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Total MMA Handicappers: 1836
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 766

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Hard Work

Hard Work (HardWorkMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - Hard Work

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 20 (74%) Right 13 (81%) Right 6 (67%) Right 1 (50%)
Wrong 7 (26%) Wrong 3 (19%) Wrong 3 (33%) Wrong 1 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.66 Avg Odds 1.38 Avg Odds 2.50 Avg Odds 1.85
Units Bet 32.6 Units Bet 25.5 Units Bet 5.6 Units Bet 1.5
Avg Bet 1.21 Avg Bet 1.59 Avg Bet 0.62 Avg Bet 0.75
Units Profit 6.97 Units Profit 2.64 Units Profit 5.10 Units Profit -0.76
ROI % 21% ROI % 10% ROI % 91% ROI % -51%
View Handicapper's Profile

Hard Work: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 6.83 2.5 37% 2.0 / 6.5 (30%) 0.5 / 0.33 (160%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 4 -0.8 -19% -0.8 / 4 (-19%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 4.3 -0.4 -8% -0.1 / 4 (-1%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 3 1.0 33% 1.0 / 3 (33%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 3 1.4 48% 0.3 / 1 (31%) 0.9 / 1.5 (59%) 0.2 / 0.5 (48%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 3 -1.0 -33% -1.0 / 3 (-33%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 2.1 0.3 16% 0.4 / 2 (22%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 3 1.2 41% 0.7 / 2 (37%) 0.5 / 1 (48%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 2.35 3.6 154% 3.6 / 2.35 (154%)


Winning Events: 6 (60%)
Losing Events: 4 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.26 units
Most Staked On One Event: 6.83 units
Best Event: 3.61 units
Worst Event: -1.00 units
Average Event: 0.70 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.17
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -1.12

Hard Work: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 32.58 7.0 21% 2.6 / 25.5 (10%) 5.1 / 5.58 (91%) -0.8 / 1.5 (-51%) 6 / 4 (60%) 0.70

Hard Work: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Hard Work: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 32.58 7.0 21% 2.6 / 25.5 (10%) 5.1 / 5.58 (91%) -0.8 / 1.5 (-51%)

Hard Work: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 13 (81%) 11 85 % 20.50 2.40 0.18 12%
Slight Favorites 2 (13%) 1 50 % 4.00 -0.76 -0.38 -19%
Slight Underdogs 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.00 1.00 100%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (13%) 1 50 % 4.00 -1.40 -0.70 -35%
Co-Main Event 2 (13%) 2 100 % 2.50 0.63 0.32 25%
Position 3-5 7 (44%) 6 86 % 12.00 3.06 0.44 26%
6+ (Undercard) 5 (31%) 4 80 % 7.00 0.35 0.07 5%

Hard Work: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (6%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Light Heavy 1 (6%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Middleweight 2 (13%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.75 -0.38 -38%
Welterweight 2 (13%) 2 100 % 4.00 1.22 0.61 31%
Lightweight 5 (31%) 5 100 % 9.00 4.27 0.85 47%
Featherweight 2 (13%) 2 100 % 3.00 0.96 0.48 32%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.31 0.31 31%
               
Women's Fights 2 (13%) 2 100 % 2.50 0.63 0.32 25%
Featherweight 2 (13%) 2 100 % 2.50 0.63 0.32 25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 1 (50%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 1 (50%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
2 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (42%) 5 100 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 3 (25%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 4 (33%) 2 50 %
12 9 75 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (8%) 1 100 % 1.53 1.53Pick was correct 1.53Pick was correct 0.5 (53%)
Goes to Decision 3 (25%) 3 100 % 2.66 3.10Pick was correct 2.38Pick was correct 5.1 (169%)
Fight Starts Round X 3 (25%) 3 100 % 1.14 1.22Pick was correct 1.08Pick was incorrect 0.4 (14%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (42%) 2 40 % 2.74 5.70Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was correct -0.0 (-0%)
12 9 75 % 1.92     6.0 (50%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Hard Work's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Apr UFC 236 2.35 3.6 154% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,036.08
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 3 1.2 41% $10.36 $1,036.08 $1,048.72
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 2.1 0.3 16% $10.49 $1,048.72 $1,052.29
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 3 -1.0 -33% $10.52 $1,052.29 $1,041.76
8th Jun UFC 238 3 1.4 48% $10.42 $1,041.76 $1,056.64
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 1 -1.0 -100% $10.57 $1,056.64 $1,046.07
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 3 1.0 33% $10.46 $1,046.07 $1,056.43
6th Jul UFC 239 4.3 -0.4 -8% $10.56 $1,056.43 $1,052.62
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 4 -0.8 -19% $10.53 $1,052.62 $1,044.63
27th Jul UFC 240 6.83 2.5 37% $10.45 $1,044.63 $1,070.82


ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Hard Work: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Max Holloway Frankie Edgar 1.30 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Geoff Neal Niko Price 1.36 3 TKO, R2 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Cristiane Justino Felicia Spencer 1.20 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Alexander Hernandez Francisco Trinaldo 1.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Edmen Shahbazyan Jack Marshman 1.25 1 Sub, R1 (1:12) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Arnold Allen Gilbert Melendez 1.36 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Amanda Nunes Holly Holm 1.33 1 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Drew Dober Marco Polo Reyes 1.33 3 TKO, R1 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Petr Yan Jimmie Rivera 1.31 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Frank Camacho Nick Hein 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Vicente Luque Derrick Krantz 1.14 1 TKO, R1 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Charles Oliveira Nik Lentz 1.30 1 TKO, R2 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Roosevelt Roberts Thomas Gifford 1.37 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Ben Rothwell Andrei Arlovski 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Luke Rockhold Jan Blachowicz 1.50 1 TKO, R2 (1:39) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Alexander Gustafsson Anthony Smith 1.50 2 Sub, R4 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Hard Work: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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