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MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC Predictions

UFC Predictions (UFCPredictions)


MMA MHandicapper - UFC Predictions

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 24 (56%) Right 16 (53%) Right 4 (100%) Right 4 (44%)
Wrong 19 (44%) Wrong 14 (47%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 5 (56%)
Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 1.68 Avg Odds 1.45 Avg Odds 3.27
Units Bet 208.0 Units Bet 146.0 Units Bet 16.0 Units Bet 46.0
Avg Bet 4.84 Avg Bet 4.87 Avg Bet 4.00 Avg Bet 5.11
Units Profit -6.66 Units Profit -23.24 Units Profit 6.99 Units Profit 9.59
ROI % -3% ROI % -16% ROI % 44% ROI % 21%
View Handicapper's Profile

UFC Predictions: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 66 -20.3 -31% -20.3 / 66 (-31%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 34 -9.5 -28% -13.0 / 32 (-41%) 3.5 / 2 (175%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 22 -9.9 -45% 0.1 / 12 (1%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 63 20.6 33% 7.4 / 26 (29%) 3.5 / 14 (25%) 9.7 / 23 (42%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 23 12.5 54% 2.5 / 10 (25%) 9.9 / 13 (76%)


Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 41.60 units
Most Staked On One Event: 66.00 units
Best Event: 20.58 units
Worst Event: -20.34 units
Average Event: -1.33 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 33.04
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -39.70

UFC Predictions: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 208 -6.7 -3% -23.2 / 146 (-16%) 7.0 / 16 (44%) 9.6 / 46 (21%) 2 / 3 (40%) -1.33

UFC Predictions: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFC Predictions: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 208 -6.7 -3% -23.2 / 146 (-16%) 7.0 / 16 (44%) 9.6 / 46 (21%)

UFC Predictions: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 14 (47%) 11 79 % 56.00 2.10 0.15 4%
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%
Slight Underdogs 15 (50%) 5 33 % 84.00 -19.34 -1.29 -23%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -6.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (10%) 2 67 % 12.00 -0.68 -0.23 -6%
Co-Main Event 3 (10%) 1 33 % 12.00 -9.50 -3.17 -79%
Position 3-5 6 (20%) 3 50 % 28.00 -7.82 -1.30 -28%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (60%) 10 56 % 94.00 -5.24 -0.29 -6%

UFC Predictions: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 12.00 3.96 1.98 33%
Light Heavy 5 (17%) 3 60 % 26.00 -5.60 -1.12 -22%
Middleweight 3 (10%) 2 67 % 10.00 -2.48 -0.83 -25%
Welterweight 3 (10%) 1 33 % 10.00 -7.50 -2.50 -75%
Lightweight 5 (17%) 3 60 % 30.00 -7.32 -1.46 -24%
Featherweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 18.00 -5.50 -1.38 -31%
Bantamweight 3 (10%) 1 33 % 16.00 -0.40 -0.13 -3%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -6.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 4 (13%) 3 75 % 18.00 7.60 1.90 42%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 0.50 0.50 25%
Bantamweight 3 (10%) 2 67 % 16.00 7.10 2.37 44%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (53%) 7 78 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (41%) 3 43 %
Big Underdogs 1 (6%) 0 0 %
17 10 59 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (92%) 12 100 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 1 (8%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
13 13 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 13 (100%) 13 100 % 1.28 2.75Pick was correct 1.16Pick was correct 4.5 (35%)
13 13 100 % 1.28     4.5 (35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFC Predictions's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 23 12.5 54% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,124.56
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 63 20.6 33% $11.25 $1,124.56 $1,356.04
6th Jul UFC 239 22 -9.9 -45% $13.56 $1,356.04 $1,222.33
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 34 -9.5 -28% $12.22 $1,222.33 $1,106.21
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 66 -20.3 -31% $11.06 $1,106.21 $881.21


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.88% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFC Predictions: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Mario Bautista Jin Soo Son 2.60 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Raquel Pennington Irene Aldana 2.35 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Andrei Arlovski Ben Rothwell 2.66 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Josh Emmett Mirsad Bektic 2.50 4 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.25 4 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Edmen Shahbazyan Jack Marshman 1.16 2 Sub, R1 (1:12) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Arnold Allen Gilbert Melendez 1.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Michael Chiesa Diego Sanchez 1.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Jon Jones Thiago Santos 1.16 2 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Amanda Nunes Holly Holm 1.25 2 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Jared Gordon Dan Moret 1.28 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '19 Drew Dober Marco Polo Reyes 1.28 6 TKO, R1 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '19 Eryk Anders Vinicius Moreira 1.28 6 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Alonzo Menifield Paul Craig 1.30 8 TKO, R1 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Deron Winn Eric Spicely 1.30 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Luis Pena Matt Wiman 1.22 6 TKO, R3 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Roxanne Modafferi Jennifer Maia 2.27 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Gabriel Silva Ray Borg 2.76 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Sam Alvey Klidson Farias de Abreu 2.50 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Steven Peterson Alex Caceres 2.02 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Aleksei Oleinik Walt Harris 2.45 6 TKO, R1 (0:12) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Francisco Trinaldo Alexander Hernandez 2.90 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 James Vick Daniel Hooker 2.24 6 TKO, R1 (2:33) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Rafael dos Anjos Leon Edwards 2.13 6 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Nicco Montano Julianna Pena 2.75 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Cezar Ferreira Marvin Vettori 2.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Mike Rodriguez John Allan 1.25 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Andre Fili 2.15 6 TKO, R1 (3:7) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Ricky Simon Urijah Faber 1.30 4 TKO, R1 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Ismail Naurdiev Chance Rencountre 1.18 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFC Predictions: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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