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Total MMA Handicappers: 1430
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Dan Ely

Dan Ely (Tricky22)


MMA MHandicapper - Dan Ely

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 44 (66%) Right 37 (73%) Right 0 (0%) Right 7 (54%)
Wrong 23 (34%) Wrong 14 (27%) Wrong 3 (100%) Wrong 6 (46%)
Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 1.49 Avg Odds 2.48 Avg Odds 3.64
Units Bet 116.2 Units Bet 95.7 Units Bet 2.0 Units Bet 18.5
Avg Bet 1.73 Avg Bet 1.88 Avg Bet 0.67 Avg Bet 1.42
Units Profit 32.64 Units Profit 11.85 Units Profit -2.00 Units Profit 22.78
ROI % 28% ROI % 12% ROI % -100% ROI % 123%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% 5.1 / 18.5 (28%) 2.6 / 0.5 (515%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% -0.8 / 17.95 (-4%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 19 3.7 19% 3.0 / 14 (21%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.2 / 3.5 (62%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% -1.2 / 8.5 (-14%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% -1.1 / 8 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% -1.0 / 4.5 (-22%) 4.1 / 6 (69%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% 2.8 / 6 (47%) 3.3 / 0.5 (657%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% -0.6 / 4 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% 2.6 / 5 (52%) 2.7 / 0.5 (535%)


Winning Events: 6 (60%)
Losing Events: 4 (40%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 116.15 32.6 28% 11.9 / 95.65 (12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 22.8 / 18.5 (123%) 6 / 4 (60%) 3.26

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 88.45 15.6 18% 10.4 / 77.95 (13%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 7.2 / 8.5 (85%)
Bellator 15.5 1.6 10% -1.6 / 8.5 (-18%) 3.1 / 7 (45%)
Other 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 30 (59%) 27 90 % 76.10 11.00 0.37 14%
Slight Favorites 13 (25%) 9 69 % 13.80 4.56 0.35 33%
Slight Underdogs 7 (14%) 1 14 % 5.50 -3.45 -0.49 -63%
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 % 0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (16%) 6 75 % 18.00 4.63 0.58 26%
Co-Main Event 8 (16%) 5 63 % 16.00 -4.47 -0.56 -28%
Position 3-5 15 (29%) 10 67 % 19.85 4.26 0.28 21%
6+ (Undercard) 20 (39%) 16 80 % 41.80 7.44 0.37 18%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 4.50 -0.28 -0.06 -6%
Light Heavy 2 (4%) 1 50 % 9.70 2.52 1.26 26%
Middleweight 9 (18%) 7 78 % 9.25 2.28 0.25 25%
Welterweight 8 (16%) 4 50 % 12.50 -0.03 -0.00 -0%
Lightweight 6 (12%) 4 67 % 10.00 -0.93 -0.16 -9%
Featherweight 6 (12%) 5 83 % 9.80 3.55 0.59 36%
Bantamweight 5 (10%) 5 100 % 9.00 3.62 0.72 40%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 9 (18%) 8 89 % 25.90 6.13 0.68 24%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.33 1.33 67%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.00 0.23 0.23 12%
Strawweight 7 (14%) 6 86 % 21.90 4.57 0.65 21%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 39 (72%) 36 92 %
Slight Favorites 10 (19%) 9 90 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (7%) 1 25 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 1 100 %
54 47 87 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (33%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 2 (67%) 0 0 %
3 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (33%) 0 0 % 1.50 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (33%) 0 0 % 3.75 3.75Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (33%) 0 0 % 3.60 3.60Pick was incorrect 3.60Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
3 0 0 % 2.48     -3.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,052.57
28th Apr Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% $10.53 $1,052.57 $1,035.84
12th May UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% $10.36 $1,035.84 $1,099.14
12th May Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% $10.99 $1,099.14 $1,133.79
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% $11.34 $1,133.79 $1,098.39
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% $10.98 $1,098.39 $1,074.07
9th Jun UFC 225 19 3.7 19% $10.74 $1,074.07 $1,113.31
4th Aug UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% $11.13 $1,113.31 $1,093.75
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% $10.94 $1,093.75 $1,177.70
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% $11.78 $1,177.70 $1,359.90


ROI % from starting bank balance: 35.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '18 Tito Ortiz Chuck Liddell 1.33 9.2 TKO, R1 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Yan Xiaonan Syuri Kondo 1.24 8.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Weili Zhang Jessica Aguilar 1.17 6 Sub, R1 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Li Jingliang David Zawada 1.51 4 TKO, R3 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '18 Marlon Vera Wuliji Buren 1.19 5.2 TKO, R2 (4:53) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '18 Ricky Simon Montel Jackson 1.95 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '18 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Matt Sayles 1.87 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '18 Pedro Munhoz Brett Johns 1.48 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '18 Renato Moicano Cub Swanson 1.31 3.2 Sub, R1 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '18 T.J. Dillashaw Cody Garbrandt 1.77 1.3 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '18 Mirsad Bektic Ricardo Lamas 1.38 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '18 Claudia Gadelha Carla Esparza 1.23 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '18 Curtis Blaydes Alistair Overeem 1.51 1 TKO, R3 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '18 Mike Jackson Phil Brooks 1.51 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '18 Tai Tuivasa Andrei Arlovski 1.42 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '18 Holly Holm Megan Anderson 1.67 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '18 Robert Whittaker Yoel Romero 1.38 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '18 Elias Theodorou Trevor Smith 1.26 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '18 Tom Breese Daniel Kelly 1.29 2 TKO, R1 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '18 Neil Magny Craig White 1.15 3 TKO, R1 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '18 Polyana Viana J.J. Aldrich 1.63 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '18 Kevin Holland Thiago Santos 3.60 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '18 Demetrious Johnson Henry Cejudo 1.19 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '18 Clay Guida Charles Oliveira 2.15 1 Sub, R1 (2:18) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '18 Rafael dos Anjos Colby Covington 2.05 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '18 Nordine Taleb Claudio Silva 1.27 1 Sub, R1 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '18 Eric Spicely Darren Stewart 1.59 1 TKO, R2 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 1.80 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '18 Felipe Silva Claudio Puelles 1.31 2 Sub, R3 (2:23) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '18 Brandon Davis Enrique Barzola 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '18 Jared Cannonier Dominick Reyes 2.85 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:55) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '18 Paul Daley Jon Fitch 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '18 Javy Ayala Cheick Kongo 2.20 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:29) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '18 Frank Mir Fedor Emelianenko 1.63 1 TKO, R1 (0:48) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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