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MMA Handicapper Stats: Adrian Maguire

Adrian Maguire (adrianmaguiree)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	33 (33%)	Right	19 (43%)	Right	10 (24%)	Right	4 (29%)
Wrong	67 (67%)	Wrong	25 (57%)	Wrong	32 (76%)	Wrong	10 (71%)
Avg Odds	3.00	Avg Odds	2.18	Avg Odds	4.16	Avg Odds	4.57
Units Bet	97.8	Units Bet	62.3	Units Bet	27.0	Units Bet	8.6
Avg Bet	0.98	Avg Bet	1.41	Avg Bet	0.64	Avg Bet	0.61
Units Profit	-1.51	Units Profit	0.04	Units Profit	-0.80	Units Profit	-0.75
ROI %	-2%	ROI %	0%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-9%

Adrian Maguire: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	11.75	-11.8	-100%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	7.5	-4.0	-54%	-2.5 / 6 (-42%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6.75	-1.7	-26%	2.5 / 2.5 (100%)	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	4.5	1.6	35%	1.6 / 4.5 (35%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	5	-2.4	-47%	-1.4 / 4 (-34%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	8.75	-0.8	-9%	-0.0 / 8 (-0%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	4.7	-3.0	-63%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 3.2 (-45%)
2nd Mar '24	Oktagon 54	1.25	-1.3	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	1.1	2.4	214%	0.5 / 0.5 (105%)		1.8 / 0.6 (305%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	1.25	2.9	228%	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	3.1 / 1 (310%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	15.35	11.0	72%	6.5 / 10 (65%)	-0.0 / 4.5 (-0%)	4.5 / 0.85 (532%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	4.1	1.4	34%	1.5 / 4 (37%)		-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	2.25	-0.5	-20%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	0.3 / 1.5 (20%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	6.25	3.8	61%	1.1 / 5.25 (21%)	2.8 / 1 (275%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	10.25	-0.0	-0%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	3.7 / 6.5 (58%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	7	0.8	12%	2.8 / 5 (57%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

Winning Events: 7 (44%)
Losing Events: 9 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.11 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.35 units
Best Event: 10.98 units
Worst Event: -11.75 units
Average Event: -0.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 17.58
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -17.54

Adrian Maguire: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	72	-5.7	-8%	0.4 / 47.75 (1%)		-0.2 / 8.05 (-3%)	5 / 7 (42%)	-0.48
2023	25.75	4.2	16%	-0.3 / 14.5 (-2%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	2 / 2 (50%)	1.06

Adrian Maguire: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Adrian Maguire: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	87.75	0.9	1%	3.8 / 55 (7%)	-3.9 / 25.95 (-15%)	1.0 / 6.8 (15%)
PFL	8.75	-1.2	-14%	-2.8 / 6.25 (-45%)	3.1 / 1 (310%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
Other	1.25	-1.3	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

Adrian Maguire: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (10%)	4	80 %	11.00	2.49	0.50	23%
Slight Favorites	10 (21%)	6	60 %	18.50	2.36	0.24	13%
Slight Underdogs	23 (48%)	11	48 %	25.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0%
Big Underdogs	10 (21%)	1	10 %	7.75	-4.75	-0.47	-61%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (15%)	6	86 %	9.25	7.70	1.10	83%
Co-Main Event	5 (10%)	3	60 %	5.00	0.62	0.12	12%
Position 3-5	13 (27%)	6	46 %	21.00	1.93	0.15	9%
6+ (Undercard)	23 (48%)	7	30 %	27.00	-10.21	-0.44	-38%

Adrian Maguire: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (8%)	1	25 %	7.00	-3.54	-0.88	-51%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)	1	33 %	1.75	0.25	0.08	14%
Middleweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	4.00	2.00	0.67	50%
Welterweight	7 (15%)	4	57 %	7.50	2.47	0.35	33%
Lightweight	5 (10%)	2	40 %	5.75	-1.11	-0.22	-19%
Featherweight	10 (21%)	7	70 %	10.25	6.08	0.61	59%
Bantamweight	7 (15%)	3	43 %	12.50	0.26	0.04	2%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	1.50	-0.47	-0.24	-32%

Women's Fights	7 (15%)	1	14 %	12.00	-5.89	-0.84	-49%
Bantamweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	5.00	1.11	0.55	22%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Strawweight	4 (8%)		0 %	5.50	-5.50	-1.38	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	38 (75%)	33	87 %
Slight Favorites	7 (14%)	6	86 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (8%)	2	50 %
Big Underdogs	2 (4%)	0	0 %
	51	41	80 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (7%)	2	50 %
50-65%	6 (11%)	4	67 %
35-50%	8 (14%)	2	25 %
<35% chance	39 (68%)	7	18 %
	57	15	26 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (5%)	2	67 %	1.49	1.52	1.44	0.0 (1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.10	2.10	2.10	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (4%)	0	0 %	2.15	2.62	1.83	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	3 (5%)	2	67 %	1.95	2.75	1.70	0.4 (13%)
X Wins by Sub	9 (16%)	1	11 %	7.87	23.00	4.33	-4.0 (-44%)
X Wins by Decision	12 (21%)	3	25 %	3.42	7.50	2.15	1.1 (9%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (9%)	2	40 %	2.26	3.40	1.73	-0.1 (-1%)
X Wins in Round X	10 (18%)	1	10 %	4.31	23.00	0.75	-4.5 (-45%)
Others	12 (21%)	4	33 %	5.85	80.97	1.80	7.5 (63%)
	57	15	26 %	3.52			-2.5 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Adrian Maguire's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	7	0.8	12%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,008.35
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	10.25	-0.0	-0%		$10.08	$1,008.35	$1,008.35
29th Jul	UFC 291	6.25	3.8	61%		$10.08	$1,008.35	$1,047.05
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	2.25	-0.5	-20%		$10.47	$1,047.05	$1,042.34
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	4.1	1.4	34%		$10.42	$1,042.34	$1,056.82
17th Feb	UFC 298	15.35	11.0	72%		$10.57	$1,056.82	$1,172.88
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	1.25	2.9	228%		$11.73	$1,172.88	$1,206.30
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	1.1	2.4	214%		$12.06	$1,206.30	$1,234.73
2nd Mar	Oktagon 54	1.25	-1.3	-100%		$12.35	$1,234.73	$1,219.29
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	4.7	-3.0	-63%		$12.19	$1,219.29	$1,183.32
9th Mar	UFC 299	8.75	-0.8	-9%		$11.83	$1,183.32	$1,174.39
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	5	-2.4	-47%		$11.74	$1,174.39	$1,146.56
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	4.5	1.6	35%		$11.47	$1,146.56	$1,164.39
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6.75	-1.7	-26%		$11.64	$1,164.39	$1,144.01
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	7.5	-4.0	-54%		$11.44	$1,144.01	$1,097.79
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	11.75	-11.8	-100%		$10.98	$1,097.79	$968.80

ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Adrian Maguire: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Valentin Moldavsky	Ante Delija	1.73	2	TKO, R1 (2:17)
2.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
3.	Mar '24	Chris Weidman	Bruno Silva	3.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.73	3.5	TKO, R2 (0:21)
5.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.63	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '24	Jack Della Maddalena	Gilbert Burns	1.67	2.5	TKO, R3 (3:43)
7.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '24	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Mateus Mendonca	2.05	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.20	1	TKO, R2 (3:32)
10.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.22	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:32)
11.	Feb '24	Anthony Hernandez	Roman Kopylov	1.50	2	Sub, R2 (3:23)
12.	Feb '24	Merab Dvalishvili	Henry Cejudo	1.44	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.00	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:32)
14.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.05	1	TKO, R2 (3:32)
15.	Feb '24	Max Griffin	Jeremiah Wells	2.37	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.62	1	TKO, R1 (2:43)
17.	Feb '24	Hyder Amil	Fernando Garcia	1.50	1	TKO, R2 (2:12)
18.	Jul '23	Uros Medic	Matt Semelsberger	2.85	0.5	TKO, R3 (2:36)
19.	Jul '23	Alex Pereira	Jan Blachowicz	2.00	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jul '23	Justin Gaethje	Dustin Poirier	2.33	1.25	TKO, R2 (1:0)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Ty Johnson	Bryce Meredith	6.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Linton Vassell	Denis Goltsov	2.10	1.5	TKO, R3 (3:11)	No
3.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.38	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '24	Trevor Peek	Charlie Campbell	2.70	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Dylan Budka	César Almeida	1.67	1	TKO, R2 (2:13)	No
6.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.50	2	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
7.	Apr '24	Juliana Velasquez	Liz Carmouche	2.85	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '24	Herbert Burns	Julio Arce	4.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:0)	No
9.	Mar '24	Amanda Ribas	Rose Namajunas	3.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '24	Cory McKenna	Jaqueline Amorim	1.91	3	Sub, R1 (1:38)	No
11.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.88	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.91	1.5	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
14.	Mar '24	Makwan Amirkhani	Mochamed Machaev	2.30	1	TKO, R3 (0:6)	No
15.	Mar '24	Tyson Pedro	Vitor Petrino	3.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '24	Bernardo Sopai	Vinicius de Oliveira	2.10	1	TKO, R3 (4:41)	No
17.	Feb '24	Bruno Cappelozza	Vadim Nemkov	4.00	0.25	Sub, R2 (2:13)	No
18.	Feb '24	Valentine Woodburn	Oban Elliott	3.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '24	Timothy Cuamba	Bolaji Oki	2.87	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '23	Gavin Tucker	Diego Lopes	2.40	0.75	Sub, R1 (1:38)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Adrian Maguire: Progress Chart

Chart

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