MMA Handicapper Stats: Mystic Capadonna |
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Mystic Capadonna: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 11th Dec '21 |
UFC 269 |
21 |
-1.7 |
-8% |
-1.7 / 21 (-8%) |
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| 4th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
33.5 |
-14.7 |
-44% |
-5.7 / 24.5 (-23%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
| 4th Dec '21 |
Oktagon 29 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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| 3rd Dec '21 |
Bellator 272 |
28 |
2.3 |
8% |
2.3 / 28 (8%) |
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| 3rd Dec '21 |
LFA 119 |
3 |
0.8 |
26% |
0.8 / 3 (26%) |
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| 27th Nov '21 |
AMC 106 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
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| 20th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
7 |
-2.7 |
-39% |
-2.7 / 7 (-39%) |
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| 25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
5 |
0.4 |
8% |
0.4 / 5 (8%) |
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Winning Events: 3 (38%)
Losing Events: 5 (63%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.50 units
Best Event: 2.35 units
Worst Event: -14.67 units
Average Event: -3.32 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 3.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -17.38 |
Mystic Capadonna: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2021 |
108.5 |
-26.6 |
-25% |
-17.6 / 99.5 (-18%) |
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-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
3 / 5 (38%) |
-3.32 |
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Mystic Capadonna: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Mystic Capadonna: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
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UFC |
66.5 |
-18.7 |
-28% |
-9.7 / 57.5 (-17%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
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Bellator |
28 |
2.3 |
8% |
2.3 / 28 (8%) |
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| Other |
14 |
-10.2 |
-73% |
-10.2 / 14 (-73%) |
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Mystic Capadonna: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
12 (34%) |
9 |
75 % |
41.00 |
-1.64 |
-0.14 |
-4% |
| Slight Favorites |
16 (46%) |
7 |
44 % |
45.50 |
-13.34 |
-0.83 |
-29% |
| Slight Underdogs |
7 (20%) |
3 |
43 % |
13.00 |
-2.60 |
-0.37 |
-20% |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
6 (17%) |
2 |
33 % |
20.00 |
-16.39 |
-2.73 |
-82% |
| Co-Main Event |
5 (14%) |
4 |
80 % |
11.00 |
2.95 |
0.59 |
27% |
| Position 3-5 |
9 (26%) |
3 |
33 % |
28.00 |
-13.20 |
-1.47 |
-47% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
15 (43%) |
10 |
67 % |
40.50 |
9.05 |
0.60 |
22% |
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Mystic Capadonna: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
15.00 |
-5.45 |
-2.73 |
-36% |
| Light Heavy |
3 (9%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.00 |
0.51 |
0.17 |
17% |
| Middleweight |
5 (14%) |
4 |
80 % |
25.00 |
4.65 |
0.93 |
19% |
| Welterweight |
7 (20%) |
3 |
43 % |
14.00 |
-3.83 |
-0.55 |
-27% |
| Lightweight |
5 (14%) |
2 |
40 % |
9.00 |
-3.57 |
-0.71 |
-40% |
| Featherweight |
2 (6%) |
2 |
100 % |
4.00 |
4.60 |
2.30 |
115% |
| Bantamweight |
6 (17%) |
2 |
33 % |
14.50 |
-9.35 |
-1.56 |
-65% |
| Flyweight |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.00 |
-4.58 |
-2.29 |
-76% |
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| Women's Fights |
3 (9%) |
2 |
67 % |
9.00 |
-0.56 |
-0.19 |
-6% |
| Bantamweight |
1 (3%) |
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0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
0.38 |
0.38 |
8% |
| Strawweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.05 |
1.05 |
53% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
4 (80%) |
1 |
25 % |
| Slight Favorites |
1 (20%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
5 |
1 |
20 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
1 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
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1 |
0 |
0 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Does not go to Decision |
1 (100%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.53 |
1.53 |
1.53 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
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1 |
0 |
0 % |
1.53 |
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-1.0 (-100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Mystic Capadonna's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
5 |
0.4 |
8% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,003.85 |
| 20th Nov |
UFC FN |
7 |
-2.7 |
-39% |
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$10.04 |
$1,003.85 |
$976.65 |
| 27th Nov |
AMC 106 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
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$9.77 |
$976.65 |
$878.98 |
| 3rd Dec |
LFA 119 |
3 |
0.8 |
26% |
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$8.79 |
$878.98 |
$885.82 |
| 3rd Dec |
Bellator 272 |
28 |
2.3 |
8% |
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$8.86 |
$885.82 |
$906.61 |
| 4th Dec |
Oktagon 29 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
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$9.07 |
$906.61 |
$897.54 |
| 4th Dec |
UFC FN |
33.5 |
-14.7 |
-44% |
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$8.98 |
$897.54 |
$765.83 |
| 11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
21 |
-1.7 |
-8% |
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$7.66 |
$765.83 |
$752.73 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -24.73% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Mystic Capadonna: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
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| 1. |
Dec '21 |
Darian Weeks |
Bryan Barberena |
2.20 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 2. |
Dec '21 |
Brendan Allen |
Chris Curtis |
1.27 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:58) |
No |
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| 3. |
Dec '21 |
Brad Riddell |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:20) |
No |
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| 4. |
Dec '21 |
Leonardo Santos |
Clay Guida |
1.50 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:21) |
No |
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| 5. |
Dec '21 |
Bojan Velickovic |
David Kozma |
1.83 |
1 |
TKO, R4 (3:16) |
No |
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| 6. |
Dec '21 |
Killys Mota |
Mike Hamel |
1.91 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 7. |
Dec '21 |
Oliver Enkamp |
Kyle Crutchmer |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 8. |
Dec '21 |
Kyoji Horiguchi |
Sergio Pettis |
1.56 |
5 |
TKO, R4 (3:24) |
No |
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| 9. |
Nov '21 |
Aleksander Emelianenko |
Marcio Santos |
1.61 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (4:0) |
No |
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| 10. |
Dec '21 |
Randy Costa |
Tony Kelley |
1.50 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:15) |
No |
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| 11. |
Dec '21 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Kai Kara-France |
1.61 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:21) |
No |
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| 12. |
Dec '21 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Geoff Neal |
1.91 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 13. |
Dec '21 |
Louis Smolka |
Vincent Morales |
1.74 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:2) |
No |
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| 14. |
Nov '21 |
Miesha Tate |
Ketlen Vieira |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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| 15. |
Nov '21 |
Kyung Ho Kang |
Rani Yahya |
1.87 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 16. |
Dec '21 |
Jim Crute |
Jamahal Hill |
1.61 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:48) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Mystic Capadonna: Progress Chart |
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