Bet MMA - MMA Betting Picks

Username
Password
 

MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1430
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Luca Difato

Luca Difato (Luca Difato)


MMA MHandicapper - Luca Difato

Click Here to Follow this MMA Handicapper

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 74 (53%) Right 50 (57%) Right 9 (60%) Right 15 (39%)
Wrong 66 (47%) Wrong 37 (43%) Wrong 6 (40%) Wrong 23 (61%)
Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 1.60 Avg Odds 2.38 Avg Odds 2.48
Units Bet 419.8 Units Bet 263.5 Units Bet 32.8 Units Bet 123.5
Avg Bet 3.00 Avg Bet 3.03 Avg Bet 2.18 Avg Bet 3.25
Units Profit -31.42 Units Profit -15.56 Units Profit 11.82 Units Profit -27.68
ROI % -7% ROI % -6% ROI % 36% ROI % -22%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 25 9.4 38% 10.9 / 15 (73%) -1.5 / 10 (-15%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 33.75 5.9 17% 1.4 / 26.75 (5%) 4.5 / 7 (64%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 46.5 -14.3 -31% -6.8 / 27 (-25%) 7.0 / 5 (140%) -14.5 / 14.5 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 14 -14.0 -100% -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 10 6.2 62% 2.8 / 7 (40%) 3.4 / 3 (114%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 11.5 -11.5 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 16.5 -6.1 -37% 2.4 / 8 (30%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 27.5 -7.1 -26% -0.6 / 17.25 (-3%) 0.8 / 3 (25%) -7.3 / 7.25 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 KSW 45 2 0.8 40% 0.8 / 2 (40%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 11 4.4 40% 2.2 / 6 (36%) 2.2 / 5 (44%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 12.5 -4.5 -36% -0.6 / 5.5 (-11%) -3.9 / 7 (-56%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 8 6.0 75% 6.0 / 8 (75%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 39 21.1 54% -0.4 / 15.5 (-2%) 9.4 / 10 (94%) 12.1 / 13.5 (90%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 23.25 1.4 6% 0.6 / 21.75 (3%) 0.8 / 1.5 (53%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 19 -2.4 -13% 4.6 / 12 (39%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 16.5 -1.2 -8% -1.4 / 15 (-10%) 1.2 / 0.5 (240%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 17.25 -6.2 -36% -6.5 / 12.25 (-53%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.3 / 4 (31%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 6.5 2.3 35% -1.6 / 5 (-32%) 3.9 / 1.5 (257%)
26th Jan '18 Bellator 193 11.25 -1.8 -16% -1.8 / 11.25 (-16%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 14.25 3.7 26% 3.7 / 14.25 (26%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 3.5 2.3 66% 1.4 / 3 (46%) 1.0 / 0.5 (191%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 8.75 -0.4 -5% -4.3 / 5.5 (-77%) 0.7 / 1.25 (56%) 3.1 / 2 (155%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 7.5 -1.7 -23% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.3 / 3.5 (66%)


Winning Events: 11 (44%)
Losing Events: 14 (56%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 390.5 -19.0 -5% -7.1 / 244 (-3%) 9.5 / 29.25 (33%) -21.4 / 117.25 (-18%) 11 / 13 (46%) -0.79
2017 7.5 -1.7 -23% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.3 / 3.5 (66%) 0 / 1 (0%) -1.69

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP.

Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 327.25 -7.9 -2% -8.0 / 209.75 (-4%) 17.3 / 27.25 (64%) -17.1 / 90.25 (-19%)
Bellator 68.75 -13.6 -20% -3.8 / 36.25 (-11%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -4.3 / 27 (-16%)
Other 2 0.8 40% 0.8 / 2 (40%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 45 (52%) 28 62 % 158.00 -20.51 -0.46 -13%
Slight Favorites 25 (29%) 14 56 % 70.50 8.30 0.33 12%
Slight Underdogs 14 (16%) 7 50 % 28.00 0.65 0.05 2%
Big Underdogs 3 (3%) 1 33 % 7.00 -4.00 -1.33 -57%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 16 (18%) 11 69 % 60.00 4.22 0.26 7%
Co-Main Event 7 (8%) 3 43 % 20.25 -10.20 -1.46 -50%
Position 3-5 20 (23%) 10 50 % 54.25 -6.44 -0.32 -12%
6+ (Undercard) 44 (51%) 26 59 % 129.00 -3.14 -0.07 -2%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (13%) 5 45 % 44.75 -16.88 -1.53 -38%
Light Heavy 7 (8%) 5 71 % 24.00 3.38 0.48 14%
Middleweight 11 (13%) 6 55 % 31.00 -0.99 -0.09 -3%
Welterweight 11 (13%) 8 73 % 33.25 7.54 0.69 23%
Lightweight 18 (21%) 10 56 % 51.75 -5.69 -0.32 -11%
Featherweight 9 (10%) 7 78 % 21.75 4.87 0.54 22%
Bantamweight 8 (9%) 5 63 % 19.75 6.28 0.79 32%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 11.00 -3.29 -1.10 -30%
               
Women's Fights 9 (10%) 3 33 % 26.25 -10.79 -1.20 -41%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 5.50 -1.17 -0.58 -21%
Bantamweight 4 (5%) 1 25 % 10.50 -4.21 -1.05 -40%
Strawweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 10.25 -5.41 -1.80 -53%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 92 (79%) 71 77 %
Slight Favorites 21 (18%) 16 76 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (2%) 2 100 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
116 89 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 9 (39%) 7 78 %
50-65% 4 (17%) 4 100 %
35-50% 3 (13%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 7 (30%) 2 29 %
23 15 65 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (26%) 6 100 % 1.55 1.72Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct 3.4 (56%)
Goes to Decision 6 (26%) 3 50 % 1.77 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was correct -1.7 (-28%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.5 (50%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (39%) 5 56 % 2.99 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct 4.3 (48%)
Others 1 (4%) 0 0 % 1.44 1.44Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
23 15 65 % 1.98     5.5 (24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
31st Dec UFC 219 7.5 -1.7 -23% $10.00 $1,000.00 $983.06
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 8.75 -0.4 -5% $9.83 $983.06 $978.68
20th Jan UFC 220 14.25 3.7 26% $9.79 $978.68 $1,014.57
20th Jan Bellator 192 3.5 2.3 66% $10.15 $1,014.57 $1,038.10
26th Jan Bellator 193 11.25 -1.8 -16% $10.38 $1,038.10 $1,019.90
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 6.5 2.3 35% $10.20 $1,019.90 $1,043.07
10th Feb UFC 221 17.25 -6.2 -36% $10.43 $1,043.07 $978.40
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 16.5 -1.2 -8% $9.78 $978.40 $966.28
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 19 -2.4 -13% $9.66 $966.28 $943.32
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 6 -6.0 -100% $9.43 $943.32 $886.72
8th Sep UFC 228 23.25 1.4 6% $8.87 $886.72 $898.96
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 39 21.1 54% $10 $8.99 $898.96 $1,078.78
21st Sep Bellator 205 8 6.0 75% $10.79 $1,078.78 $1,143.85
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 12.5 -4.5 -36% $11.44 $1,143.85 $1,091.86
29th Sep Bellator 206 11 4.4 40% $10.92 $1,091.86 $1,139.95
6th Oct KSW 45 2 0.8 40% $11.40 $1,139.95 $1,149.07
6th Oct UFC 229 27.5 -7.1 -26% $11.49 $1,149.07 $1,067.97
12th Oct Bellator 207 16.5 -6.1 -37% $10.68 $1,067.97 $1,002.77
13th Oct Bellator 208 11.5 -11.5 -100% $10.03 $1,002.77 $887.45
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 10 6.2 62% $8.87 $887.45 $942.62
3rd Nov UFC 230 14 -14.0 -100% $9.43 $942.62 $810.65
8th Dec UFC 231 46.5 -14.3 -31% $8.11 $810.65 $694.95
15th Dec Bellator 212 7 -7.0 -100% $6.95 $694.95 $646.30
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 33.75 5.9 17% $6.46 $646.30 $684.42
29th Dec UFC 232 25 9.4 38% $6.84 $684.42 $748.89


ROI % from starting bank balance: -25.11% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.57 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.57 4 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Walt Harris Andrei Arlovski 1.61 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Nathaniel Wood Andre Ewell 1.95 5 Sub, R3 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Montel Jackson Brian Kelleher 1.61 5 Sub, R1 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Dan Ige Jordan Griffin 1.50 2.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Juan Adams Chris de la Rocha 1.29 4.5 TKO, R3 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Drakkar Klose Bobby Green 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Charles Oliveira Jim Miller 1.40 6 Sub, R1 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Aleksandar Rakic Devin Clark 1.18 3 TKO, R1 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Carlos Diego Ferreira Kyle Nelson 1.18 2 TKO, R2 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 1.80 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Gilbert Burns Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.91 2 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Ryan Bader Matt Mitrione 1.30 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Yana Kunitskaya Lina Lansberg 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Scott Askham Marcin Wojcik 1.40 2 TKO, R1 (1:21) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Gian Villante Ed Herman 1.40 7 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Thiago Santos Eryk Anders 1.63 3 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.50 6 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Ariane Lipski Joanne Calderwood 1.44 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Adam Milstead Mike Rodriguez 1.44 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Kevin Lee Al Iaquinta 1.30 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Eye 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 2.10 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Chad Laprise Dhiego Lima 1.25 5 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Claudia Gadelha Nina Ansaroff 1.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Timothy Johnson Cheick Kongo 1.72 3 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Chael Sonnen Fedor Emelianenko 3.00 5 TKO, R1 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Hector Lombard Thales Leites 1.80 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Gillian Robertson Mayra Bueno Silva 1.80 1 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.05 6 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.10 1 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 1.95 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.67 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.40 3 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Sergio Pettis Jussier Formiga 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Charles Byrd Darren Stewart 1.40 3 TKO, R2 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Alex White Jim Miller 1.67 2.5 Sub, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

Chart

 

   
© Bet MMA
Powered by MMA Tycoon
Site Map
Homepage
Free UFC Betting Tips
MMA Betting Blog
Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event
Bet MMA - MMA Betting Tips & Statistics