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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dan Ely

Dan Ely (Tricky22)


MMA MHandicapper - Dan Ely

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 139 (53%) Right 121 (61%) Right 6 (38%) Right 12 (26%)
Wrong 122 (47%) Wrong 78 (39%) Wrong 10 (63%) Wrong 34 (74%)
Avg Odds 1.80 Avg Odds 1.56 Avg Odds 2.28 Avg Odds 4.57
Units Bet 545.9 Units Bet 468.7 Units Bet 19.0 Units Bet 58.3
Avg Bet 2.09 Avg Bet 2.36 Avg Bet 1.18 Avg Bet 1.27
Units Profit 12.78 Units Profit -2.31 Units Profit -2.20 Units Profit 17.29
ROI % 2% ROI % -0% ROI % -12% ROI % 30%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dan Ely: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 13.75 -6.5 -47% -5.5 / 12.75 (-43%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 42.85 -0.5 -1% 3.2 / 34 (9%) -1.7 / 6.85 (-25%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 24.05 10.2 42% 6.8 / 20.3 (33%) 3.4 / 3.75 (90%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 21.65 -0.5 -2% 0.5 / 20.65 (2%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 4.7 -1.0 -21% 1.0 / 2.7 (37%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 53.15 -8.1 -15% -7.1 / 46.15 (-15%) 2.0 / 4 (50%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 20.6 -4.0 -19% -1.5 / 18.1 (-8%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 67.2 -10.2 -15% -8.2 / 65.2 (-13%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 25.65 -1.8 -7% -1.3 / 22.45 (-6%) 1.0 / 1.7 (59%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 19.2 3.9 20% 3.9 / 19.2 (20%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 10.94 1.0 9% 1.0 / 10.94 (9%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 10.6 -5.2 -50% -3.5 / 8.85 (-40%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 22.15 -6.7 -30% -5.4 / 20.9 (-26%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 23.6 12.0 51% 5.6 / 20.1 (28%) 6.4 / 3.5 (182%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 25.45 -6.1 -24% -2.6 / 21.95 (-12%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 15.5 0.3 2% -5.8 / 10.25 (-57%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 7.1 / 4.25 (168%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 5.15 -0.8 -15% -0.5 / 4.9 (-10%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 17.55 10.2 58% 5.3 / 13.65 (39%) 0.0 / 2.9 (0%) 4.9 / 1 (488%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% 5.1 / 18.5 (28%) 2.6 / 0.5 (515%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% -0.8 / 17.95 (-4%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 19 3.7 19% 3.0 / 14 (21%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.2 / 3.5 (62%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% -1.2 / 8.5 (-14%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% -1.1 / 8 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% -1.0 / 4.5 (-22%) 4.1 / 6 (69%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% 2.8 / 6 (47%) 3.3 / 0.5 (657%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% -0.6 / 4 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% 2.6 / 5 (52%) 2.7 / 0.5 (535%)


Winning Events: 12 (41%)
Losing Events: 17 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.79 units
Most Staked On One Event: 67.20 units
Best Event: 15.47 units
Worst Event: -10.20 units
Average Event: 0.48 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 33.30
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -30.56

Dan Ely: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 428.74 -18.9 -4% -14.2 / 373.04 (-4%) -0.2 / 16.95 (-1%) -4.5 / 38.75 (-12%) 6 / 13 (32%) -0.99
2018 116.15 32.6 28% 11.9 / 95.65 (12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 22.8 / 18.5 (123%) 6 / 4 (60%) 3.26

Dan Ely: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dan Ely: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 502.34 3.5 1% -4.3 / 443.39 (-1%) -2.2 / 18.95 (-12%) 10.0 / 40 (25%)
Bellator 30.35 -5.2 -17% -1.1 / 16.1 (-7%) -4.1 / 14.25 (-29%)
Other 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)

Dan Ely: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 97 (49%) 79 81 % 351.19 22.98 0.24 7%
Slight Favorites 65 (33%) 33 51 % 87.00 -16.26 -0.25 -19%
Slight Underdogs 29 (15%) 4 14 % 24.75 -15.95 -0.55 -64%
Big Underdogs 8 (4%) 5 63 % 5.75 6.93 0.87 120%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 23 (12%) 10 43 % 57.95 -16.51 -0.72 -28%
Co-Main Event 22 (11%) 15 68 % 65.19 3.79 0.17 6%
Position 3-5 54 (27%) 33 61 % 104.85 4.36 0.08 4%
6+ (Undercard) 100 (50%) 63 63 % 240.70 6.05 0.06 3%

Dan Ely: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (7%) 8 62 % 19.09 -2.21 -0.17 -12%
Light Heavy 19 (10%) 9 47 % 59.05 -7.15 -0.38 -12%
Middleweight 23 (12%) 16 70 % 40.50 3.44 0.15 8%
Welterweight 33 (17%) 17 52 % 72.10 -8.42 -0.26 -12%
Lightweight 25 (13%) 18 72 % 60.15 9.17 0.37 15%
Featherweight 27 (14%) 15 56 % 56.65 -3.11 -0.12 -5%
Bantamweight 18 (9%) 12 67 % 41.30 4.37 0.24 11%
Flyweight 2 (1%) 1 50 % 6.65 -4.00 -2.00 -60%
               
Women's Fights 39 (20%) 25 64 % 113.20 5.61 0.14 5%
Featherweight 6 (3%) 4 67 % 20.40 1.13 0.19 6%
Bantamweight 6 (3%) 4 67 % 13.60 1.51 0.25 11%
Bantamweight 7 (4%) 4 57 % 29.90 -0.55 -0.08 -2%
Strawweight 20 (10%) 13 65 % 49.30 3.52 0.18 7%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 140 (65%) 117 84 %
Slight Favorites 52 (24%) 29 56 %
Slight Underdogs 19 (9%) 3 16 %
Big Underdogs 4 (2%) 3 75 %
215 152 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (19%) 1 33 %
50-65% 3 (19%) 2 67 %
35-50% 5 (31%) 2 40 %
<35% chance 5 (31%) 1 20 %
16 6 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.5 (50%)
Goes to Decision 2 (13%) 1 50 % 1.77 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct -0.4 (-21%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (6%) 0 0 % 1.50 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (6%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (6%) 0 0 % 8.00 8.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (31%) 1 20 % 2.78 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -2.4 (-47%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.67 1.67Pick was correct 1.67Pick was correct 0.7 (67%)
Others 4 (25%) 2 50 % 2.89 3.60Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.8 (45%)
16 6 38 % 2.28     -2.8 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dan Ely's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,052.57
28th Apr Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% $10.53 $1,052.57 $1,035.84
12th May UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% $10.36 $1,035.84 $1,099.14
12th May Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% $10.99 $1,099.14 $1,133.79
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% $11.34 $1,133.79 $1,098.39
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% $10.98 $1,098.39 $1,074.07
9th Jun UFC 225 19 3.7 19% $10.74 $1,074.07 $1,113.31
4th Aug UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% $11.13 $1,113.31 $1,093.75
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% $10.94 $1,093.75 $1,177.70
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% $11.78 $1,177.70 $1,359.90
9th Feb UFC 234 17.55 10.2 58% $13.60 $1,359.90 $1,497.95
16th Feb Bellator 216 5.15 -0.8 -15% $14.98 $1,497.95 $1,486.71
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 15.5 0.3 2% $14.87 $1,486.71 $1,491.65
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 25.45 -6.1 -24% $14.92 $1,491.65 $1,400.65
2nd Mar UFC 235 23.6 12.0 51% $14.01 $1,400.65 $1,568.99
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 22.15 -6.7 -30% $15.69 $1,568.99 $1,464.18
13th Apr UFC 236 10.6 -5.2 -50% $14.64 $1,464.18 $1,387.31
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 10.94 1.0 9% $13.87 $1,387.31 $1,401.18
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 19.2 3.9 20% $14.01 $1,401.18 $1,455.17
11th May Bellator 221 5 -5.0 -100% $14.55 $1,455.17 $1,382.41
11th May UFC 237 25.65 -1.8 -7% $13.82 $1,382.41 $1,357.97
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 67.2 -10.2 -15% $13.58 $1,357.97 $1,219.46
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 20.6 -4.0 -19% $12.19 $1,219.46 $1,170.68
8th Jun UFC 238 53.15 -8.1 -15% $11.71 $1,170.68 $1,076.00
22nd Jun Bellator London 4.7 -1.0 -21% $10.76 $1,076.00 $1,065.24
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 21.65 -0.5 -2% $10.65 $1,065.24 $1,059.92
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 24.05 10.2 42% $10.60 $1,059.92 $1,167.76
6th Jul UFC 239 42.85 -0.5 -1% $11.68 $1,167.76 $1,161.34
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 13.75 -6.5 -47% $11.61 $1,161.34 $1,085.85


ROI % from starting bank balance: 8.59% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dan Ely: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Urijah Faber Ricky Simon 3.90 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Ryan Hall Darren Elkins 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Karl Roberson Wellington Turman 1.43 2.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Julia Avila Pannie Kianzad 1.44 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Edmen Shahbazyan Jack Marshman 1.16 6.25 Sub, R1 (1:12) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Marlon Vera Nohelin Hernandez 1.21 9.4 Sub, R2 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Michael Chiesa Diego Sanchez 1.24 4.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Amanda Nunes Holly Holm 1.25 8 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Demian Maia Tony Martin 1.56 1.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Francis Ngannou Junior dos Santos 1.43 1.15 TKO, R1 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Eryk Anders Vinicius Moreira 1.32 3.1 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '19 Jared Gordon Dan Moret 1.30 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '19 Maurice Greene Junior Albini 1.83 0.6 TKO, R1 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Drew Dober Marco Polo Reyes 1.26 3.8 TKO, R1 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Vinc Pichel Roosevelt Roberts 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Alonzo Menifield Paul Craig 1.37 5.4 TKO, R1 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '19 Luis Pena Matt Wiman 1.25 4 TKO, R3 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '19 Randy Brown Bryan Barberena 3.10 1 TKO, R3 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '19 Kevin Holland Alessio Di Chirico 1.43 2.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '19 Ashley Yoder Syuri Kondo 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Aspen Ladd Germaine de Randamie 1.74 1.35 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Mirsad Bektic Josh Emmett 1.57 1.75 TKO, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Livia Renata Souza Brianna Van Buren 1.87 1.15 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Mike Rodriguez John Allan 1.21 4.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Alejandro Perez Yadong Song 2.65 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:4) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Randa Markos Claudia Gadelha 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Ben Askren Jorge Masvidal 1.43 2.35 TKO, R1 (0:5) Yes MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Emily Whitmire Amanda Ribas 1.56 1.8 Sub, R2 (2:10) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Renato Moicano Chan Sung Jung 1.53 3.8 TKO, R1 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Ariane Lipski Molly McCann 1.36 2.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Grigory Popov Eddie Wineland 2.30 1 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '19 Joanne Calderwood Katlyn Chookagian 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '19 Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov 1.63 3.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Bevon Lewis Darren Stewart 1.59 0.85 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Ricardo Lamas Calvin Kattar 2.20 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Alexa Grasso 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '19 Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson 2.30 0.5 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '19 Pedro Munhoz Aljamain Sterling 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.59 1.7 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '19 Darko Stosic Devin Clark 1.91 2.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dan Ely: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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