MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Granite chin

Granite chin (AstuteSpecimen)

MMA MHandicapper - Granite chin

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	28 (49%)	Right	19 (58%)	Right	8 (36%)	Right	1 (50%)
Wrong	29 (51%)	Wrong	14 (42%)	Wrong	14 (64%)	Wrong	1 (50%)
Avg Odds	2.26	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	2.76	Avg Odds	2.33
Units Bet	201.3	Units Bet	123.8	Units Bet	73.5	Units Bet	4.0
Avg Bet	3.53	Avg Bet	3.75	Avg Bet	3.34	Avg Bet	2.00
Units Profit	37.61	Units Profit	33.12	Units Profit	1.84	Units Profit	2.65
ROI %	19%	ROI %	27%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	66%

Granite chin: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	13.2	9.6	73%	9.6 / 13.2 (73%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	18	11.2	62%	7.6 / 15 (50%)		3.6 / 3 (122%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	54.8	-3.3	-6%	-3.9 / 20.6 (-19%)	0.6 / 34.2 (2%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	19	-13.1	-69%	-5.1 / 11 (-46%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	22.5	6.2	27%	-0.3 / 21.5 (-2%)	6.5 / 1 (650%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	18.25	-0.3	-2%	2.0 / 2 (98%)	-2.3 / 16.25 (-14%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	18.5	4.2	23%	9.2 / 13.5 (68%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	12	-1.8	-15%	-0.8 / 11 (-7%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	25	24.9	100%	14.9 / 16 (93%)	10.0 / 9 (111%)

Winning Events: 5 (56%)
Losing Events: 4 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 22.36 units
Most Staked On One Event: 54.80 units
Best Event: 24.92 units
Worst Event: -13.08 units
Average Event: 4.18 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 24.92
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -16.36

Granite chin: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	201.25	37.6	19%	33.1 / 123.8 (27%)	1.8 / 73.45 (3%)	2.6 / 4 (66%)	5 / 4 (56%)	4.18

Granite chin: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Granite chin: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	201.25	37.6	19%	33.1 / 123.8 (27%)	1.8 / 73.45 (3%)	2.6 / 4 (66%)

Granite chin: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (21%)	6	86 %	33.00	7.90	1.13	24%
Slight Favorites	9 (27%)	7	78 %	35.00	17.85	1.98	51%
Slight Underdogs	12 (36%)	5	42 %	38.80	-0.51	-0.04	-1%
Big Underdogs	5 (15%)	1	20 %	17.00	7.88	1.58	46%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (12%)	2	50 %	25.00	13.92	3.48	56%
Co-Main Event	8 (24%)	5	63 %	26.50	6.85	0.86	26%
Position 3-5	10 (30%)	6	60 %	36.50	5.25	0.52	14%
6+ (Undercard)	11 (33%)	6	55 %	35.80	7.11	0.65	20%

Granite chin: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (9%)	1	33 %	6.50	-2.54	-0.85	-39%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)	1	100 %	3.20	4.58	4.58	143%
Middleweight	2 (6%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Welterweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	16.00	3.56	1.19	22%
Lightweight	5 (15%)	3	60 %	26.50	17.25	3.45	65%
Featherweight	6 (18%)	6	100 %	23.50	22.11	3.69	94%
Bantamweight	4 (12%)	3	75 %	13.50	3.22	0.81	24%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	3.85	3.85	77%

Women's Fights	8 (24%)	2	25 %	26.60	-15.90	-1.99	-60%
Featherweight	1 (3%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-4.00	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	6.50	-1.14	-0.57	-18%
Flyweight	4 (12%)	1	25 %	14.10	-8.76	-2.19	-62%
Strawweight	1 (3%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	2 (50%)	2	100 %
Slight Favorites	2 (50%)	1	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	4	3	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (5%)	1	100 %
50-65%	7 (32%)	3	43 %
35-50%	3 (14%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	11 (50%)	3	27 %
	22	8	36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision	3 (14%)	2	67 %	1.74	2.45	1.31	0.1 (4%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (9%)	1	50 %	1.75	1.83	1.67	-0.2 (-9%)
X Wins by KO	8 (36%)	2	25 %	4.43	10.45	2.02	-1.3 (-16%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (14%)	1	33 %	7.31	13.00	5.00	4.5 (150%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (9%)	1	50 %	3.96	4.20	3.75	1.7 (87%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (14%)	1	33 %	1.69	1.77	1.62	-1.3 (-44%)
Others	1 (5%)	0	0 %	1.64	1.64	1.64	-1.0 (-100%)
	22	8	36 %	2.76			2.6 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Granite chin's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th May	UFC 249	25	24.9	100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,249.20
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	12	-1.8	-15%	$15	$12.49	$1,249.20	$1,211.53
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	18.5	4.2	23%	$15	$12.12	$1,211.53	$1,247.41
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	18.25	-0.3	-2%	$15	$12.47	$1,247.41	$1,228.36
6th Jun	UFC 250	22.5	6.2	27%	$15	$12.28	$1,228.36	$1,288.91
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	19	-13.1	-69%	$15	$12.89	$1,288.91	$1,105.32
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	54.8	-3.3	-6%	$15	$11.05	$1,105.32	$1,054.06
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	18	11.2	62%	$15	$10.54	$1,054.06	$1,157.17
11th Jul	UFC 251	13.2	9.6	73%	$15	$11.57	$1,157.17	$1,253.68

ROI % from starting bank balance: 25.37% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Granite chin: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '20	Belal Muhammad	Lyman Good	1.84	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jul '20	Petr Yan	Jose Aldo	1.47	4	TKO, R5 (3:24)
3.	Jul '20	Jiri Prochazka	Volkan Oezdemir	2.43	3.2	TKO, R2 (0:49)
4.	Jun '20	Mike Perry	Mickey Gall	1.42	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jun '20	Dustin Poirier	Daniel Hooker	1.56	9	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Jul '20	Alex Volkanovski	Max Holloway	1.53	6	Split Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jun '20	Josh Emmett	Shane Burgos	2.26	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '20	Andre Fili	Charles Jourdain	1.48	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '20	Alex Caceres	Chase Hooper	2.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jun '20	Aljamain Sterling	Cory Sandhagen	1.92	2.5	Sub, R1 (1:28)
11.	Jun '20	Alex Perez	Jussier Formiga	1.77	5	TKO, R1 (4:6)
12.	May '20	Augusto Sakai	Blagoy Ivanov	1.98	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	May '20	Dan Ige	Edson Barboza	2.32	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '20	Cortney Casey	Mara Romero Borella	1.78	3	Sub, R1 (3:36)
15.	May '20	Sijara Eubanks	Sarah Moras	1.34	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '20	Nate Landwehr	Darren Elkins	2.02	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '20	Drew Dober	Alexander Hernandez	1.93	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:25)
18.	May '20	Henry Cejudo	Dominick Cruz	1.51	4	TKO, R2 (4:58)
19.	May '20	Justin Gaethje	Tony Ferguson	3.11	8	TKO, R5 (3:39)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '20	Roosevelt Roberts	Jim Miller	1.44	5	Sub, R1 (2:25)	No
2.	Jun '20	Roxanne Modafferi	Lauren Murphy	1.94	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jun '20	Cortney Casey	Gillian Robertson	2.06	4.6	Sub, R3 (4:36)	No
4.	Jun '20	Jessica Eye	Cynthia Calvillo	2.02	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '20	Karl Roberson	Marvin Vettori	3.05	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:17)	No
6.	Jun '20	Gina Mazany	Julia Avila	5.70	2.5	TKO, R1 (0:22)	No
7.	Jun '20	Tony Martin	Neil Magny	2.26	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jun '20	Raphael Assuncao	Cody Garbrandt	2.40	3	TKO, R2 (4:59)	No
9.	Jun '20	Felicia Spencer	Amanda Nunes	5.80	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	May '20	Eryk Anders	Krzysztof Jotko	2.56	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '20	Michael Johnson	Thiago Moises	2.04	2	Sub, R2 (0:25)	No
12.	May '20	Ovince St Preux	Ben Rothwell	1.86	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	May '20	Michelle Waterson	Carla Esparza	2.35	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	May '20	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Francis Ngannou	3.55	2	TKO, R1 (0:20)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Granite chin: Progress Chart

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