MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Willie

MMA Willie (MMAwillie)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	38 (49%)	Right	36 (55%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	2 (17%)
Wrong	39 (51%)	Wrong	29 (45%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	10 (83%)
Avg Odds	1.83	Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	3.12
Units Bet	568.5	Units Bet	477.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	91.5
Avg Bet	7.38	Avg Bet	7.34	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	7.63
Units Profit	-70.66	Units Profit	-17.34	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	-53.32
ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	-58%

MMA Willie: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	55	-15.5	-28%	-15.5 / 55 (-28%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	38.5	-27.0	-70%	-18.5 / 30 (-62%)		-8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	77.5	-30.1	-39%	-7.1 / 54.5 (-13%)		-23.0 / 23 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	45.25	18.2	40%	18.2 / 45.25 (40%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	76.7	-55.9	-73%	-35.9 / 56.7 (-63%)		-20.0 / 20 (-100%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	65	33.1	51%	15.9 / 54 (29%)		17.2 / 11 (157%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	26	0.0	0%	0.0 / 26 (0%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	67.5	-37.0	-55%	-15.0 / 45.5 (-33%)		-22.0 / 22 (-100%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	22.3	-5.8	-26%	-9.7 / 16.3 (-60%)		3.9 / 6 (66%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	43.75	46.5	106%	46.5 / 43.75 (106%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	16	9.6	60%	9.6 / 16 (60%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	16	-16.0	-100%	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	18	10.4	58%	10.4 / 18 (58%)

Winning Events: 6 (43%)
Losing Events: 8 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 40.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 77.50 units
Best Event: 46.46 units
Worst Event: -55.93 units
Average Event: -5.05 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 56.04
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -73.68

MMA Willie: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	172	-73.7	-43%	-41.2 / 139.5 (-30%)		-32.5 / 32.5 (-100%)	/ 4 (0%)	-18.42
2018	396.5	3.0	1%	23.8 / 337.5 (7%)		-20.8 / 59 (-35%)	6 / 4 (60%)	0.30

MMA Willie: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Willie: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	567.5	-69.7	-12%	-17.3 / 477 (-4%)		-52.3 / 90.5 (-58%)
Bellator	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

MMA Willie: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	24 (37%)	17	71 %	223.30	-9.54	-0.40	-4%
Slight Favorites	18 (28%)	9	50 %	140.70	-32.65	-1.81	-23%
Slight Underdogs	15 (23%)	8	53 %	82.00	12.25	0.82	15%
Big Underdogs	8 (12%)	2	25 %	31.00	12.60	1.57	41%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (12%)	5	63 %	86.00	-11.01	-1.38	-13%
Co-Main Event	9 (14%)	4	44 %	61.50	1.21	0.13	2%
Position 3-5	16 (25%)	10	63 %	128.90	-5.83	-0.36	-5%
6+ (Undercard)	32 (49%)	17	53 %	200.60	-1.71	-0.05	-1%

MMA Willie: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (11%)	3	43 %	54.50	-20.93	-2.99	-38%
Light Heavy	5 (8%)	2	40 %	32.00	-8.17	-1.63	-26%
Middleweight	3 (5%)	2	67 %	18.20	7.99	2.66	44%
Welterweight	14 (22%)	6	43 %	109.10	-17.74	-1.27	-16%
Lightweight	9 (14%)	6	67 %	71.00	18.89	2.10	27%
Featherweight	9 (14%)	6	67 %	55.70	10.66	1.18	19%
Bantamweight	6 (9%)	3	50 %	54.25	-13.70	-2.28	-25%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	4	100 %	24.00	14.46	3.61	60%

Women's Fights	8 (12%)	4	50 %	58.25	-8.80	-1.10	-15%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	8.75	5.00	5.00	57%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	1	25 %	29.50	-13.25	-3.31	-45%
Strawweight	3 (5%)	2	67 %	20.00	-0.55	-0.18	-3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	36 (73%)	23	64 %
Slight Favorites	7 (14%)	2	29 %
Slight Underdogs	5 (10%)	3	60 %
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %
	49	28	57 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	1 (100%)	1	100 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	1	1	100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (100%)	1	100 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	0.6 (61%)
	1	1	100 %	1.61			0.6 (61%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Willie's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
6th Oct	UFC 229	18	10.4	58%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,103.75
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	16	-16.0	-100%		$11.04	$1,103.75	$927.15
3rd Nov	UFC 230	16	9.6	60%		$9.27	$927.15	$1,016.00
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	43.75	46.5	106%		$10.16	$1,016.00	$1,488.04
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	22.3	-5.8	-26%		$14.88	$1,488.04	$1,402.30
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	67.5	-37.0	-55%		$14.02	$1,402.30	$882.76
30th Nov	TUF Finale	26	0.0	0%		$8.83	$882.76	$882.97
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	65	33.1	51%		$8.83	$882.97	$1,175.62
8th Dec	UFC 231	76.7	-55.9	-73%		$11.76	$1,175.62	$518.14
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	45.25	18.2	40%		$5.18	$518.14	$612.27
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	77.5	-30.1	-39%		$6.12	$612.27	$427.82
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	1	-1.0	-100%		$4.28	$427.82	$423.54
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	38.5	-27.0	-70%		$4.24	$423.54	$309.19
2nd Mar	UFC 235	55	-15.5	-28%		$3.09	$309.19	$261.11

ROI % from starting bank balance: -73.89% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Willie: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '19	Zabit Magomedsharipov	Jeremy Stephens	1.45	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '19	Ben Askren	Robbie Lawler	1.36	10	Sub, R1 (3:20)
3.	Mar '19	Jon Jones	Anthony Smith	1.13	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Feb '19	Jose Aldo	Renato Moicano	2.30	5	TKO, R2 (0:44)
5.	Jan '19	Gregor Gillespie	Yancy Medeiros	1.18	10	TKO, R2 (4:59)
6.	Jan '19	Cory Sandhagen	Mario Bautista	1.22	10	Sub, R1 (3:31)
7.	Jan '19	Joseph Benavidez	Dustin Ortiz	1.42	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jan '19	Paige VanZant	Rachael Ostovich	1.63	10	Sub, R2 (1:50)
9.	Dec '18	Mike Rodriguez	Adam Milstead	2.50	5	TKO, R1 (2:59)
10.	Dec '18	Joaquim Silva	Jared Gordon	2.30	10	TKO, R3 (2:39)
11.	Dec '18	Charles Oliveira	Jim Miller	1.33	11	Sub, R1 (1:15)
12.	Dec '18	Rob Font	Sergio Pettis	1.61	8.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '18	Hakeem Dawodu	Kyle Bochniak	1.54	3.7	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '18	Brad Katona	Matthew Lopez	1.37	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Dec '18	Kai Kara-France	Elias Garcia	1.27	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Dec '18	Sodiq Yusuff	Suman Mokhtarian	1.17	11	TKO, R1 (2:14)
17.	Dec '18	Christos Giagos	Mizuto Hirota	1.27	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Dec '18	Wilson Reis	Ben Nguyen	2.25	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Dec '18	Junior dos Santos	Tai Tuivasa	1.63	11	TKO, R2 (2:30)
20.	Nov '18	Tim Means	Ricky Rainey	1.26	3.8	TKO, R1 (1:18)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '19	Misha Cirkunov	Johnny Walker	2.05	5	TKO, R1 (0:36)	No
2.	Mar '19	Cody Garbrandt	Pedro Munhoz	1.57	10	TKO, R1 (4:52)	No
3.	Mar '19	Tyron Woodley	Kamaru Usman	1.54	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '19	Max Griffin	Thiago Alves	1.43	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '19	Ricardo Ramos	Said Nurmagomedov	1.77	5	TKO, R1 (2:28)	No
6.	Feb '19	Raphael Assuncao	Marlon Moraes	2.80	10	Sub, R1 (3:17)	No
7.	Jan '19	Belal Muhammad	Geoff Neal	2.55	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '19	Vinicius Moreira	Alonzo Menifield	3.00	1	TKO, R1 (3:56)	No
9.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.50	2	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
10.	Jan '19	Ariane Lipski	Joanne Wood	1.44	4.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jan '19	Greg Hardy	Allen Crowder	1.18	10		No
12.	Dec '18	Daniel Hooker	Edson Barboza	1.91	11	TKO, R3 (2:19)	No
13.	Dec '18	Chad Laprise	Dhiego Lima	1.25	8	TKO, R1 (1:37)	No
14.	Dec '18	Claudia Gadelha	Nina Nunes	1.33	9	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Dec '18	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Valentina Shevchenko	3.60	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '18	Katlyn Chookagian	Jessica Eye	1.65	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Dec '18	Alex Oliveira	Gunnar Nelson	2.25	10	Sub, R2 (4:17)	No
18.	Dec '18	Mark Hunt	Justin Willis	2.05	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Nov '18	Darren Stewart	Edmen Shahbazyan	1.91	2.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Nov '18	Rick Glenn	Kevin Aguilar	2.00	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Willie: Progress Chart

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