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MMA Handicapper Stats: Alex MMA

Alex MMA (alexmma)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	17 (36%)	Right	9 (47%)	Right	1 (14%)	Right	7 (33%)
Wrong	30 (64%)	Wrong	10 (53%)	Wrong	6 (86%)	Wrong	14 (67%)
Avg Odds	3.17	Avg Odds	2.76	Avg Odds	3.92	Avg Odds	3.42
Units Bet	187.7	Units Bet	74.3	Units Bet	23.0	Units Bet	90.4
Avg Bet	3.99	Avg Bet	3.91	Avg Bet	3.29	Avg Bet	4.30
Units Profit	29.51	Units Profit	21.08	Units Profit	-8.65	Units Profit	17.07
ROI %	16%	ROI %	28%	ROI %	-38%	ROI %	19%

Alex MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	9.25	5.3	57%	2.8 / 4.25 (65%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	3.1 / 4.5 (68%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	20	9.2	46%	19.2 / 10 (192%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	26	-8.7	-34%	-12.5 / 12.5 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	6.3 / 11 (57%)
13th Nov '21	UFC FN	20	25.9	130%	10.0 / 5 (200%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	18.4 / 12.5 (148%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	27.4	1.7	6%	-6.2 / 15 (-42%)		7.9 / 12.4 (64%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	40	-8.6	-22%	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)	6.4 / 25 (25%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	20	5.3	27%	15.3 / 10 (153%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
16th Oct '21	UFC FN	25	-0.6	-3%	0.0 / 10 (0%)	4.4 / 10 (44%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 5 (63%)
Losing Events: 3 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.46 units
Most Staked On One Event: 40.00 units
Best Event: 25.94 units
Worst Event: -8.71 units
Average Event: 3.69 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 27.60
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -8.71

Alex MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	9.25	5.3	57%	2.8 / 4.25 (65%)		3.1 / 4.5 (68%)	1 / (100%)	5.32
2021	178.4	24.2	14%	18.3 / 70 (26%)		14.0 / 85.9 (16%)	4 / 3 (57%)	3.46

Alex MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Alex MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	187.65	29.5	16%	21.1 / 74.25 (28%)	-8.6 / 23 (-38%)	17.1 / 90.4 (19%)

Alex MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	2 (11%)	1	50 %	12.50	-4.17	-2.08	-33%
Slight Underdogs	7 (37%)	3	43 %	32.00	-7.50	-1.07	-23%
Big Underdogs	10 (53%)	5	50 %	29.75	32.75	3.27	110%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (11%)	1	50 %	12.50	-2.00	-1.00	-16%
Co-Main Event	2 (11%)	1	50 %	10.00	0.00	0.00	0%
Position 3-5	6 (32%)	3	50 %	22.75	21.33	3.56	94%
6+ (Undercard)	9 (47%)	4	44 %	29.00	1.75	0.19	6%

Alex MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	10.00	0.00	0.00	0%
Light Heavy	1 (5%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	100%
Middleweight	4 (21%)	2	50 %	10.25	17.25	4.31	168%
Welterweight	3 (16%)	1	33 %	12.50	-4.17	-1.39	-33%
Lightweight	3 (16%)	2	67 %	11.00	7.00	2.33	64%
Featherweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	5.00	12.00	12.00	240%
Bantamweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	10.00	0.50	0.25	5%
Flyweight	1 (5%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%

Women's Fights	2 (11%)		0 %	8.50	-8.50	-4.25	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (11%)		0 %	8.50	-8.50	-4.25	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	24 (48%)	21	88 %
Slight Favorites	5 (10%)	3	60 %
Slight Underdogs	13 (26%)	1	8 %
Big Underdogs	8 (16%)	4	50 %
	50	29	58 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	1 (14%)	1	100 %
35-50%	1 (14%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	5 (71%)	1	20 %
	7	2	29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	1 (14%)	0	0 %	2.60	2.60	2.60	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (14%)	0	0 %	5.00	5.00	5.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (14%)	1	100 %	2.87	2.87	2.87	1.9 (187%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (43%)	0	0 %	5.60	6.50	5.00	-3.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (14%)	1	100 %	1.71	1.71	1.71	0.7 (71%)
	7	2	29 %	3.41			-2.4 (-35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Alex MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Oct	UFC FN	25	-0.6	-3%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$993.50
23rd Oct	UFC FN	20	5.3	27%		$9.94	$993.50	$1,046.49
30th Oct	UFC 267	40	-8.6	-22%		$10.46	$1,046.49	$956.19
6th Nov	UFC 268	27.4	1.7	6%		$9.56	$956.19	$972.00
13th Nov	UFC FN	20	25.9	130%		$9.72	$972.00	$1,224.18
20th Nov	UFC FN	26	-8.7	-34%		$12.24	$1,224.18	$1,117.50
4th Dec	UFC FN	20	9.2	46%		$11.18	$1,117.50	$1,220.87
13th Apr	UFC 300	9.25	5.3	57%		$12.21	$1,220.87	$1,285.78

ROI % from starting bank balance: 28.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Alex MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Renato Moicano	Jalin Turner	3.00	1	TKO, R2 (4:11)
2.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.00	2	TKO, R2 (3:17)
3.	Dec '21	Chris Curtis	Brendan Allen	3.75	5	TKO, R2 (1:58)
4.	Dec '21	Jose Aldo	Rob Font	2.10	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Nov '21	Joel Alvarez	Thiago Moises	3.00	5	TKO, R1 (3:1)
6.	Nov '21	Chris Curtis	Phil Hawes	3.50	2.5	TKO, R1 (4:27)
7.	Oct '21	Francisco Trinaldo	Dwight Grant	1.67	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '21	Alex Caceres	Seung Woo Choi	3.40	5	Sub, R2 (3:31)
9.	Oct '21	Andrei Arlovski	Carlos Felipe	2.00	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Holly Holm	Kayla Harrison	4.50	1	Sub, R2 (1:47)	No
2.	Apr '24	Cody Brundage	Bo Nickal	11.00	0.25	Sub, R2 (3:38)	No
3.	Nov '21	Michael Chiesa	Sean Brady	2.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Nov '21	Miesha Tate	Ketlen Vieira	1.91	7.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '21	Carlos Vergara	Ode Osbourne	2.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Nov '21	Al Iaquinta	Bobby Green	2.50	5	TKO, R1 (2:25)	No
7.	Nov '21	Andreas Michailidis	Alex Pereira	3.00	2.5	TKO, R2 (0:18)	No
8.	Oct '21	Marcin Tybura	Alexander Volkov	3.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Oct '21	Li Jingliang	Khamzat Chimaev	5.00	2.5	Sub, R1 (3:16)	No
10.	Oct '21	Brandon Davis	Danaa Batgerel	2.30	5	TKO, R1 (2:1)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Alex MMA: Progress Chart

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