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MMA Handicapper Stats: Luca Difato

Luca Difato (Luca Difato)


MMA MHandicapper - Luca Difato

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 78 (52%) Right 53 (56%) Right 9 (60%) Right 16 (40%)
Wrong 72 (48%) Wrong 42 (44%) Wrong 6 (40%) Wrong 24 (60%)
Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 1.61 Avg Odds 2.38 Avg Odds 2.46
Units Bet 464.3 Units Bet 299.0 Units Bet 32.8 Units Bet 132.5
Avg Bet 3.10 Avg Bet 3.15 Avg Bet 2.18 Avg Bet 3.31
Units Profit -41.23 Units Profit -27.17 Units Profit 11.82 Units Profit -25.88
ROI % -9% ROI % -9% ROI % 36% ROI % -20%
View Handicapper's Profile

Luca Difato: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 28.5 -3.4 -12% -8.2 / 22.5 (-37%) 4.8 / 6 (80%)
4th May '19 Bellator Birmingham 8 1.6 20% 1.6 / 8 (20%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 29.75 -18.7 -63% -9.5 / 20.5 (-46%) -9.3 / 9.25 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 25 9.4 38% 10.9 / 15 (73%) -1.5 / 10 (-15%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 33.75 5.9 17% 1.4 / 26.75 (5%) 4.5 / 7 (64%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 46.5 -14.3 -31% -6.8 / 27 (-25%) 7.0 / 5 (140%) -14.5 / 14.5 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 14 -14.0 -100% -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 10 6.2 62% 2.8 / 7 (40%) 3.4 / 3 (114%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 11.5 -11.5 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 16.5 -6.1 -37% 2.4 / 8 (30%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 27.5 -7.1 -26% -0.6 / 17.25 (-3%) 0.8 / 3 (25%) -7.3 / 7.25 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 KSW 45 2 0.8 40% 0.8 / 2 (40%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 11 4.4 40% 2.2 / 6 (36%) 2.2 / 5 (44%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 12.5 -4.5 -36% -0.6 / 5.5 (-11%) -3.9 / 7 (-56%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 8 6.0 75% 6.0 / 8 (75%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 39 21.1 54% -0.4 / 15.5 (-2%) 9.4 / 10 (94%) 12.1 / 13.5 (90%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 23.25 1.4 6% 0.6 / 21.75 (3%) 0.8 / 1.5 (53%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 19 -2.4 -13% 4.6 / 12 (39%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 16.5 -1.2 -8% -1.4 / 15 (-10%) 1.2 / 0.5 (240%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 17.25 -6.2 -36% -6.5 / 12.25 (-53%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.3 / 4 (31%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 6.5 2.3 35% -1.6 / 5 (-32%) 3.9 / 1.5 (257%)
26th Jan '18 Bellator 193 11.25 -1.8 -16% -1.8 / 11.25 (-16%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 14.25 3.7 26% 3.7 / 14.25 (26%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 3.5 2.3 66% 1.4 / 3 (46%) 1.0 / 0.5 (191%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 8.75 -0.4 -5% -4.3 / 5.5 (-77%) 0.7 / 1.25 (56%) 3.1 / 2 (155%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 7.5 -1.7 -23% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.3 / 3.5 (66%)


Winning Events: 12 (43%)
Losing Events: 16 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 46.50 units
Best Event: 21.11 units
Worst Event: -18.75 units
Average Event: -1.47 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 28.53
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -35.27

Luca Difato: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 66.25 -20.6 -31% -16.1 / 51 (-32%) -4.4 / 15.25 (-29%) 1 / 2 (33%) -6.85
2018 390.5 -19.0 -5% -7.1 / 244 (-3%) 9.5 / 29.25 (33%) -21.4 / 117.25 (-18%) 11 / 13 (46%) -0.79
2017 7.5 -1.7 -23% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.3 / 3.5 (66%) 0 / 1 (0%) -1.69

Luca Difato: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Luca Difato: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 385.5 -30.0 -8% -25.8 / 252.75 (-10%) 17.3 / 27.25 (64%) -21.6 / 105.5 (-20%)
Bellator 76.75 -12.0 -16% -2.2 / 44.25 (-5%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -4.3 / 27 (-16%)
Other 2 0.8 40% 0.8 / 2 (40%)

Luca Difato: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 47 (49%) 29 62 % 171.00 -23.91 -0.51 -14%
Slight Favorites 28 (29%) 15 54 % 82.00 3.09 0.11 4%
Slight Underdogs 17 (18%) 8 47 % 39.00 -2.35 -0.14 -6%
Big Underdogs 3 (3%) 1 33 % 7.00 -4.00 -1.33 -57%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 19 (20%) 12 63 % 76.50 -2.68 -0.14 -4%
Co-Main Event 7 (7%) 3 43 % 20.25 -10.20 -1.46 -50%
Position 3-5 22 (23%) 11 50 % 60.25 -6.16 -0.28 -10%
6+ (Undercard) 47 (49%) 27 57 % 142.00 -8.14 -0.17 -6%

Luca Difato: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (14%) 7 54 % 52.75 -10.59 -0.81 -20%
Light Heavy 7 (7%) 5 71 % 24.00 3.38 0.48 14%
Middleweight 12 (13%) 6 50 % 36.00 -5.99 -0.50 -17%
Welterweight 11 (12%) 8 73 % 33.25 7.54 0.69 23%
Lightweight 20 (21%) 11 55 % 63.25 -7.59 -0.38 -12%
Featherweight 10 (11%) 7 70 % 23.75 2.87 0.29 12%
Bantamweight 9 (9%) 5 56 % 23.75 2.28 0.25 10%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 16.00 -8.29 -2.07 -52%
               
Women's Fights 9 (9%) 3 33 % 26.25 -10.79 -1.20 -41%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 5.50 -1.17 -0.58 -21%
Bantamweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 10.50 -4.21 -1.05 -40%
Strawweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 10.25 -5.41 -1.80 -53%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 99 (80%) 74 75 %
Slight Favorites 21 (17%) 16 76 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (2%) 2 100 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
123 92 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 9 (39%) 7 78 %
50-65% 4 (17%) 4 100 %
35-50% 3 (13%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 7 (30%) 2 29 %
23 15 65 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (26%) 6 100 % 1.55 1.72Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct 3.4 (56%)
Goes to Decision 6 (26%) 3 50 % 1.77 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was correct -1.7 (-28%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.5 (50%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (39%) 5 56 % 2.99 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct 4.3 (48%)
Others 1 (4%) 0 0 % 1.44 1.44Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
23 15 65 % 1.98     5.5 (24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Luca Difato's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
31st Dec UFC 219 7.5 -1.7 -23% $10.00 $1,000.00 $983.06
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 8.75 -0.4 -5% $9.83 $983.06 $978.68
20th Jan UFC 220 14.25 3.7 26% $9.79 $978.68 $1,014.57
20th Jan Bellator 192 3.5 2.3 66% $10.15 $1,014.57 $1,038.10
26th Jan Bellator 193 11.25 -1.8 -16% $10.38 $1,038.10 $1,019.90
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 6.5 2.3 35% $10.20 $1,019.90 $1,043.07
10th Feb UFC 221 17.25 -6.2 -36% $10.43 $1,043.07 $978.40
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 16.5 -1.2 -8% $9.78 $978.40 $966.28
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 19 -2.4 -13% $9.66 $966.28 $943.32
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 6 -6.0 -100% $9.43 $943.32 $886.72
8th Sep UFC 228 23.25 1.4 6% $8.87 $886.72 $898.96
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 39 21.1 54% $10 $8.99 $898.96 $1,078.78
21st Sep Bellator 205 8 6.0 75% $10.79 $1,078.78 $1,143.85
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 12.5 -4.5 -36% $11.44 $1,143.85 $1,091.86
29th Sep Bellator 206 11 4.4 40% $10.92 $1,091.86 $1,139.95
6th Oct KSW 45 2 0.8 40% $11.40 $1,139.95 $1,149.07
6th Oct UFC 229 27.5 -7.1 -26% $11.49 $1,149.07 $1,067.97
12th Oct Bellator 207 16.5 -6.1 -37% $10.68 $1,067.97 $1,002.77
13th Oct Bellator 208 11.5 -11.5 -100% $10.03 $1,002.77 $887.45
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 10 6.2 62% $8.87 $887.45 $942.62
3rd Nov UFC 230 14 -14.0 -100% $9.43 $942.62 $810.65
8th Dec UFC 231 46.5 -14.3 -31% $8.11 $810.65 $694.95
15th Dec Bellator 212 7 -7.0 -100% $6.95 $694.95 $646.30
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 33.75 5.9 17% $6.46 $646.30 $684.42
29th Dec UFC 232 25 9.4 38% $6.84 $684.42 $748.89
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 29.75 -18.7 -63% $7.49 $748.89 $608.47
4th May Bellator Birmingham 8 1.6 20% $6.08 $608.47 $618.21
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 28.5 -3.4 -12% $6.18 $618.21 $597.10


ROI % from starting bank balance: -40.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Luca Difato: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Arjan Bhullar Juan Adams 2.00 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Walt Harris Sergey Spivak 1.57 4 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Brent Primus Tim Wilde 1.20 8 Sub, R1 (1:20) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.57 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '19 Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.57 4 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Walt Harris Andrei Arlovski 1.61 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Nathaniel Wood Andre Ewell 1.95 5 Sub, R3 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Montel Jackson Brian Kelleher 1.61 5 Sub, R1 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Dan Ige Jordan Griffin 1.50 2.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Juan Adams Chris de la Rocha 1.29 4.5 TKO, R3 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Drakkar Klose Bobby Green 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Charles Oliveira Jim Miller 1.40 6 Sub, R1 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Aleksandar Rakic Devin Clark 1.18 3 TKO, R1 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Carlos Diego Ferreira Kyle Nelson 1.18 2 TKO, R2 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 1.80 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Gilbert Burns Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.91 2 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Ryan Bader Matt Mitrione 1.30 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Yana Kunitskaya Lina Lansberg 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Marc-Andre Barriault Andrew Sanchez 2.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Aiemann Zahabi Vincent Morales 1.61 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.38 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Al Iaquinta Donald Cerrone 1.80 3.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.50 6 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '19 Ariane Lipski Joanne Calderwood 1.44 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.44 5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Adam Milstead Mike Rodriguez 1.44 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Kevin Lee Al Iaquinta 1.30 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Eye 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 2.10 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Chad Laprise Dhiego Lima 1.25 5 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Claudia Gadelha Nina Ansaroff 1.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Timothy Johnson Cheick Kongo 1.72 3 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Chael Sonnen Fedor Emelianenko 3.00 5 TKO, R1 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Hector Lombard Thales Leites 1.80 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Gillian Robertson Mayra Bueno Silva 1.80 1 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.05 6 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.10 1 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 1.95 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Luca Difato: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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