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MMA Handicapper Stats: Sean Botelho

Sean Botelho (STaylor)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	65 (49%)	Right	64 (50%)	Right	1 (25%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	69 (51%)	Wrong	65 (50%)	Wrong	3 (75%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	3.97	Avg Odds	2.37
Units Bet	886.5	Units Bet	873.5	Units Bet	8.0	Units Bet	5.0
Avg Bet	6.62	Avg Bet	6.77	Avg Bet	2.00	Avg Bet	5.00
Units Profit	4.84	Units Profit	13.49	Units Profit	-3.65	Units Profit	-5.00
ROI %	1%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	-46%	ROI %	-100%

Sean Botelho: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	11	6.7	61%	6.7 / 11 (61%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	88	10.9	12%	10.9 / 88 (12%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	66	-6.5	-10%	-6.5 / 66 (-10%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	91.5	12.2	13%	12.2 / 91.5 (13%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	44	-10.4	-24%	-10.4 / 44 (-24%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	74	6.0	8%	6.0 / 74 (8%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	61	-42.3	-69%	-42.3 / 61 (-69%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	78.5	-47.6	-61%	-47.6 / 78.5 (-61%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	40.5	23.6	58%	23.6 / 40.5 (58%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	60.5	-11.6	-19%	-2.9 / 47.5 (-6%)	-3.7 / 8 (-46%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	57.5	56.9	99%	56.9 / 57.5 (99%)
14th Jun '19	Bellator 222	21.5	-6.7	-31%	-6.7 / 21.5 (-31%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	43.5	0.9	2%	0.9 / 43.5 (2%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	10	21.0	210%	21.0 / 10 (210%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	16	-16.0	-100%	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	37.5	-2.5	-7%	-2.5 / 37.5 (-7%)
11th May '19	Bellator 221	5	2.0	40%	2.0 / 5 (40%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	16	0.3	2%	0.3 / 16 (2%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	11.5	3.2	28%	3.2 / 11.5 (28%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	16.5	-3.0	-18%	-3.0 / 16.5 (-18%)
31st Mar '19	One FC - A New Era	6	-1.2	-20%	-1.2 / 6 (-20%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	13.5	-0.5	-4%	-0.5 / 13.5 (-4%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	17	9.3	55%	9.3 / 17 (55%)

Winning Events: 12 (52%)
Losing Events: 11 (48%)

Average Staked Per Event: 38.54 units
Most Staked On One Event: 91.50 units
Best Event: 56.94 units
Worst Event: -47.55 units
Average Event: 0.21 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 56.94
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -89.86

Sean Botelho: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	886.5	4.8	1%	13.5 / 873.5 (2%)	-3.7 / 8 (-46%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	12 / 11 (52%)	0.21

Sean Botelho: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Sean Botelho: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	854	10.8	1%	19.4 / 841 (2%)	-3.7 / 8 (-46%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
Bellator	26.5	-4.7	-18%	-4.7 / 26.5 (-18%)
Other	6	-1.2	-20%	-1.2 / 6 (-20%)

Sean Botelho: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	29 (22%)	20	69 %	244.50	-7.19	-0.25	-3%
Slight Favorites	50 (38%)	23	46 %	345.00	-72.72	-1.45	-21%
Slight Underdogs	30 (23%)	15	50 %	191.00	58.47	1.95	31%
Big Underdogs	22 (17%)	6	27 %	93.00	34.93	1.59	38%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (11%)	8	57 %	101.50	26.58	1.90	26%
Co-Main Event	16 (12%)	13	81 %	125.00	61.95	3.87	50%
Position 3-5	36 (27%)	17	47 %	187.50	35.39	0.98	19%
6+ (Undercard)	65 (50%)	26	40 %	459.50	-110.44	-1.70	-24%

Sean Botelho: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (7%)	3	33 %	67.50	-22.75	-2.53	-34%
Light Heavy	11 (8%)	6	55 %	84.00	25.84	2.35	31%
Middleweight	15 (11%)	8	53 %	81.00	28.09	1.87	35%
Welterweight	14 (11%)	8	57 %	98.50	21.88	1.56	22%
Lightweight	16 (12%)	8	50 %	102.00	0.04	0.00	0%
Featherweight	16 (12%)	8	50 %	102.00	0.48	0.03	0%
Bantamweight	19 (15%)	11	58 %	133.50	2.16	0.11	2%
Flyweight	4 (3%)	3	75 %	28.00	14.66	3.67	52%

Women's Fights	27 (21%)	9	33 %	177.00	-56.90	-2.11	-32%
Featherweight	3 (2%)	2	67 %	24.00	1.70	0.57	7%
Bantamweight	5 (4%)	1	20 %	23.50	-11.25	-2.25	-48%
Flyweight	6 (5%)	3	50 %	52.00	4.23	0.71	8%
Strawweight	13 (10%)	3	23 %	77.50	-51.59	-3.97	-67%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	2 (100%)	1	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	2	1	50 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	1 (25%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	3 (75%)	1	33 %
	4	1	25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	1 (25%)	0	0 %	12.00	12.00	12.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (25%)	0	0 %	2.25	2.25	2.25	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (25%)	1	100 %	4.35	4.35	4.35	3.3 (335%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (25%)	0	0 %	4.00	4.00	4.00	-1.0 (-100%)
	4	1	25 %	3.97			0.3 (9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Sean Botelho's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	17	9.3	55%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,093.13
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	13.5	-0.5	-4%		$10.93	$1,093.13	$1,087.39
31st Mar	One FC - A New Era	6	-1.2	-20%		$10.87	$1,087.39	$1,074.54
13th Apr	UFC 236	16.5	-3.0	-18%		$10.75	$1,074.54	$1,041.94
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	11.5	3.2	28%		$10.42	$1,041.94	$1,075.43
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	16	0.3	2%		$10.75	$1,075.43	$1,078.71
11th May	Bellator 221	5	2.0	40%		$10.79	$1,078.71	$1,100.29
11th May	UFC 237	37.5	-2.5	-7%		$11.00	$1,100.29	$1,073.24
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	16	-16.0	-100%		$10.73	$1,073.24	$901.52
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	10	21.0	210%		$9.02	$901.52	$1,090.84
8th Jun	UFC 238	43.5	0.9	2%		$10.91	$1,090.84	$1,100.84
14th Jun	Bellator 222	21.5	-6.7	-31%		$11.01	$1,100.84	$1,026.67
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	57.5	56.9	99%		$10.27	$1,026.67	$1,611.29
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	60.5	-11.6	-19%		$16.11	$1,611.29	$1,424.79
6th Jul	UFC 239	40.5	23.6	58%		$14.25	$1,424.79	$1,761.31
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	78.5	-47.6	-61%		$17.61	$1,761.31	$923.74
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	61	-42.3	-69%		$9.24	$923.74	$532.96
27th Jul	UFC 240	74	6.0	8%		$5.33	$532.96	$565.15
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	44	-10.4	-24%		$5.65	$565.15	$506.13
17th Aug	UFC 241	91.5	12.2	13%		$5.06	$506.13	$567.82
7th Sep	UFC 242	66	-6.5	-10%		$5.68	$567.82	$531.04
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	88	10.9	12%		$5.31	$531.04	$589.04
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	11	6.7	61%		$5.89	$589.04	$628.31

ROI % from starting bank balance: -37.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Sean Botelho: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '19	Marlon Vera	Andre Ewell	1.61	11	TKO, R3 (3:17)
2.	Sep '19	Augusto Sakai	Marcin Tybura	2.00	11	TKO, R1 (0:59)
3.	Sep '19	Miles Johns	Cole Smith	1.71	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Sep '19	Misha Cirkunov	Jim Crute	1.80	11	Sub, R1 (3:38)
5.	Sep '19	Glover Teixeira	Nikita Krylov	1.95	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Sep '19	Justin Gaethje	Donald Cerrone	1.53	11	TKO, R1 (4:18)
7.	Sep '19	Paul Felder	Edson Barboza	2.30	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Sep '19	Omari Akhmedov	Zak Cummings	1.83	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '19	Islam Makhachev	Davi Ramos	1.28	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Aug '19	Kyung Ho Kang	Brandon Davis	1.50	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Aug '19	Casey Kenney	Manny Bermudez	2.10	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Aug '19	Cory Sandhagen	Raphael Assuncao	1.48	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Aug '19	Nate Diaz	Anthony Pettis	2.10	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Aug '19	Derek Brunson	Ian Heinisch	2.25	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Aug '19	Vicente Luque	Mike Perry	1.44	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Aug '19	Volkan Oezdemir	Ilir Latifi	1.61	11	TKO, R2 (4:31)
17.	Jul '19	Cristiane Justino	Felicia Spencer	1.18	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jul '19	Max Holloway	Frankie Edgar	1.27	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Jul '19	Viviane Araujo	Alexis Davis	1.53	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jul '19	Arman Tsarukyan	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	1.48	11	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '19	Brad Katona	Hunter Azure	1.63	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '19	Jordan Griffin	Chas Skelly	1.63	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '19	Ryan MacDonald	Louis Smolka	3.05	11	TKO, R1 (4:43)	No
4.	Sep '19	Nordine Taleb	Muslim Salikhov	1.80	11	TKO, R1 (4:26)	No
5.	Sep '19	Mairbek Taisumov	Carlos Diego Ferreira	1.36	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '19	Andrea Lee	Joanne Wood	1.44	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '19	Jodie Esquibel	Hannah Cifers	3.15	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '19	Devonte Smith	Khama Worthy	1.12	11	TKO, R1 (4:15)	No
9.	Aug '19	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	1.71	11	TKO, R4 (4:9)	No
10.	Aug '19	Gabriel Benitez	Sodiq Yusuff	3.85	1	TKO, R1 (4:14)	No
11.	Aug '19	Yoel Romero	Paulo Costa	1.61	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '19	Alexey Kunchenko	Gilbert Burns	1.67	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '19	Tecia Torres	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.63	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jul '19	Seung Woo Choi	Gavin Tucker	1.83	10	Sub, R3 (3:17)	No
15.	Jul '19	Sarah Frota	Gillian Robertson	2.05	10	TKO, R2 (4:13)	No
16.	Jul '19	Roxanne Modafferi	Jennifer Maia	2.15	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '19	Gabriel Silva	Ray Borg	2.75	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jul '19	Jin Soo Son	Mario Bautista	1.49	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jul '19	Sam Alvey	Klidson Farias de Abreu	2.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jul '19	Irene Aldana	Raquel Pennington	1.69	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Sean Botelho: Progress Chart

Chart

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