MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Mafia Picks

Mafia Picks (MafiaPicksMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Mafia Picks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	51 (53%)	Right	42 (53%)	Right	1 (100%)	Right	8 (50%)
Wrong	45 (47%)	Wrong	37 (47%)	Wrong	0 (0%)	Wrong	8 (50%)
Avg Odds	1.75	Avg Odds	1.77	Avg Odds	1.29	Avg Odds	1.67
Units Bet	243.8	Units Bet	190.8	Units Bet	2.5	Units Bet	50.5
Avg Bet	2.54	Avg Bet	2.41	Avg Bet	2.50	Avg Bet	3.16
Units Profit	-14.15	Units Profit	-11.75	Units Profit	0.71	Units Profit	-3.11
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	29%	ROI %	-6%

Mafia Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	5	1.7	34%	1.7 / 5 (34%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	55	-27.0	-49%	-27.0 / 55 (-49%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	7	9.2	132%	9.2 / 7 (132%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	2.5	-2.5	-100%			-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	22	-12.4	-56%	-2.4 / 12 (-20%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	Bellator 212	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	15	-3.7	-25%	-2.6 / 11.5 (-23%)		-1.0 / 3.5 (-30%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	9.5	2.7	28%	1.7 / 3 (56%)		1.0 / 6.5 (15%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	6.25	0.6	10%	0.6 / 6.25 (10%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	2	1.0	50%	1.0 / 2 (50%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	5	-2.5	-51%	-2.5 / 5 (-51%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Nov '18	Bellator 209	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	16.5	7.7	46%	4.2 / 11.5 (36%)		3.5 / 5 (70%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	15.5	6.7	43%	3.2 / 9 (35%)		3.6 / 6.5 (55%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	10.5	-2.1	-20%	-0.1 / 8.5 (-1%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	2.5	1.2	48%	1.2 / 2.5 (48%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	13.5	-2.9	-21%	-2.9 / 13.5 (-21%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	10	5.0	50%	5.0 / 10 (50%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	10	0.1	1%	-0.9 / 7.5 (-12%)		1.0 / 2.5 (40%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	10	5.4	54%			5.4 / 10 (54%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	11.5	-1.5	-13%	-2.2 / 9 (-25%)	0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	10	3.5	35%	3.5 / 10 (35%)

Winning Events: 12 (50%)
Losing Events: 12 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 55.00 units
Best Event: 9.25 units
Worst Event: -27.01 units
Average Event: -0.59 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 14.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -27.01

Mafia Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	67	-16.0	-24%	-16.0 / 67 (-24%)			2 / 1 (67%)	-5.35
2018	176.75	1.9	1%	4.3 / 123.75 (3%)	0.7 / 2.5 (29%)	-3.1 / 50.5 (-6%)	10 / 11 (48%)	0.09

Mafia Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mafia Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	226.25	-18.4	-8%	-18.0 / 175.25 (-10%)	0.7 / 2.5 (29%)	-1.1 / 48.5 (-2%)
Bellator	15.5	3.2	21%	5.2 / 13.5 (39%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other	2	1.0	50%	1.0 / 2 (50%)

Mafia Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	22 (28%)	16	73 %	80.00	5.66	0.26	7%
Slight Favorites	31 (39%)	16	52 %	68.75	-17.44	-0.56	-25%
Slight Underdogs	25 (31%)	10	40 %	41.00	-0.63	-0.03	-2%
Big Underdogs	2 (3%)	1	50 %	1.00	0.65	0.33	65%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (15%)	7	58 %	32.75	7.61	0.63	23%
Co-Main Event	7 (9%)	4	57 %	22.00	-3.30	-0.47	-15%
Position 3-5	19 (24%)	13	68 %	50.25	17.22	0.91	34%
6+ (Undercard)	41 (51%)	18	44 %	84.75	-34.15	-0.83	-40%

Mafia Picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (8%)	3	50 %	13.00	-4.48	-0.75	-34%
Light Heavy	10 (13%)	8	80 %	19.75	7.30	0.73	37%
Middleweight	10 (13%)	7	70 %	30.50	2.55	0.25	8%
Welterweight	15 (19%)	7	47 %	42.00	-7.34	-0.49	-17%
Lightweight	10 (13%)	7	70 %	19.50	8.81	0.88	45%
Featherweight	7 (9%)	2	29 %	10.25	-5.90	-0.84	-58%
Bantamweight	4 (5%)		0 %	11.50	-11.50	-2.88	-100%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	9.75	6.83	1.71	70%

Women's Fights	14 (18%)	7	50 %	34.50	-8.02	-0.57	-23%
Bantamweight	3 (4%)	3	100 %	4.50	3.02	1.01	67%
Flyweight	5 (6%)	2	40 %	14.00	-4.33	-0.87	-31%
Strawweight	6 (8%)	2	33 %	16.00	-6.71	-1.12	-42%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	33 (97%)	25	76 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	1 (3%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	34	26	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mafia Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	10	3.5	35%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,035.40
8th Sep	UFC 228	11.5	-1.5	-13%		$10.35	$1,035.40	$1,019.87
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	10	5.4	54%		$10.20	$1,019.87	$1,075.18
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	10	0.1	1%		$10.75	$1,075.18	$1,076.05
29th Sep	Bellator 206	10	5.0	50%		$10.76	$1,076.05	$1,130.20
6th Oct	UFC 229	13.5	-2.9	-21%		$11.30	$1,130.20	$1,097.86
12th Oct	Bellator 207	2.5	1.2	48%		$10.98	$1,097.86	$1,110.93
13th Oct	Bellator 208	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$11.11	$1,110.93	$1,105.37
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	10.5	-2.1	-20%		$11.05	$1,105.37	$1,082.49
3rd Nov	UFC 230	15.5	6.7	43%		$10.82	$1,082.49	$1,155.18
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	16.5	7.7	46%		$11.55	$1,155.18	$1,243.63
15th Nov	Bellator 209	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$12.44	$1,243.63	$1,237.41
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$12.37	$1,237.41	$1,218.85
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	5	-2.5	-51%		$12.19	$1,218.85	$1,187.99
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	2	1.0	50%		$11.88	$1,187.99	$1,199.87
30th Nov	TUF Finale	6.25	0.6	10%		$12.00	$1,199.87	$1,207.51
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	9.5	2.7	28%		$12.08	$1,207.51	$1,239.68
8th Dec	UFC 231	15	-3.7	-25%		$12.40	$1,239.68	$1,193.94
15th Dec	Bellator 212	2	-2.0	-100%		$11.94	$1,193.94	$1,170.07
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	22	-12.4	-56%		$11.70	$1,170.07	$1,024.95
29th Dec	UFC 232	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.25	$1,024.95	$999.33
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	7	9.2	132%		$9.99	$999.33	$1,091.77
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	55	-27.0	-49%		$10.92	$1,091.77	$796.87
2nd Mar	UFC 235	5	1.7	34%		$7.97	$796.87	$810.61

ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.94% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mafia Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '19	Charles Oliveira	David Teymur	2.50	5	Sub, R2 (0:55)
2.	Feb '19	Johnny Walker	Justin Ledet	1.53	5	TKO, R1 (0:15)
3.	Feb '19	Demian Maia	Lyman Good	1.57	5	Sub, R1 (2:38)
4.	Jan '19	Joanne Wood	Ariane Lipski	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jan '19	Henry Cejudo	T.J. Dillashaw	2.70	5	TKO, R1 (0:32)
6.	Dec '18	Mike Rodriguez	Adam Milstead	2.75	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:59)
7.	Dec '18	Joaquim Silva	Jared Gordon	2.60	0.5	TKO, R3 (2:39)
8.	Dec '18	Zak Cummings	Trevor Smith	1.38	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '19	Ben Askren	Robbie Lawler	1.34	5	Sub, R1 (3:20)
10.	Dec '18	Elias Theodorou	Eryk Anders	2.10	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Dec '18	Gunnar Nelson	Alex Oliveira	1.77	0.5	Sub, R2 (4:17)
12.	Dec '18	Jim Crute	Paul Craig	1.50	1.5	Sub, R3 (4:51)
13.	Dec '18	Jim Crute	Paul Craig	1.63	1.5	Sub, R3 (4:51)
14.	Nov '18	Kamaru Usman	Rafael dos Anjos	1.38	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Nov '18	Li Jingliang	David Zawada	1.65	1.5	TKO, R3 (4:7)
16.	Nov '18	Tito Ortiz	Chuck Liddell	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (4:24)
17.	Nov '18	Bobby Moffett	Chas Skelly	2.10	1	Sub, R2 (2:43)
18.	Nov '18	Germaine de Randamie	Raquel Pennington	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '18	Mark Delarosa	Joby Sanchez	1.54	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '18	Yair Rodriguez	Chan Sung Jung	2.25	1	TKO, R5 (4:59)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '19	Anthony Hernandez	Markus Perez	1.69	5	Sub, R2 (1:7)	No
2.	Feb '19	Max Griffin	Thiago Alves	1.50	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '19	Taila Santos	Mara Romero Borella	1.63	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '19	Junior Albini	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.83	5	TKO, R2 (0:54)	No
5.	Feb '19	Ricardo Ramos	Said Nurmagomedov	2.15	5	TKO, R1 (2:28)	No
6.	Feb '19	Renato Moicano	Jose Aldo	1.74	5	TKO, R2 (0:44)	No
7.	Feb '19	Sarah Frota	Livia Renata Souza	2.80	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '19	Raphael Assuncao	Marlon Moraes	2.80	5	Sub, R1 (3:17)	No
9.	Jan '19	Belal Muhammad	Geoff Neal	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '18	Jordan Griffin	Dan Ige	2.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '18	Sergio Pettis	Rob Font	2.50	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '18	Dwight Grant	Zak Ottow	1.36	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '18	Jimi Manuwa	Thiago Santos	2.65	0.25	TKO, R2 (0:41)	No
14.	Dec '18	Brian Ortega	Max Holloway	2.10	0.25	TKO, R4 (5:0)	No
15.	Dec '18	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	Gilbert Burns	1.83	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '18	Katlyn Chookagian	Jessica Eye	1.59	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '18	Alex Perez	Joseph Benavidez	1.80	1.25	TKO, R1 (4:19)	No
18.	Nov '18	Kenan Song	Alex Morono	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Nov '18	Emmanuel Sanchez	Patricio Freire	2.65	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Nov '18	Hector Aldana	Laureano Staropoli	3.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mafia Picks: Progress Chart

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