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MMA Handicapper Stats: Tee Luca

Tee Luca (teelucia)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	50 (44%)	Right	15 (47%)	Right	15 (38%)	Right	20 (49%)
Wrong	63 (56%)	Wrong	17 (53%)	Wrong	25 (63%)	Wrong	21 (51%)
Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	1.85	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	1.97
Units Bet	182.2	Units Bet	62.8	Units Bet	56.8	Units Bet	62.5
Avg Bet	1.61	Avg Bet	1.96	Avg Bet	1.42	Avg Bet	1.52
Units Profit	-30.38	Units Profit	-7.94	Units Profit	-11.59	Units Profit	-10.86
ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	-20%	ROI %	-17%

Tee Luca: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
31st Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 6	5.16	-5.2	-100%	-4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)		-1.0 / 0.96 (-100%)
23rd Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 5	4.81	-2.1	-44%	-0.7 / 1.4 (-51%)	-0.4 / 2.41 (-17%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	6.03	0.9	15%	2.8 / 1 (280%)	-2.8 / 2.83 (-100%)	0.9 / 2.2 (41%)
16th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 4	3.42	-0.4	-12%	-1.4 / 1.42 (-100%)		1.0 / 2 (50%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	6.83	1.1	17%	0.7 / 1.5 (49%)	0.4 / 5.33 (8%)
12th Aug '22	Bellator 284	3.24	-3.2	-100%	-3.2 / 3.24 (-100%)
9th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 3	4.41	3.8	86%		0.4 / 0.21 (214%)	3.3 / 4.2 (79%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	4.11	2.7	65%			2.7 / 4.11 (65%)
5th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #7	1.5	0.8	52%			0.8 / 1.5 (52%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	7.13	-1.0	-14%	-1.6 / 1.63 (-100%)	-0.7 / 3.2 (-21%)	1.3 / 2.3 (57%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	9.66	-4.8	-50%		-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	-4.0 / 8.91 (-45%)
22nd Jul '22	Bellator 283	2	3.3	166%			3.3 / 2 (166%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	5.8	-1.2	-20%	1.3 / 1.5 (87%)	0.7 / 1.1 (65%)	-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	3.6	0.0	1%	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	1.6 / 2 (82%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	11.61	-8.1	-70%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	1.4 / 2.11 (66%)
1st Jul '22	PFL 2022 #6	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	10.4	0.2	2%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	2.5 / 3.65 (69%)	2.2 / 2.25 (97%)
24th Jun '22	Bellator 282	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Jun '22	PFL 2022 #5	4.1	-4.1	-100%		-4.1 / 4.1 (-100%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	17.2	-0.9	-5%	-0.5 / 4.5 (-11%)	5.6 / 6.7 (83%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Jun '22	PFL 2022 #4	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	21.65	-14.2	-65%	-4.5 / 8 (-56%)	-3.0 / 7 (-43%)	-6.7 / 6.65 (-100%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	21.05	5.1	24%	3.3 / 11.95 (27%)	0.4 / 7 (5%)	1.5 / 2.1 (69%)
3rd Jun '22	LFA 133	3.45	2.4	71%	1.2 / 2 (59%)	1.3 / 1.45 (87%)
14th May '22	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	4.5	-4.5	-100%			-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	8.5	2.8	33%	5.1 / 6.2 (82%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th May '22	Bellator 280	5	3.2	65%	3.2 / 5 (65%)

Winning Events: 12 (44%)
Losing Events: 15 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.75 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.65 units
Best Event: 5.05 units
Worst Event: -14.17 units
Average Event: -1.13 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 7.49
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -24.18

Tee Luca: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	182.16	-30.4	-17%	-7.9 / 62.84 (-13%)		-10.9 / 62.49 (-17%)	12 / 15 (44%)	-1.13

Tee Luca: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Tee Luca: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	138.07	-21.9	-16%	-2.8 / 45.58 (-6%)	-4.8 / 44.66 (-11%)	-14.3 / 47.83 (-30%)
Bellator	13.24	0.3	2%	-0.0 / 8.24 (-0%)		0.3 / 5 (6%)
PFL	9.6	-7.3	-76%		-8.1 / 8.1 (-100%)	0.8 / 1.5 (52%)
Other	21.25	-1.5	-7%	-5.2 / 9.02 (-57%)	1.3 / 4.07 (32%)	2.4 / 8.16 (29%)

Tee Luca: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (22%)	3	43 %	21.53	-4.30	-0.61	-20%
Slight Favorites	13 (41%)	7	54 %	28.74	-2.03	-0.16	-7%
Slight Underdogs	9 (28%)	3	33 %	10.95	-4.47	-0.50	-41%
Big Underdogs	3 (9%)	2	67 %	1.62	2.86	0.95	177%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (6%)	1	50 %	2.92	1.19	0.60	41%
Co-Main Event	2 (6%)	2	100 %	1.40	2.46	1.23	176%
Position 3-5	13 (41%)	5	38 %	22.89	-9.86	-0.76	-43%
6+ (Undercard)	15 (47%)	7	47 %	35.63	-1.73	-0.12	-5%

Tee Luca: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (13%)	2	50 %	7.63	0.28	0.07	4%
Middleweight	3 (9%)		0 %	4.80	-4.80	-1.60	-100%
Welterweight	7 (22%)	5	71 %	9.70	0.94	0.13	10%
Lightweight	3 (9%)	1	33 %	6.92	-2.90	-0.97	-42%
Featherweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	7.00	2.00	2.00	29%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	2.40	-0.31	-0.16	-13%
Flyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.24	-1.24	-1.24	-100%

Women's Fights	11 (34%)	5	45 %	23.15	-1.91	-0.17	-8%
Bantamweight	4 (13%)	1	25 %	9.00	-0.77	-0.19	-9%
Flyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.25	-1.25	-1.25	-100%
Strawweight	6 (19%)	4	67 %	12.90	0.12	0.02	1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	69 (95%)	50	72 %
Slight Favorites	4 (5%)	1	25 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	73	51	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	26 (36%)	19	73 %
50-65%	32 (44%)	15	47 %
35-50%	5 (7%)	3	60 %
<35% chance	10 (14%)	1	10 %
	73	38	52 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	11 (15%)	8	73 %	1.48	1.80	1.12	0.8 (7%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	26 (36%)	14	54 %	1.63	6.00	1.24	0.9 (3%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (5%)	3	75 %	1.51	1.74	1.28	0.8 (20%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	-1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.54	1.54	1.54	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.69	1.69	1.69	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (3%)	0	0 %	10.00	15.00	7.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (7%)	1	20 %	2.08	3.40	1.50	-3.5 (-70%)
X Wins Inside Distance	9 (12%)	5	56 %	1.81	5.00	1.13	-1.4 (-16%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (3%)	0	0 %	8.17	11.00	6.50	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	11 (15%)	7	64 %	1.35	2.20	1.15	-1.8 (-16%)
	73	38	52 %	1.66			-11.2 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Tee Luca's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
6th May	Bellator 280	5	3.2	65%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,032.26
7th May	UFC 274	8.5	2.8	33%		$10.32	$1,032.26	$1,060.95
14th May	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	4.5	-4.5	-100%		$10.61	$1,060.95	$1,013.21
3rd Jun	LFA 133	3.45	2.4	71%		$10.13	$1,013.21	$1,037.91
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	21.05	5.1	24%		$10.38	$1,037.91	$1,090.36
11th Jun	UFC 275	21.65	-14.2	-65%		$10.90	$1,090.36	$935.87
17th Jun	PFL 2022 #4	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.36	$935.87	$917.15
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	17.2	-0.9	-5%		$9.17	$917.15	$908.76
24th Jun	Bellator 282	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.09	$908.76	$881.50
24th Jun	PFL 2022 #5	4.1	-4.1	-100%		$8.81	$881.50	$845.36
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	10.4	0.2	2%		$8.45	$845.36	$847.17
1st Jul	PFL 2022 #6	2	-2.0	-100%		$8.47	$847.17	$830.22
2nd Jul	UFC 276	11.61	-8.1	-70%		$8.30	$830.22	$762.98
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	3.6	0.0	1%		$7.63	$762.98	$763.31
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	5.8	-1.2	-20%		$7.63	$763.31	$754.27
22nd Jul	Bellator 283	2	3.3	166%		$7.54	$754.27	$779.26
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	9.66	-4.8	-50%		$7.79	$779.26	$741.92
30th Jul	UFC 277	7.13	-1.0	-14%		$7.42	$741.92	$734.42
5th Aug	PFL 2022 #7	1.5	0.8	52%		$7.34	$734.42	$740.17
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	4.11	2.7	65%		$7.40	$740.17	$760.04
9th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 3	4.41	3.8	86%		$7.60	$760.04	$788.74
12th Aug	Bellator 284	3.24	-3.2	-100%		$7.89	$788.74	$763.19
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	6.83	1.1	17%		$7.63	$763.19	$771.88
16th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 4	3.42	-0.4	-12%		$7.72	$771.88	$768.69
20th Aug	UFC 278	6.03	0.9	15%		$7.69	$768.69	$775.42
23rd Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 5	4.81	-2.1	-44%		$7.75	$775.42	$758.93
31st Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 6	5.16	-5.2	-100%		$7.59	$758.93	$719.77

ROI % from starting bank balance: -28.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Tee Luca: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '22	Darrius Flowers	Amiran Gogoladze	3.40	0.2	TKO, R1 (1:13)
2.	Aug '22	Marcin Tybura	Alexander Romanov	3.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '22	Yazmin Jauregui	Iasmin Lucindo	1.49	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '22	Emily Ducote	Jessica Penne	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '22	Li Jingliang	Muslim Salikhov	2.40	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:38)
6.	Jun '22	Damir Ismagulov	Guram Kutateladze	1.61	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '22	Jack Della Maddalena	Ramazan Emeev	1.74	2	TKO, R1 (2:32)
8.	Jun '22	Tony Gravely	Johnny Munoz	1.74	1.2	TKO, R1 (1:8)
9.	Jun '22	Damon Jackson	Dan Argueta	1.29	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jun '22	Alexander Volkov	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.65	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:12)
11.	Jun '22	Jacobi Jones	Riley Wiseman	1.59	2	TKO, R1 (2:9)
12.	May '22	Lucie Bertaud	Katarzyna Sadura	1.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	May '22	Lupita Godinez	Ariane Carnelossi	1.50	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '22	Randy Brown	Kalinn Williams	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	May '22	Carla Esparza	Rose Namajunas	2.65	1.2	Split Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '22	Maria Silva	Viktoriya Dudakova	1.49	4.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Aug '22	Josh Wang Kim	Cameron Saaiman	1.47	1.2	TKO, R3 (2:52)	No
3.	Aug '22	Claudia Leite	Hailey Cowan	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '22	Thomas Paull	Esteban Ribovics	3.10	0.42	TKO, R1 (1:30)	No
5.	Aug '22	Bruna Ellen	Ilima-Lei Macfarlane	1.91	1.24	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '22	Austin Vanderford	Aaron Jeffery	1.53	2	TKO, R1 (1:25)	No
7.	Jul '22	Don'tale Mayes	Hamdy Abdelwahab	1.51	1.63	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '22	Tresean Gore	Cody Brundage	1.74	0.8	TKO, R1 (3:50)	No
9.	Jul '22	Jessica-Rose Clark	Julija Stoliarenko	1.67	2	Sub, R1 (0:42)	No
10.	Jul '22	Robbie Lawler	Bryan Barberena	1.80	2	TKO, R2 (4:47)	No
11.	Jun '22	Rodolfo Vieira	Chris Curtis	2.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '22	Alan Baudot	Josh Parisian	1.87	2.5	TKO, R2 (3:4)	No
13.	Jun '22	Court McGee	Jeremiah Wells	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (1:34)	No
14.	Jun '22	Steve Garcia	Hayisaer Maheshate	1.56	4	TKO, R1 (1:14)	No
15.	Jun '22	Ramona Pascual	Joselyne Edwards	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jun '22	Na Liang	Silvana Gomez Juarez	2.50	1	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
17.	Jun '22	Poliana Botelho	Karine Silva	2.10	1.25	Sub, R1 (4:55)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Tee Luca: Progress Chart

Chart

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