MMA Handicapper Stats: @PaulShag |
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@PaulShag : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
24th Jul '18 |
DWTNCS 14 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
7th Jul '18 |
UFC 226 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
23rd Jun '18 |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
2.16 |
-2.2 |
-100% |
|
-2.2 / 2.16 (-100%) |
|
27th May '18 |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
6 |
1.8 |
29% |
1.8 / 6 (29%) |
|
|
12th May '18 |
UFC 224 |
6.5 |
-2.7 |
-41% |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
|
1.8 / 2 (91%) |
17th Mar '18 |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
5 |
-2.0 |
-39% |
-2.0 / 5 (-39%) |
|
|
3rd Mar '18 |
UFC 222 |
1 |
0.8 |
80% |
0.8 / 1 (80%) |
|
|
24th Feb '18 |
UFC on Fox 28 |
3 |
0.2 |
8% |
0.2 / 3 (8%) |
|
|
18th Feb '18 |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
4 |
1.8 |
45% |
2.0 / 2 (98%) |
0.9 / 1 (85%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
10th Feb '18 |
UFC 221 |
3 |
0.5 |
18% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
1.5 / 2 (76%) |
4th Feb '18 |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
4 |
0.5 |
13% |
2.0 / 2.5 (80%) |
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
20th Jan '18 |
UFC 220 |
7.5 |
-4.4 |
-59% |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
|
1.6 / 1.5 (107%) |
Winning Events: 6 (50%) Losing Events: 6 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.01 units Most Staked On One Event: 7.50 units Best Event: 1.82 units Worst Event: -4.40 units Average Event: -0.96 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 3.89 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.16 |
@PaulShag : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2018 |
48.16 |
-11.6 |
-24% |
-12.7 / 37 (-34%) |
-1.3 / 3.16 (-41%) |
2.4 / 8 (31%) |
6 / 6 (50%) |
-0.96 |
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@PaulShag : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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@PaulShag : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
45.16 |
-8.6 |
-19% |
-9.7 / 34 (-29%) |
-1.3 / 3.16 (-41%) |
2.4 / 8 (31%) |
Other |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
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@PaulShag : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (11%) |
1 |
50 % |
5.00 |
-1.96 |
-0.98 |
-39% |
Slight Favorites |
13 (68%) |
4 |
31 % |
27.50 |
-15.91 |
-1.22 |
-58% |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (21%) |
4 |
100 % |
4.50 |
5.16 |
1.29 |
115% |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
5 (26%) |
2 |
40 % |
14.00 |
-5.62 |
-1.12 |
-40% |
Co-Main Event |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Position 3-5 |
8 (42%) |
5 |
63 % |
12.50 |
-1.92 |
-0.24 |
-15% |
6+ (Undercard) |
6 (32%) |
2 |
33 % |
10.50 |
-5.17 |
-0.86 |
-49% |
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@PaulShag : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (16%) |
|
0 % |
9.50 |
-9.50 |
-3.17 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
3 (16%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.50 |
-1.25 |
-0.42 |
-28% |
Middleweight |
1 (5%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Welterweight |
5 (26%) |
4 |
80 % |
9.00 |
5.75 |
1.15 |
64% |
Lightweight |
2 (11%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.50 |
-2.00 |
-1.00 |
-44% |
Bantamweight |
4 (21%) |
2 |
50 % |
5.50 |
-1.70 |
-0.43 |
-31% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
1 (5%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (5%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
9 (100%) |
7 |
78 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
9 |
7 |
78 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (67%) |
1 |
50 % |
50-65% |
1 (33%) |
1 |
100 % |
35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
3 |
2 |
67 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail @PaulShag 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
@PaulShag : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
@PaulShag : Progress Chart |
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