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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1561
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 645

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Process

The Process (TheProcess)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - The Process

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 55 (41%) Right 28 (47%) Right 14 (37%) Right 13 (35%)
Wrong 79 (59%) Wrong 31 (53%) Wrong 24 (63%) Wrong 24 (65%)
Avg Odds 2.32 Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 2.44 Avg Odds 2.49
Units Bet 180.2 Units Bet 93.7 Units Bet 40.2 Units Bet 46.3
Avg Bet 1.34 Avg Bet 1.59 Avg Bet 1.06 Avg Bet 1.25
Units Profit 6.48 Units Profit 9.74 Units Profit -2.90 Units Profit -0.37
ROI % 4% ROI % 10% ROI % -7% ROI % -1%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Process: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 14.37 -3.3 -23% -0.6 / 11.67 (-5%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 11.59 9.6 83% 8.8 / 6.3 (140%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) 2.1 / 3.99 (53%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 13.68 -4.9 -36% -3.8 / 3.8 (-100%) -0.3 / 6.88 (-5%) -0.7 / 3 (-25%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 14.89 3.8 26% 6.5 / 7.6 (85%) -3.3 / 3.29 (-100%) 0.7 / 4 (16%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 13.15 -1.1 -8% 1.0 / 5.98 (17%) -1.7 / 1.67 (-100%) -0.4 / 5.5 (-8%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 12.01 0.4 3% -2.9 / 7.7 (-37%) 1.6 / 1 (163%) 1.6 / 3.31 (49%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 9.62 6.7 70% 0.1 / 3.89 (3%) 6.6 / 5.73 (115%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 12.24 -7.8 -63% -7.8 / 12.24 (-63%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 6.94 -3.5 -50% -3.2 / 3.24 (-100%) 1.8 / 1.7 (105%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 8.38 -1.0 -12% -0.4 / 3.74 (-10%) 1.6 / 2.48 (63%) -2.2 / 2.16 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 9.29 5.3 57% 3.3 / 5.29 (63%) 3.0 / 3 (100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 11.61 2.4 21% 2.4 / 9.01 (27%) 1.5 / 1 (155%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 1.2 1.0 83% 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5.21 -2.1 -39% -3.2 / 3.2 (-100%) 1.1 / 2.01 (57%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 8.59 -2.2 -26% 1.2 / 3 (38%) -1.2 / 3.35 (-34%) -2.2 / 2.24 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 9.48 1.9 20% 4.9 / 4.33 (114%) 0.0 / 2.15 (0%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 9.2 1.2 13% -1.1 / 3.37 (-32%) -0.4 / 2.55 (-14%) 2.7 / 3.28 (81%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 8.75 -0.2 -3% 3.5 / 2 (175%) -2.2 / 3.75 (-59%) -1.5 / 3 (-50%)


Winning Events: 9 (50%)
Losing Events: 9 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.01 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.89 units
Best Event: 9.60 units
Worst Event: -7.76 units
Average Event: 0.36 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 9.60
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.20

The Process: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 108.49 0.1 0% -1.9 / 58.53 (-3%) -5.3 / 21.93 (-24%) 7.3 / 28.03 (26%) 4 / 5 (44%) 0.01
2018 71.71 6.4 9% 11.7 / 35.14 (33%) 2.4 / 18.28 (13%) -7.7 / 18.29 (-42%) 5 / 4 (56%) 0.71

The Process: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Process: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 180.2 6.5 4% 9.7 / 93.67 (10%) -2.9 / 40.21 (-7%) -0.4 / 46.32 (-1%)

The Process: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (2%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.56 2.56 51%
Slight Favorites 21 (36%) 10 48 % 37.29 -7.27 -0.35 -20%
Slight Underdogs 30 (51%) 13 43 % 41.72 0.18 0.01 0%
Big Underdogs 7 (12%) 4 57 % 9.66 14.27 2.04 148%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (5%) 3 100 % 5.00 5.00 1.67 100%
Co-Main Event 4 (7%) 4 100 % 4.00 5.22 1.30 130%
Position 3-5 15 (25%) 5 33 % 21.62 -7.92 -0.53 -37%
6+ (Undercard) 37 (63%) 16 43 % 63.05 7.44 0.20 12%

The Process: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (17%) 6 60 % 13.74 1.42 0.14 10%
Light Heavy 4 (7%) 2 50 % 4.79 2.95 0.74 62%
Middleweight 5 (8%) 2 40 % 7.79 -0.71 -0.14 -9%
Welterweight 6 (10%) 5 83 % 10.65 9.86 1.64 93%
Lightweight 7 (12%) 2 29 % 9.86 -2.38 -0.34 -24%
Featherweight 12 (20%) 7 58 % 22.89 11.51 0.96 50%
Bantamweight 5 (8%) 1 20 % 7.69 -5.39 -1.08 -70%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 4.30 -2.00 -0.67 -47%
               
Women's Fights 7 (12%) 2 29 % 11.96 -5.51 -0.79 -46%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.19 -1.19 -1.19 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 5.14 -2.74 -0.91 -53%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 5.63 -1.58 -0.53 -28%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 55 (65%) 41 75 %
Slight Favorites 27 (32%) 15 56 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (2%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
84 56 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (10%) 3 75 %
50-65% 12 (29%) 2 17 %
35-50% 13 (32%) 8 62 %
<35% chance 12 (29%) 3 25 %
41 16 39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (10%) 0 0 % 1.89 1.95Pick was incorrect 1.79Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 12 (29%) 5 42 % 1.83 2.78Pick was correct 1.19Pick was correct -2.8 (-23%)
Does not go to Decision 7 (17%) 5 71 % 1.85 2.37Pick was correct 1.44Pick was correct 3.1 (44%)
X Wins by KO 5 (12%) 1 20 % 3.32 5.99Pick was incorrect 1.90Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-39%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (5%) 0 0 % 9.23 12.00Pick was incorrect 7.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (10%) 2 50 % 3.39 6.12Pick was correct 2.55Pick was correct 4.7 (117%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (12%) 1 20 % 4.30 12.25Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect -1.5 (-30%)
Others 2 (5%) 2 100 % 1.93 2.00Pick was correct 1.87Pick was correct 1.9 (93%)
41 16 39 % 2.33     -2.6 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Process's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
3rd Nov UFC 230 8.75 -0.2 -3% $10.00 $1,000.00 $997.80
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 9.2 1.2 13% $9.98 $997.80 $1,010.07
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 9.48 1.9 20% $10.10 $1,010.07 $1,029.46
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 8.59 -2.2 -26% $10.29 $1,029.46 $1,006.40
30th Nov TUF Finale 5.21 -2.1 -39% $10.06 $1,006.40 $985.76
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 1.2 1.0 83% $9.86 $985.76 $995.62
8th Dec UFC 231 11.61 2.4 21% $9.96 $995.62 $1,019.44
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 9.29 5.3 57% $10.19 $1,019.44 $1,073.71
29th Dec UFC 232 8.38 -1.0 -12% $10.74 $1,073.71 $1,063.13
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 6.94 -3.5 -50% $10.63 $1,063.13 $1,026.40
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 12.24 -7.8 -63% $10.26 $1,026.40 $946.74
9th Feb UFC 234 9.62 6.7 70% $9.47 $946.74 $1,010.15
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 12.01 0.4 3% $10.10 $1,010.15 $1,014.33
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 13.15 -1.1 -8% $10.14 $1,014.33 $1,003.54
2nd Mar UFC 235 14.89 3.8 26% $10.04 $1,003.54 $1,041.87
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 13.68 -4.9 -36% $10.42 $1,041.87 $991.06
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 11.59 9.6 83% $9.91 $991.06 $1,086.17
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 14.37 -3.3 -23% $10.86 $1,086.17 $1,050.72


ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.07% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Process: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Chris Gutierrez Ryan MacDonald 1.51 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Bryce Mitchell Bobby Moffett 2.30 1.54 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Claudio Silva Danny Roberts 1.69 1.45 Sub, R3 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Dan Ige Danny Henry 1.74 1.35 Sub, R1 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Mike Grundy Nad Narimani 2.94 3.5 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Kamaru Usman Tyron Woodley 2.47 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.35 2.25 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Weili Zhang Tecia Torres 1.80 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Dwight Grant Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 2.30 2 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Liz Carmouche Lucie Pudilova 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Francis Ngannou Cain Velasquez 2.55 1 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Aljamain Sterling Jimmie Rivera 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Markus Perez Anthony Hernandez 2.65 1.69 Sub, R2 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Walt Harris Andrei Arlovski 1.57 2.14 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.40 2.14 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.35 1.48 TKO, R3 (2:39) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.95 1 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Gilbert Burns Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.83 3 TKO, R4 (5:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Justin Willis Mark Hunt 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Eric Shelton Jordan Espinosa 1.77 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Angela Hill Randa Markos 1.69 2.18 Sub, R1 (4:24) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Steven Peterson Luis Pena 3.10 0.95 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Dan Moret Alex White 2.25 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Julian Erosa Grant Dawson 2.60 0.81 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Marion Reneau Yana Kunitskaya 2.68 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.71 2.1 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Joel Alvarez Damir Ismagulov 3.60 0.58 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Marco Polo Reyes Damir Hadzovic 2.15 2 TKO, R2 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Alexandra Albu Emily Whitmire 2.00 1.2 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Benito Lopez Manny Bermudez 2.70 2.5 Sub, R1 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Myles Jury Andre Fili 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 2.10 2 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Taila Santos Mara Romero Borella 1.63 1.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Junior Albini Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.89 1.4 TKO, R2 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Justin Ledet Johnny Walker 2.83 0.55 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '19 Lyman Good Demian Maia 2.50 2 Sub, R1 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '19 Junior Albini Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.95 3 TKO, R2 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '19 Karl Roberson Glover Teixeira 1.97 1.1 Sub, R1 (3:21) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Process: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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