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MMA Handicapper Stats: Arch LL |
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Arch LL: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 6th Oct '18 |
UFC 229 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
| 22nd Sep '18 |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 8th Sep '18 |
UFC 228 |
6 |
-4.3 |
-71% |
-3.3 / 5 (-66%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 30th Aug '18 |
PFL 7 |
1 |
2.9 |
285% |
|
|
2.9 / 1 (285%) |
| 4th Aug '18 |
UFC 227 |
9.5 |
-9.5 |
-100% |
-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 2nd Aug '18 |
PFL 5 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
| 31st Jul '18 |
DWTNCS 15 |
2 |
4.1 |
203% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
5.1 / 1 (507%) |
| 28th Jul '18 |
UFC on Fox 30 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 22nd Jul '18 |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
1 |
11.1 |
1,112% |
|
|
11.1 / 1 (1,112%) |
| 17th Jul '18 |
DWTNCS 13 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
|
|
| 14th Jul '18 |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
4 |
-2.0 |
-51% |
-1.0 / 3 (-35%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 7th Jul '18 |
UFC 226 |
7 |
-3.6 |
-52% |
-2.6 / 6 (-44%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 7th Jul '18 |
TUF 27 Finale |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
| 26th Jun '18 |
DWTNCS 11 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
87% |
3.9 / 4.5 (87%) |
|
|
| 23rd Jun '18 |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
5.5 |
25.2 |
458% |
4.8 / 4.5 (106%) |
|
20.4 / 1 (2,041%) |
Winning Events: 5 (33%)
Losing Events: 10 (67%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.17 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.50 units
Best Event: 25.19 units
Worst Event: -9.50 units
Average Event: 0.38 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 29.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.67 |
Arch LL: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2018 |
62.5 |
5.7 |
9% |
-24.3 / 49 (-50%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
31.9 / 11.5 (278%) |
5 / 10 (33%) |
0.38 |
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Arch LL: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Arch LL: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
49.5 |
0.4 |
1% |
-21.7 / 38 (-57%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
24.0 / 9.5 (253%) |
|
PFL |
4 |
-0.1 |
-4% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
2.9 / 1 (285%) |
| Other |
9 |
5.5 |
61% |
0.4 / 8 (5%) |
|
5.1 / 1 (507%) |
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Arch LL: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
| Slight Favorites |
13 (42%) |
5 |
38 % |
22.00 |
-5.08 |
-0.39 |
-23% |
| Slight Underdogs |
12 (39%) |
3 |
25 % |
20.50 |
-12.67 |
-1.06 |
-62% |
| Big Underdogs |
6 (19%) |
0 |
0 % |
6.50 |
-6.50 |
-1.08 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
7 (23%) |
0 |
0 % |
17.00 |
-17.00 |
-2.43 |
-100% |
| Co-Main Event |
4 (13%) |
2 |
50 % |
8.00 |
3.34 |
0.84 |
42% |
| Position 3-5 |
12 (39%) |
2 |
17 % |
15.00 |
-9.57 |
-0.80 |
-64% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
8 (26%) |
4 |
50 % |
9.00 |
-1.02 |
-0.13 |
-11% |
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Arch LL: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
| Light Heavy |
4 (13%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.00 |
-3.07 |
-0.77 |
-51% |
| Middleweight |
2 (6%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
| Welterweight |
6 (19%) |
2 |
33 % |
9.00 |
-3.67 |
-0.61 |
-41% |
| Lightweight |
6 (19%) |
2 |
33 % |
14.50 |
-4.18 |
-0.70 |
-29% |
| Featherweight |
4 (13%) |
|
0 % |
5.50 |
-5.50 |
-1.38 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (13%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.00 |
-4.29 |
-1.07 |
-71% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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| Women's Fights |
4 (13%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.00 |
0.45 |
0.11 |
11% |
| Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
1.05 |
1.05 |
105% |
| Strawweight |
3 (10%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.00 |
-0.60 |
-0.20 |
-20% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
9 (18%) |
8 |
89 % |
| Slight Favorites |
20 (40%) |
12 |
60 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
17 (34%) |
10 |
59 % |
| Big Underdogs |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
|
50 |
32 |
64 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
1 (50%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
1 (50%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
2 |
0 |
0 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| X Wins by KO |
1 (50%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.50 |
2.50 |
2.50 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins in Round X |
1 (50%) |
0 |
0 % |
11.00 |
11.00 |
11.00 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
|
2 |
0 |
0 % |
4.07 |
|
|
-2.0 (-100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Arch LL's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
5.5 |
25.2 |
458% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,251.94 |
| 26th Jun |
DWTNCS 11 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
87% |
|
$12.52 |
$1,251.94 |
$1,300.93 |
| 7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
|
$13.01 |
$1,300.93 |
$1,203.36 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
7 |
-3.6 |
-52% |
|
$12.03 |
$1,203.36 |
$1,159.74 |
| 14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
4 |
-2.0 |
-51% |
|
$11.60 |
$1,159.74 |
$1,135.99 |
| 17th Jul |
DWTNCS 13 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.36 |
$1,135.99 |
$1,107.59 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
1 |
11.1 |
1,112% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,107.59 |
$1,230.78 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.31 |
$1,230.78 |
$1,218.47 |
| 31st Jul |
DWTNCS 15 |
2 |
4.1 |
203% |
|
$12.18 |
$1,218.47 |
$1,268.02 |
| 2nd Aug |
PFL 5 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.68 |
$1,268.02 |
$1,229.98 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
9.5 |
-9.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.30 |
$1,229.98 |
$1,113.13 |
| 30th Aug |
PFL 7 |
1 |
2.9 |
285% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,113.13 |
$1,144.87 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
6 |
-4.3 |
-71% |
|
$11.45 |
$1,144.87 |
$1,095.81 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.96 |
$1,095.81 |
$1,062.93 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,062.93 |
$1,009.79 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.98% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Arch LL: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Sep '18 |
Eryk Anders |
Thiago Santos |
2.15 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Sep '18 |
Niko Price |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:43) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Oct '18 |
Conor McGregor |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
2.60 |
5 |
Sub, R4 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Sep '18 |
Darren Till |
Tyron Woodley |
2.10 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Aug '18 |
Polyana Viana |
J.J. Aldrich |
1.63 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Aug '18 |
Cub Swanson |
Renato Moicano |
4.30 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:15) |
Yes |
|
|
| 7. |
Aug '18 |
Robert Watley |
Will Brooks |
2.95 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Aug '18 |
Brandon Halsey |
Vinny Magalhaes |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:34) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Aug '18 |
Jason High |
Natan Schulte |
2.65 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:18) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Jul '18 |
Shawn Teed |
Juan Adams |
4.15 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:17) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Aug '18 |
Brett Johns |
Pedro Munhoz |
3.15 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Aug '18 |
Cody Garbrandt |
T.J. Dillashaw |
1.95 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Jul '18 |
Jamie Colleen |
Maycee Barber |
4.35 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:15) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Jul '18 |
Angelo Trevino |
Austin Vanderford |
2.25 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:42) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Jul '18 |
Justin Scoggins |
Said Nurmagomedov |
2.20 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Jul '18 |
Darren Elkins |
Alex Volkanovski |
3.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Jul '18 |
Matt Bessette |
Steven Peterson |
1.74 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Jul '18 |
Julian Marquez |
Alessio Di Chirico |
1.71 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
| 19. |
Jul '18 |
Gilbert Burns |
Daniel Hooker |
1.95 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:28) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Jul '18 |
Brad Tavares |
Israel Adesanya |
1.91 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Arch LL: Progress Chart |
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