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Profitable MMA Handicappers: 688

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Dan Ely

Dan Ely (Tricky22)


MMA MHandicapper - Dan Ely

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 102 (55%) Right 89 (62%) Right 3 (30%) Right 10 (32%)
Wrong 83 (45%) Wrong 55 (38%) Wrong 7 (70%) Wrong 21 (68%)
Avg Odds 1.78 Avg Odds 1.55 Avg Odds 2.55 Avg Odds 4.23
Units Bet 365.1 Units Bet 314.0 Units Bet 8.1 Units Bet 43.0
Avg Bet 1.97 Avg Bet 2.18 Avg Bet 0.81 Avg Bet 1.39
Units Profit 23.24 Units Profit 0.33 Units Profit -2.50 Units Profit 25.41
ROI % 6% ROI % 0% ROI % -31% ROI % 59%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dan Ely: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 67.2 -10.2 -15% -8.2 / 65.2 (-13%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 25.65 -1.8 -7% -1.3 / 22.45 (-6%) 1.0 / 1.7 (59%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 19.2 3.9 20% 3.9 / 19.2 (20%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 10.94 1.0 9% 1.0 / 10.94 (9%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 10.6 -5.2 -50% -3.5 / 8.85 (-40%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 22.15 -6.7 -30% -5.4 / 20.9 (-26%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 23.6 12.0 51% 5.6 / 20.1 (28%) 6.4 / 3.5 (182%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 25.45 -6.1 -24% -2.6 / 21.95 (-12%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 15.5 0.3 2% -5.8 / 10.25 (-57%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 7.1 / 4.25 (168%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 5.15 -0.8 -15% -0.5 / 4.9 (-10%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 17.55 10.2 58% 5.3 / 13.65 (39%) 0.0 / 2.9 (0%) 4.9 / 1 (488%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% 5.1 / 18.5 (28%) 2.6 / 0.5 (515%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% -0.8 / 17.95 (-4%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 19 3.7 19% 3.0 / 14 (21%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.2 / 3.5 (62%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% -1.2 / 8.5 (-14%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% -1.1 / 8 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% -1.0 / 4.5 (-22%) 4.1 / 6 (69%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% 2.8 / 6 (47%) 3.3 / 0.5 (657%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% -0.6 / 4 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% 2.6 / 5 (52%) 2.7 / 0.5 (535%)


Winning Events: 11 (50%)
Losing Events: 11 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.55 units
Most Staked On One Event: 67.20 units
Best Event: 15.47 units
Worst Event: -10.20 units
Average Event: 1.10 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 33.30
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.97

Dan Ely: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 247.99 -8.4 -3% -11.5 / 218.39 (-5%) -0.5 / 6.1 (-8%) 3.6 / 23.5 (15%) 5 / 7 (42%) -0.70
2018 116.15 32.6 28% 11.9 / 95.65 (12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 22.8 / 18.5 (123%) 6 / 4 (60%) 3.26

Dan Ely: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dan Ely: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 326.29 13.0 4% -0.6 / 291.44 (-0%) -2.5 / 8.1 (-31%) 16.1 / 26.75 (60%)
Bellator 25.65 -4.2 -16% -2.1 / 13.4 (-15%) -2.1 / 12.25 (-17%)
Other 12.2 15.5 127% 3.0 / 9.2 (33%) 12.5 / 3 (415%)

Dan Ely: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 71 (49%) 58 82 % 232.69 15.97 0.22 7%
Slight Favorites 47 (33%) 27 57 % 59.85 -3.11 -0.07 -5%
Slight Underdogs 21 (15%) 2 10 % 18.25 -13.80 -0.66 -76%
Big Underdogs 5 (3%) 2 40 % 3.25 1.27 0.25 39%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (13%) 9 50 % 46.85 -7.06 -0.39 -15%
Co-Main Event 15 (10%) 8 53 % 26.49 -6.52 -0.43 -25%
Position 3-5 41 (28%) 26 63 % 78.05 6.26 0.15 8%
6+ (Undercard) 70 (49%) 46 66 % 162.65 7.65 0.11 5%

Dan Ely: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (6%) 5 56 % 11.99 -1.01 -0.11 -8%
Light Heavy 13 (9%) 6 46 % 36.05 -2.15 -0.17 -6%
Middleweight 18 (13%) 12 67 % 25.55 0.29 0.02 1%
Welterweight 25 (17%) 12 48 % 53.75 -7.57 -0.30 -14%
Lightweight 19 (13%) 11 58 % 49.70 -2.88 -0.15 -6%
Featherweight 20 (14%) 14 70 % 46.55 4.99 0.25 11%
Bantamweight 13 (9%) 10 77 % 27.70 4.62 0.36 17%
Flyweight 2 (1%) 1 50 % 6.65 -4.00 -2.00 -60%
               
Women's Fights 25 (17%) 18 72 % 56.10 8.05 0.32 14%
Featherweight 5 (3%) 3 60 % 12.40 -0.87 -0.17 -7%
Bantamweight 4 (3%) 3 75 % 10.00 1.86 0.46 19%
Bantamweight 3 (2%) 2 67 % 4.10 1.49 0.50 36%
Strawweight 13 (9%) 10 77 % 29.60 5.57 0.43 19%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 95 (67%) 79 83 %
Slight Favorites 31 (22%) 22 71 %
Slight Underdogs 12 (9%) 1 8 %
Big Underdogs 3 (2%) 2 67 %
141 104 74 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (20%) 0 0 %
50-65% 1 (10%) 1 100 %
35-50% 2 (20%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 5 (50%) 1 20 %
10 3 30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision 1 (10%) 1 100 % 1.59 1.59Pick was correct 1.59Pick was correct 0.6 (59%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.50 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (10%) 0 0 % 8.00 8.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (20%) 0 0 % 4.29 5.00Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (40%) 2 50 % 2.89 3.60Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.8 (45%)
10 3 30 % 2.55     -2.6 (-26%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dan Ely's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 5.5 5.3 96% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,052.57
28th Apr Bellator 198 5 -1.6 -32% $10.53 $1,052.57 $1,035.84
12th May UFC 224 6.5 6.1 94% $10.36 $1,035.84 $1,099.14
12th May Bellator 199 10.5 3.2 30% $10.99 $1,099.14 $1,133.79
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 10 -3.1 -31% $11.34 $1,133.79 $1,098.39
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 9.5 -2.2 -23% $10.98 $1,098.39 $1,074.07
9th Jun UFC 225 19 3.7 19% $10.74 $1,074.07 $1,113.31
4th Aug UFC 227 18.95 -1.8 -9% $11.13 $1,113.31 $1,093.75
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 19 7.7 40% $10.94 $1,093.75 $1,177.70
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 12.2 15.5 127% $11.78 $1,177.70 $1,359.90
9th Feb UFC 234 17.55 10.2 58% $13.60 $1,359.90 $1,497.95
16th Feb Bellator 216 5.15 -0.8 -15% $14.98 $1,497.95 $1,486.71
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 15.5 0.3 2% $14.87 $1,486.71 $1,491.65
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 25.45 -6.1 -24% $14.92 $1,491.65 $1,400.65
2nd Mar UFC 235 23.6 12.0 51% $14.01 $1,400.65 $1,568.99
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 22.15 -6.7 -30% $15.69 $1,568.99 $1,464.18
13th Apr UFC 236 10.6 -5.2 -50% $14.64 $1,464.18 $1,387.31
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 10.94 1.0 9% $13.87 $1,387.31 $1,401.18
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 19.2 3.9 20% $14.01 $1,401.18 $1,455.17
11th May Bellator 221 5 -5.0 -100% $14.55 $1,455.17 $1,382.41
11th May UFC 237 25.65 -1.8 -7% $13.82 $1,382.41 $1,357.97
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 67.2 -10.2 -15% $13.58 $1,357.97 $1,219.46


ROI % from starting bank balance: 21.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dan Ely: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Julio Arce Julian Erosa 1.12 8.6 TKO, R3 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Charles Oliveira Nik Lentz 1.28 3.6 TKO, R2 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Aspen Ladd Sijara Eubanks 1.32 3.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Julio Arce Julian Erosa 1.12 8.6 TKO, R3 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Charles Oliveira Nik Lentz 1.28 3.6 TKO, R2 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Davi Ramos Austin Hubbard 1.20 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Aspen Ladd Sijara Eubanks 1.32 3.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Vicente Luque Derrick Krantz 1.09 11 TKO, R1 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Ryan Spann Rogerio Nogueira 1.71 0.7 TKO, R1 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Raoni Barcelos Carlos Huachin 1.12 8 TKO, R2 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Warlley Alves Sergio Moraes 1.71 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Clay Guida B.J. Penn 1.13 7.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Viviane Araujo Talita Bernardo 3.25 0.5 TKO, R3 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Matt Sayles Kyle Nelson 1.47 2.1 Sub, R3 (3:16) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Nordine Taleb Kyle Prepolec 1.23 4.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Walt Harris Sergey Spivak 1.57 1.7 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 1.95 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '19 Macy Chiasson Sarah Moras 1.14 7 TKO, R2 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Patrick Cummins Ed Herman 1.38 2.6 TKO, R1 (3:39) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Megan Anderson Felicia Spencer 1.48 2.1 Sub, R1 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Trevin Giles Zak Cummings 1.56 1.8 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 1.87 2.3 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Patrick Cummins Ed Herman 1.38 2.6 TKO, R1 (3:39) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Megan Anderson Felicia Spencer 1.48 2.1 Sub, R1 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Trevin Giles Zak Cummings 1.56 1.8 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 1.87 2.3 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Bethe Correia Irene Aldana 3.80 0.5 Sub, R3 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Thiago Alves Laureano Staropoli 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.05 1 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Court McGee Dhiego Lima 1.67 0.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Ronaldo Souza Jack Hermansson 1.44 2.25 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Court McGee Dhiego Lima 1.71 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Max Holloway Dustin Poirier 1.42 1.2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Ovince St Preux Nikita Krylov 2.00 2 Sub, R2 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dan Ely: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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