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Total MMA Handicappers: 1703
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 707

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Lucky Punch MMA

Lucky Punch MMA (Lucky Punch)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Lucky  Punch MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 79 (48%) Right 45 (50%) Right 12 (35%) Right 22 (54%)
Wrong 86 (52%) Wrong 45 (50%) Wrong 22 (65%) Wrong 19 (46%)
Avg Odds 2.15 Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 2.83 Avg Odds 2.34
Units Bet 479.7 Units Bet 276.7 Units Bet 64.5 Units Bet 138.5
Avg Bet 2.91 Avg Bet 3.07 Avg Bet 1.90 Avg Bet 3.38
Units Profit -15.12 Units Profit -12.76 Units Profit -10.79 Units Profit 8.43
ROI % -3% ROI % -5% ROI % -17% ROI % 6%
View Handicapper's Profile

Lucky Punch MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 71 -18.2 -26% 2.6 / 15 (17%) -13.0 / 20 (-65%) -7.8 / 36 (-22%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 25.5 -14.8 -58% -7.0 / 13.5 (-52%) 2.2 / 2 (110%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 7 2.7 38% 2.7 / 7 (38%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 16 -10.0 -63% -12.0 / 12 (-100%) 2.0 / 4 (49%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 33 -28.5 -86% -21.0 / 21 (-100%) 0.5 / 4 (13%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 8 -2.6 -33% -2.6 / 8 (-33%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 10 3.7 37% 2.5 / 7 (36%) 1.2 / 3 (40%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 16.5 6.3 38% 0.2 / 10.5 (2%) 6.1 / 6 (102%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 6.5 -6.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 PFL 9 3 1.6 52% 1.6 / 3 (52%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 8 6.1 76% 2.7 / 5 (53%) 3.4 / 3 (114%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 35.5 -4.5 -13% 0.8 / 24.5 (3%) -5.4 / 11 (-49%)
6th Oct '18 KSW 45 6.5 -0.2 -3% -0.2 / 6.5 (-3%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 13 5.1 40% -0.3 / 8 (-4%) 5.5 / 5 (110%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 8 -8.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 1 1.9 187% 1.9 / 1 (187%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 25 9.0 36% -3.1 / 11 (-29%) 12.2 / 14 (87%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 15 -8.1 -54% -5.9 / 9.5 (-62%) -0.2 / 3.5 (-6%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 19.5 -7.2 -37% -1.2 / 13.5 (-9%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 7.7 4.5 59% 2.1 / 3.7 (55%) 2.5 / 4 (61%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 30 13.9 46% 2.5 / 12.5 (20%) 1.1 / 2 (53%) 10.3 / 15.5 (66%)
2nd Aug '18 PFL 5 5 1.0 20% -0.2 / 4 (-5%) 1.2 / 1 (120%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 13 8.6 66% 3.3 / 7 (47%) 5.3 / 6 (88%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 25.5 14.2 56% 7.2 / 12 (60%) 3.9 / 10.5 (37%) 3.2 / 3 (106%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 4 3.2 80% 3.2 / 4 (80%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 36 17.9 50% 17.4 / 23.5 (74%) 0.5 / 12.5 (4%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 5 2.9 58% 2.9 / 5 (58%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 25.5 -9.0 -35% -1.0 / 17.5 (-6%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 16 (57%)
Losing Events: 12 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.13 units
Most Staked On One Event: 71.00 units
Best Event: 17.95 units
Worst Event: -28.50 units
Average Event: -0.54 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 66.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -41.15

Lucky Punch MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 479.7 -15.1 -3% -12.8 / 276.7 (-5%) -10.8 / 64.5 (-17%) 8.4 / 138.5 (6%) 16 / 12 (57%) -0.54

Lucky Punch MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Lucky Punch MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 405 -43.0 -11% -23.8 / 222 (-11%) -10.8 / 64.5 (-17%) -8.4 / 118.5 (-7%)
Bellator 28.5 6.6 23% -1.3 / 19.5 (-7%) 7.9 / 9 (88%)
PFL 8 2.6 32% 1.4 / 7 (19%) 1.2 / 1 (120%)
Other 38.2 18.7 49% 11.0 / 28.2 (39%) 7.7 / 10 (77%)

Lucky Punch MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 21 (23%) 16 76 % 83.00 10.28 0.49 12%
Slight Favorites 29 (32%) 12 41 % 113.50 -34.26 -1.18 -30%
Slight Underdogs 25 (28%) 12 48 % 57.70 9.87 0.39 17%
Big Underdogs 15 (17%) 5 33 % 22.50 1.35 0.09 6%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 19 (21%) 9 47 % 73.50 -3.81 -0.20 -5%
Co-Main Event 11 (12%) 6 55 % 21.00 9.10 0.83 43%
Position 3-5 30 (33%) 19 63 % 99.70 5.75 0.19 6%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (32%) 11 38 % 80.50 -21.80 -0.75 -27%

Lucky Punch MMA: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 16 (18%) 9 56 % 57.00 5.05 0.32 9%
Light Heavy 9 (10%) 6 67 % 31.50 8.76 0.97 28%
Middleweight 8 (9%) 5 63 % 36.00 -0.68 -0.08 -2%
Welterweight 15 (17%) 7 47 % 42.50 -0.98 -0.07 -2%
Lightweight 16 (18%) 7 44 % 43.50 -5.92 -0.37 -14%
Featherweight 6 (7%) 2 33 % 11.70 -2.42 -0.40 -21%
Bantamweight 6 (7%) 3 50 % 14.00 -1.50 -0.25 -11%
Flyweight 7 (8%) 4 57 % 20.50 -2.94 -0.42 -14%
               
Women's Fights 7 (8%) 2 29 % 20.00 -12.13 -1.73 -61%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 6.00 -1.00 -0.33 -17%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 4.00 -1.13 -0.56 -28%
Strawweight 2 (2%) 0 % 10.00 -10.00 -5.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 71 (76%) 66 93 %
Slight Favorites 19 (20%) 8 42 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 4 (4%) 1 25 %
94 75 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 9 (19%) 6 67 %
50-65% 8 (17%) 3 38 %
35-50% 8 (17%) 4 50 %
<35% chance 23 (48%) 3 13 %
48 16 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (8%) 4 100 % 1.48 1.70Pick was correct 1.25Pick was correct 2.0 (50%)
Goes to Decision 3 (6%) 1 33 % 1.31 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was incorrect -1.8 (-59%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.33 1.33Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 5 (10%) 2 40 % 3.23 6.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was correct -0.6 (-12%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (2%) 0 0 % 7.50 7.50Pick was incorrect 7.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (21%) 5 50 % 2.84 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.54Pick was correct 2.3 (23%)
X Wins Inside Distance 17 (35%) 3 18 % 2.39 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct -12.1 (-71%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (10%) 0 0 % 16.15 34.00Pick was incorrect 12.00Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
Others 2 (4%) 1 50 % 4.47 8.00Pick was incorrect 3.10Pick was correct 1.1 (55%)
48 16 33 % 2.55     -16.1 (-33%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Lucky Punch MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th Jul UFC 226 25.5 -9.0 -35% $10.00 $1,000.00 $909.80
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 5 2.9 58% $9.10 $909.80 $936.19
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 36 17.9 50% $9.36 $936.19 $1,104.23
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 4 3.2 80% $11.04 $1,104.23 $1,139.56
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 25.5 14.2 56% $20 $11.40 $1,139.56 $1,281.89
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 13 8.6 66% $20 $12.82 $1,281.89 $1,371.68
2nd Aug PFL 5 5 1.0 20% $13.72 $1,371.68 $1,385.45
4th Aug UFC 227 30 13.9 46% $20 $13.85 $1,385.45 $1,557.39
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 7.7 4.5 59% $15.57 $1,557.39 $1,627.58
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 19.5 -7.2 -37% $20 $16.28 $1,627.58 $1,490.40
8th Sep UFC 228 15 -8.1 -54% $20 $14.90 $1,490.40 $1,349.67
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 25 9.0 36% $20 $13.50 $1,349.67 $1,451.60
21st Sep Bellator 205 1 1.9 187% $20 $14.52 $1,451.60 $1,458.75
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 8 -8.0 -100% $20 $14.59 $1,458.75 $1,322.05
29th Sep Bellator 206 13 5.1 40% $20 $13.22 $1,322.05 $1,370.13
6th Oct KSW 45 6.5 -0.2 -3% $20 $13.70 $1,370.13 $1,347.39
6th Oct UFC 229 35.5 -4.5 -13% $20 $13.47 $1,347.39 $1,266.32
12th Oct Bellator 207 8 6.1 76% $12.66 $1,266.32 $1,343.27
13th Oct Bellator 208 6.5 -6.5 -100% $20 $13.43 $1,343.27 $1,235.95
13th Oct PFL 9 3 1.6 52% $20 $12.36 $1,235.95 $1,235.24
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 16.5 6.3 38% $20 $12.35 $1,235.24 $1,293.25
3rd Nov UFC 230 10 3.7 37% $20 $12.93 $1,293.25 $1,321.36
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 8 -2.6 -33% $13.21 $1,321.36 $1,287.01
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 33 -28.5 -86% $12.87 $1,287.01 $920.21
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 16 -10.0 -63% $9.20 $920.21 $827.76
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 7 2.7 38% $8.28 $827.76 $849.78
30th Nov TUF Finale 25.5 -14.8 -58% $8.50 $849.78 $723.84
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 71 -18.2 -26% $7.24 $723.84 $592.05


ROI % from starting bank balance: -40.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Lucky Punch MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Tony Martin Jake Matthews 1.90 5 Sub, R3 (1:19) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Junior dos Santos Tai Tuivasa 1.62 5 TKO, R2 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Juan Espino Justin Frazier 1.62 4 Sub, R1 (3:36) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Tito Ortiz Chuck Liddell 1.38 7 TKO, R1 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Eric Shelton Joseph Morales 1.80 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '18 Paid Pick Talita Bernardo Sarah Moras 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '18 Paid Pick Sean Strickland Nordine Taleb 1.90 3 TKO, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Paid Pick Chris Wade Robert Watley 1.52 3 Split Decision (2 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Paid Pick Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis 2.34 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Paid Pick Tony Martin Ryan LaFlare 2.20 2 TKO, R3 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Paid Pick Scott Askham Marcin Wojcik 1.40 2 TKO, R1 (1:21) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Paid Pick Thiago Silva James McSweeney 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Paid Pick Tony Ferguson Anthony Pettis 1.34 3 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Paid Pick Dominick Reyes Ovince St Preux 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Paid Pick Veta Arteaga Denise Kielholtz 2.87 1 Sub, R2 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Paid Pick Derrick Lewis Alexander Volkov 2.62 2 TKO, R3 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Paid Pick Khalid Murtazaliev C.B. Dollaway 1.57 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Paid Pick Abdul Razak Alhassan Niko Price 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (0:43) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Paid Pick Bryan Barberena Jake Ellenberger 1.22 6 TKO, R1 (2:14) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Deiveson Figueiredo John Moraga 1.66 3 TKO, R2 (3:8) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Ben Nguyen Wilson Reis 1.62 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 1.90 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Bryan Caraway Pedro Munhoz 3.00 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.80 5 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.47 4 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 David Zawada Li Jingliang 2.30 4 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.40 4 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Cezar Ferreira Ian Heinisch 1.57 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.57 8 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Darren Elkins Ricardo Lamas 2.62 2 TKO, R3 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Luis Pena Mike Trizano 1.55 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Paid Pick Jessin Ayari Stevie Ray 2.37 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Paid Pick Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.61 4 Sub, R3 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Paid Pick Saad Awad Benson Henderson 3.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Paid Pick Chael Sonnen Fedor Emelianenko 3.00 2 TKO, R1 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Paid Pick Timothy Johnson Cheick Kongo 1.61 2.5 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Paid Pick Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Paid Pick Karol Bedorf Philip De Fries 1.57 2 Sub, R2 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Paid Pick Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.36 3.5 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Lucky Punch MMA: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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