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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1877
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 766

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Matt Sheps

Matt Sheps (Starsky_44)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Matt Sheps

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 15 (38%) Right 13 (34%) Right 2 (100%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 25 (63%) Wrong 25 (66%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.37 Avg Odds 2.40 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 0.00
Units Bet 38.4 Units Bet 36.4 Units Bet 2.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 0.96 Avg Bet 0.96 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 0.00
Units Profit -9.16 Units Profit -11.05 Units Profit 1.89 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % -24% ROI % -30% ROI % 95% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Profile

Matt Sheps: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 4.75 -2.2 -47% -2.2 / 4.75 (-47%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 2.75 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 3 1.0 33% 1.0 / 3 (33%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 1.5 0.9 60% 0.9 / 1.5 (60%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 3 1.3 43% 1.3 / 3 (43%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 2 -0.7 -36% -0.7 / 2 (-36%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 1 0.3 25% 0.3 / 1 (25%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 1.6 -0.1 -5% -0.1 / 1.6 (-5%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 3 -0.7 -23% -0.7 / 3 (-23%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 2.5 1.2 46% 1.2 / 2.5 (46%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 2.8 1.1 41% 0.3 / 1.8 (19%) 0.8 / 1 (79%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 1 1.1 110% 1.1 / 1 (110%)


Winning Events: 7 (41%)
Losing Events: 10 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.26 units
Most Staked On One Event: 4.75 units
Best Event: 1.29 units
Worst Event: -3.00 units
Average Event: -0.54 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 3.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -10.48

Matt Sheps: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 10.25 -7.7 -75% -7.7 / 10.25 (-75%) / 3 (0%) -2.58
2018 17.25 -4.1 -24% -4.1 / 17.25 (-24%) 4 / 5 (44%) -0.45
2017 10.9 2.6 24% 0.7 / 8.9 (8%) 1.9 / 2 (94%) 3 / 2 (60%) 0.52

Matt Sheps: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Matt Sheps: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 37.9 -8.7 -23% -10.6 / 35.9 (-29%) 1.9 / 2 (94%)
Bellator 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Matt Sheps: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%
Slight Favorites 10 (26%) 3 30 % 15.00 -8.62 -0.86 -57%
Slight Underdogs 16 (42%) 7 44 % 15.35 -2.38 -0.15 -16%
Big Underdogs 12 (32%) 3 25 % 6.05 -0.05 -0.00 -1%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (37%) 4 29 % 13.30 -6.92 -0.49 -52%
Co-Main Event 5 (13%) 3 60 % 4.00 2.87 0.57 72%
Position 3-5 11 (29%) 3 27 % 12.35 -6.63 -0.60 -54%
6+ (Undercard) 8 (21%) 3 38 % 6.75 -0.38 -0.05 -6%

Matt Sheps: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 4.00 -2.75 -0.92 -69%
Light Heavy 5 (13%) 1 20 % 5.50 -3.20 -0.64 -58%
Middleweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 2.00 -0.73 -0.24 -36%
Welterweight 5 (13%) 0 % 4.50 -4.50 -0.90 -100%
Lightweight 10 (26%) 4 40 % 8.10 -0.45 -0.04 -6%
Featherweight 7 (18%) 3 43 % 7.30 -0.43 -0.06 -6%
Bantamweight 4 (11%) 2 50 % 4.50 -0.90 -0.23 -20%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 0.50 1.90 1.90 380%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 1 (50%) 1 100 %
35-50% 1 (50%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
2 2 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (100%) 2 100 % 1.93 2.10Pick was correct 1.79Pick was correct 1.9 (94%)
2 2 100 % 1.93     1.9 (94%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Matt Sheps's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 1 1.1 110% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,011.00
2nd Dec UFC 218 2.8 1.1 41% $10.11 $1,011.00 $1,022.53
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 2.5 1.2 46% $10.23 $1,022.53 $1,034.39
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 3 -0.7 -23% $10.34 $1,034.39 $1,027.15
31st Dec UFC 219 1.6 -0.1 -5% $10.27 $1,027.15 $1,026.37
20th Jan UFC 220 1 0.3 25% $10.26 $1,026.37 $1,028.93
20th Jan Bellator 192 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.29 $1,028.93 $1,023.79
10th Feb UFC 221 2 -0.7 -36% $10.24 $1,023.79 $1,016.36
3rd Mar UFC 222 3 1.3 43% $10.16 $1,016.36 $1,029.47
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 2 -2.0 -100% $10.29 $1,029.47 $1,008.89
4th Aug UFC 227 1.5 0.9 60% $10.09 $1,008.89 $1,017.97
6th Oct UFC 229 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.18 $1,017.97 $1,002.70
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 3 1.0 33% $10.03 $1,002.70 $1,012.52
29th Dec UFC 232 2.75 -2.8 -100% $10.13 $1,012.52 $984.68
9th Feb UFC 234 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.85 $984.68 $960.06
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 3 -3.0 -100% $9.60 $960.06 $931.26
8th Jun UFC 238 4.75 -2.2 -47% $9.31 $931.26 $910.49


ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Matt Sheps: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '19 Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.68 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Al Iaquinta Kevin Lee 3.80 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 2.08 1 TKO, R3 (2:19) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '18 Henry Cejudo Demetrious Johnson 4.80 0.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '18 Sean O'Malley Andre Soukhamthath 1.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '18 Brian Ortega Frankie Edgar 2.39 1 TKO, R1 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '18 Yoel Romero Luke Rockhold 2.55 0.5 TKO, R3 (1:48) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '18 Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.50 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '17 Daniel Hooker Marc Diakiese 2.54 0.6 Sub, R3 (0:42) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '17 Glover Teixeira Misha Cirkunov 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '17 Andre Soukhamthath Luke Sanders 3.40 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '17 Brian Ortega Cub Swanson 1.96 1 Sub, R2 (3:22) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '17 Paul Felder Charles Oliveira 2.15 1 TKO, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '19 Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson 2.43 1.25 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.65 2 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Cain Velasquez Francis Ngannou 1.54 3 TKO, R1 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Sam Alvey Jim Crute 2.33 2 TKO, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Anderson Silva Israel Adesanya 4.90 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 B.J. Penn Ryan Hall 4.75 0.25 Sub, R1 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Chad Mendes Alex Volkanovski 1.74 2 TKO, R2 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Alexander Gustafsson Jon Jones 3.45 0.5 TKO, R3 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Adam Milstead Mike Rodriguez 1.78 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Anthony Pettis Tony Ferguson 4.20 0.5 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.65 1 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '18 Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '18 Cub Swanson Frankie Edgar 3.11 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '18 Edson Barboza Kevin Lee 2.36 1 TKO, R5 (2:18) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '18 Hector Lombard C.B. Dollaway 1.84 1 No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '18 Jeremy Kennedy Alex Volkanovski 2.75 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:57) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '18 Li Jingliang Jake Matthews 1.68 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '18 Douglas Lima Rory MacDonald 2.89 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '18 Volkan Oezdemir Daniel Cormier 3.60 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:0) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '17 Carlos Condit Neil Magny 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Matt Sheps: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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