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Total MMA Handicappers: 1659
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 688

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Mafia Picks

Mafia Picks (MafiaPicksMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - Mafia Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 52 (54%) Right 43 (54%) Right 1 (100%) Right 8 (50%)
Wrong 45 (46%) Wrong 37 (46%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 8 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 1.77 Avg Odds 1.29 Avg Odds 1.67
Units Bet 243.8 Units Bet 190.8 Units Bet 2.5 Units Bet 50.5
Avg Bet 2.51 Avg Bet 2.38 Avg Bet 2.50 Avg Bet 3.16
Units Profit -14.15 Units Profit -11.75 Units Profit 0.71 Units Profit -3.11
ROI % -6% ROI % -6% ROI % 29% ROI % -6%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mafia Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 5 1.7 34% 1.7 / 5 (34%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 55 -27.0 -49% -27.0 / 55 (-49%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 9.2 132% 9.2 / 7 (132%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 22 -12.4 -56% -2.4 / 12 (-20%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 15 -3.7 -25% -2.6 / 11.5 (-23%) -1.0 / 3.5 (-30%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 9.5 2.7 28% 1.7 / 3 (56%) 1.0 / 6.5 (15%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 6.25 0.6 10% 0.6 / 6.25 (10%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 2 1.0 50% 1.0 / 2 (50%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 5 -2.5 -51% -2.5 / 5 (-51%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Nov '18 Bellator 209 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 16.5 7.7 46% 4.2 / 11.5 (36%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15.5 6.7 43% 3.2 / 9 (35%) 3.6 / 6.5 (55%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 10.5 -2.1 -20% -0.1 / 8.5 (-1%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 2.5 1.2 48% 1.2 / 2.5 (48%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 13.5 -2.9 -21% -2.9 / 13.5 (-21%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 10 5.0 50% 5.0 / 10 (50%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10 0.1 1% -0.9 / 7.5 (-12%) 1.0 / 2.5 (40%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 10 5.4 54% 5.4 / 10 (54%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11.5 -1.5 -13% -2.2 / 9 (-25%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 10 3.5 35% 3.5 / 10 (35%)


Winning Events: 12 (50%)
Losing Events: 12 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 55.00 units
Best Event: 9.25 units
Worst Event: -27.01 units
Average Event: -0.59 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 14.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -27.01

Mafia Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 67 -16.0 -24% -16.0 / 67 (-24%) 2 / 1 (67%) -5.35
2018 176.75 1.9 1% 4.3 / 123.75 (3%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%) -3.1 / 50.5 (-6%) 10 / 11 (48%) 0.09

Mafia Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mafia Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 226.25 -18.4 -8% -18.0 / 175.25 (-10%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%) -1.1 / 48.5 (-2%)
Bellator 15.5 3.2 21% 5.2 / 13.5 (39%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other 2 1.0 50% 1.0 / 2 (50%)

Mafia Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 22 (28%) 16 73 % 80.00 5.66 0.26 7%
Slight Favorites 31 (39%) 16 52 % 68.75 -17.44 -0.56 -25%
Slight Underdogs 25 (31%) 10 40 % 41.00 -0.63 -0.03 -2%
Big Underdogs 2 (3%) 1 50 % 1.00 0.65 0.33 65%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (15%) 7 58 % 32.75 7.61 0.63 23%
Co-Main Event 7 (9%) 4 57 % 22.00 -3.30 -0.47 -15%
Position 3-5 19 (24%) 13 68 % 50.25 17.22 0.91 34%
6+ (Undercard) 41 (51%) 18 44 % 84.75 -34.15 -0.83 -40%

Mafia Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (8%) 3 50 % 13.00 -4.48 -0.75 -34%
Light Heavy 10 (13%) 8 80 % 19.75 7.30 0.73 37%
Middleweight 10 (13%) 7 70 % 30.50 2.55 0.25 8%
Welterweight 15 (19%) 7 47 % 42.00 -7.34 -0.49 -17%
Lightweight 10 (13%) 7 70 % 19.50 8.81 0.88 45%
Featherweight 7 (9%) 2 29 % 10.25 -5.90 -0.84 -58%
Bantamweight 4 (5%) 0 % 11.50 -11.50 -2.88 -100%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 9.75 6.83 1.71 70%
               
Women's Fights 14 (18%) 7 50 % 34.50 -8.02 -0.57 -23%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 3 100 % 4.50 3.02 1.01 67%
Bantamweight 5 (6%) 2 40 % 14.00 -4.33 -0.87 -31%
Strawweight 6 (8%) 2 33 % 16.00 -6.71 -1.12 -42%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 33 (97%) 25 76 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (3%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
34 26 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 0 % 0.00     0.0 (0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mafia Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 10 3.5 35% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,035.40
8th Sep UFC 228 11.5 -1.5 -13% $10.35 $1,035.40 $1,019.87
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 10 5.4 54% $10.20 $1,019.87 $1,075.18
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10 0.1 1% $10.75 $1,075.18 $1,076.05
29th Sep Bellator 206 10 5.0 50% $10.76 $1,076.05 $1,130.20
6th Oct UFC 229 13.5 -2.9 -21% $11.30 $1,130.20 $1,097.86
12th Oct Bellator 207 2.5 1.2 48% $10.98 $1,097.86 $1,110.93
13th Oct Bellator 208 0.5 -0.5 -100% $11.11 $1,110.93 $1,105.37
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 10.5 -2.1 -20% $11.05 $1,105.37 $1,082.49
3rd Nov UFC 230 15.5 6.7 43% $10.82 $1,082.49 $1,155.18
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 16.5 7.7 46% $11.55 $1,155.18 $1,243.63
15th Nov Bellator 209 0.5 -0.5 -100% $12.44 $1,243.63 $1,237.41
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 1.5 -1.5 -100% $12.37 $1,237.41 $1,218.85
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 5 -2.5 -51% $12.19 $1,218.85 $1,187.99
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 2 1.0 50% $11.88 $1,187.99 $1,199.87
30th Nov TUF Finale 6.25 0.6 10% $12.00 $1,199.87 $1,207.51
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 9.5 2.7 28% $12.08 $1,207.51 $1,239.68
8th Dec UFC 231 15 -3.7 -25% $12.40 $1,239.68 $1,193.94
15th Dec Bellator 212 2 -2.0 -100% $11.94 $1,193.94 $1,170.07
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 22 -12.4 -56% $11.70 $1,170.07 $1,024.95
29th Dec UFC 232 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.25 $1,024.95 $999.33
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 9.2 132% $9.99 $999.33 $1,091.77
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 55 -27.0 -49% $10.92 $1,091.77 $796.87
2nd Mar UFC 235 5 1.7 34% $7.97 $796.87 $810.61


ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.94% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mafia Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '19 Charles Oliveira David Teymur 2.50 5 Sub, R2 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Johnny Walker Justin Ledet 1.53 5 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Demian Maia Lyman Good 1.57 5 Sub, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Joanne Calderwood Ariane Lipski 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '19 Henry Cejudo T.J. Dillashaw 2.70 5 TKO, R1 (0:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.75 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.60 0.5 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Zak Cummings Trevor Smith 1.38 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Ben Askren Robbie Lawler 1.34 5 Sub, R1 (3:20) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 2.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Gunnar Nelson Alex Oliveira 1.77 0.5 Sub, R2 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Jim Crute Paul Craig 1.50 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Jim Crute Paul Craig 1.63 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Kamaru Usman Rafael dos Anjos 1.38 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Li Jingliang David Zawada 1.65 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Tito Ortiz Chuck Liddell 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Bobby Moffett Chas Skelly 2.10 1 Sub, R2 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Germaine de Randamie Raquel Pennington 1.61 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Mark Delarosa Joby Sanchez 1.54 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.25 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Anthony Hernandez Markus Perez 1.69 5 Sub, R2 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Max Griffin Thiago Alves 1.50 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Taila Santos Mara Romero Borella 1.63 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Junior Albini Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.83 5 TKO, R2 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov 2.15 5 TKO, R1 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Renato Moicano Jose Aldo 1.74 5 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Sarah Frota Livia Renata Souza 2.80 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes 2.80 5 Sub, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '19 Belal Muhammad Geoff Neal 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Jordan Griffin Dan Ige 2.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Sergio Pettis Rob Font 2.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Dwight Grant Zak Ottow 1.36 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Jimi Manuwa Thiago Santos 2.65 0.25 TKO, R2 (0:41) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Brian Ortega Max Holloway 2.10 0.25 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Gilbert Burns 1.83 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Eye 1.59 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Kenan Song Alex Morono 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Emmanuel Sanchez Patricio Freire 2.65 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 3.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mafia Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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