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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mystic Moose

Mystic Moose (Mysticmoose)


MMA MHandicapper - Mystic  Moose

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 38 (61%) Right 21 (55%) Right 16 (73%) Right 1 (50%)
Wrong 24 (39%) Wrong 17 (45%) Wrong 6 (27%) Wrong 1 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.68 Avg Odds 1.64 Avg Odds 1.77 Avg Odds 1.57
Units Bet 273.0 Units Bet 198.0 Units Bet 67.0 Units Bet 8.0
Avg Bet 4.40 Avg Bet 5.21 Avg Bet 3.05 Avg Bet 4.00
Units Profit -1.75 Units Profit -22.08 Units Profit 20.96 Units Profit -0.63
ROI % -1% ROI % -11% ROI % 31% ROI % -8%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mystic Moose: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 9 -9.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 3 2.2 73% 2.2 / 3 (73%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 10 5.0 50% 5.0 / 10 (50%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 10 6.9 69% 6.9 / 10 (69%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 18 -18.0 -100% -15.0 / 15 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 6 -0.9 -15% 2.1 / 3 (70%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5 2.1 42% 2.1 / 5 (42%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 4 0.9 22% 0.9 / 4 (22%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 11 0.2 1% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 5.2 / 6 (86%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 3 2.0 68% 2.0 / 3 (68%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10 -3.0 -30% -3.0 / 10 (-30%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 16 -6.1 -38% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 3.9 / 6 (64%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 5 2.5 50% 2.5 / 5 (50%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 15 0.8 5% -1.4 / 12 (-11%) 2.2 / 3 (72%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 12 -12.0 -100% -12.0 / 12 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 10 4.9 49% 4.9 / 10 (49%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 10 -2.1 -21% -2.1 / 10 (-21%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 10 -3.1 -31% -3.1 / 10 (-31%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 9 9.9 111% 9.9 / 9 (111%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 13 8.8 68% 6.8 / 10 (68%) 2.0 / 3 (66%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 8 -0.6 -8% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.4 / 5 (47%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 24 6.0 25% -0.7 / 15 (-5%) 6.7 / 9 (75%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 15 9.3 62% 6.0 / 10 (60%) 3.3 / 5 (66%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 10 -1.5 -15% -1.5 / 10 (-15%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 10 5.8 58% 2.5 / 5 (50%) 3.4 / 5 (67%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 2 2.2 110% 2.2 / 2 (110%)


Winning Events: 16 (55%)
Losing Events: 13 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.41 units
Most Staked On One Event: 24.00 units
Best Event: 9.95 units
Worst Event: -18.00 units
Average Event: -0.06 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 18.78
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.90

Mystic Moose: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 32 5.1 16% 11.9 / 20 (59%) -6.8 / 12 (-57%) 3 / 1 (75%) 1.27
2018 241 -6.8 -3% -34.0 / 178 (-19%) 27.8 / 55 (50%) -0.6 / 8 (-8%) 13 / 12 (52%) -0.27

Mystic Moose: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mystic Moose: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 273 -1.7 -1% -22.1 / 198 (-11%) 21.0 / 67 (31%) -0.6 / 8 (-8%)

Mystic Moose: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 13 (34%) 11 85 % 67.00 14.67 1.13 22%
Slight Favorites 21 (55%) 9 43 % 112.00 -28.15 -1.34 -25%
Slight Underdogs 3 (8%) 1 33 % 14.00 -3.60 -1.20 -26%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (29%) 5 45 % 60.00 -12.10 -1.10 -20%
Co-Main Event 3 (8%) 2 67 % 15.00 -1.25 -0.42 -8%
Position 3-5 6 (16%) 3 50 % 27.00 -7.93 -1.32 -29%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (47%) 11 61 % 96.00 -0.80 -0.04 -1%

Mystic Moose: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (11%) 3 75 % 25.00 7.30 1.82 29%
Light Heavy 4 (11%) 1 25 % 25.00 -8.10 -2.03 -32%
Middleweight 2 (5%) 0 % 10.00 -10.00 -5.00 -100%
Welterweight 6 (16%) 4 67 % 30.00 0.25 0.04 1%
Lightweight 7 (18%) 4 57 % 35.00 -2.95 -0.42 -8%
Featherweight 3 (8%) 3 100 % 15.00 6.60 2.20 44%
Bantamweight 6 (16%) 2 33 % 32.00 -16.60 -2.77 -52%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 5 (13%) 4 80 % 21.00 6.42 1.28 31%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Strawweight 4 (11%) 4 100 % 16.00 11.42 2.85 71%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 3 (100%) 3 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
3 3 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (4%) 0 0 %
50-65% 18 (78%) 14 78 %
35-50% 4 (17%) 2 50 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
23 16 70 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (39%) 8 89 % 1.73 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct 4.5 (50%)
Goes to Decision 2 (9%) 1 50 % 1.85 1.98Pick was incorrect 1.73Pick was correct -0.3 (-13%)
Fight Starts Round X 4 (17%) 2 50 % 1.61 1.64Pick was correct 1.57Pick was incorrect -0.7 (-18%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (9%) 2 100 % 1.89 2.10Pick was correct 1.72Pick was correct 1.8 (91%)
Others 6 (26%) 3 50 % 1.80 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.45Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-9%)
23 16 70 % 1.75     4.8 (21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mystic Moose's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th Apr UFC 223 2 2.2 110% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,022.00
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 10 5.8 58% $10.22 $1,022.00 $1,081.79
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 10 -1.5 -15% $10.82 $1,081.79 $1,065.56
12th May UFC 224 15 9.3 62% $10.66 $1,065.56 $1,164.12
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 24 6.0 25% $11.64 $1,164.12 $1,234.20
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 8 -0.6 -8% $12.34 $1,234.20 $1,226.49
9th Jun UFC 225 13 8.8 68% $12.26 $1,226.49 $1,334.79
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 9 9.9 111% $13.35 $1,334.79 $1,467.60
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 10 -3.1 -31% $14.68 $1,467.60 $1,422.10
7th Jul UFC 226 10 -2.1 -21% $14.22 $1,422.10 $1,392.24
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 10 4.9 49% $13.92 $1,392.24 $1,461.15
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 12 -12.0 -100% $14.61 $1,461.15 $1,285.81
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 15 0.8 5% $12.86 $1,285.81 $1,295.84
4th Aug UFC 227 5 2.5 50% $12.96 $1,295.84 $1,328.24
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 5 -5.0 -100% $13.28 $1,328.24 $1,261.83
8th Sep UFC 228 16 -6.1 -38% $12.62 $1,261.83 $1,184.48
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10 -3.0 -30% $11.84 $1,184.48 $1,148.94
6th Oct UFC 229 3 2.0 68% $11.49 $1,148.94 $1,172.38
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 11 0.2 1% $11.72 $1,172.38 $1,174.25
3rd Nov UFC 230 4 0.9 22% $11.74 $1,174.25 $1,184.71
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 5 -5.0 -100% $11.85 $1,184.71 $1,125.47
30th Nov TUF Finale 5 2.1 42% $11.25 $1,125.47 $1,149.10
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 6 -0.9 -15% $11.49 $1,149.10 $1,138.76
8th Dec UFC 231 5 -5.0 -100% $11.39 $1,138.76 $1,081.82
29th Dec UFC 232 18 -18.0 -100% $10.82 $1,081.82 $887.10
2nd Mar UFC 235 10 6.9 69% $8.87 $887.10 $948.30
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 10 5.0 50% $9.48 $948.30 $995.72
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 3 2.2 73% $9.96 $995.72 $1,017.53
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 9 -9.0 -100% $10.18 $1,017.53 $925.95


ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.41% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mystic Moose: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Junior dos Santos Derrick Lewis 1.50 10 TKO, R2 (1:58) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Johnny Walker Misha Cirkunov 1.69 10 TKO, R1 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Raoni Barcelos Chris Gutierrez 1.42 5 Sub, R2 (4:12) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '18 Sergio Moraes Ben Saunders 1.40 5 Sub, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '18 Pedro Munhoz Brett Johns 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '18 Dustin Poirier Eddie Alvarez 1.58 5 TKO, R2 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Tecia Torres 1.36 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '18 Alex Volkanovski Darren Elkins 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '18 Raphael Assuncao Rob Font 1.58 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '18 Junior dos Santos Blagoy Ivanov 1.59 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '18 Luis Pena Richie Smullen 1.38 5 Sub, R1 (3:32) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '18 Yan Xiaonan Viviane Pereira 2.60 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '18 Mirsad Bektic Ricardo Lamas 1.50 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '18 Leon Edwards Donald Cerrone 1.71 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '18 Tai Tuivasa Andrei Arlovski 1.87 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '18 Tatiana Suarez Alexa Grasso 1.25 5 Sub, R1 (2:44) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. May '18 Poliana Botelho Syuri Kondo 1.61 5 TKO, R1 (0:33) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '18 Warlley Alves Sultan Aliev 1.44 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '18 Davi Ramos Nick Hein 1.75 5 Sub, R1 (4:15) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '18 Kevin Lee Edson Barboza 1.70 5 TKO, R5 (2:18) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.67 5 TKO, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Alexander Gustafsson Jon Jones 3.50 5 TKO, R3 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Brian Kelleher Montel Jackson 2.50 5 Sub, R1 (1:40) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Chad Laprise Dhiego Lima 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.50 5 TKO, R1 (0:45) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.55 5 Sub, R3 (4:26) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '18 Renan Barao Andre Ewell 1.70 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '18 Alex White Jim Miller 1.70 5 Sub, R1 (1:29) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 1.87 5 Sub, R2 (4:19) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '18 James Vick Justin Gaethje 1.68 5 TKO, R1 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '18 Matheus Nicolau Dustin Ortiz 1.57 5 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '18 Glover Teixeira Corey Anderson 1.65 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '18 Damian Stasiak Pingyuan Liu 1.94 7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Lando Vannata Drakkar Klose 1.58 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Brad Tavares Israel Adesanya 2.53 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '18 Diego Rivas Guido Cannetti 1.60 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '18 Thiago Santos David Branch 1.57 5 TKO, R1 (2:30) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mystic Moose: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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