|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Lucky Punch MMA |
|
Lucky Punch MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
1st Dec '18 |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
71 |
-18.2 |
-26% |
2.6 / 15 (17%) |
-13.0 / 20 (-65%) |
-7.8 / 36 (-22%) |
30th Nov '18 |
TUF Finale |
25.5 |
-14.8 |
-58% |
-7.0 / 13.5 (-52%) |
2.2 / 2 (110%) |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
25th Nov '18 |
Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 |
7 |
2.7 |
38% |
2.7 / 7 (38%) |
|
|
24th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
16 |
-10.0 |
-63% |
-12.0 / 12 (-100%) |
|
2.0 / 4 (49%) |
17th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
33 |
-28.5 |
-86% |
-21.0 / 21 (-100%) |
0.5 / 4 (13%) |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
10th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
8 |
-2.6 |
-33% |
-2.6 / 8 (-33%) |
|
|
3rd Nov '18 |
UFC 230 |
10 |
3.7 |
37% |
2.5 / 7 (36%) |
1.2 / 3 (40%) |
|
27th Oct '18 |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
16.5 |
6.3 |
38% |
0.2 / 10.5 (2%) |
|
6.1 / 6 (102%) |
13th Oct '18 |
Bellator 208 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
13th Oct '18 |
PFL 9 |
3 |
1.6 |
52% |
1.6 / 3 (52%) |
|
|
12th Oct '18 |
Bellator 207 |
8 |
6.1 |
76% |
2.7 / 5 (53%) |
|
3.4 / 3 (114%) |
6th Oct '18 |
UFC 229 |
35.5 |
-4.5 |
-13% |
0.8 / 24.5 (3%) |
|
-5.4 / 11 (-49%) |
6th Oct '18 |
KSW 45 |
6.5 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
-0.2 / 6.5 (-3%) |
|
|
29th Sep '18 |
Bellator 206 |
13 |
5.1 |
40% |
-0.3 / 8 (-4%) |
|
5.5 / 5 (110%) |
22nd Sep '18 |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
21st Sep '18 |
Bellator 205 |
1 |
1.9 |
187% |
1.9 / 1 (187%) |
|
|
15th Sep '18 |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
25 |
9.0 |
36% |
-3.1 / 11 (-29%) |
|
12.2 / 14 (87%) |
8th Sep '18 |
UFC 228 |
15 |
-8.1 |
-54% |
-5.9 / 9.5 (-62%) |
-0.2 / 3.5 (-6%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
25th Aug '18 |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
19.5 |
-7.2 |
-37% |
-1.2 / 13.5 (-9%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
7th Aug '18 |
DWTNCS 16 |
7.7 |
4.5 |
59% |
2.1 / 3.7 (55%) |
|
2.5 / 4 (61%) |
4th Aug '18 |
UFC 227 |
30 |
13.9 |
46% |
2.5 / 12.5 (20%) |
1.1 / 2 (53%) |
10.3 / 15.5 (66%) |
2nd Aug '18 |
PFL 5 |
5 |
1.0 |
20% |
-0.2 / 4 (-5%) |
|
1.2 / 1 (120%) |
31st Jul '18 |
DWTNCS 15 |
13 |
8.6 |
66% |
3.3 / 7 (47%) |
|
5.3 / 6 (88%) |
28th Jul '18 |
UFC on Fox 30 |
25.5 |
14.2 |
56% |
7.2 / 12 (60%) |
3.9 / 10.5 (37%) |
3.2 / 3 (106%) |
24th Jul '18 |
DWTNCS 14 |
4 |
3.2 |
80% |
3.2 / 4 (80%) |
|
|
22nd Jul '18 |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
36 |
17.9 |
50% |
17.4 / 23.5 (74%) |
0.5 / 12.5 (4%) |
|
14th Jul '18 |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
5 |
2.9 |
58% |
2.9 / 5 (58%) |
|
|
7th Jul '18 |
UFC 226 |
25.5 |
-9.0 |
-35% |
-1.0 / 17.5 (-6%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 16 (57%) Losing Events: 12 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 17.13 units Most Staked On One Event: 71.00 units Best Event: 17.95 units Worst Event: -28.50 units Average Event: -0.54 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 66.22 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -41.15 |
Lucky Punch MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2018 |
479.7 |
-15.1 |
-3% |
-12.8 / 276.7 (-5%) |
-10.8 / 64.5 (-17%) |
8.4 / 138.5 (6%) |
16 / 12 (57%) |
-0.54 |
|
Lucky Punch MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Lucky Punch MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
405 |
-43.0 |
-11% |
-23.8 / 222 (-11%) |
-10.8 / 64.5 (-17%) |
-8.4 / 118.5 (-7%) |
Bellator |
28.5 |
6.6 |
23% |
-1.3 / 19.5 (-7%) |
|
7.9 / 9 (88%) |
PFL |
8 |
2.6 |
32% |
1.4 / 7 (19%) |
|
1.2 / 1 (120%) |
Other |
38.2 |
18.7 |
49% |
11.0 / 28.2 (39%) |
|
7.7 / 10 (77%) |
|
Lucky Punch MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
21 (23%) |
16 |
76 % |
83.00 |
10.28 |
0.49 |
12% |
Slight Favorites |
29 (32%) |
12 |
41 % |
113.50 |
-34.26 |
-1.18 |
-30% |
Slight Underdogs |
25 (28%) |
12 |
48 % |
57.70 |
9.87 |
0.39 |
17% |
Big Underdogs |
15 (17%) |
5 |
33 % |
22.50 |
1.35 |
0.09 |
6% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
19 (21%) |
9 |
47 % |
73.50 |
-3.81 |
-0.20 |
-5% |
Co-Main Event |
11 (12%) |
6 |
55 % |
21.00 |
9.10 |
0.83 |
43% |
Position 3-5 |
30 (33%) |
19 |
63 % |
99.70 |
5.75 |
0.19 |
6% |
6+ (Undercard) |
29 (32%) |
11 |
38 % |
80.50 |
-21.80 |
-0.75 |
-27% |
|
Lucky Punch MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
16 (18%) |
9 |
56 % |
57.00 |
5.05 |
0.32 |
9% |
Light Heavy |
9 (10%) |
6 |
67 % |
31.50 |
8.76 |
0.97 |
28% |
Middleweight |
8 (9%) |
5 |
63 % |
36.00 |
-0.68 |
-0.08 |
-2% |
Welterweight |
15 (17%) |
7 |
47 % |
42.50 |
-0.98 |
-0.07 |
-2% |
Lightweight |
16 (18%) |
7 |
44 % |
43.50 |
-5.92 |
-0.37 |
-14% |
Featherweight |
6 (7%) |
2 |
33 % |
11.70 |
-2.42 |
-0.40 |
-21% |
Bantamweight |
6 (7%) |
3 |
50 % |
14.00 |
-1.50 |
-0.25 |
-11% |
Flyweight |
7 (8%) |
4 |
57 % |
20.50 |
-2.94 |
-0.42 |
-14% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
7 (8%) |
2 |
29 % |
20.00 |
-12.13 |
-1.73 |
-61% |
Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
6.00 |
-1.00 |
-0.33 |
-17% |
Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-1.13 |
-0.56 |
-28% |
Strawweight |
2 (2%) |
|
0 % |
10.00 |
-10.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
71 (76%) |
66 |
93 % |
Slight Favorites |
19 (20%) |
8 |
42 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
|
94 |
75 |
80 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
9 (19%) |
6 |
67 % |
50-65% |
8 (17%) |
3 |
38 % |
35-50% |
8 (17%) |
4 |
50 % |
<35% chance |
23 (48%) |
3 |
13 % |
|
48 |
16 |
33 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Lucky Punch MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
25.5 |
-9.0 |
-35% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$909.80 |
14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
5 |
2.9 |
58% |
|
$9.10 |
$909.80 |
$936.19 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
36 |
17.9 |
50% |
|
$9.36 |
$936.19 |
$1,104.23 |
24th Jul |
DWTNCS 14 |
4 |
3.2 |
80% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,104.23 |
$1,139.56 |
28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
25.5 |
14.2 |
56% |
$20 |
$11.40 |
$1,139.56 |
$1,281.89 |
31st Jul |
DWTNCS 15 |
13 |
8.6 |
66% |
$20 |
$12.82 |
$1,281.89 |
$1,371.68 |
2nd Aug |
PFL 5 |
5 |
1.0 |
20% |
|
$13.72 |
$1,371.68 |
$1,385.45 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
30 |
13.9 |
46% |
$20 |
$13.85 |
$1,385.45 |
$1,557.39 |
7th Aug |
DWTNCS 16 |
7.7 |
4.5 |
59% |
|
$15.57 |
$1,557.39 |
$1,627.58 |
25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
19.5 |
-7.2 |
-37% |
$20 |
$16.28 |
$1,627.58 |
$1,490.40 |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
15 |
-8.1 |
-54% |
$20 |
$14.90 |
$1,490.40 |
$1,349.67 |
15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
25 |
9.0 |
36% |
$20 |
$13.50 |
$1,349.67 |
$1,451.60 |
21st Sep |
Bellator 205 |
1 |
1.9 |
187% |
$20 |
$14.52 |
$1,451.60 |
$1,458.75 |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
$20 |
$14.59 |
$1,458.75 |
$1,322.05 |
29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
13 |
5.1 |
40% |
$20 |
$13.22 |
$1,322.05 |
$1,370.13 |
6th Oct |
KSW 45 |
6.5 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
$20 |
$13.70 |
$1,370.13 |
$1,347.39 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
35.5 |
-4.5 |
-13% |
$20 |
$13.47 |
$1,347.39 |
$1,266.32 |
12th Oct |
Bellator 207 |
8 |
6.1 |
76% |
|
$12.66 |
$1,266.32 |
$1,343.27 |
13th Oct |
Bellator 208 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
$20 |
$13.43 |
$1,343.27 |
$1,235.95 |
13th Oct |
PFL 9 |
3 |
1.6 |
52% |
$20 |
$12.36 |
$1,235.95 |
$1,235.24 |
27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
16.5 |
6.3 |
38% |
$20 |
$12.35 |
$1,235.24 |
$1,293.25 |
3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
10 |
3.7 |
37% |
$20 |
$12.93 |
$1,293.25 |
$1,321.36 |
10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
8 |
-2.6 |
-33% |
|
$13.21 |
$1,321.36 |
$1,287.01 |
17th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
33 |
-28.5 |
-86% |
|
$12.87 |
$1,287.01 |
$920.21 |
24th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
16 |
-10.0 |
-63% |
|
$9.20 |
$920.21 |
$827.76 |
25th Nov |
Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 |
7 |
2.7 |
38% |
|
$8.28 |
$827.76 |
$849.78 |
30th Nov |
TUF Finale |
25.5 |
-14.8 |
-58% |
|
$8.50 |
$849.78 |
$723.84 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
71 |
-18.2 |
-26% |
|
$7.24 |
$723.84 |
$592.05 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -40.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Lucky Punch MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Dec '18 |
Tony Martin |
Jake Matthews |
1.90 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (1:19) |
|
|
2. |
Dec '18 |
Junior dos Santos |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.62 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:30) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '18 |
Juan Espino |
Justin Frazier |
1.62 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (3:36) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '18 |
Tito Ortiz |
Chuck Liddell |
1.38 |
7 |
TKO, R1 (4:24) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '18 |
Eric Shelton |
Joseph Morales |
1.80 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '18 |
Talita Bernardo |
Sarah Moras |
2.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '18 |
Sean Strickland |
Nordine Taleb |
1.90 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:10) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '18 |
Chris Wade |
Robert Watley |
1.52 |
3 |
Split Decision (2 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '18 |
Jussier Formiga |
Sergio Pettis |
2.34 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '18 |
Tony Martin |
Ryan LaFlare |
2.20 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:0) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '18 |
Scott Askham |
Marcin Wojcik |
1.40 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:21) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '18 |
Thiago Silva |
James McSweeney |
1.40 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '18 |
Tony Ferguson |
Anthony Pettis |
1.34 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '18 |
Dominick Reyes |
Ovince St Preux |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '18 |
Veta Arteaga |
Denise Kielholtz |
2.87 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:24) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '18 |
Derrick Lewis |
Alexander Volkov |
2.62 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (4:49) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '18 |
Khalid Murtazaliev |
C.B. Dollaway |
1.57 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
18. |
Sep '18 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
Niko Price |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:43) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '18 |
Bryan Barberena |
Jake Ellenberger |
1.22 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (2:14) |
|
|
20. |
Aug '18 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
John Moraga |
1.66 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:8) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '18 |
Ben Nguyen |
Wilson Reis |
1.62 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Nov '18 |
Darren Stewart |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
1.90 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Nov '18 |
Bryan Caraway |
Pedro Munhoz |
3.00 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:39) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '18 |
Alex Perez |
Joseph Benavidez |
1.80 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '18 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Francis Ngannou |
1.47 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (0:45) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '18 |
David Zawada |
Li Jingliang |
2.30 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (4:7) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '18 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Francis Ngannou |
1.40 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (0:45) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '18 |
Cezar Ferreira |
Ian Heinisch |
1.57 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Nov '18 |
Poliana Botelho |
Cynthia Calvillo |
1.57 |
8 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Nov '18 |
Hector Aldana |
Laureano Staropoli |
1.80 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Nov '18 |
Darren Elkins |
Ricardo Lamas |
2.62 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (4:9) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Nov '18 |
Luis Pena |
Mike Trizano |
1.55 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Oct '18 |
Jessin Ayari |
Stevie Ray |
2.37 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Oct '18 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Anthony Smith |
1.61 |
4 |
Sub, R3 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '18 |
Saad Awad |
Benson Henderson |
3.75 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '18 |
Chael Sonnen |
Fedor Emelianenko |
3.00 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '18 |
Timothy Johnson |
Cheick Kongo |
1.61 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '18 |
Felice Herrig |
Michelle Waterson |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '18 |
Karol Bedorf |
Philip De Fries |
1.57 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '18 |
Alan Patrick |
Scott Holtzman |
1.36 |
3.5 |
TKO, R3 (3:42) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Lucky Punch MMA: Progress Chart |
|
|
|
|