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Total MMA Handicappers: 1430
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Willie

MMA Willie (MMAwillie)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MMA Willie

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 34 (57%) Right 32 (59%) Right 0 (0%) Right 2 (33%)
Wrong 26 (43%) Wrong 22 (41%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 4 (67%)
Avg Odds 1.80 Avg Odds 1.73 Avg Odds 0.00 Avg Odds 2.66
Units Bet 441.0 Units Bet 382.0 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 59.0
Avg Bet 7.35 Avg Bet 7.07 Avg Bet 0.00 Avg Bet 9.83
Units Profit 5.89 Units Profit 26.71 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit -20.82
ROI % 1% ROI % 7% ROI % 0% ROI % -35%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 45.25 18.2 40% 18.2 / 45.25 (40%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 76.7 -55.9 -73% -35.9 / 56.7 (-63%) -20.0 / 20 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 65 33.1 51% 15.9 / 54 (29%) 17.2 / 11 (157%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 26 0.0 0% 0.0 / 26 (0%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 67.5 -37.0 -55% -15.0 / 45.5 (-33%) -22.0 / 22 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22.3 -5.8 -26% -9.7 / 16.3 (-60%) 3.9 / 6 (66%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 43.75 46.5 106% 46.5 / 43.75 (106%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 16 9.6 60% 9.6 / 16 (60%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 16 -16.0 -100% -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 18 10.4 58% 10.4 / 18 (58%)


Winning Events: 6 (60%)
Losing Events: 4 (40%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 396.5 3.0 1% 23.8 / 337.5 (7%) -20.8 / 59 (-35%) 6 / 4 (60%) 0.30

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 396.5 3.0 1% 23.8 / 337.5 (7%) -20.8 / 59 (-35%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 19 (35%) 14 74 % 173.30 1.01 0.05 1%
Slight Favorites 15 (28%) 9 60 % 115.70 -7.65 -0.51 -7%
Slight Underdogs 12 (22%) 7 58 % 62.00 20.75 1.73 33%
Big Underdogs 8 (15%) 2 25 % 31.00 12.60 1.57 41%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (11%) 4 67 % 66.00 -2.34 -0.39 -4%
Co-Main Event 6 (11%) 3 50 % 36.50 14.71 2.45 40%
Position 3-5 14 (26%) 9 64 % 108.90 0.59 0.04 1%
6+ (Undercard) 28 (52%) 16 57 % 170.60 13.75 0.49 8%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (11%) 3 50 % 44.50 -10.93 -1.82 -25%
Light Heavy 3 (6%) 1 33 % 17.00 -4.50 -1.50 -26%
Middleweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 18.20 7.99 2.66 44%
Welterweight 11 (20%) 5 45 % 79.10 -1.31 -0.12 -2%
Lightweight 9 (17%) 6 67 % 71.00 18.89 2.10 27%
Featherweight 7 (13%) 4 57 % 40.70 -0.39 -0.06 -1%
Bantamweight 3 (6%) 3 100 % 29.25 11.30 3.77 39%
Flyweight 4 (7%) 4 100 % 24.00 14.46 3.61 60%
               
Women's Fights 8 (15%) 4 50 % 58.25 -8.80 -1.10 -15%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 8.75 5.00 5.00 57%
Bantamweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 29.50 -13.25 -3.31 -45%
Strawweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 20.00 -0.55 -0.18 -3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 23 (85%) 18 78 %
Slight Favorites 3 (11%) 1 33 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (4%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
27 20 74 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 1 (100%) 1 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
1 1 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (100%) 1 100 % 1.61 1.61Pick was correct 1.61Pick was correct 0.6 (61%)
1 1 100 % 1.61     0.6 (61%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Oct UFC 229 18 10.4 58% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,103.75
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 16 -16.0 -100% $11.04 $1,103.75 $927.15
3rd Nov UFC 230 16 9.6 60% $9.27 $927.15 $1,016.00
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 43.75 46.5 106% $10.16 $1,016.00 $1,488.04
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22.3 -5.8 -26% $14.88 $1,488.04 $1,402.30
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 67.5 -37.0 -55% $14.02 $1,402.30 $882.76
30th Nov TUF Finale 26 0.0 0% $8.83 $882.76 $882.97
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 65 33.1 51% $8.83 $882.97 $1,175.62
8th Dec UFC 231 76.7 -55.9 -73% $11.76 $1,175.62 $518.14
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 45.25 18.2 40% $5.18 $518.14 $612.27


ROI % from starting bank balance: -38.77% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '19 Gregor Gillespie Yancy Medeiros 1.18 10 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Cory Sandhagen Mario Bautista 1.22 10 Sub, R1 (3:31) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Joseph Benavidez Dustin Ortiz 1.42 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.63 10 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.50 5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.30 10 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Charles Oliveira Jim Miller 1.33 11 Sub, R1 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.61 8.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Hakeem Dawodu Kyle Bochniak 1.54 3.7 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Brad Katona Matthew Lopez 1.37 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Kai Kara-France Elias Garcia 1.27 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Sodiq Yusuff Suman Mokhtarian 1.17 11 TKO, R1 (2:14) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Christos Giagos Mizuto Hirota 1.27 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Junior dos Santos Tai Tuivasa 1.63 11 TKO, R2 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Tim Means Ricky Rainey 1.26 3.8 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Joseph Benavidez Alex Perez 2.05 3 TKO, R1 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Kamaru Usman Rafael dos Anjos 1.37 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Alistair Overeem Sergey Pavlovich 1.91 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Yadong Song Vincent Morales 1.29 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '19 Belal Muhammad Geoff Neal 2.55 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Vinicius Moreira Alonzo Menifield 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:56) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.50 2 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Ariane Lipski Joanne Calderwood 1.44 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.91 11 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Chad Laprise Dhiego Lima 1.25 8 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Claudia Gadelha Nina Ansaroff 1.33 9 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 3.60 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Eye 1.65 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 2.25 10 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Mark Hunt Justin Willis 2.05 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 1.91 2.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Rick Glenn Kevin Aguilar 2.00 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Chris Gutierrez Raoni Barcelos 4.50 2 Sub, R2 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Kenan Song Alex Morono 1.77 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.49 11 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 1.91 3.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Darren Elkins Ricardo Lamas 3.00 5 TKO, R3 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 3.00 5 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Marcelo Golm Arjan Bhullar 2.60 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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