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Total MMA Handicappers: 1540
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 650

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Willie

MMA Willie (MMAwillie)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MMA Willie

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 38 (49%) Right 36 (55%) Right 0 (0%) Right 2 (17%)
Wrong 39 (51%) Wrong 29 (45%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 10 (83%)
Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 0.00 Avg Odds 3.18
Units Bet 568.5 Units Bet 477.0 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 91.5
Avg Bet 7.38 Avg Bet 7.34 Avg Bet 0.00 Avg Bet 7.63
Units Profit -70.66 Units Profit -17.34 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit -53.32
ROI % -12% ROI % -4% ROI % 0% ROI % -58%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMA Willie: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 55 -15.5 -28% -15.5 / 55 (-28%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 38.5 -27.0 -70% -18.5 / 30 (-62%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 77.5 -30.1 -39% -7.1 / 54.5 (-13%) -23.0 / 23 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 45.25 18.2 40% 18.2 / 45.25 (40%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 76.7 -55.9 -73% -35.9 / 56.7 (-63%) -20.0 / 20 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 65 33.1 51% 15.9 / 54 (29%) 17.2 / 11 (157%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 26 0.0 0% 0.0 / 26 (0%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 67.5 -37.0 -55% -15.0 / 45.5 (-33%) -22.0 / 22 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22.3 -5.8 -26% -9.7 / 16.3 (-60%) 3.9 / 6 (66%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 43.75 46.5 106% 46.5 / 43.75 (106%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 16 9.6 60% 9.6 / 16 (60%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 16 -16.0 -100% -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 18 10.4 58% 10.4 / 18 (58%)


Winning Events: 6 (43%)
Losing Events: 8 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 40.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 77.50 units
Best Event: 46.46 units
Worst Event: -55.93 units
Average Event: -5.05 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 56.04
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -73.68

MMA Willie: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 172 -73.7 -43% -41.2 / 139.5 (-30%) -32.5 / 32.5 (-100%) / 4 (0%) -18.42
2018 396.5 3.0 1% 23.8 / 337.5 (7%) -20.8 / 59 (-35%) 6 / 4 (60%) 0.30

MMA Willie: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Willie: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 567.5 -69.7 -12% -17.3 / 477 (-4%) -52.3 / 90.5 (-58%)
Bellator 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

MMA Willie: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 24 (37%) 17 71 % 223.30 -9.54 -0.40 -4%
Slight Favorites 18 (28%) 9 50 % 140.70 -32.65 -1.81 -23%
Slight Underdogs 15 (23%) 8 53 % 82.00 12.25 0.82 15%
Big Underdogs 8 (12%) 2 25 % 31.00 12.60 1.57 41%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (12%) 5 63 % 86.00 -11.01 -1.38 -13%
Co-Main Event 9 (14%) 4 44 % 61.50 1.21 0.13 2%
Position 3-5 16 (25%) 10 63 % 128.90 -5.83 -0.36 -5%
6+ (Undercard) 32 (49%) 17 53 % 200.60 -1.71 -0.05 -1%

MMA Willie: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (11%) 3 43 % 54.50 -20.93 -2.99 -38%
Light Heavy 5 (8%) 2 40 % 32.00 -8.17 -1.63 -26%
Middleweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 18.20 7.99 2.66 44%
Welterweight 14 (22%) 6 43 % 109.10 -17.74 -1.27 -16%
Lightweight 9 (14%) 6 67 % 71.00 18.89 2.10 27%
Featherweight 9 (14%) 6 67 % 55.70 10.66 1.18 19%
Bantamweight 6 (9%) 3 50 % 54.25 -13.70 -2.28 -25%
Flyweight 4 (6%) 4 100 % 24.00 14.46 3.61 60%
               
Women's Fights 8 (12%) 4 50 % 58.25 -8.80 -1.10 -15%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 8.75 5.00 5.00 57%
Bantamweight 4 (6%) 1 25 % 29.50 -13.25 -3.31 -45%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 20.00 -0.55 -0.18 -3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 36 (73%) 23 64 %
Slight Favorites 7 (14%) 2 29 %
Slight Underdogs 5 (10%) 3 60 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
49 28 57 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 1 (100%) 1 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
1 1 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (100%) 1 100 % 1.61 1.61Pick was correct 1.61Pick was correct 0.6 (61%)
1 1 100 % 1.61     0.6 (61%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Willie's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Oct UFC 229 18 10.4 58% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,103.75
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 16 -16.0 -100% $11.04 $1,103.75 $927.15
3rd Nov UFC 230 16 9.6 60% $9.27 $927.15 $1,016.00
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 43.75 46.5 106% $10.16 $1,016.00 $1,488.04
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22.3 -5.8 -26% $14.88 $1,488.04 $1,402.30
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 67.5 -37.0 -55% $14.02 $1,402.30 $882.76
30th Nov TUF Finale 26 0.0 0% $8.83 $882.76 $882.97
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 65 33.1 51% $8.83 $882.97 $1,175.62
8th Dec UFC 231 76.7 -55.9 -73% $11.76 $1,175.62 $518.14
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 45.25 18.2 40% $5.18 $518.14 $612.27
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 77.5 -30.1 -39% $6.12 $612.27 $427.82
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 1 -1.0 -100% $4.28 $427.82 $423.54
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 38.5 -27.0 -70% $4.24 $423.54 $309.19
2nd Mar UFC 235 55 -15.5 -28% $3.09 $309.19 $261.11


ROI % from starting bank balance: -73.89% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Willie: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Zabit Magomedsharipov Jeremy Stephens 1.45 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Ben Askren Robbie Lawler 1.36 10 Sub, R1 (3:20) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Jon Jones Anthony Smith 1.13 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Jose Aldo Renato Moicano 2.30 5 TKO, R2 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '19 Gregor Gillespie Yancy Medeiros 1.18 10 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '19 Cory Sandhagen Mario Bautista 1.22 10 Sub, R1 (3:31) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '19 Joseph Benavidez Dustin Ortiz 1.42 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '19 Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.63 10 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.50 5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.30 10 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Charles Oliveira Jim Miller 1.33 11 Sub, R1 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.61 8.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Hakeem Dawodu Kyle Bochniak 1.54 3.7 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Brad Katona Matthew Lopez 1.37 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Kai Kara-France Elias Garcia 1.27 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Sodiq Yusuff Suman Mokhtarian 1.17 11 TKO, R1 (2:14) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Christos Giagos Mizuto Hirota 1.27 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Junior dos Santos Tai Tuivasa 1.63 11 TKO, R2 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Tim Means Ricky Rainey 1.26 3.8 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.05 5 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.57 10 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.54 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Max Griffin Thiago Alves 1.43 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov 1.77 5 TKO, R1 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes 2.80 10 Sub, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '19 Belal Muhammad Geoff Neal 2.55 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '19 Vinicius Moreira Alonzo Menifield 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:56) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.50 2 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '19 Ariane Lipski Joanne Calderwood 1.44 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '19 Greg Hardy Allen Crowder 1.18 10 No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.91 11 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Chad Laprise Dhiego Lima 1.25 8 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Claudia Gadelha Nina Ansaroff 1.33 9 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 3.60 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Eye 1.65 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 2.25 10 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Mark Hunt Justin Willis 2.05 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 1.91 2.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Rick Glenn Kevin Aguilar 2.00 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Willie: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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