $978.97 $992.32
5th Mar Cage Warriors 133 2 1.7 87% $9.92 $992.32 $1,009.57
5th Mar UFC 272 3 0.3 10% $10.10 $1,009.57 $1,012.51
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 2.5 2.3 91% $10.13 $1,012.51 $1,035.46
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 4 -4.0 -100% $10.35 $1,035.46 $994.04
9th Apr UFC 273 3 0.3 10% $9.94 $994.04 $997.02
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.97 $997.02 $972.10
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 1.5 0.8 56% $9.72 $972.10 $980.20
28th Apr PFL 2022 #2 1.5 1.2 80% $9.80 $980.20 $991.99
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 2 1.4 71% $9.92 $991.99 $1,006.17
6th May Bellator 280 1 -1.0 -100% $10.06 $1,006.17 $996.10
6th May PFL 2022 #3 2 -2.0 -100% $9.96 $996.10 $976.18
7th May UFC 274 4 -1.4 -36% $9.76 $976.18 $962.24
11th Jun UFC 275 6 -2.7 -45% $9.62 $962.24 $936.16
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 3 1.4 47% $9.36 $936.16 $949.46
24th Jun Bellator 282 4.5 -0.4 -9% $9.49 $949.46 $945.59
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 3 -3.0 -100% $9.46 $945.59 $917.22
1st Jul PFL 2022 #6 2 -2.0 -100% $9.17 $917.22 $898.88
2nd Jul UFC 276 11.5 2.7 24% $8.99 $898.88 $923.45
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 5.5 -2.9 -53% $9.23 $923.45 $896.40
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 1 1.5 145% $8.96 $896.40 $909.40
22nd Jul Bellator 283 1 1.5 153% $9.09 $909.40 $923.36
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 7 5.1 73% $9.23 $923.36 $970.44
30th Jul UFC 277 6 5.3 88% $9.70 $970.44 $1,021.40
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 1.5 1.9 125% $10.21 $1,021.40 $1,040.55


ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Luke Vith: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '22 Alex Morono Matt Semelsberger 2.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Jack Hermansson Chris Curtis 1.87 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Curtis Blaydes Tom Aspinall 2.10 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Li Jingliang Muslim Salikhov 2.45 1 TKO, R2 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Kennedy Nzechukwu Karl Roberson 1.71 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Bryan Barberena Robbie Lawler 2.02 2 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Ian Garry Gabriel Green 1.57 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '22 Magomed Magomedov Enrique Barzola 1.64 2.5 Sub, R4 (1:27) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '22 Jack Della Maddalena Ramazan Emeev 1.65 2 TKO, R1 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '22 Andrei Arlovski Jake Collier 1.71 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '22 Mark O. Madsen Vinc Pichel 2.20 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '22 Jalin Turner Jamie Mullarkey 1.65 2 TKO, R2 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '22 Wilson Reis Jeremiah Labiano 1.87 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '22 Gegard Mousasi Austin Vanderford 1.45 3 TKO, R1 (1:25) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '22 Andrei Arlovski Jared Vanderaa 1.57 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '22 Francis Ngannou Ciryl Gane 2.30 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '22 Brandon Royval Rogerio Bontorin 1.61 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '21 Mateusz Gamrot Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.53 2 TKO, R2 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '22 Calvin Kattar Giga Chikadze 2.70 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '21 Tai Tuivasa Augusto Sakai 1.91 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '22 Derrick Lewis Sergey Pavlovich 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Ricky Turcios Aiemann Zahabi 1.53 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Brad Tavares Dricus Du Plessis 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '22 Rodolfo Vieira Chris Curtis 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '22 Alex Polizzi Yoel Romero 2.30 1 TKO, R3 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '22 Vicente Luque Belal Muhammad 1.59 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '22 Max Griffin Neil Magny 2.80 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '22 Marc-Andre Barriault Chidi Njokuani 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '22 Ramiz Brahimaj Court McGee 1.87 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '21 Miranda Maverick Erin Blanchfield 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '21 Natan Levy Rafa Garcia 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Luke Vith: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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