MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Hard Work

Hard Work (HardWorkMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Hard Work

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	20 (74%)	Right	13 (81%)	Right	6 (67%)	Right	1 (50%)
Wrong	7 (26%)	Wrong	3 (19%)	Wrong	3 (33%)	Wrong	1 (50%)
Avg Odds	1.66	Avg Odds	1.38	Avg Odds	2.50	Avg Odds	1.85
Units Bet	32.6	Units Bet	25.5	Units Bet	5.6	Units Bet	1.5
Avg Bet	1.21	Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	0.62	Avg Bet	0.75
Units Profit	6.97	Units Profit	2.64	Units Profit	5.10	Units Profit	-0.76
ROI %	21%	ROI %	10%	ROI %	91%	ROI %	-51%

Hard Work: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	6.83	2.5	37%	2.0 / 6.5 (30%)	0.5 / 0.33 (160%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	4	-0.8	-19%	-0.8 / 4 (-19%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	4.3	-0.4	-8%	-0.1 / 4 (-1%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	3	1.0	33%	1.0 / 3 (33%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	3	1.4	48%	0.3 / 1 (31%)	0.9 / 1.5 (59%)	0.2 / 0.5 (48%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	3	-1.0	-33%	-1.0 / 3 (-33%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	2.1	0.3	16%	0.4 / 2 (22%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	3	1.2	41%	0.7 / 2 (37%)	0.5 / 1 (48%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	2.35	3.6	154%		3.6 / 2.35 (154%)

Winning Events: 6 (60%)
Losing Events: 4 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.26 units
Most Staked On One Event: 6.83 units
Best Event: 3.61 units
Worst Event: -1.00 units
Average Event: 0.70 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.17
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -1.12

Hard Work: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	32.58	7.0	21%	2.6 / 25.5 (10%)	5.1 / 5.58 (91%)	-0.8 / 1.5 (-51%)	6 / 4 (60%)	0.70

Hard Work: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Hard Work: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	32.58	7.0	21%	2.6 / 25.5 (10%)	5.1 / 5.58 (91%)	-0.8 / 1.5 (-51%)

Hard Work: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	13 (81%)	11	85 %	20.50	2.40	0.18	12%
Slight Favorites	2 (13%)	1	50 %	4.00	-0.76	-0.38	-19%
Slight Underdogs	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.00	1.00	100%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (13%)	1	50 %	4.00	-1.40	-0.70	-35%
Co-Main Event	2 (13%)	2	100 %	2.50	0.63	0.32	25%
Position 3-5	7 (44%)	6	86 %	12.00	3.06	0.44	26%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (31%)	4	80 %	7.00	0.35	0.07	5%

Hard Work: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (6%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Light Heavy	1 (6%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Middleweight	2 (13%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.75	-0.38	-38%
Welterweight	2 (13%)	2	100 %	4.00	1.22	0.61	31%
Lightweight	5 (31%)	5	100 %	9.00	4.27	0.85	47%
Featherweight	2 (13%)	2	100 %	3.00	0.96	0.48	32%
Bantamweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.31	0.31	31%

Women's Fights	2 (13%)	2	100 %	2.50	0.63	0.32	25%
Featherweight	2 (13%)	2	100 %	2.50	0.63	0.32	25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	1 (50%)	0	0 %
Slight Favorites	1 (50%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	2	0	0 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (42%)	5	100 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	3 (25%)	2	67 %
<35% chance	4 (33%)	2	50 %
	12	9	75 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (8%)	1	100 %	1.53	1.53	1.53	0.5 (53%)
Goes to Decision	3 (25%)	3	100 %	2.66	3.10	2.38	5.1 (169%)
Fight Starts Round X	3 (25%)	3	100 %	1.14	1.22	1.08	0.4 (14%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (42%)	2	40 %	2.74	5.70	1.48	-0.0 (-0%)
	12	9	75 %	1.92			6.0 (50%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Hard Work's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Apr	UFC 236	2.35	3.6	154%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,036.08
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	3	1.2	41%		$10.36	$1,036.08	$1,048.72
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	2.1	0.3	16%		$10.49	$1,048.72	$1,052.29
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	3	-1.0	-33%		$10.52	$1,052.29	$1,041.76
8th Jun	UFC 238	3	1.4	48%		$10.42	$1,041.76	$1,056.64
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.57	$1,056.64	$1,046.07
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	3	1.0	33%		$10.46	$1,046.07	$1,056.43
6th Jul	UFC 239	4.3	-0.4	-8%		$10.56	$1,056.43	$1,052.62
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	4	-0.8	-19%		$10.53	$1,052.62	$1,044.63
27th Jul	UFC 240	6.83	2.5	37%		$10.45	$1,044.63	$1,070.82

ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Hard Work: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '19	Max Holloway	Frankie Edgar	1.30	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Jul '19	Geoff Neal	Niko Price	1.36	3	TKO, R2 (2:39)
3.	Jul '19	Cristiane Justino	Felicia Spencer	1.20	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '19	Alexander Hernandez	Francisco Trinaldo	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '19	Edmen Shahbazyan	Jack Marshman	1.25	1	Sub, R1 (1:12)
6.	Jul '19	Arnold Allen	Gilbert Melendez	1.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '19	Amanda Nunes	Holly Holm	1.33	1	TKO, R1 (4:10)
8.	Jun '19	Drew Dober	Marco Polo Reyes	1.33	3	TKO, R1 (1:7)
9.	Jun '19	Petr Yan	Jimmie Rivera	1.31	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jun '19	Frank Camacho	Nick Hein	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (4:56)
11.	May '19	Vicente Luque	Derrick Krantz	1.14	1	TKO, R1 (3:52)
12.	May '19	Charles Oliveira	Nik Lentz	1.30	1	TKO, R2 (2:11)
13.	Apr '19	Roosevelt Roberts	Thomas Gifford	1.37	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '19	Ben Rothwell	Andrei Arlovski	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '19	Luke Rockhold	Jan Blachowicz	1.50	1	TKO, R2 (1:39)	No
3.	Jun '19	Alexander Gustafsson	Anthony Smith	1.50	2	Sub, R4 (2:38)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Hard Work: Progress Chart

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