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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1540
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 650

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC Dummies

UFC Dummies (UFCdummies)


MMA MHandicapper - UFC Dummies

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 53 (49%) Right 17 (50%) Right 28 (47%) Right 8 (50%)
Wrong 56 (51%) Wrong 17 (50%) Wrong 31 (53%) Wrong 8 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.22 Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 2.25 Avg Odds 2.24
Units Bet 391.4 Units Bet 142.1 Units Bet 175.9 Units Bet 73.4
Avg Bet 3.59 Avg Bet 4.18 Avg Bet 2.98 Avg Bet 4.59
Units Profit 52.35 Units Profit 6.89 Units Profit 32.66 Units Profit 12.80
ROI % 13% ROI % 5% ROI % 19% ROI % 17%
View Handicapper's Profile

UFC Dummies: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 64 13.9 22% 10.8 / 25 (43%) -1.8 / 34 (-5%) 4.9 / 5 (99%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 37 6.5 18% 7.3 / 14 (52%) 4.3 / 11 (39%) -5.1 / 12 (-42%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 35.2 -30.2 -86% -19.0 / 24 (-79%) -8.2 / 8.2 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 32 -8.4 -26% -7.0 / 14 (-50%) 1.7 / 15 (11%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 31.2 -8.2 -26% 0.2 / 4 (5%) 1.6 / 17.2 (9%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 39 3.6 9% -0.1 / 24 (-0%) 1.6 / 5 (32%) 2.1 / 10 (21%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 29 18.5 64% 2.1 / 5 (41%) 6.7 / 14 (48%) 9.8 / 10 (98%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 69 67.6 98% 9.4 / 18 (52%) 42.6 / 36 (118%) 15.6 / 15 (104%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 23.4 -12.5 -53% -0.2 / 4.5 (-4%) -11.4 / 15.8 (-72%) -0.9 / 3.1 (-30%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 26.55 6.5 25% 3.5 / 9.55 (37%) 0.7 / 14.7 (5%) 2.3 / 2.3 (101%)


Winning Events: 6 (55%)
Losing Events: 5 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 35.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 69.00 units
Best Event: 67.56 units
Worst Event: -30.20 units
Average Event: 4.76 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 89.70
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -46.79

UFC Dummies: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 391.35 52.3 13% 6.9 / 142.05 (5%) 32.7 / 175.9 (19%) 12.8 / 73.4 (17%) 6 / 5 (55%) 4.76

UFC Dummies: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFC Dummies: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 299.15 50.4 17% 11.7 / 119.05 (10%) 22.8 / 129.7 (18%) 16.0 / 50.4 (32%)
Bellator 92.2 1.9 2% -4.8 / 23 (-21%) 9.9 / 46.2 (21%) -3.2 / 23 (-14%)

UFC Dummies: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (15%) 4 80 % 40.00 11.06 2.21 28%
Slight Favorites 11 (32%) 7 64 % 62.55 -4.38 -0.40 -7%
Slight Underdogs 8 (24%) 4 50 % 22.00 -1.75 -0.22 -8%
Big Underdogs 10 (29%) 2 20 % 17.50 1.95 0.20 11%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (15%) 3 60 % 34.30 3.15 0.63 9%
Co-Main Event 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.30 2.30 115%
Position 3-5 13 (38%) 5 38 % 46.00 -1.64 -0.13 -4%
6+ (Undercard) 15 (44%) 8 53 % 59.75 3.08 0.21 5%

UFC Dummies: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 22.00 -5.10 -1.70 -23%
Light Heavy 6 (18%) 3 50 % 31.00 -0.38 -0.06 -1%
Middleweight 5 (15%) 2 40 % 18.00 2.96 0.59 16%
Welterweight 8 (24%) 3 38 % 23.95 -8.44 -1.05 -35%
Lightweight 6 (18%) 4 67 % 30.00 10.71 1.79 36%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 5.30 5.30 265%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 3.10 1.50 0.75 48%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.70 2.70 135%
               
Women's Fights 2 (6%) 1 50 % 10.00 -2.37 -1.18 -24%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.63 2.63 53%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 34 (77%) 28 82 %
Slight Favorites 8 (18%) 4 50 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (5%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
44 33 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (8%) 2 40 %
50-65% 27 (46%) 14 52 %
35-50% 10 (17%) 7 70 %
<35% chance 17 (29%) 5 29 %
59 28 47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (5%) 3 100 % 1.80 2.20Pick was correct 1.60Pick was correct 2.5 (84%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (14%) 3 38 % 1.70 1.83Pick was correct 1.42Pick was correct -3.1 (-38%)
Does not go to Decision 10 (17%) 6 60 % 1.72 2.45Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was correct 0.0 (0%)
X Wins by KO 10 (17%) 4 40 % 3.44 9.00Pick was correct 1.61Pick was correct 8.8 (88%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (8%) 2 40 % 5.44 13.00Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was correct 3.7 (75%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (8%) 2 40 % 2.52 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was correct -0.9 (-18%)
X Wins Inside Distance 18 (31%) 8 44 % 2.17 10.55Pick was correct 1.45Pick was incorrect 7.4 (41%)
59 28 47 % 2.25     18.5 (31%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFC Dummies's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Sep UFC 228 26.55 6.5 25% $50 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,015.07
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 23.4 -12.5 -53% $50 $10.15 $1,015.07 $838.02
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 69 67.6 98% $50 $8.38 $838.02 $1,354.18
29th Sep Bellator 206 29 18.5 64% $50 $13.54 $1,354.18 $1,555.18
6th Oct UFC 229 39 3.6 9% $50 $15.55 $1,555.18 $1,561.20
12th Oct Bellator 207 31.2 -8.2 -26% $50 $15.61 $1,561.20 $1,382.74
13th Oct Bellator 208 32 -8.4 -26% $50 $13.83 $1,382.74 $1,217.10
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 35.2 -30.2 -86% $50 $12.17 $1,217.10 $799.54
3rd Nov UFC 230 37 6.5 18% $50 $8.00 $799.54 $801.90
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 5 -5.0 -100% $50 $8.02 $801.90 $711.81
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 64 13.9 22% $50 $7.12 $711.81 $760.76


ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.92% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFC Dummies: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Paid Pick Jim Crute Paul Craig 1.42 10 Sub, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Paid Pick Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Paid Pick Junior dos Santos Tai Tuivasa 1.69 10 TKO, R2 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Paid Pick Karl Roberson Jack Marshman 1.40 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Paid Pick Sheymon da Silva Moraes Julio Arce 3.65 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '18 Paid Pick Stevie Ray Jessin Ayari 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '18 Anatoly Tokov Alexander Shlemenko 1.74 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Paid Pick Mandel Nallo Carrington Banks 2.10 2 TKO, R2 (0:57) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Paid Pick Yana Kunitskaya Lina Lansberg 1.53 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '18 Paid Pick Douglas Lima Andrey Koreshkov 2.35 3 Sub, R5 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Paid Pick Francisco Trinaldo Evan Dunham 1.53 10 TKO, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Paid Pick Rogerio Nogueira Sam Alvey 4.05 3 TKO, R2 (0:35) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Paid Pick Jan Blachowicz Nikita Krylov 2.15 2 Sub, R2 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Paid Pick Khabib Nurmagomedov Conor McGregor 1.63 10 Sub, R4 (3:2) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Paid Pick Geoff Neal Frank Camacho 1.57 2.65 TKO, R2 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Paid Pick Aljamain Sterling Cody Stamann 1.77 2.6 Sub, R2 (3:42) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Tyron Woodley Darren Till 1.87 2.3 Sub, R2 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Paid Pick Jake Matthews Tony Martin 1.91 3 Sub, R3 (1:19) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Derek Brunson Israel Adesanya 3.70 2 TKO, R1 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Alex Garcia Court McGee 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '18 Paid Pick Patrick Cummins Misha Cirkunov 4.00 1 Sub, R1 (2:40) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '18 Paid Pick Nordine Taleb Sean Strickland 2.05 5 TKO, R2 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '18 Paid Pick Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.63 10 Sub, R3 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '18 Paid Pick Timothy Johnson Cheick Kongo 1.77 10 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Paid Pick Matt Mitrione Ryan Bader 3.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Paid Pick Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.83 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Paid Pick Jalin Turner Vicente Luque 7.50 1 TKO, R1 (3:52) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Paid Pick Anthony Pettis Tony Ferguson 4.05 3 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Paid Pick Leandro Higo Aaron Pico 4.75 2 TKO, R1 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Paid Pick Luis Henrique Ryan Spann 2.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Paid Pick Adam Yandiev Jordan Johnson 3.25 1 Sub, R2 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Paid Pick Terrion Ware Merab Dvalishvili 5.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Paid Pick C.B. Dollaway Khalid Murtazaliev 2.50 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Paid Pick Niko Price Abdul Razak Alhassan 2.25 2 TKO, R1 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFC Dummies: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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