MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC Dummies

UFC Dummies (UFCdummies)

MMA MHandicapper - UFC Dummies

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	53 (49%)	Right	17 (50%)	Right	28 (47%)	Right	8 (50%)
Wrong	56 (51%)	Wrong	17 (50%)	Wrong	31 (53%)	Wrong	8 (50%)
Avg Odds	2.22	Avg Odds	2.17	Avg Odds	2.25	Avg Odds	2.24
Units Bet	391.4	Units Bet	142.1	Units Bet	175.9	Units Bet	73.4
Avg Bet	3.59	Avg Bet	4.18	Avg Bet	2.98	Avg Bet	4.59
Units Profit	52.35	Units Profit	6.89	Units Profit	32.66	Units Profit	12.80
ROI %	13%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	19%	ROI %	17%

UFC Dummies: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	64	13.9	22%	10.8 / 25 (43%)	-1.8 / 34 (-5%)	4.9 / 5 (99%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	5	-5.0	-100%		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	37	6.5	18%	7.3 / 14 (52%)	4.3 / 11 (39%)	-5.1 / 12 (-42%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	35.2	-30.2	-86%	-19.0 / 24 (-79%)	-8.2 / 8.2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	32	-8.4	-26%	-7.0 / 14 (-50%)	1.7 / 15 (11%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	31.2	-8.2	-26%	0.2 / 4 (5%)	1.6 / 17.2 (9%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	39	3.6	9%	-0.1 / 24 (-0%)	1.6 / 5 (32%)	2.1 / 10 (21%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	29	18.5	64%	2.1 / 5 (41%)	6.7 / 14 (48%)	9.8 / 10 (98%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	69	67.6	98%	9.4 / 18 (52%)	42.6 / 36 (118%)	15.6 / 15 (104%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	23.4	-12.5	-53%	-0.2 / 4.5 (-4%)	-11.4 / 15.8 (-72%)	-0.9 / 3.1 (-30%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	26.55	6.5	25%	3.5 / 9.55 (37%)	0.7 / 14.7 (5%)	2.3 / 2.3 (101%)

Winning Events: 6 (55%)
Losing Events: 5 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 35.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 69.00 units
Best Event: 67.56 units
Worst Event: -30.20 units
Average Event: 4.76 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 89.70
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -46.79

UFC Dummies: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	391.35	52.3	13%	6.9 / 142.05 (5%)	32.7 / 175.9 (19%)	12.8 / 73.4 (17%)	6 / 5 (55%)	4.76

UFC Dummies: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFC Dummies: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	299.15	50.4	17%	11.7 / 119.05 (10%)	22.8 / 129.7 (18%)	16.0 / 50.4 (32%)
Bellator	92.2	1.9	2%	-4.8 / 23 (-21%)	9.9 / 46.2 (21%)	-3.2 / 23 (-14%)

UFC Dummies: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (15%)	4	80 %	40.00	11.06	2.21	28%
Slight Favorites	11 (32%)	7	64 %	62.55	-4.38	-0.40	-7%
Slight Underdogs	8 (24%)	4	50 %	22.00	-1.75	-0.22	-8%
Big Underdogs	10 (29%)	2	20 %	17.50	1.95	0.20	11%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (15%)	3	60 %	34.30	3.15	0.63	9%
Co-Main Event	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.30	2.30	115%
Position 3-5	13 (38%)	5	38 %	46.00	-1.64	-0.13	-4%
6+ (Undercard)	15 (44%)	8	53 %	59.75	3.08	0.21	5%

UFC Dummies: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (9%)	1	33 %	22.00	-5.10	-1.70	-23%
Light Heavy	6 (18%)	3	50 %	31.00	-0.38	-0.06	-1%
Middleweight	5 (15%)	2	40 %	18.00	2.96	0.59	16%
Welterweight	8 (24%)	3	38 %	23.95	-8.44	-1.05	-35%
Lightweight	6 (18%)	4	67 %	30.00	10.71	1.79	36%
Featherweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	5.30	5.30	265%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	3.10	1.50	0.75	48%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.70	2.70	135%

Women's Fights	2 (6%)	1	50 %	10.00	-2.37	-1.18	-24%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	2.63	2.63	53%
Strawweight	1 (3%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	34 (77%)	28	82 %
Slight Favorites	8 (18%)	4	50 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (5%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	44	33	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (8%)	2	40 %
50-65%	27 (46%)	14	52 %
35-50%	10 (17%)	7	70 %
<35% chance	17 (29%)	5	29 %
	59	28	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (5%)	3	100 %	1.80	2.20	1.60	2.5 (84%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (14%)	3	38 %	1.70	1.83	1.42	-3.1 (-38%)
Does not go to Decision	10 (17%)	6	60 %	1.72	2.45	1.48	0.0 (0%)
X Wins by KO	10 (17%)	4	40 %	3.44	9.00	1.61	8.8 (88%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (8%)	2	40 %	5.44	13.00	2.75	3.7 (75%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (8%)	2	40 %	2.52	5.00	1.69	-0.9 (-18%)
X Wins Inside Distance	18 (31%)	8	44 %	2.17	10.55	1.45	7.4 (41%)
	59	28	47 %	2.25			18.5 (31%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFC Dummies's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Sep	UFC 228	26.55	6.5	25%	$50	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,015.07
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	23.4	-12.5	-53%	$50	$10.15	$1,015.07	$838.02
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	69	67.6	98%	$50	$8.38	$838.02	$1,354.18
29th Sep	Bellator 206	29	18.5	64%	$50	$13.54	$1,354.18	$1,555.18
6th Oct	UFC 229	39	3.6	9%	$50	$15.55	$1,555.18	$1,561.20
12th Oct	Bellator 207	31.2	-8.2	-26%	$50	$15.61	$1,561.20	$1,382.74
13th Oct	Bellator 208	32	-8.4	-26%	$50	$13.83	$1,382.74	$1,217.10
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	35.2	-30.2	-86%	$50	$12.17	$1,217.10	$799.54
3rd Nov	UFC 230	37	6.5	18%	$50	$8.00	$799.54	$801.90
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	5	-5.0	-100%	$50	$8.02	$801.90	$711.81
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	64	13.9	22%	$50	$7.12	$711.81	$760.76

ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.92% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFC Dummies: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '18	Jim Crute	Paul Craig	1.42	10	Sub, R3 (4:51)
2.	Dec '18	Wilson Reis	Ben Nguyen	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Dec '18	Junior dos Santos	Tai Tuivasa	1.69	10	TKO, R2 (2:30)
4.	Nov '18	Karl Roberson	Jack Marshman	1.40	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '18	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	Julio Arce	3.65	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '18	Stevie Ray	Jessin Ayari	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '18	Anatoly Tokov	Alexander Shlemenko	1.74	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '18	Mandel Nallo	Carrington Banks	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (0:57)
9.	Oct '18	Yana Santos	Lina Lansberg	1.53	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Sep '18	Douglas Lima	Andrey Koreshkov	2.35	3	Sub, R5 (3:4)
11.	Sep '18	Francisco Trinaldo	Evan Dunham	1.53	10	TKO, R2 (4:12)
12.	Sep '18	Rogerio Nogueira	Sam Alvey	4.05	3	TKO, R2 (0:35)
13.	Sep '18	Jan Blachowicz	Nikita Krylov	2.15	2	Sub, R2 (2:41)
14.	Oct '18	Khabib Nurmagomedov	Conor McGregor	1.63	10	Sub, R4 (3:2)
15.	Sep '18	Geoff Neal	Frank Camacho	1.57	2.65	TKO, R2 (1:23)
16.	Sep '18	Aljamain Sterling	Cody Stamann	1.77	2.6	Sub, R2 (3:42)
17.	Sep '18	Tyron Woodley	Darren Till	1.87	2.3	Sub, R2 (4:19)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '18	Jake Matthews	Tony Martin	1.91	3	Sub, R3 (1:19)	No
2.	Nov '18	Derek Brunson	Israel Adesanya	3.70	2	TKO, R1 (4:51)	No
3.	Oct '18	Alex Garcia	Court McGee	1.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Oct '18	Patrick Cummins	Misha Cirkunov	4.00	1	Sub, R1 (2:40)	No
5.	Oct '18	Nordine Taleb	Sean Strickland	2.05	5	TKO, R2 (3:10)	No
6.	Oct '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Anthony Smith	1.63	10	Sub, R3 (4:26)	No
7.	Oct '18	Timothy Johnson	Cheick Kongo	1.77	10	TKO, R1 (3:49)	No
8.	Oct '18	Matt Mitrione	Ryan Bader	3.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Oct '18	Felice Herrig	Michelle Waterson	1.83	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Oct '18	Jalin Turner	Vicente Luque	7.50	1	TKO, R1 (3:52)	No
11.	Oct '18	Anthony Pettis	Tony Ferguson	4.05	3	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
12.	Sep '18	Leandro Higo	Aaron Pico	4.75	2	TKO, R1 (3:19)	No
13.	Sep '18	Luis Henrique	Ryan Spann	2.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Sep '18	Adam Yandiev	Jordan Johnson	3.25	1	Sub, R2 (0:42)	No
15.	Sep '18	Terrion Ware	Merab Dvalishvili	5.25	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Sep '18	C.B. Dollaway	Khalid Murtazaliev	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
17.	Sep '18	Niko Price	Abdul Razak Alhassan	2.25	2	TKO, R1 (0:43)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFC Dummies: Progress Chart

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