MMA Handicapper Stats: Green Thumb |
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Green Thumb: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
3.35 |
-1.1 |
-33% |
-1.0 / 1.85 (-51%) |
-0.2 / 1.5 (-11%) |
|
27th Oct '21 |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
0.75 |
1.0 |
128% |
1.0 / 0.75 (128%) |
|
|
26th Oct '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 9 |
1.75 |
-0.9 |
-52% |
-0.7 / 1.5 (-44%) |
-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) |
|
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
5.75 |
5.0 |
87% |
4.3 / 5.25 (82%) |
|
0.7 / 0.5 (135%) |
23rd Oct '21 |
Bellator 269 |
2.5 |
-1.6 |
-63% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
0.4 / 0.5 (83%) |
|
Winning Events: 2 (40%) Losing Events: 3 (60%)
Average Staked Per Event: 2.82 units Most Staked On One Event: 5.75 units Best Event: 4.98 units Worst Event: -1.58 units Average Event: 0.47 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 4.98 Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -1.58 |
Green Thumb: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
14.1 |
2.3 |
17% |
1.7 / 11.35 (15%) |
|
0.7 / 0.5 (135%) |
2 / 3 (40%) |
0.47 |
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Green Thumb: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Green Thumb: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
9.1 |
3.9 |
42% |
3.4 / 7.1 (47%) |
-0.2 / 1.5 (-11%) |
0.7 / 0.5 (135%) |
Bellator |
2.5 |
-1.6 |
-63% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
0.4 / 0.5 (83%) |
|
PFL |
0.75 |
1.0 |
128% |
1.0 / 0.75 (128%) |
|
|
Other |
1.75 |
-0.9 |
-52% |
-0.7 / 1.5 (-44%) |
-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) |
|
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Green Thumb: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
5 (28%) |
2 |
40 % |
4.25 |
-1.46 |
-0.29 |
-34% |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (22%) |
3 |
75 % |
4.50 |
3.81 |
0.95 |
85% |
Big Underdogs |
9 (50%) |
2 |
22 % |
2.60 |
-0.70 |
-0.08 |
-27% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
2 (11%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.25 |
-1.35 |
-0.68 |
-60% |
Co-Main Event |
2 (11%) |
1 |
50 % |
0.50 |
0.21 |
0.11 |
42% |
Position 3-5 |
7 (39%) |
2 |
29 % |
2.85 |
-1.01 |
-0.14 |
-35% |
6+ (Undercard) |
7 (39%) |
3 |
43 % |
5.75 |
3.80 |
0.54 |
66% |
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Green Thumb: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
3 (17%) |
1 |
33 % |
0.75 |
0.15 |
0.05 |
20% |
Middleweight |
2 (11%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.50 |
0.45 |
0.23 |
30% |
Welterweight |
2 (11%) |
1 |
50 % |
0.50 |
0.21 |
0.11 |
42% |
Lightweight |
4 (22%) |
2 |
50 % |
1.35 |
0.49 |
0.12 |
37% |
Featherweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
2 (11%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.50 |
1.60 |
0.80 |
107% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
3 (17%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.25 |
1.25 |
0.42 |
38% |
Bantamweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
0.25 |
-0.25 |
-0.25 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.50 |
2.50 |
125% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
5 (83%) |
2 |
40 % |
35-50% |
1 (17%) |
1 |
100 % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
6 |
3 |
50 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
5 (83%) |
2 |
40 % |
1.76 |
1.90 |
1.67 |
-1.5 (-30%) |
X Wins by Decision |
1 (17%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
1.0 (100%) |
|
6 |
3 |
50 % |
1.80 |
|
|
-0.5 (-8%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Green Thumb's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
23rd Oct |
Bellator 269 |
2.5 |
-1.6 |
-63% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$984.17 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
5.75 |
5.0 |
87% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.17 |
$1,033.14 |
26th Oct |
DWCS 2021: Week 9 |
1.75 |
-0.9 |
-52% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,033.14 |
$1,023.79 |
27th Oct |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
0.75 |
1.0 |
128% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.79 |
$1,033.65 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
3.35 |
-1.1 |
-33% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,033.65 |
$1,022.11 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.21% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Green Thumb: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Green Thumb: Progress Chart |
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