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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mafia Picks

Mafia Picks (MafiaPicksMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - Mafia Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 46 (56%) Right 37 (57%) Right 1 (100%) Right 8 (50%)
Wrong 36 (44%) Wrong 28 (43%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 8 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 1.73 Avg Odds 1.29 Avg Odds 1.67
Units Bet 176.8 Units Bet 123.8 Units Bet 2.5 Units Bet 50.5
Avg Bet 2.16 Avg Bet 1.90 Avg Bet 2.50 Avg Bet 3.16
Units Profit 1.88 Units Profit 4.28 Units Profit 0.71 Units Profit -3.11
ROI % 1% ROI % 3% ROI % 29% ROI % -6%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 22 -12.4 -56% -2.4 / 12 (-20%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 15 -3.7 -25% -2.6 / 11.5 (-23%) -1.0 / 3.5 (-30%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 9.5 2.7 28% 1.7 / 3 (56%) 1.0 / 6.5 (15%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 6.25 0.6 10% 0.6 / 6.25 (10%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 2 1.0 50% 1.0 / 2 (50%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 5 -2.5 -51% -2.5 / 5 (-51%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Nov '18 Bellator 209 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 16.5 7.7 46% 4.2 / 11.5 (36%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15.5 6.7 43% 3.2 / 9 (35%) 3.6 / 6.5 (55%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 10.5 -2.1 -20% -0.1 / 8.5 (-1%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 2.5 1.2 48% 1.2 / 2.5 (48%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 13.5 -2.9 -21% -2.9 / 13.5 (-21%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 10 5.0 50% 5.0 / 10 (50%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10 0.1 1% -0.9 / 7.5 (-12%) 1.0 / 2.5 (40%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 10 5.4 54% 5.4 / 10 (54%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11.5 -1.5 -13% -2.2 / 9 (-25%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 10 3.5 35% 3.5 / 10 (35%)


Winning Events: 10 (48%)
Losing Events: 11 (52%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 176.75 1.9 1% 4.3 / 123.75 (3%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%) -3.1 / 50.5 (-6%) 10 / 11 (48%) 0.09

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 159.25 -2.3 -1% -1.9 / 108.25 (-2%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%) -1.1 / 48.5 (-2%)
Bellator 15.5 3.2 21% 5.2 / 13.5 (39%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other 2 1.0 50% 1.0 / 2 (50%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 19 (29%) 14 74 % 65.00 6.30 0.33 10%
Slight Favorites 26 (40%) 15 58 % 43.75 -0.29 -0.01 -1%
Slight Underdogs 18 (28%) 7 39 % 14.00 -2.38 -0.13 -17%
Big Underdogs 2 (3%) 1 50 % 1.00 0.65 0.33 65%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (15%) 6 60 % 22.75 4.11 0.41 18%
Co-Main Event 6 (9%) 4 67 % 17.00 1.70 0.28 10%
Position 3-5 15 (23%) 9 60 % 30.25 2.51 0.17 8%
6+ (Undercard) 33 (51%) 17 52 % 52.75 -4.90 -0.15 -9%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (8%) 3 60 % 8.00 0.52 0.10 6%
Light Heavy 9 (14%) 7 78 % 14.75 4.67 0.52 32%
Middleweight 9 (14%) 7 78 % 25.50 7.55 0.84 30%
Welterweight 10 (15%) 5 50 % 21.00 -0.93 -0.09 -4%
Lightweight 11 (17%) 6 55 % 21.50 -5.69 -0.52 -26%
Featherweight 5 (8%) 2 40 % 3.25 1.10 0.22 34%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 4.75 -1.67 -0.56 -35%
               
Women's Fights 11 (17%) 6 55 % 23.50 0.23 0.02 1%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 3 100 % 4.50 3.02 1.01 67%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 8.00 -1.08 -0.36 -13%
Strawweight 5 (8%) 2 40 % 11.00 -1.71 -0.34 -16%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 33 (97%) 25 76 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (3%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
34 26 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 0 % 0.00     0.0 (0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 10 3.5 35% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,035.40
8th Sep UFC 228 11.5 -1.5 -13% $10.35 $1,035.40 $1,019.87
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 10 5.4 54% $10.20 $1,019.87 $1,075.18
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10 0.1 1% $10.75 $1,075.18 $1,076.05
29th Sep Bellator 206 10 5.0 50% $10.76 $1,076.05 $1,130.20
6th Oct UFC 229 13.5 -2.9 -21% $11.30 $1,130.20 $1,097.86
12th Oct Bellator 207 2.5 1.2 48% $10.98 $1,097.86 $1,110.93
13th Oct Bellator 208 0.5 -0.5 -100% $11.11 $1,110.93 $1,105.37
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 10.5 -2.1 -20% $11.05 $1,105.37 $1,082.49
3rd Nov UFC 230 15.5 6.7 43% $10.82 $1,082.49 $1,155.18
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 16.5 7.7 46% $11.55 $1,155.18 $1,243.63
15th Nov Bellator 209 0.5 -0.5 -100% $12.44 $1,243.63 $1,237.41
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 1.5 -1.5 -100% $12.37 $1,237.41 $1,218.85
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 5 -2.5 -51% $12.19 $1,218.85 $1,187.99
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 2 1.0 50% $11.88 $1,187.99 $1,199.87
30th Nov TUF Finale 6.25 0.6 10% $12.00 $1,199.87 $1,207.51
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 9.5 2.7 28% $12.08 $1,207.51 $1,239.68
8th Dec UFC 231 15 -3.7 -25% $12.40 $1,239.68 $1,193.94
15th Dec Bellator 212 2 -2.0 -100% $11.94 $1,193.94 $1,170.07
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 22 -12.4 -56% $11.70 $1,170.07 $1,024.95
29th Dec UFC 232 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.25 $1,024.95 $999.33


ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.07% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.75 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.60 0.5 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Zak Cummings Trevor Smith 1.38 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 2.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Gunnar Nelson Alex Oliveira 1.77 0.5 Sub, R2 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Jim Crute Paul Craig 1.50 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Jim Crute Paul Craig 1.63 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Kamaru Usman Rafael dos Anjos 1.38 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Li Jingliang David Zawada 1.65 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Tito Ortiz Chuck Liddell 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Bobby Moffett Chas Skelly 2.10 1 Sub, R2 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Germaine de Randamie Raquel Pennington 1.61 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Mark Delarosa Joby Sanchez 1.54 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.25 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Ashley Yoder Amanda Cooper 1.67 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Devonte Smith Julian Erosa 1.69 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 3.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman 2.60 0.5 TKO, R3 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Stevie Ray Jessin Ayari 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Gian Villante Ed Herman 1.43 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Jordan Griffin Dan Ige 2.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Sergio Pettis Rob Font 2.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Dwight Grant Zak Ottow 1.36 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Jimi Manuwa Thiago Santos 2.65 0.25 TKO, R2 (0:41) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Brian Ortega Max Holloway 2.10 0.25 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Gilbert Burns 1.83 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Eye 1.59 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Kenan Song Alex Morono 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Emmanuel Sanchez Patricio Freire 2.65 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 3.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.59 2 Sub, R3 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Julio Arce Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.51 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Alex Garcia Court McGee 1.59 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Claudia Gadelha Nina Ansaroff 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Timothy Johnson Cheick Kongo 2.75 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Sergio Pettis Jussier Formiga 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 2.15 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Mike Perry Donald Cerrone 1.63 2.5 Sub, R1 (4:46) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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