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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dan Ely

Dan Ely (Tricky22)


MMA MHandicapper - Dan Ely

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 164 (55%) Right 139 (62%) Right 8 (42%) Right 17 (30%)
Wrong 134 (45%) Wrong 84 (38%) Wrong 11 (58%) Wrong 39 (70%)
Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.56 Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 4.52
Units Bet 621.7 Units Bet 522.2 Units Bet 26.5 Units Bet 73.0
Avg Bet 2.09 Avg Bet 2.34 Avg Bet 1.39 Avg Bet 1.30
Units Profit 31.20 Units Profit 4.59 Units Profit -3.90 Units Profit 30.50
ROI % 5% ROI % 1% ROI % -15% ROI % 42%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dan Ely: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 35.72 -9.1 -25% -1.9 / 22.72 (-8%) -1.7 / 7.5 (-23%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 16.75 -1.5 -9% 0.9 / 13 (7%) -2.4 / 3.75 (-65%)
24th Aug '19 Bellator 225 1 1.5 151% 1.5 / 1 (151%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 13.55 10.1 74% 4.1 / 12.55 (33%) 5.9 / 1 (590%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 8.75 17.5 199% 3.7 / 5.25 (71%) 13.7 / 3.5 (392%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 13.75 -6.5 -47% -5.5 / 12.75 (-43%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 42.85 -0.5 -1% 3.2 / 34 (9%) -1.7 / 6.85 (-25%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 24.05 10.2 42% 6.8 / 20.3 (33%) 3.4 / 3.75 (90%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 21.65 -0.5 -2% 0.5 / 20.65 (2%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 4.7 -1.0 -21% 1.0 / 2.7 (37%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 53.15 -8.1 -15% -7.1 / 46.15 (-15%) 2.0 / 4 (50%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 20.6 -4.0 -19% -1.5 / 18.1 (-8%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 67.2 -10.2 -15% -8.2 / 65.2 (-13%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 25.65 -1.8 -7% -1.3 / 22.45 (-6%) 1.0 / 1.7 (59%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 19.2 3.9 20% 3.9 / 19.2 (20%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 10.94 1.0 9% 1.0 / 10.94 (9%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 10.6 -5.2 -50% -3.5 / 8.85 (-40%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 22.15 -6.7 -30% -5.4 / 20.9 (-26%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 23.6 12.0 51% 5.6 / 20.1 (28%) 6.4 / 3.5 (182%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 25.45 -6.1 -24% -2.6 / 21.95 (-12%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 15.5 0.3 2% -5.8 / 10.25 (-57%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 7.1 / 4.25 (168%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 5.15 -0.8 -15% -0.5 / 4.9 (-10%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 17.55 10.2 58% 5.3 / 13.65 (39%) 0.0 / 2.9 (0%) 4.9 / 1 (488%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% 5.1 / 18.5 (28%) 2.6 / 0.5 (515%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% -0.8 / 17.95 (-4%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 19 3.7 19% 3.0 / 14 (21%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.2 / 3.5 (62%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% -1.2 / 8.5 (-14%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% -1.1 / 8 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% -1.0 / 4.5 (-22%) 4.1 / 6 (69%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% 2.8 / 6 (47%) 3.3 / 0.5 (657%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% -0.6 / 4 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% 2.6 / 5 (52%) 2.7 / 0.5 (535%)


Winning Events: 15 (44%)
Losing Events: 19 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.25 units
Most Staked On One Event: 67.20 units
Best Event: 17.45 units
Worst Event: -10.20 units
Average Event: 0.95 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 33.30
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -30.56

Dan Ely: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 35.72 -9.1 -25% -1.9 / 22.72 (-8%) -1.7 / 7.5 (-23%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -9.08
2019 468.79 8.6 2% -5.4 / 403.84 (-1%) -0.2 / 16.95 (-1%) 14.2 / 48 (30%) 9 / 14 (39%) 0.38
2018 116.15 32.6 28% 11.9 / 95.65 (12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 22.8 / 18.5 (123%) 6 / 4 (60%) 3.26

Dan Ely: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dan Ely: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 577.11 20.4 4% 2.6 / 496.91 (1%) -3.9 / 26.45 (-15%) 21.7 / 53.75 (40%)
Bellator 31.35 -3.7 -12% -1.1 / 16.1 (-7%) -2.6 / 15.25 (-17%)
Other 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)

Dan Ely: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 107 (48%) 86 80 % 387.91 23.28 0.22 6%
Slight Favorites 73 (33%) 38 52 % 99.30 -15.61 -0.21 -16%
Slight Underdogs 34 (15%) 9 26 % 28.75 -11.03 -0.32 -38%
Big Underdogs 9 (4%) 6 67 % 6.25 7.95 0.88 127%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 26 (12%) 13 50 % 62.22 -14.31 -0.55 -23%
Co-Main Event 26 (12%) 18 69 % 79.94 3.89 0.15 5%
Position 3-5 63 (28%) 40 63 % 121.80 9.94 0.16 8%
6+ (Undercard) 108 (48%) 68 63 % 258.25 5.07 0.05 2%

Dan Ely: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 19 (9%) 14 74 % 27.59 4.24 0.22 15%
Light Heavy 20 (9%) 10 50 % 61.67 -6.65 -0.33 -11%
Middleweight 24 (11%) 17 71 % 41.00 4.04 0.17 10%
Welterweight 37 (17%) 19 51 % 78.10 -11.12 -0.30 -14%
Lightweight 26 (12%) 19 73 % 62.45 10.17 0.39 16%
Featherweight 30 (13%) 16 53 % 63.25 -5.46 -0.18 -9%
Bantamweight 22 (10%) 15 68 % 50.90 6.82 0.31 13%
Flyweight 3 (1%) 2 67 % 8.80 -3.00 -1.00 -34%
               
Women's Fights 42 (19%) 27 64 % 128.45 5.56 0.13 4%
Featherweight 6 (3%) 4 67 % 20.40 1.13 0.19 6%
Bantamweight 6 (3%) 4 67 % 13.60 1.51 0.25 11%
Flyweight 10 (4%) 6 60 % 45.15 -0.60 -0.06 -1%
Strawweight 20 (9%) 13 65 % 49.30 3.52 0.18 7%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 160 (63%) 131 82 %
Slight Favorites 66 (26%) 41 62 %
Slight Underdogs 23 (9%) 7 30 %
Big Underdogs 5 (2%) 4 80 %
254 183 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (32%) 3 50 %
50-65% 3 (16%) 2 67 %
35-50% 5 (26%) 2 40 %
<35% chance 5 (26%) 1 20 %
19 8 42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (21%) 3 75 % 1.32 1.50Pick was correct 1.21Pick was correct -0.1 (-1%)
Goes to Decision 2 (11%) 1 50 % 1.77 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct -0.4 (-21%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (5%) 0 0 % 1.50 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (5%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (5%) 0 0 % 8.00 8.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (26%) 1 20 % 2.78 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -2.4 (-47%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.67 1.67Pick was correct 1.67Pick was correct 0.7 (67%)
Others 4 (21%) 2 50 % 2.89 3.60Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.8 (45%)
19 8 42 % 2.02     -3.3 (-18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dan Ely's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,052.57
28th Apr Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% $10.53 $1,052.57 $1,035.84
12th May UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% $10.36 $1,035.84 $1,099.14
12th May Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% $10.99 $1,099.14 $1,133.79
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% $11.34 $1,133.79 $1,098.39
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% $10.98 $1,098.39 $1,074.07
9th Jun UFC 225 19 3.7 19% $10.74 $1,074.07 $1,113.31
4th Aug UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% $11.13 $1,113.31 $1,093.75
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% $10.94 $1,093.75 $1,177.70
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% $11.78 $1,177.70 $1,359.90
9th Feb UFC 234 17.55 10.2 58% $13.60 $1,359.90 $1,497.95
16th Feb Bellator 216 5.15 -0.8 -15% $14.98 $1,497.95 $1,486.71
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 15.5 0.3 2% $14.87 $1,486.71 $1,491.65
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 25.45 -6.1 -24% $14.92 $1,491.65 $1,400.65
2nd Mar UFC 235 23.6 12.0 51% $14.01 $1,400.65 $1,568.99
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 22.15 -6.7 -30% $15.69 $1,568.99 $1,464.18
13th Apr UFC 236 10.6 -5.2 -50% $14.64 $1,464.18 $1,387.31
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 10.94 1.0 9% $13.87 $1,387.31 $1,401.18
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 19.2 3.9 20% $14.01 $1,401.18 $1,455.17
11th May Bellator 221 5 -5.0 -100% $14.55 $1,455.17 $1,382.41
11th May UFC 237 25.65 -1.8 -7% $13.82 $1,382.41 $1,357.97
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 67.2 -10.2 -15% $13.58 $1,357.97 $1,219.46
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 20.6 -4.0 -19% $12.19 $1,219.46 $1,170.68
8th Jun UFC 238 53.15 -8.1 -15% $11.71 $1,170.68 $1,076.00
22nd Jun Bellator London 4.7 -1.0 -21% $10.76 $1,076.00 $1,065.24
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 21.65 -0.5 -2% $10.65 $1,065.24 $1,059.92
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 24.05 10.2 42% $10.60 $1,059.92 $1,167.76
6th Jul UFC 239 42.85 -0.5 -1% $11.68 $1,167.76 $1,161.34
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 13.75 -6.5 -47% $11.61 $1,161.34 $1,085.85
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 8.75 17.5 199% $10.86 $1,085.85 $1,275.37
17th Aug UFC 241 13.55 10.1 74% $12.75 $1,275.37 $1,403.61
24th Aug Bellator 225 1 1.5 151% $14.04 $1,403.61 $1,424.81
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 16.75 -1.5 -9% $14.25 $1,424.81 $1,403.03
9th Feb UFC 247 35.72 -9.1 -25% $14.03 $1,403.03 $1,275.69


ROI % from starting bank balance: 27.57% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dan Ely: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '20 Justin Tafa Juan Adams 3.05 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:59) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Derrick Lewis Ilir Latifi 1.48 4.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Valentina Shevchenko Katlyn Chookagian 1.11 9 TKO, R3 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Jon Jones Dominick Reyes 1.19 2.62 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Su Mudaerji Andre Soukhamthath 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Damir Ismagulov Thiago Moises 1.43 2.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Kai Kara-France Mark Delarosa 1.47 2.15 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Mizuki Inoue Yanan Wu 1.63 3.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Sodiq Yusuff Gabriel Benitez 1.31 3.25 TKO, R1 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Cory Sandhagen Raphael Assuncao 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Paulo Costa Yoel Romero 2.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.20 1 TKO, R4 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Leon Edwards Rafael dos Anjos 1.77 0.65 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Greg Hardy Juan Adams 1.83 0.6 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Walt Harris Aleksei Oleinik 1.59 1.7 TKO, R1 (0:12) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Andrei Arlovski Ben Rothwell 2.45 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Ray Borg Gabriel Silva 1.56 1.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Urijah Faber Ricky Simon 3.90 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Ryan Hall Darren Elkins 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '20 Austin Lingo Youssef Zalal 1.48 2.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Andrea Lee Lauren Murphy 1.33 3.05 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige 1.80 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Derrick Krantz Kenan Song 1.77 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Li Jingliang 1.33 3.05 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Manny Bermudez Casey Kenney 1.56 1.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Aspen Ladd Germaine de Randamie 1.74 1.35 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Mirsad Bektic Josh Emmett 1.57 1.75 TKO, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Livia Renata Souza Brianna Van Buren 1.87 1.15 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Mike Rodriguez John Allan 1.21 4.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Alejandro Perez Yadong Song 2.65 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:4) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Randa Markos Claudia Gadelha 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Ben Askren Jorge Masvidal 1.43 2.35 TKO, R1 (0:5) Yes MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Emily Whitmire Amanda Ribas 1.56 1.8 Sub, R2 (2:10) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Renato Moicano Chan Sung Jung 1.53 3.8 TKO, R1 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Ariane Lipski Molly McCann 1.36 2.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '19 Grigory Popov Eddie Wineland 2.30 1 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '19 Joanne Calderwood Katlyn Chookagian 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '19 Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov 1.63 3.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '19 Bevon Lewis Darren Stewart 1.59 0.85 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dan Ely: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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