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MMA Handicapper Stats: Jerton Vasconcelos

Jerton Vasconcelos (jertoncvv)

MMA MHandicapper - Jerton Vasconcelos

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	41 (45%)	Right	21 (60%)	Right	12 (46%)	Right	8 (27%)
Wrong	50 (55%)	Wrong	14 (40%)	Wrong	14 (54%)	Wrong	22 (73%)
Avg Odds	2.20	Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	2.29	Avg Odds	2.74
Units Bet	156.3	Units Bet	72.5	Units Bet	27.5	Units Bet	56.3
Avg Bet	1.72	Avg Bet	2.07	Avg Bet	1.06	Avg Bet	1.88
Units Profit	-11.83	Units Profit	4.92	Units Profit	-0.65	Units Profit	-16.10
ROI %	-8%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-29%

Jerton Vasconcelos: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	13.5	-3.1	-23%			-3.1 / 13.5 (-23%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	4	-4.0	-100%			-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	24.25	-0.6	-2%	-1.3 / 21 (-6%)		0.7 / 3.25 (21%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	4	-1.5	-36%		-0.5 / 3 (-15%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	11.5	-9.5	-83%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 4 (-50%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	14	-7.5	-54%	1.5 / 5 (29%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	16	-0.2	-1%	1.0 / 6.5 (15%)	0.6 / 3 (18%)	-1.7 / 6.5 (-26%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	7	2.3	33%		1.6 / 4 (40%)	0.7 / 3 (23%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	10	-3.2	-32%	1.1 / 4 (27%)	-0.3 / 2 (-15%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	12	7.7	64%	4.1 / 8 (51%)	1.8 / 2.5 (72%)	1.8 / 1.5 (121%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	17	-4.5	-26%	-1.9 / 13 (-15%)	-0.6 / 2 (-28%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	23	12.2	53%	5.5 / 10 (55%)	0.7 / 5 (13%)	6.1 / 8 (76%)

Winning Events: 3 (25%)
Losing Events: 9 (75%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 24.25 units
Best Event: 12.24 units
Worst Event: -9.50 units
Average Event: -0.99 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 12.24
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -26.40

Jerton Vasconcelos: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	17.5	-7.1	-41%			-7.1 / 17.5 (-41%)	/ 2 (0%)	-3.57
2023	138.75	-4.7	-3%	4.9 / 72.5 (7%)		-9.0 / 38.75 (-23%)	3 / 7 (30%)	-0.47

Jerton Vasconcelos: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Jerton Vasconcelos: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	156.25	-11.8	-8%	4.9 / 72.5 (7%)	-0.7 / 27.5 (-2%)	-16.1 / 56.25 (-29%)

Jerton Vasconcelos: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (17%)	5	83 %	24.00	3.84	0.64	16%
Slight Favorites	15 (43%)	11	73 %	32.00	6.98	0.47	22%
Slight Underdogs	11 (31%)	5	45 %	13.50	-2.90	-0.26	-21%
Big Underdogs	3 (9%)	0	0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (9%)	2	67 %	6.00	0.73	0.24	12%
Co-Main Event	6 (17%)	2	33 %	16.00	-4.00	-0.67	-25%
Position 3-5	11 (31%)	7	64 %	21.00	-3.78	-0.34	-18%
6+ (Undercard)	15 (43%)	10	67 %	29.50	11.97	0.80	41%

Jerton Vasconcelos: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (11%)	2	50 %	5.00	-1.81	-0.45	-36%
Light Heavy	3 (9%)	2	67 %	7.00	-0.27	-0.09	-4%
Middleweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	2.20	2.20	44%
Welterweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	3.00	0.82	0.27	27%
Lightweight	3 (9%)	1	33 %	8.00	-0.15	-0.05	-2%
Featherweight	9 (26%)	8	89 %	15.00	8.68	0.96	58%
Bantamweight	3 (9%)	1	33 %	3.50	-2.25	-0.75	-64%
Flyweight	2 (6%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%

Women's Fights	7 (20%)	4	57 %	23.00	0.70	0.10	3%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	12.00	3.80	1.27	32%
Strawweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	10.00	-2.10	-0.70	-21%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	54 (70%)	41	76 %
Slight Favorites	19 (25%)	12	63 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (4%)	1	33 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	77	54	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (13%)	5	83 %
50-65%	17 (38%)	8	47 %
35-50%	12 (27%)	7	58 %
<35% chance	10 (22%)	2	20 %
	45	22	49 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (7%)	3	100 %	1.31	1.57	1.18	1.0 (33%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.27	1.27	1.27	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	4 (9%)	0	0 %	3.50	3.50	3.50	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	11 (24%)	4	36 %	2.39	4.25	1.71	-1.9 (-17%)
X Wins Inside Distance	20 (44%)	10	50 %	2.04	3.30	1.66	1.7 (9%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (4%)	1	50 %	3.91	6.00	2.90	0.9 (45%)
Others	4 (9%)	4	100 %	1.41	2.00	1.20	1.9 (47%)
	45	22	49 %	2.05			-1.4 (-3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Jerton Vasconcelos's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Aug	UFC 292	23	12.2	53%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,122.42
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	17	-4.5	-26%		$11.22	$1,122.42	$1,072.13
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	12	7.7	64%		$10.72	$1,072.13	$1,154.69
9th Sep	UFC 293	10	-3.2	-32%		$11.55	$1,154.69	$1,117.85
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	7	2.3	33%		$11.18	$1,117.85	$1,143.51
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	16	-0.2	-1%		$11.44	$1,143.51	$1,141.42
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	14	-7.5	-54%		$11.41	$1,141.42	$1,055.24
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	11.5	-9.5	-83%		$10.55	$1,055.24	$954.99
21st Oct	UFC 294	4	-1.5	-36%		$9.55	$954.99	$941.14
11th Nov	UFC 295	24.25	-0.6	-2%		$9.41	$941.14	$935.68
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	4	-4.0	-100%		$9.36	$935.68	$898.26
20th Jan	UFC 297	13.5	-3.1	-23%		$8.98	$898.26	$870.12

ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Jerton Vasconcelos: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (1:30)
2.	Nov '23	Jared Gordon	Mark O. Madsen	1.57	5	TKO, R1 (4:42)
3.	Nov '23	Lupita Godinez	Tabatha Ricci	1.58	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '23	Alex Pereira	Jiri Prochazka	1.72	3	TKO, R2 (4:8)
5.	Oct '23	Joaquin Buckley	Alex Morono	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '23	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Diana Belbita	1.58	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '23	Bill Algeo	Alexander Hernandez	1.72	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Sep '23	Bryce Mitchell	Dan Ige	1.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '23	Charles Jourdain	Ricardo Ramos	1.72	1	Sub, R1 (3:12)
10.	Sep '23	Miles Johns	Dan Argueta	2.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '23	Gabriel Miranda	Shane Young	2.40	1	Sub, R1 (0:59)
12.	Sep '23	Jose Mariscal	Jack Jenkins	2.70	1	TKO, R2 (3:19)
13.	Sep '23	William Gomis	Yanis Ghemmouri	1.44	1	TKO, R3 (2:20)
14.	Sep '23	Ciryl Gane	Sergey Spivak	1.57	1	TKO, R2 (3:44)
15.	Sep '23	Volkan Oezdemir	Bogdan Guskov	1.57	1	Sub, R1 (3:46)
16.	Sep '23	Manon Fiorot	Rose Namajunas	1.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Aug '23	Junior Tafa	Parker Porter	1.62	1	TKO, R1 (1:24)
18.	Aug '23	Billy Goff	Yusaku Kinoshita	2.25	1	TKO, R1 (3:49)
19.	Aug '23	Giga Chikadze	Alex Caceres	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '23	Andre Petroski	Gerald Meerschaert	1.44	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '23	Alessandro Costa	Steve Erceg	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Nov '23	Matt Frevola	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.87	1	TKO, R1 (1:31)	No
3.	Nov '23	Mackenzie Dern	Jessica Andrade	1.53	5	TKO, R2 (3:15)	No
4.	Nov '23	Sergey Pavlovich	Tom Aspinall	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (1:9)	No
5.	Oct '23	Irina Alekseeva	Melissa Dixon	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '23	Jennifer Maia	Viviane Araujo	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Oct '23	Adrian Yanez	Jonathan Martinez	2.00	2	TKO, R2 (2:26)	No
8.	Oct '23	Johnny Munoz	Qileng Aori	1.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Sep '23	Rafael Fiziev	Mateusz Gamrot	1.62	2	TKO, R2 (2:3)	No
10.	Sep '23	Tai Tuivasa	Alexander Volkov	2.87	1	Sub, R2 (4:37)	No
11.	Sep '23	Mike Mathetha	Charlie Radtke	3.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '23	Jarno Errens	Seung Woo Choi	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '23	Taila Santos	Erin Blanchfield	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Aug '23	Ryan Spann	Anthony Smith	1.72	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Jerton Vasconcelos: Progress Chart

Chart

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