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MMA Handicapper Stats: John Jones

John Jones (LineEater)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	43 (57%)	Right	20 (63%)	Right	21 (54%)	Right	2 (50%)
Wrong	32 (43%)	Wrong	12 (38%)	Wrong	18 (46%)	Wrong	2 (50%)
Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	1.81	Avg Odds	1.77	Avg Odds	1.58
Units Bet	77.2	Units Bet	39.0	Units Bet	35.7	Units Bet	2.5
Avg Bet	1.03	Avg Bet	1.22	Avg Bet	0.92	Avg Bet	0.63
Units Profit	-4.37	Units Profit	6.98	Units Profit	-10.54	Units Profit	-0.82
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	-30%	ROI %	-33%

John Jones: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	7	-2.2	-31%	-1.4 / 3 (-47%)	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	8.25	-3.4	-41%	-2.4 / 4 (-59%)	-0.7 / 2.25 (-32%)	-0.3 / 2 (-16%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	15.5	3.2	21%	2.7 / 12 (22%)	1.0 / 3 (34%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	20.57	-2.4	-12%	1.7 / 4.36 (40%)	-4.1 / 16.21 (-26%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	7.61	1.2	15%	1.5 / 4.35 (34%)	-0.3 / 3.26 (-9%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-0.7 / 0.7 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	5.45	6.4	117%	6.4 / 5.45 (117%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	11.31	-5.6	-50%	-0.8 / 5.13 (-16%)	-4.8 / 6.18 (-78%)

Winning Events: 3 (38%)
Losing Events: 5 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.57 units
Best Event: 6.39 units
Worst Event: -5.63 units
Average Event: -0.55 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 6.39
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -5.63

John Jones: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	60.43	-5.1	-8%	1.4 / 28.41 (5%)		-0.8 / 2.5 (-33%)	2 / 4 (33%)	-0.85
2021	16.76	0.8	5%	5.6 / 10.58 (53%)			1 / 1 (50%)	0.38

John Jones: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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John Jones: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	77.19	-4.4	-6%	7.0 / 38.99 (18%)	-10.5 / 35.7 (-30%)	-0.8 / 2.5 (-33%)

John Jones: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (21%)	6	86 %	10.38	1.44	0.21	14%
Slight Favorites	16 (47%)	10	63 %	14.90	1.57	0.10	11%
Slight Underdogs	9 (26%)	6	67 %	9.86	7.83	0.87	79%
Big Underdogs	2 (6%)	0	0 %	3.85	-3.85	-1.93	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (15%)	4	80 %	4.49	2.20	0.44	49%
Co-Main Event	3 (9%)	3	100 %	2.25	1.39	0.46	62%
Position 3-5	12 (35%)	4	33 %	17.46	-3.36	-0.28	-19%
6+ (Undercard)	14 (41%)	11	79 %	14.79	6.76	0.48	46%

John Jones: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (15%)	1	20 %	4.90	-2.95	-0.59	-60%
Light Heavy	4 (12%)	3	75 %	6.87	5.72	1.43	83%
Welterweight	2 (6%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%
Lightweight	4 (12%)	3	75 %	3.76	1.12	0.28	30%
Featherweight	2 (6%)	2	100 %	2.05	0.92	0.46	45%
Bantamweight	5 (15%)	5	100 %	3.26	3.46	0.69	106%
Flyweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	3.90	0.81	0.27	21%

Women's Fights	9 (26%)	6	67 %	11.75	0.40	0.04	3%
Featherweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.63	0.63	63%
Bantamweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	3.41	2.16	0.72	63%
Flyweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	5.85	-1.73	-0.58	-30%
Strawweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	1.49	-0.66	-0.33	-44%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	3 (100%)	2	67 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	2	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	17 (39%)	13	76 %
50-65%	16 (36%)	12	75 %
35-50%	8 (18%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	3 (7%)	0	0 %
	44	25	57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	15 (34%)	11	73 %	1.54	2.34	1.20	2.0 (14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (11%)	2	40 %	1.75	2.50	1.33	-1.9 (-38%)
Goes to Decision	11 (25%)	7	64 %	1.60	4.75	1.34	-0.3 (-3%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (14%)	2	33 %	1.97	2.50	1.59	-2.6 (-43%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (5%)	2	100 %	1.53	1.57	1.50	1.1 (54%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (5%)	0	0 %	2.60	3.00	2.30	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.62	1.62	1.62	0.6 (62%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.30	2.30	2.30	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (2%)	0	0 %	5.50	5.50	5.50	-1.0 (-100%)
	44	25	57 %	1.70			-5.1 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail John Jones's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
20th Nov	UFC FN	11.31	-5.6	-50%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$943.65
4th Dec	UFC FN	5.45	6.4	117%		$9.44	$943.65	$1,003.98
22nd Jan	UFC 270	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.04	$1,003.98	$988.92
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	7.61	1.2	15%		$9.89	$988.92	$1,000.47
12th Feb	UFC 271	20.57	-2.4	-12%		$10.00	$1,000.47	$976.44
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	15.5	3.2	21%		$9.76	$976.44	$1,007.88
9th Apr	UFC 273	8.25	-3.4	-41%		$10.08	$1,007.88	$973.41
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	7	-2.2	-31%		$9.73	$973.41	$952.04

ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

John Jones: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '22	Heili Alateng	Kevin Croom	1.59	1	TKO, R1 (0:47)
2.	Apr '22	Raquel Pennington	Aspen Ladd	1.63	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '22	Matheus Nicolau	David Dvorak	2.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '22	Manon Fiorot	Jennifer Maia	1.28	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '22	Chris Gutierrez	Danaa Batgerel	2.42	1	TKO, R2 (2:34)
6.	Mar '22	Sara McMann	Karol Rosa	2.82	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '22	Alexa Grasso	Joanne Wood	1.47	1.5	Sub, R1 (3:57)
8.	Mar '22	Curtis Blaydes	Chris Daukaus	1.30	1.5	TKO, R2 (0:17)
9.	Feb '22	Maxim Grishin	William Knight	1.61	1.65	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '22	Bobby Green	Nasrat Haqparast	1.71	2.01	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Feb '22	Hakeem Dawodu	Mike Trizano	1.62	0.87	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Feb '22	Julian Erosa	Steven Peterson	1.33	1.18	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Feb '22	Brendan Allen	Sam Alvey	1.24	2.3	Sub, R2 (2:10)
14.	Dec '21	Rafael Fiziev	Brad Riddell	1.91	0.65	TKO, R3 (2:20)
15.	Dec '21	Jose Aldo	Rob Font	2.22	0.71	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Dec '21	Rafael Fiziev	Brad Riddell	1.92	0.1	TKO, R3 (2:20)
17.	Dec '21	Jose Aldo	Rob Font	2.39	0.17	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Dec '21	Manel Kape	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	1.49	0.9	TKO, R1 (4:2)
19.	Dec '21	Jamahal Hill	Jim Crute	2.55	2.78	TKO, R1 (0:48)
20.	Nov '21	Lupita Godinez	Loma Lookboonmee	1.70	0.49	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '22	William Knight	Devin Clark	2.50	1	TKO, R3 (3:21)	No
2.	Apr '22	Yanan Wu	Mayra Bueno Silva	4.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '22	Jared Vanderaa	Aleksei Oleinik	1.87	1	Sub, R1 (3:39)	No
4.	Apr '22	Tecia Torres	Mackenzie Dern	1.68	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '22	Vinc Pichel	Mark O. Madsen	1.68	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '22	Askar Askarov	Kai Kara-France	1.32	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '22	Max Griffin	Neil Magny	2.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '22	Matt Brown	Bryan Barberena	1.92	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '22	Jared Vanderaa	Andrei Arlovski	2.34	0.7	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '22	Ciryl Gane	Francis Ngannou	1.69	0.7	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '21	Jim Crute	Jamahal Hill	1.57	0.14	TKO, R1 (0:48)	No
12.	Nov '21	Joanne Wood	Taila Santos	3.75	2.85	Sub, R1 (4:49)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

John Jones: Progress Chart

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