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MMA Handicapper Stats: Lucky Degenerate

Lucky Degenerate (tgreen2103)


MMA MHandicapper - Lucky Degenerate

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 10 (30%) Right 5 (28%) Right 2 (29%) Right 3 (38%)
Wrong 23 (70%) Wrong 13 (72%) Wrong 5 (71%) Wrong 5 (63%)
Avg Odds 2.56 Avg Odds 2.31 Avg Odds 2.83 Avg Odds 3.05
Units Bet 45.3 Units Bet 25.0 Units Bet 9.0 Units Bet 11.3
Avg Bet 1.37 Avg Bet 1.39 Avg Bet 1.29 Avg Bet 1.42
Units Profit -4.47 Units Profit -6.20 Units Profit -3.09 Units Profit 4.82
ROI % -10% ROI % -25% ROI % -34% ROI % 43%
View Handicapper's Profile

Lucky Degenerate: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 13.33 6.1 46% -1.9 / 6 (-32%) 0.3 / 4 (9%) 7.6 / 3.33 (230%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 7 -5.0 -72% -4.0 / 6 (-67%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 3 4 1.2 30% -0.4 / 3 (-12%) 1.5 / 1 (155%)
8th Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 2 5 -5.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 14 0.3 2% 4.1 / 6 (68%) -3.4 / 5 (-69%) -0.4 / 3 (-12%)


Winning Events: 3 (50%)
Losing Events: 3 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.00 units
Best Event: 6.08 units
Worst Event: -5.05 units
Average Event: -0.74 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 6.08
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -5.05

Lucky Degenerate: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 45.33 -4.5 -10% -6.2 / 25 (-25%) 4.8 / 11.33 (43%) 3 / 3 (50%) -0.74

Lucky Degenerate: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Lucky Degenerate: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 36.33 -0.7 -2% -1.8 / 18 (-10%) -3.1 / 9 (-34%) 4.3 / 9.33 (46%)
Other 9 -3.8 -42% -4.4 / 7 (-62%) 0.5 / 2 (27%)

Lucky Degenerate: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 3 (17%) 1 33 % 4.00 -2.05 -0.68 -51%
Slight Underdogs 13 (72%) 4 31 % 19.00 -2.15 -0.17 -11%
Big Underdogs 2 (11%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (17%) 2 67 % 4.00 3.85 1.28 96%
Co-Main Event 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Position 3-5 6 (33%) 1 17 % 10.00 -5.10 -0.85 -51%
6+ (Undercard) 8 (44%) 2 25 % 9.00 -2.95 -0.37 -33%

Lucky Degenerate: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 4 (22%) 2 50 % 5.00 2.55 0.64 51%
Middleweight 7 (39%) 2 29 % 10.00 -2.85 -0.41 -28%
Welterweight 2 (11%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%
Lightweight 3 (17%) 1 33 % 4.00 0.10 0.03 3%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 1 (6%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Strawweight 1 (6%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 16 (62%) 13 81 %
Slight Favorites 10 (38%) 7 70 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
26 20 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 2 (29%) 1 50 %
35-50% 2 (29%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 3 (43%) 1 33 %
7 2 29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (29%) 1 50 % 1.74 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was correct -0.4 (-19%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (14%) 0 0 % 2.25 2.25Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (14%) 0 0 % 2.62 2.62Pick was incorrect 2.62Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (43%) 1 33 % 4.21 7.24Pick was incorrect 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.3 (45%)
7 2 29 % 2.60     -1.0 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Lucky Degenerate's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Sep UFC FN 14 0.3 2% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,002.96
8th Sep DWCS 2021: Week 2 5 -5.0 -100% $10.03 $1,002.96 $952.82
14th Sep DWCS 2021: Week 3 4 1.2 30% $9.53 $952.82 $964.25
18th Sep UFC FN 7 -5.0 -72% $9.64 $964.25 $915.58
25th Sep UFC 266 13.33 6.1 46% $9.16 $915.58 $971.27
2nd Oct UFC FN 2 -2.0 -100% $9.71 $971.27 $951.84


ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.82% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Lucky Degenerate: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '21 Jalin Turner Uros Medic 2.05 2 Sub, R1 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '21 Carlston Harris Impa Kasanganay 1.95 1 TKO, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '21 Jailton Junior Nasrudin Nasrudinov 2.65 1 Sub, R2 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '21 Khalil Rountree Modestas Bukauskas 2.45 2 TKO, R2 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '21 Derek Brunson Darren Till 2.60 2 Sub, R3 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '21 Cody Brundage Nick Maximov 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '21 Nasrat Haqparast Daniel Hooker 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '21 Nick Diaz Robbie Lawler 2.40 2 TKO, R3 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '21 Emily Whitmire Hannah Goldy 1.80 1 Sub, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '21 Brandon Jenkins Zhu Rong 3.15 1 TKO, R3 (4:35) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '21 Mike Rodriguez Tafon Nchukwi 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '21 Antonio Arroyo Joaquin Buckley 2.65 1 TKO, R3 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '21 Ryan Spann Anthony Smith 2.35 1 Sub, R1 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '21 Ange Loosa Jack Della Maddalena 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '21 Caio Bittencourt Albert Duraev 4.20 1 Sub, R1 (3:29) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '21 Jose Alday Saimon Oliveira 2.55 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '21 Mario Sousa Chidi Njokuani 1.83 2 TKO, R3 (1:35) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '21 David Zawada Alex Morono 2.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Lucky Degenerate: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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