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MMA Handicapper Stats: Elber de Araujo

Elber de Araujo (Over 2.0)

MMA MHandicapper - Elber de Araujo

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	41 (37%)	Right	21 (44%)	Right	10 (27%)	Right	10 (40%)
Wrong	69 (63%)	Wrong	27 (56%)	Wrong	27 (73%)	Wrong	15 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.81	Avg Odds	2.54	Avg Odds	3.67	Avg Odds	2.46
Units Bet	250.5	Units Bet	132.8	Units Bet	43.4	Units Bet	74.3
Avg Bet	2.28	Avg Bet	2.77	Avg Bet	1.17	Avg Bet	2.97
Units Profit	20.03	Units Profit	31.75	Units Profit	0.29	Units Profit	-12.01
ROI %	8%	ROI %	24%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-16%

Elber de Araujo: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	5.5	-0.4	-7%	1.1 / 4 (27%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	11.5	-0.5	-4%	1.5 / 9.5 (16%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	13.5	5.7	42%	10.7 / 8.5 (126%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	15.2	-9.5	-62%	-12.9 / 12.9 (-100%)		3.4 / 2.3 (149%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	10.5	5.2	49%	5.2 / 10.5 (49%)
16th Oct '21	UFC FN	4.3	-4.3	-100%	-4.3 / 4.3 (-100%)
12th Oct '21	DWCS 2021: Week 7	6	3.2	53%	3.2 / 6 (53%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	19.2	-5.2	-27%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	3.8 / 10.2 (37%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	12.5	7.3	58%	5.8 / 10.8 (54%)	1.5 / 1.7 (87%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	14.3	12.6	88%	2.5 / 3.3 (76%)	5.2 / 6 (87%)	4.9 / 5 (98%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	15.8	-7.2	-46%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-3.2 / 4.8 (-66%)	-1.1 / 8 (-14%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	17.5	-4.7	-27%	7.3 / 5.5 (133%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19	Bellator London	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
14th Jun '19	Bellator 222	2.5	3.8	151%	3.8 / 2.5 (151%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	16.7	12.3	74%	7.8 / 10 (78%)	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)	6.7 / 4.5 (149%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	11.8	0.8	7%	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)	1.7 / 1.3 (131%)	5.6 / 4 (140%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	13.3	3.5	27%	7.7 / 6 (129%)	-1.2 / 4.3 (-27%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	19.4	0.8	4%	1.2 / 7 (18%)	-2.7 / 7.4 (-36%)	2.3 / 5 (45%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	21.5	-4.8	-22%	2.1 / 6 (35%)	0.2 / 2.5 (10%)	-7.2 / 13 (-55%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	13	7.9	61%	7.0 / 8 (88%)		0.9 / 5 (17%)

Winning Events: 11 (55%)
Losing Events: 9 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.28 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.50 units
Best Event: 12.63 units
Worst Event: -9.48 units
Average Event: 1.25 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 21.24
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.40

Elber de Araujo: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	66.5	-0.6	-1%	4.5 / 55.7 (8%)		-5.1 / 10.8 (-47%)	3 / 4 (43%)	-0.09
2019	179	25.7	14%	27.3 / 77.1 (35%)	0.3 / 43.4 (1%)	-1.9 / 58.5 (-3%)	8 / 5 (62%)	1.97

Elber de Araujo: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Elber de Araujo: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	235.5	19.6	8%	26.3 / 122.8 (21%)	0.3 / 43.4 (1%)	-7.0 / 69.3 (-10%)
Bellator	4	2.3	57%	2.3 / 4 (57%)
Other	6	3.2	53%	3.2 / 6 (53%)

Elber de Araujo: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	1 (2%)	1	100 %	6.00	5.46	5.46	91%
Slight Underdogs	37 (74%)	19	51 %	104.30	39.98	1.08	38%
Big Underdogs	12 (24%)	2	17 %	22.50	-13.69	-1.14	-61%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (14%)	4	57 %	23.50	10.05	1.44	43%
Co-Main Event	2 (4%)	0	0 %	4.00	-4.00	-2.00	-100%
Position 3-5	9 (18%)	5	56 %	24.20	17.20	1.91	71%
6+ (Undercard)	32 (64%)	13	41 %	81.10	8.50	0.27	10%

Elber de Araujo: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	9.00	11.32	5.66	126%
Light Heavy	4 (8%)	1	25 %	9.00	1.80	0.45	20%
Middleweight	7 (14%)	2	29 %	22.50	-1.84	-0.26	-8%
Welterweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	9.00	1.00	0.33	11%
Lightweight	4 (8%)	1	25 %	10.20	-2.08	-0.52	-20%
Featherweight	6 (12%)	3	50 %	11.70	1.13	0.19	10%
Bantamweight	11 (22%)	7	64 %	30.10	21.52	1.96	72%
Flyweight	2 (4%)		0 %	4.50	-4.50	-2.25	-100%

Women's Fights	11 (22%)	4	36 %	26.80	3.39	0.31	13%
Featherweight	1 (2%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	7.00	10.75	5.37	154%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Strawweight	7 (14%)	2	29 %	15.80	-3.36	-0.48	-21%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	22 (51%)	17	77 %
Slight Favorites	20 (47%)	11	55 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	43	28	65 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	10 (19%)	6	60 %
50-65%	8 (15%)	7	88 %
35-50%	11 (21%)	5	45 %
<35% chance	23 (44%)	3	13 %
	52	21	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (4%)	2	100 %	1.39	1.57	1.25	0.8 (41%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.21	1.21	1.21	-1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	3 (6%)	2	67 %	1.76	2.15	1.40	1.0 (35%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.87	1.87	1.87	0.9 (87%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (4%)	1	50 %	1.36	1.42	1.30	-0.6 (-29%)
X Wins by KO	5 (10%)	4	80 %	1.90	7.50	1.36	1.5 (30%)
X Wins by Decision	17 (33%)	3	18 %	3.30	10.35	2.20	-7.2 (-42%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (10%)	4	80 %	1.72	2.00	1.49	1.8 (35%)
X Wins in Round X	12 (23%)	2	17 %	6.96	36.00	2.75	-3.3 (-27%)
Others	4 (8%)	2	50 %	1.95	7.50	1.30	-0.2 (-6%)
	52	21	40 %	2.54			-6.2 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Elber de Araujo's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Apr	UFC 236	13	7.9	61%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,078.68
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	21.5	-4.8	-22%		$10.79	$1,078.68	$1,026.99
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	19.4	0.8	4%		$10.27	$1,026.99	$1,035.54
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	13.3	3.5	27%		$10.36	$1,035.54	$1,072.19
11th May	UFC 237	11.8	0.8	7%		$10.72	$1,072.19	$1,080.86
8th Jun	UFC 238	16.7	12.3	74%		$10.81	$1,080.86	$1,213.61
14th Jun	Bellator 222	2.5	3.8	151%		$12.14	$1,213.61	$1,259.42
22nd Jun	Bellator London	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$12.59	$1,259.42	$1,240.53
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	17.5	-4.7	-27%		$12.41	$1,240.53	$1,182.66
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	15.8	-7.2	-46%		$11.83	$1,182.66	$1,097.06
6th Jul	UFC 239	14.3	12.6	88%		$10.97	$1,097.06	$1,235.66
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	12.5	7.3	58%		$12.36	$1,235.66	$1,325.72
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	19.2	-5.2	-27%		$13.26	$1,325.72	$1,257.05
12th Oct	DWCS 2021: Week 7	6	3.2	53%		$12.57	$1,257.05	$1,297.28
16th Oct	UFC FN	4.3	-4.3	-100%		$12.97	$1,297.28	$1,241.49
23rd Oct	UFC FN	10.5	5.2	49%		$12.41	$1,241.49	$1,305.55
30th Oct	UFC 267	15.2	-9.5	-62%		$13.06	$1,305.55	$1,181.81
4th Dec	UFC FN	13.5	5.7	42%		$11.82	$1,181.81	$1,249.18
11th Dec	UFC 269	11.5	-0.5	-4%		$12.49	$1,249.18	$1,242.93
18th Dec	UFC FN	5.5	-0.4	-7%		$12.43	$1,242.93	$1,237.96

ROI % from starting bank balance: 23.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Elber de Araujo: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '21	Melissa Gatto	Sijara Eubanks	2.55	2	TKO, R3 (0:45)
2.	Dec '21	Tony Kelley	Randy Costa	2.75	4	TKO, R2 (4:15)
3.	Dec '21	Vincent Morales	Louis Smolka	2.20	3.5	TKO, R1 (2:2)
4.	Dec '21	Jose Aldo	Rob Font	2.30	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Oct '21	Randa Markos	Livia Renata Souza	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '21	Gregory Rodrigues	Jun Yong Park	1.91	6	TKO, R2 (3:13)
7.	Oct '21	Viacheslav Borshchev	Chris Duncan (2)	2.30	4	TKO, R2 (0:28)
8.	Jul '19	Benito Lopez	Vincent Morales	2.20	1.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '19	Germaine de Randamie	Aspen Ladd	2.53	5	TKO, R1 (0:16)
10.	Jul '19	Jorge Masvidal	Ben Askren	2.90	2	TKO, R1 (0:5)
11.	Jun '19	Dan Ige	Kevin Aguilar	2.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jun '19	Chan Sung Jung	Renato Moicano	3.01	1	TKO, R1 (0:58)
13.	Jun '19	Dan Ige	Kevin Aguilar	2.15	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '19	Kyoji Horiguchi	Darrion Caldwell	2.51	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Jun '19	Henry Cejudo	Marlon Moraes	2.13	3	TKO, R3 (4:51)
16.	Jun '19	Blagoy Ivanov	Tai Tuivasa	2.28	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '19	Vincent Morales	Aiemann Zahabi	2.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	May '19	Arjan Bhullar	Juan Adams	2.23	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '19	Carla Esparza	Virna Jandiroba	2.06	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Apr '19	Magomed Mustafaev	Rafael Fiziev	2.03	4	TKO, R1 (1:26)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '21	Macy Chiasson	Raquel Pennington	2.72	2	Sub, R2 (3:7)	No
2.	Dec '21	Dan Ige	Josh Emmett	2.85	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '21	Jordan Wright	Bruno Silva	4.00	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:28)	No
4.	Dec '21	Eryk Anders	Andre Muniz	2.25	2	Sub, R1 (3:13)	No
5.	Oct '21	Hu Yaozong	Andre Petroski	3.25	5	Sub, R3 (4:46)	No
6.	Oct '21	Ricardo Ramos	Zubaira Tukhugov	2.50	2.7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Oct '21	Volkan Oezdemir	Magomed Ankalaev	3.75	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '21	Daniel Hooker	Islam Makhachev	6.00	1.7	Sub, R1 (2:25)	No
9.	Oct '21	Cory Sandhagen	Petr Yan	2.80	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Oct '21	Daniel Lacerda	Jeff Molina	2.50	2.5	TKO, R2 (0:46)	No
11.	Oct '21	Istela Nunes	Ariane Carnelossi	2.40	2	Sub, R3 (2:57)	No
12.	Oct '21	Brandon Davis	Danaa Batgerel	2.55	2.3	TKO, R1 (2:1)	No
13.	Oct '21	Mitch Raposo	Jake Hadley	3.65	2	Sub, R2 (3:11)	No
14.	Jul '19	Roxanne Modafferi	Jennifer Maia	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '19	Rafael dos Anjos	Leon Edwards	2.07	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
16.	Jul '19	Livia Renata Souza	Brianna Van Buren	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '19	Cezar Ferreira	Marvin Vettori	2.23	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jun '19	Dequan Townsend	Dalcha Lungiambula	3.00	1.5	TKO, R3 (0:42)	No
19.	Jul '19	Randa Markos	Claudia Gadelha	3.44	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jun '19	Dan Moret	Jared Gordon	4.09	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Elber de Araujo: Progress Chart

Chart

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