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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: CSP

CSP (chadpag)

MMA MHandicapper - CSP

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 96 (42%) Right 36 (64%) Right 25 (30%) Right 35 (39%)
Wrong 134 (58%) Wrong 20 (36%) Wrong 59 (70%) Wrong 55 (61%)
Avg Odds 2.41 Avg Odds 1.80 Avg Odds 3.14 Avg Odds 2.40
Units Bet 540.8 Units Bet 163.0 Units Bet 136.3 Units Bet 241.5
Avg Bet 2.35 Avg Bet 2.91 Avg Bet 1.62 Avg Bet 2.68
Units Profit -26.58 Units Profit 38.37 Units Profit -16.13 Units Profit -48.82
ROI % -5% ROI % 24% ROI % -12% ROI % -20%
View Handicapper's Profile

CSP : Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 34.26 -11.1 -32% -12.6 / 20.92 (-60%) 0.6 / 2 (30%) 0.9 / 11.34 (8%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 4.96 -2.0 -40% -2.0 / 4.96 (-40%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 31.5 -11.5 -36% -3.3 / 3.33 (-100%) -1.4 / 4.5 (-32%) -6.7 / 23.67 (-28%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 34.75 1.8 5% 1.4 / 2 (70%) 9.5 / 10 (95%) -9.1 / 22.75 (-40%)
15th Dec '18 UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 40.55 0.1 0% 12.5 / 11.75 (107%) 0.2 / 16.25 (1%) -12.6 / 12.55 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 4.5 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 41.43 -9.5 -23% 6.9 / 11.33 (60%) -10.6 / 16.5 (-64%) -5.7 / 13.6 (-42%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 36.67 -17.2 -47% -12.1 / 17.5 (-69%) -5.1 / 19.17 (-27%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 27.67 0.5 2% 1.3 / 3 (43%) 4.3 / 11.67 (37%) -5.2 / 13 (-40%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 6 4.8 80% 1.9 / 3 (63%) 2.9 / 3 (97%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 27 -19.4 -72% -3.0 / 7 (-43%) -3.9 / 7.5 (-52%) -12.5 / 12.5 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 34.5 -14.5 -42% 2.9 / 8.75 (33%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -12.9 / 21.25 (-61%)
15th Nov '18 Bellator 209 3.6 1.8 50% 1.8 / 3.6 (50%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 31.5 20.6 65% 10.6 / 9.5 (111%) 0.1 / 10 (1%) 9.9 / 12 (82%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 24.75 6.6 27% 4.4 / 2 (220%) 0.2 / 9.25 (2%) 2.1 / 13.5 (15%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 22 11.0 50% 3.0 / 4.25 (72%) 0.4 / 7 (5%) 7.6 / 10.75 (71%)
20th Oct '18 Cage Warriors 98 2.3 1.0 43% 1.0 / 2.3 (43%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 5 -0.7 -15% 1.3 / 3 (42%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 25.25 -4.0 -16% -5.1 / 7.5 (-68%) -0.3 / 5.75 (-5%) 1.4 / 12 (12%)
5th Oct '18 PFL 8 2 0.8 41% 0.8 / 2 (41%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 4.15 2.1 51% 1.1 / 2.5 (45%) 1.0 / 1.65 (61%)
29th Sep '18 Cage Warriors 97 2 1.1 54% 1.1 / 2 (54%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 18.5 2.4 13% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) 7.9 / 13 (61%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 1.75 1.0 57% 1.0 / 1.75 (57%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 25.17 0.6 2% 6.1 / 19.67 (31%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
14th Sep '18 LFA 49 3.33 1.3 40% 1.3 / 3.33 (40%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 17.5 3.8 22% 1.8 / 11.5 (15%) 2.1 / 6 (35%)
1st Sep '18 Invicta FC 31 5.2 1.7 33% 1.0 / 4.2 (24%) 0.7 / 1 (70%)
30th Aug '18 PFL 7 2 2.6 130% 2.6 / 2 (130%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 18.51 4.4 24% 4.9 / 10.3 (47%) -0.5 / 8.21 (-6%)


Winning Events: 20 (65%)
Losing Events: 11 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 41.43 units
Best Event: 20.60 units
Worst Event: -19.37 units
Average Event: -0.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 11, Units: 41.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -33.90

CSP : Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 70.72 -24.6 -35% -16.0 / 24.25 (-66%) -0.8 / 6.5 (-13%) -7.8 / 39.97 (-20%) / 3 (0%) -8.20
2018 470.08 -2.0 -0% 54.3 / 138.73 (39%) -15.3 / 129.78 (-12%) -41.0 / 201.57 (-20%) 20 / 8 (71%) -0.07

CSP : Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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CSP : Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 491.51 -35.1 -7% 26.2 / 138.3 (19%) -18.0 / 130.63 (-14%) -43.3 / 222.58 (-19%)
Bellator 26.46 -4.8 -18% 5.2 / 10.85 (48%) 0.0 / 2.65 (0%) -10.0 / 12.96 (-77%)
PFL 4 3.4 85% 2.6 / 2 (130%) 0.8 / 2 (41%)
Other 18.83 9.9 53% 4.4 / 11.83 (37%) 1.9 / 3 (63%) 3.6 / 4 (91%)

CSP : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 14 (24%) 12 86 % 52.50 9.18 0.66 17%
Slight Favorites 22 (37%) 11 50 % 63.06 -6.94 -0.32 -11%
Slight Underdogs 18 (31%) 10 56 % 35.67 8.79 0.49 25%
Big Underdogs 5 (8%) 5 100 % 11.75 27.35 5.47 233%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (31%) 11 61 % 48.43 15.92 0.88 33%
Co-Main Event 11 (19%) 9 82 % 28.25 12.95 1.18 46%
Position 3-5 10 (17%) 7 70 % 25.63 9.87 0.99 39%
6+ (Undercard) 20 (34%) 11 55 % 60.67 -0.37 -0.02 -1%

CSP : Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (10%) 3 50 % 14.25 0.40 0.07 3%
Light Heavy 5 (8%) 5 100 % 10.75 14.33 2.87 133%
Middleweight 4 (7%) 3 75 % 13.59 2.08 0.52 15%
Welterweight 13 (22%) 8 62 % 35.88 -1.97 -0.15 -5%
Lightweight 10 (17%) 5 50 % 23.75 4.26 0.43 18%
Featherweight 6 (10%) 5 83 % 16.43 17.22 2.87 105%
Bantamweight 5 (8%) 2 40 % 15.50 -3.07 -0.61 -20%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.40 1.40 140%
               
Women's Fights 9 (15%) 6 67 % 31.83 3.71 0.41 12%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 2 100 % 4.00 4.13 2.07 103%
Flyweight 4 (7%) 2 50 % 17.33 -1.45 -0.36 -8%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 10.50 1.03 0.34 10%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 85 (74%) 64 75 %
Slight Favorites 28 (24%) 13 46 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (2%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
115 78 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 121 (52%) 92 76 %
50-65% 34 (15%) 24 71 %
35-50% 22 (9%) 8 36 %
<35% chance 55 (24%) 10 18 %
232 134 58 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.31 1.31Pick was correct 1.31Pick was correct 0.3 (31%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (2%) 3 60 % 1.69 2.10Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct -0.1 (-3%)
Goes to Decision 4 (2%) 3 75 % 1.44 1.48Pick was correct 1.41Pick was correct 0.3 (7%)
Does not go to Decision 59 (25%) 46 78 % 1.41 2.65Pick was incorrect 1.11Pick was correct 5.7 (10%)
Fight Starts Round X 43 (19%) 28 65 % 1.21 1.80Pick was correct 1.07Pick was incorrect -8.2 (-19%)
X Wins by KO 17 (7%) 6 35 % 3.06 8.50Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was incorrect 2.7 (16%)
X Does NOT Win by KO 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.05 1.06Pick was correct 1.04Pick was correct 0.1 (5%)
X Wins by Sub 20 (9%) 5 25 % 4.11 13.35Pick was incorrect 1.81Pick was correct -7.0 (-35%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub 7 (3%) 7 100 % 1.05 1.07Pick was correct 1.03Pick was correct 0.3 (5%)
X Wins by Decision 11 (5%) 3 27 % 3.01 4.70Pick was incorrect 1.94Pick was incorrect -1.3 (-12%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.05 1.05Pick was correct 1.05Pick was correct 0.1 (5%)
X Wins Inside Distance 38 (16%) 18 47 % 1.95 4.65Pick was incorrect 1.19Pick was correct -6.5 (-17%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 5 (2%) 5 100 % 1.07 1.13Pick was correct 1.06Pick was correct 0.4 (7%)
X Wins in Round X 16 (7%) 3 19 % 4.89 25.75Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect 0.1 (1%)
X Doesn't Win in Round X 3 (1%) 3 100 % 1.17 1.36Pick was correct 1.02Pick was correct 0.6 (19%)
232 134 58 % 1.69     -12.7 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail CSP 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 18.51 4.4 24% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,044.10
30th Aug PFL 7 2 2.6 130% $10.44 $1,044.10 $1,071.25
1st Sep Invicta FC 31 5.2 1.7 33% $10.71 $1,071.25 $1,089.47
8th Sep UFC 228 17.5 3.8 22% $10.89 $1,089.47 $1,131.40
14th Sep LFA 49 3.33 1.3 40% $11.31 $1,131.40 $1,146.47
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 25.17 0.6 2% $11.46 $1,146.47 $1,153.25
21st Sep Bellator 205 1.75 1.0 57% $11.53 $1,153.25 $1,164.78
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 18.5 2.4 13% $11.65 $1,164.78 $1,193.17
29th Sep Cage Warriors 97 2 1.1 54% $11.93 $1,193.17 $1,206.07
29th Sep Bellator 206 4.15 2.1 51% $12.06 $1,206.07 $1,231.84
5th Oct PFL 8 2 0.8 41% $12.32 $1,231.84 $1,241.89
6th Oct UFC 229 25.25 -4.0 -16% $12.42 $1,241.89 $1,192.67
12th Oct Bellator 207 5 -0.7 -15% $11.93 $1,192.67 $1,183.73
13th Oct Bellator 208 2.5 -2.5 -100% $11.84 $1,183.73 $1,154.13
20th Oct Cage Warriors 98 2.3 1.0 43% $11.54 $1,154.13 $1,165.68
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 22 11.0 50% $11.66 $1,165.68 $1,294.41
3rd Nov UFC 230 24.75 6.6 27% $12.94 $1,294.41 $1,380.43
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 31.5 20.6 65% $13.80 $1,380.43 $1,664.83
15th Nov Bellator 209 3.6 1.8 50% $16.65 $1,664.83 $1,694.79
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 34.5 -14.5 -42% $16.95 $1,694.79 $1,448.60
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 27 -19.4 -72% $14.49 $1,448.60 $1,167.93
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 6 4.8 80% $11.68 $1,167.93 $1,223.98
30th Nov TUF Finale 27.67 0.5 2% $200 $12.24 $1,223.98 $1,029.61
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 36.67 -17.2 -47% $200 $10.30 $1,029.61 $652.98
8th Dec UFC 231 41.43 -9.5 -23% $200 $6.53 $652.98 $390.87
15th Dec Bellator 212 4.5 -4.5 -100% $200 $3.91 $390.87 $173.28
15th Dec UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 40.55 0.1 0% $200 $1.73 $173.28 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
29th Dec UFC 232 34.75 1.8 5% $200 $10.00 $1,000.00 $818.48
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 31.5 -11.5 -36% $200 $8.18 $818.48 $524.56
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 4.96 -2.0 -40% $200 $5.25 $524.56 $314.14
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 34.26 -11.1 -32% $200 $3.14 $314.14 $79.19


ROI % from starting bank balance: -192.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

CSP : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '19 Paid Pick Demian Maia Lyman Good 1.56 5.33 Sub, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Paid Pick Curtis Millender Siyar Bahadurzada 1.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Paid Pick Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.16 2.25 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Paid Pick Zak Ottow Dwight Grant 3.40 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Paid Pick Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.63 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Paid Pick Al Iaquinta Kevin Lee 3.50 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Paid Pick Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.95 3.33 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Paid Pick Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.92 2 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Paid Pick Valentina Shevchenko Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.31 6 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Paid Pick Pedro Munhoz Bryan Caraway 1.43 3 TKO, R1 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Alistair Overeem Sergey Pavlovich 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Ricardo Lamas Darren Elkins 1.59 2 TKO, R3 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Santiago Ponzinibbio Neil Magny 1.44 2.5 TKO, R4 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Michel Prazeres Bartosz Fabinski 1.76 2.75 Sub, R1 (1:2) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Vadim Nemkov Phil Davis 3.60 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Germaine de Randamie Raquel Pennington 1.63 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 3.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 3.20 5 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Talita Bernardo Sarah Moras 2.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Court McGee Alex Garcia 2.60 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Paid Pick Anthony Hernandez Markus Perez 1.67 2.67 Sub, R2 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Paid Pick Junior Albini Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.80 1.25 TKO, R2 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Paid Pick Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov 1.68 3.33 TKO, R1 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Paid Pick Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes 2.39 1.67 Sub, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Paid Pick Max Griffin Thiago Alves 1.66 6.67 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '19 Paid Pick Ariane Lipski Joanne Wood 1.54 3.33 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Paid Pick Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.83 1.25 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 David Zawada Li Jingliang 2.70 2 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.48 3 TKO, R1 (0:45) Yes MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Emmanuel Sanchez Patricio Freire 1.95 2.1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.60 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Mike Perry Donald Cerrone 1.54 2 Sub, R1 (4:46) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Jessin Ayari Stevie Ray 2.45 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.40 4 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.50 2 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.30 0.5 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Renan Barao Andre Ewell 1.77 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Gillian Robertson Mayra Bueno Silva 2.05 3 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Mark Hunt Aleksei Oleinik 1.80 3 Sub, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 2.05 3.5 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

CSP : Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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