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Total MMA Handicappers: 1995
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 814

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Process

The Process (TheProcess)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - The Process

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 89 (44%) Right 47 (49%) Right 23 (38%) Right 19 (39%)
Wrong 115 (56%) Wrong 48 (51%) Wrong 37 (62%) Wrong 30 (61%)
Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 2.11 Avg Odds 2.41 Avg Odds 2.47
Units Bet 290.5 Units Bet 166.5 Units Bet 63.7 Units Bet 60.2
Avg Bet 1.42 Avg Bet 1.75 Avg Bet 1.06 Avg Bet 1.23
Units Profit 18.87 Units Profit 16.19 Units Profit 1.78 Units Profit 0.90
ROI % 6% ROI % 10% ROI % 3% ROI % 1%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Process: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 12.4 6.5 53% 4.4 / 9.9 (44%) 0.8 / 1.5 (54%) 1.4 / 1 (135%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 5.02 4.4 87% 1.9 / 3 (62%) 1.5 / 1.02 (147%) 1.0 / 1 (103%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 4.46 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.46 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 4.63 -0.9 -19% 0.1 / 3.63 (3%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 6.89 6.9 100% 4.9 / 4 (124%) 2.0 / 2.89 (67%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 4.15 -1.6 -37% -1.6 / 4.15 (-37%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 8.4 -4.7 -57% -4.7 / 8.4 (-57%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 6.13 2.7 44% 1.4 / 3.63 (39%) 1.3 / 2.5 (51%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 7.9 -5.0 -63% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 3.4 (-15%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 9.27 1.6 17% -2.2 / 5.77 (-38%) 1.2 / 1.5 (80%) 2.6 / 2 (128%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 12.06 4.5 37% 3.6 / 6.7 (54%) -3.1 / 3.14 (-100%) 4.0 / 2.22 (181%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 8.93 0.2 2% -0.3 / 4 (-6%) 2.0 / 3.43 (57%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 6.15 -6.2 -100% -4.1 / 4.11 (-100%) -2.0 / 2.04 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 5.53 0.8 14% 2.3 / 4 (57%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1.03 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 8.34 7.6 91% 9.7 / 6.21 (157%) -2.1 / 2.13 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 14.37 -3.3 -23% -0.6 / 11.67 (-5%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 11.59 9.6 83% 8.8 / 6.3 (140%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) 2.1 / 3.99 (53%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 13.68 -4.9 -36% -3.8 / 3.8 (-100%) -0.3 / 6.88 (-5%) -0.7 / 3 (-25%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 14.89 3.8 26% 6.5 / 7.6 (85%) -3.3 / 3.29 (-100%) 0.7 / 4 (16%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 13.15 -1.1 -8% 1.0 / 5.98 (17%) -1.7 / 1.67 (-100%) -0.4 / 5.5 (-8%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 12.01 0.4 3% -2.9 / 7.7 (-37%) 1.6 / 1 (163%) 1.6 / 3.31 (49%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 9.62 6.7 70% 0.1 / 3.89 (3%) 6.6 / 5.73 (115%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 12.24 -7.8 -63% -7.8 / 12.24 (-63%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 6.94 -3.5 -50% -3.2 / 3.24 (-100%) 1.8 / 1.7 (105%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 8.38 -1.0 -12% -0.4 / 3.74 (-10%) 1.6 / 2.48 (63%) -2.2 / 2.16 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 9.29 5.3 57% 3.3 / 5.29 (63%) 3.0 / 3 (100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 11.61 2.4 21% 2.4 / 9.01 (27%) 1.5 / 1 (155%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 1.2 1.0 83% 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5.21 -2.1 -39% -3.2 / 3.2 (-100%) 1.1 / 2.01 (57%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 8.59 -2.2 -26% 1.2 / 3 (38%) -1.2 / 3.35 (-34%) -2.2 / 2.24 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 9.48 1.9 20% 4.9 / 4.33 (114%) 0.0 / 2.15 (0%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 9.2 1.2 13% -1.1 / 3.37 (-32%) -0.4 / 2.55 (-14%) 2.7 / 3.28 (81%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 8.75 -0.2 -3% 3.5 / 2 (175%) -2.2 / 3.75 (-59%) -1.5 / 3 (-50%)


Winning Events: 18 (55%)
Losing Events: 15 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.89 units
Best Event: 9.60 units
Worst Event: -7.76 units
Average Event: 0.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.92
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.20

The Process: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 218.75 12.5 6% 4.5 / 131.36 (3%) -0.6 / 45.44 (-1%) 8.6 / 41.95 (20%) 13 / 11 (54%) 0.52
2018 71.71 6.4 9% 11.7 / 35.14 (33%) 2.4 / 18.28 (13%) -7.7 / 18.29 (-42%) 5 / 4 (56%) 0.71

The Process: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Process: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 286 23.3 8% 20.7 / 162.04 (13%) 1.8 / 63.72 (3%) 0.9 / 60.24 (1%)
Other 4.46 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.46 (-100%)

The Process: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (2%) 2 100 % 7.00 3.38 1.69 48%
Slight Favorites 38 (40%) 18 47 % 77.00 -12.17 -0.32 -16%
Slight Underdogs 43 (45%) 21 49 % 65.73 7.38 0.17 11%
Big Underdogs 12 (13%) 6 50 % 16.77 17.61 1.47 105%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (6%) 4 67 % 11.80 0.80 0.13 7%
Co-Main Event 10 (11%) 8 80 % 20.02 10.79 1.08 54%
Position 3-5 28 (29%) 12 43 % 44.52 -5.65 -0.20 -13%
6+ (Undercard) 51 (54%) 23 45 % 90.16 10.24 0.20 11%

The Process: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 15 (16%) 8 53 % 26.54 -1.06 -0.07 -4%
Light Heavy 9 (9%) 5 56 % 11.80 5.03 0.56 43%
Middleweight 10 (11%) 4 40 % 20.06 -1.20 -0.12 -6%
Welterweight 9 (9%) 7 78 % 15.61 12.95 1.44 83%
Lightweight 11 (12%) 5 45 % 15.47 -0.17 -0.02 -1%
Featherweight 18 (19%) 10 56 % 34.37 7.67 0.43 22%
Bantamweight 11 (12%) 4 36 % 20.89 0.46 0.04 2%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 7.30 0.50 0.13 7%
               
Women's Fights 8 (8%) 2 25 % 14.46 -8.01 -1.00 -55%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 0 % 1.19 -1.19 -1.19 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 5.14 -2.74 -0.91 -53%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 8.13 -4.08 -1.02 -50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 68 (63%) 52 76 %
Slight Favorites 37 (34%) 21 57 %
Slight Underdogs 3 (3%) 1 33 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
108 74 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 7 (11%) 6 86 %
50-65% 17 (26%) 7 41 %
35-50% 22 (34%) 11 50 %
<35% chance 19 (29%) 3 16 %
65 27 42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (9%) 2 33 % 1.86 1.95Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct -2.4 (-40%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 21 (32%) 9 43 % 1.97 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.19Pick was correct -3.6 (-17%)
Does not go to Decision 13 (20%) 9 69 % 1.92 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was correct 4.5 (34%)
X Wins by KO 8 (12%) 1 13 % 3.32 5.99Pick was incorrect 1.90Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-62%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (5%) 0 0 % 4.86 12.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (6%) 2 50 % 3.39 6.12Pick was correct 2.55Pick was correct 4.7 (117%)
X Wins in Round X 8 (12%) 2 25 % 3.54 12.25Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -2.6 (-33%)
Others 2 (3%) 2 100 % 1.93 2.00Pick was correct 1.87Pick was correct 1.9 (93%)
65 27 42 % 2.31     -5.6 (-9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Process's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
3rd Nov UFC 230 8.75 -0.2 -3% $10.00 $1,000.00 $997.80
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 9.2 1.2 13% $9.98 $997.80 $1,010.07
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 9.48 1.9 20% $10.10 $1,010.07 $1,029.46
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 8.59 -2.2 -26% $10.29 $1,029.46 $1,006.40
30th Nov TUF Finale 5.21 -2.1 -39% $10.06 $1,006.40 $985.76
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 1.2 1.0 83% $9.86 $985.76 $995.62
8th Dec UFC 231 11.61 2.4 21% $9.96 $995.62 $1,019.44
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 9.29 5.3 57% $10.19 $1,019.44 $1,073.71
29th Dec UFC 232 8.38 -1.0 -12% $10.74 $1,073.71 $1,063.13
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 6.94 -3.5 -50% $10.63 $1,063.13 $1,026.40
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 12.24 -7.8 -63% $10.26 $1,026.40 $946.74
9th Feb UFC 234 9.62 6.7 70% $9.47 $946.74 $1,010.15
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 12.01 0.4 3% $10.10 $1,010.15 $1,014.33
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 13.15 -1.1 -8% $10.14 $1,014.33 $1,003.54
2nd Mar UFC 235 14.89 3.8 26% $10.04 $1,003.54 $1,041.87
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 13.68 -4.9 -36% $10.42 $1,041.87 $991.06
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 11.59 9.6 83% $9.91 $991.06 $1,086.17
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 14.37 -3.3 -23% $10.86 $1,086.17 $1,050.72
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 8.34 7.6 91% $10.51 $1,050.72 $1,130.67
13th Apr UFC 236 5.53 0.8 14% $11.31 $1,130.67 $1,139.21
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 6.15 -6.2 -100% $11.39 $1,139.21 $1,069.15
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 8.93 0.2 2% $10.69 $1,069.15 $1,071.34
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 12.06 4.5 37% $10.71 $1,071.34 $1,119.64
11th May UFC 237 9.27 1.6 17% $11.20 $1,119.64 $1,137.47
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 7.9 -5.0 -63% $11.37 $1,137.47 $1,080.60
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 6.13 2.7 44% $10.81 $1,080.60 $1,109.72
8th Jun UFC 238 8.4 -4.7 -57% $11.10 $1,109.72 $1,057.04
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 4.15 -1.6 -37% $10.57 $1,057.04 $1,040.66
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 6.89 6.9 100% $10.41 $1,040.66 $1,112.46
6th Jul UFC 239 4.63 -0.9 -19% $11.12 $1,112.46 $1,102.68
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 4.46 -4.5 -100% $11.03 $1,102.68 $1,053.50
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 5.02 4.4 87% $10.53 $1,053.50 $1,099.76
17th Aug UFC 241 12.4 6.5 53% $11.00 $1,099.76 $1,171.51


ROI % from starting bank balance: 17.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Process: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '19 Drakkar Klose Christos Giagos 1.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Casey Kenney Manny Bermudez 2.10 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis 2.05 2.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Kennedy Nzechukwu Darko Stosic 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Nasrat Haqparast Joaquim Silva 1.41 2 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Vinc Pichel Roosevelt Roberts 3.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Joseph Benavidez Jussier Formiga 1.83 3 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Chan Sung Jung Renato Moicano 2.60 1 TKO, R1 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Eddie Wineland Grigory Popov 1.70 2.15 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Daniel Teymur Sung Bin Jo 2.25 1.33 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Makwan Amirkhani Chris Fishgold 1.95 1.05 Sub, R2 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Ryan Spann Rogerio Nogueira 1.71 2.1 TKO, R1 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Arjan Bhullar Juan Adams 2.15 1.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Walt Harris Sergey Spivak 1.67 4 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Mike Perry Alex Oliveira 2.50 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.57 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Paul Craig Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.85 1.21 Sub, R3 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Casey Kenney Ray Borg 3.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.83 3 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Chris Gutierrez Ryan MacDonald 1.51 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '19 Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 1.71 2.8 TKO, R4 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Justin Sumter Maki Pitolo 1.68 1.46 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Jacob Rosales Jonathan Pearce 1.67 3 TKO, R3 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Anderson dos Santos Andre Ewell 1.95 1.05 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Kevin Aguilar Dan Ige 1.71 2.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov 1.69 3.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.83 3 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Darko Stosic Devin Clark 1.91 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Trevin Giles Zak Cummings 1.67 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 2.05 3 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Sergio Moraes Warlley Alves 2.10 1.36 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.30 2.31 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Virna Jandiroba Carla Esparza 2.00 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.90 1.45 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Marcelo Golm Sergey Pavlovich 3.00 1.05 TKO, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 4.10 1.61 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Eric Shelton Jordan Espinosa 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Angela Hill Randa Markos 1.69 2.18 Sub, R1 (4:24) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Steven Peterson Luis Pena 3.10 0.95 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Process: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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