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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dan Ely

Dan Ely (Tricky22)


MMA MHandicapper - Dan Ely

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 75 (60%) Right 63 (66%) Right 2 (29%) Right 10 (43%)
Wrong 51 (40%) Wrong 33 (34%) Wrong 5 (71%) Wrong 13 (57%)
Avg Odds 1.78 Avg Odds 1.54 Avg Odds 2.35 Avg Odds 4.15
Units Bet 225.6 Units Bet 187.4 Units Bet 5.9 Units Bet 32.3
Avg Bet 1.79 Avg Bet 1.95 Avg Bet 0.84 Avg Bet 1.40
Units Profit 41.61 Units Profit 8.45 Units Profit -3.00 Units Profit 36.16
ROI % 18% ROI % 5% ROI % -51% ROI % 112%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dan Ely: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 22.15 -6.7 -30% -5.4 / 20.9 (-26%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 23.6 12.0 51% 5.6 / 20.1 (28%) 6.4 / 3.5 (182%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 25.45 -6.1 -24% -2.6 / 21.95 (-12%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 15.5 0.3 2% -5.8 / 10.25 (-57%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 7.1 / 4.25 (168%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 5.15 -0.8 -15% -0.5 / 4.9 (-10%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 17.55 10.2 58% 5.3 / 13.65 (39%) 0.0 / 2.9 (0%) 4.9 / 1 (488%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% 5.1 / 18.5 (28%) 2.6 / 0.5 (515%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% -0.8 / 17.95 (-4%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 19 3.7 19% 3.0 / 14 (21%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.2 / 3.5 (62%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% -1.2 / 8.5 (-14%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% -1.1 / 8 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% -1.0 / 4.5 (-22%) 4.1 / 6 (69%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% 2.8 / 6 (47%) 3.3 / 0.5 (657%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% -0.6 / 4 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% 2.6 / 5 (52%) 2.7 / 0.5 (535%)


Winning Events: 9 (56%)
Losing Events: 7 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.10 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.45 units
Best Event: 15.47 units
Worst Event: -6.68 units
Average Event: 2.60 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 33.30
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.68

Dan Ely: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 109.4 9.0 8% -3.4 / 91.75 (-4%) -1.0 / 3.9 (-26%) 13.4 / 13.75 (97%) 3 / 3 (50%) 1.50
2018 116.15 32.6 28% 11.9 / 95.65 (12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 22.8 / 18.5 (123%) 6 / 4 (60%) 3.26

Dan Ely: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dan Ely: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 192.7 25.3 13% 7.5 / 164.8 (5%) -3.0 / 5.9 (-51%) 20.8 / 22 (95%)
Bellator 20.65 0.8 4% -2.1 / 13.4 (-15%) 2.9 / 7.25 (40%)
Other 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)

Dan Ely: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 50 (52%) 43 86 % 138.90 13.84 0.28 10%
Slight Favorites 29 (30%) 18 62 % 36.00 2.16 0.07 6%
Slight Underdogs 14 (15%) 1 7 % 10.25 -8.20 -0.59 -80%
Big Underdogs 3 (3%) 1 33 % 2.25 0.65 0.22 29%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (13%) 8 67 % 36.80 1.04 0.09 3%
Co-Main Event 11 (11%) 5 45 % 20.40 -8.87 -0.81 -43%
Position 3-5 28 (29%) 22 79 % 45.70 14.74 0.53 32%
6+ (Undercard) 45 (47%) 28 62 % 84.50 1.54 0.03 2%

Dan Ely: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (7%) 3 43 % 7.20 -2.98 -0.43 -41%
Light Heavy 9 (9%) 5 56 % 28.15 4.55 0.51 16%
Middleweight 12 (13%) 10 83 % 16.70 4.79 0.40 29%
Welterweight 16 (17%) 8 50 % 31.30 -6.63 -0.41 -21%
Lightweight 11 (11%) 6 55 % 23.20 -2.03 -0.18 -9%
Featherweight 15 (16%) 11 73 % 24.75 4.51 0.30 18%
Bantamweight 11 (11%) 9 82 % 18.70 4.62 0.42 25%
Flyweight 1 (1%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 14 (15%) 11 79 % 32.40 6.62 0.47 20%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.33 1.33 67%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.00 0.23 0.23 12%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 2.40 0.49 0.24 20%
Strawweight 10 (10%) 8 80 % 26.00 4.57 0.46 18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 72 (70%) 61 85 %
Slight Favorites 22 (21%) 16 73 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (7%) 1 14 %
Big Underdogs 2 (2%) 1 50 %
103 79 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (29%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 2 (29%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 3 (43%) 1 33 %
7 2 29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (14%) 0 0 % 1.50 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (14%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (14%) 0 0 % 3.75 3.75Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (57%) 2 50 % 2.89 3.60Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.8 (45%)
7 2 29 % 2.35     -1.2 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dan Ely's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,052.57
28th Apr Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% $10.53 $1,052.57 $1,035.84
12th May UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% $10.36 $1,035.84 $1,099.14
12th May Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% $10.99 $1,099.14 $1,133.79
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% $11.34 $1,133.79 $1,098.39
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% $10.98 $1,098.39 $1,074.07
9th Jun UFC 225 19 3.7 19% $10.74 $1,074.07 $1,113.31
4th Aug UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% $11.13 $1,113.31 $1,093.75
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% $10.94 $1,093.75 $1,177.70
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% $11.78 $1,177.70 $1,359.90
9th Feb UFC 234 17.55 10.2 58% $13.60 $1,359.90 $1,497.95
16th Feb Bellator 216 5.15 -0.8 -15% $14.98 $1,497.95 $1,486.71
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 15.5 0.3 2% $14.87 $1,486.71 $1,491.65
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 25.45 -6.1 -24% $14.92 $1,491.65 $1,400.65
2nd Mar UFC 235 23.6 12.0 51% $14.01 $1,400.65 $1,568.99
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 22.15 -6.7 -30% $15.69 $1,568.99 $1,464.18


ROI % from starting bank balance: 46.42% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dan Ely: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Dan Ige Danny Henry 1.71 0.7 Sub, R1 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Claudio Silva Danny Roberts 1.67 0.75 Sub, R3 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Jack Marshman John Phillips 1.71 1.4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Nathaniel Wood Jose Quinonez 1.31 3.25 Sub, R2 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Molly McCann Priscila Cachoeira 1.52 1.9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Dominick Reyes Volkan Oezdemir 1.39 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Jon Jones Anthony Smith 1.12 8 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Weili Zhang Tecia Torres 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Ben Askren Robbie Lawler 1.38 2.65 Sub, R1 (3:20) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Cody Stamann Alejandro Perez 1.57 1.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Zabit Magomedsharipov Jeremy Stephens 1.35 2.85 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 2.90 1 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Edmen Shahbazyan Charles Byrd 1.59 0.85 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Chris Fishgold Daniel Teymur 1.40 2.5 Sub, R2 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Michal Oleksiejczuk Gian Villante 1.48 2.1 TKO, R1 (1:34) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Petr Yan John Dodson 1.31 3.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Damir Ismagulov Joel Alvarez 1.31 6.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '19 Luke Sanders Renan Barao 1.63 1.6 TKO, R2 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '19 Kron Gracie Alex Caceres 1.37 1.35 Sub, R1 (2:6) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '19 Yaroslav Amosov Erick Silva 1.29 3.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Nad Narimani Mike Grundy 1.69 0.7 TKO, R2 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Jordan Rinaldi Arnold Allen 2.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Nick Negumereanu Saparbek Safarov 1.59 1.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Joseph Duffy Marc Diakiese 1.52 1.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Gunnar Nelson Leon Edwards 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Darren Till Jorge Masvidal 1.43 4.6 TKO, R2 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.60 0.25 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Polyana Viana Hannah Cifers 1.33 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Klidson Farias de Abreu Magomed Ankalaev 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.91 2.2 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Michel Prazeres Ismail Naurdiev 1.23 4.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Scott Holtzman Nik Lentz 1.54 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Ashlee Evans-Smith Andrea Lee 2.45 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Myles Jury Andre Fili 1.71 2.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Benito Lopez Manny Bermudez 2.60 1 Sub, R1 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '19 Paul Daley Michael Page 2.90 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '19 Roy Nelson Mirko Filipovic 2.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Polyana Viana J.J. Aldrich 1.63 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dan Ely: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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