MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: C Kagotho

C Kagotho (CKagotho)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	18 (42%)	Right	6 (55%)	Right	0 (0%)	Right	12 (39%)
Wrong	25 (58%)	Wrong	5 (45%)	Wrong	1 (100%)	Wrong	19 (61%)
Avg Odds	2.57	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	2.91
Units Bet	97.9	Units Bet	12.2	Units Bet	6.7	Units Bet	79.0
Avg Bet	2.28	Avg Bet	1.11	Avg Bet	6.70	Avg Bet	2.55
Units Profit	11.52	Units Profit	0.86	Units Profit	-6.70	Units Profit	17.35
ROI %	12%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	-100%	ROI %	22%

C Kagotho: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	5	-0.2	-4%	-0.2 / 5 (-4%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	10	-10.0	-100%			-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	1.2	-1.2	-100%			-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
12th Mar '22	Bellator 276	0.71	-0.7	-100%			-0.7 / 0.71 (-100%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	6.7	-6.7	-100%		-6.7 / 6.7 (-100%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	1	0.9	94%	0.9 / 1 (94%)
25th Feb '22	Bellator 275	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	2.11	0.9	43%	0.9 / 2.11 (43%)
11th Feb '22	LFA 124	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Feb '22	LFA 123	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jan '22	Bellator 273	0.35	-0.4	-100%			-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	1	3.7	369%			3.7 / 1 (369%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	5.5	0.9	16%			0.9 / 5.5 (16%)
14th Jan '22	LFA 121	3.6	-3.6	-100%			-3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	12.2	-12.2	-100%			-12.2 / 12.2 (-100%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	15.3	30.5	200%			30.5 / 15.3 (200%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	4.6	1.8	40%	0.7 / 1.5 (50%)		1.1 / 3.1 (35%)
19th Nov '21	ACA 132	0.5	0.5	109%	0.5 / 0.5 (109%)
13th Nov '21	UFC FN	3.9	-1.0	-26%	-0.9 / 0.9 (-100%)		-0.1 / 3 (-4%)
12th Nov '21	LFA 118	0.93	1.1	113%			1.1 / 0.93 (113%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	3.1	1.7	55%			1.7 / 3.1 (55%)
6th Nov '21	LFA 117	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Nov '21	Bellator 270	3.2	1.0	32%	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)		2.2 / 2 (111%)
3rd Nov '21	DWCS 2021: Week 10	6	3.8	64%			3.8 / 6 (64%)
12th Oct '21	DWCS 2021: Week 7	6	5.6	93%			5.6 / 6 (93%)

Winning Events: 12 (48%)
Losing Events: 13 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.30 units
Best Event: 30.53 units
Worst Event: -12.20 units
Average Event: 0.46 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 32.89
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -18.79

C Kagotho: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	15	-10.2	-68%	-0.2 / 5 (-4%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	/ 2 (0%)	-5.09
2022	25.17	-9.2	-36%	1.8 / 3.11 (59%)		-4.3 / 15.36 (-28%)	4 / 8 (33%)	-0.76
2021	57.73	30.9	53%	-0.8 / 4.1 (-20%)		31.7 / 53.63 (59%)	8 / 3 (73%)	2.81

C Kagotho: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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C Kagotho: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	71.61	9.1	13%	1.5 / 10.51 (14%)	-6.7 / 6.7 (-100%)	14.3 / 54.4 (26%)
Bellator	5.26	-1.0	-20%	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)		0.2 / 4.06 (4%)
Other	21.03	3.4	16%	0.5 / 0.5 (109%)		2.9 / 20.53 (14%)

C Kagotho: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (18%)	2	100 %	3.61	1.66	0.83	46%
Slight Favorites	3 (27%)	2	67 %	3.00	0.75	0.25	25%
Slight Underdogs	5 (45%)	1	20 %	4.60	-3.55	-0.71	-77%
Big Underdogs	1 (9%)	1	100 %	1.00	2.01	2.01	201%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (9%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.81	0.81	81%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	4 (36%)	1	25 %	4.20	-1.19	-0.30	-28%
6+ (Undercard)	6 (55%)	4	67 %	7.01	1.24	0.21	18%

C Kagotho: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (9%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Light Heavy	1 (9%)	1	100 %	2.11	0.91	0.91	43%
Middleweight	1 (9%)	1	100 %	1.00	2.01	2.01	201%
Lightweight	2 (18%)	2	100 %	1.50	1.49	0.74	99%
Featherweight	2 (18%)		0 %	2.20	-2.20	-1.10	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (9%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.81	0.81	81%
Flyweight	1 (9%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.75	0.75	50%

Women's Fights	2 (18%)		0 %	1.90	-1.90	-0.95	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (9%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (9%)		0 %	0.90	-0.90	-0.90	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	26 (46%)	22	85 %
Slight Favorites	22 (39%)	9	41 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (13%)	4	57 %
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	1	100 %
	56	36	64 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	12 (63%)	10	83 %
50-65%	3 (16%)	2	67 %
35-50%	3 (16%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (5%)	0	0 %
	19	12	63 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (68%)	10	77 %	1.31	1.75	1.17	0.1 (1%)
Goes to Decision	1 (5%)	0	0 %	2.32	2.32	2.32	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.57	1.57	1.57	0.6 (57%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (16%)	0	0 %	2.95	3.44	2.76	-3.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
	19	12	63 %	1.49			-2.9 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail C Kagotho's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
12th Oct	DWCS 2021: Week 7	6	5.6	93%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,056.01
3rd Nov	DWCS 2021: Week 10	6	3.8	64%		$10.56	$1,056.01	$1,096.43
5th Nov	Bellator 270	3.2	1.0	32%		$10.96	$1,096.43	$1,107.58
6th Nov	LFA 117	2	-2.0	-100%		$11.08	$1,107.58	$1,085.43
6th Nov	UFC 268	3.1	1.7	55%		$10.85	$1,085.43	$1,103.81
12th Nov	LFA 118	0.93	1.1	113%		$11.04	$1,103.81	$1,115.42
13th Nov	UFC FN	3.9	-1.0	-26%		$11.15	$1,115.42	$1,103.97
19th Nov	ACA 132	0.5	0.5	109%		$11.04	$1,103.97	$1,109.99
20th Nov	UFC FN	4.6	1.8	40%		$11.10	$1,109.99	$1,130.21
11th Dec	UFC 269	15.3	30.5	200%		$11.30	$1,130.21	$1,475.21
18th Dec	UFC FN	12.2	-12.2	-100%		$14.75	$1,475.21	$1,295.24
14th Jan	LFA 121	3.6	-3.6	-100%		$12.95	$1,295.24	$1,248.61
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	5.5	0.9	16%		$12.49	$1,248.61	$1,259.36
22nd Jan	UFC 270	1	3.7	369%		$12.59	$1,259.36	$1,305.84
29th Jan	Bellator 273	0.35	-0.4	-100%		$13.06	$1,305.84	$1,301.27
5th Feb	LFA 123	1	-1.0	-100%		$13.01	$1,301.27	$1,288.26
11th Feb	LFA 124	1	-1.0	-100%		$12.88	$1,288.26	$1,275.37
12th Feb	UFC 271	2.11	0.9	43%		$12.75	$1,275.37	$1,286.95
25th Feb	Bellator 275	1	-1.0	-100%		$12.87	$1,286.95	$1,274.08
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	1	0.9	94%		$12.74	$1,274.08	$1,286.05
5th Mar	UFC 272	6.7	-6.7	-100%		$12.86	$1,286.05	$1,199.89
12th Mar	Bellator 276	0.71	-0.7	-100%		$12.00	$1,199.89	$1,191.37
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	1.2	-1.2	-100%		$11.91	$1,191.37	$1,177.07
8th Apr	UFC 287	10	-10.0	-100%		$11.77	$1,177.07	$1,059.36
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	5	-0.2	-4%		$10.59	$1,059.36	$1,057.46

ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.75% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

C Kagotho: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '23	Rodolfo Vieira	Cody Brundage	3.01	1	Sub, R2 (1:28)
2.	Apr '23	Yadong Song	Ricky Simon	1.81	1	TKO, R5 (1:10)
3.	Feb '22	Terrance McKinney	Fares Ziam	1.94	1	Sub, R1 (2:11)
4.	Feb '22	Carlos Ulberg	Fabio Cherant	1.43	2.11	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '21	Herdeson Batista	Levan Makashvili	2.09	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '21	Cody Durden	Qileng Aori	1.50	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '23	Hailey Cowan	Jamey Lyn-Horth	2.17	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '23	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	2.49	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '23	Julian Erosa	Fernando Padilla	1.64	1	TKO, R1 (1:41)	No
4.	Nov '21	Liana Jojua	Cortney Casey	2.73	0.9	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '21	Jordan Barton	Ciaran Clarke	2.27	1.2	Sub, R3 (4:11)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

C Kagotho: Progress Chart

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