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MMA Handicapper Stats: Eamonn Keenan

Eamonn Keenan (efkirish)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	17 (40%)	Right	16 (41%)	Right	1 (33%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	26 (60%)	Wrong	23 (59%)	Wrong	2 (67%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.09	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	8.59
Units Bet	49.0	Units Bet	43.0	Units Bet	5.0	Units Bet	1.0
Avg Bet	1.14	Avg Bet	1.10	Avg Bet	1.67	Avg Bet	1.00
Units Profit	-11.15	Units Profit	-7.20	Units Profit	-2.95	Units Profit	-1.00
ROI %	-23%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-59%	ROI %	-100%

Eamonn Keenan: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st Jan '20	PFL 2019: Week 10	6.75	-3.5	-52%	-2.5 / 5.75 (-44%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	5.5	-5.5	-100%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	0.5	0.1	25%	0.1 / 0.5 (25%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	10.2	0.0	0%	3.0 / 5.2 (57%)	-2.9 / 5 (-59%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	3	3.4	112%	3.4 / 3 (112%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	1	1.6	160%	1.6 / 1 (160%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	7	-4.1	-59%	-4.1 / 7 (-59%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	7	-0.2	-3%	-0.2 / 7 (-3%)
2nd Dec '17	TUF 26 Finale	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	5	0.1	1%	0.1 / 5 (1%)

Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.20 units
Best Event: 3.36 units
Worst Event: -5.50 units
Average Event: -1.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 5.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -9.04

Eamonn Keenan: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	6.75	-3.5	-52%	-2.5 / 5.75 (-44%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-3.54
2019	16.2	-5.3	-33%	-2.4 / 11.2 (-21%)	-2.9 / 5 (-59%)		2 / 1 (67%)	-1.78
2018	4	5.0	124%	5.0 / 4 (124%)			2 / (100%)	2.48
2017	22	-7.2	-33%	-7.2 / 22 (-33%)			1 / 4 (20%)	-1.44

Eamonn Keenan: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Eamonn Keenan: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	41.7	-7.7	-19%	-4.8 / 36.7 (-13%)	-2.9 / 5 (-59%)
Bellator	0.5	0.1	25%	0.1 / 0.5 (25%)
PFL	6.75	-3.5	-52%	-2.5 / 5.75 (-44%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Eamonn Keenan: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	11 (28%)	7	64 %	11.50	-1.50	-0.14	-13%
Slight Favorites	4 (10%)	3	75 %	7.20	1.25	0.31	17%
Slight Underdogs	15 (38%)	5	33 %	17.50	-3.10	-0.21	-18%
Big Underdogs	10 (25%)	1	10 %	6.75	-3.85	-0.39	-57%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (18%)	4	57 %	7.75	3.13	0.45	40%
Co-Main Event	6 (15%)	4	67 %	7.00	0.19	0.03	3%
Position 3-5	15 (38%)	5	33 %	16.95	-5.54	-0.37	-33%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (30%)	3	25 %	11.25	-4.98	-0.42	-44%

Eamonn Keenan: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (10%)	3	75 %	4.50	2.55	0.64	57%
Light Heavy	5 (13%)	1	20 %	7.50	-6.14	-1.23	-82%
Middleweight	2 (5%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Welterweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	3.00	0.21	0.11	7%
Lightweight	9 (23%)	2	22 %	7.75	-3.15	-0.35	-41%
Featherweight	5 (13%)	4	80 %	5.25	3.41	0.68	65%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	4 (10%)	1	25 %	3.50	-2.17	-0.54	-62%

Women's Fights	6 (15%)	4	67 %	6.45	3.09	0.52	48%
Featherweight	2 (5%)		0 %	1.25	-1.25	-0.63	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.20	1.38	1.38	63%
Strawweight	3 (8%)	3	100 %	3.00	2.97	0.99	99%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	1 (25%)	1	100 %
Slight Favorites	2 (50%)	1	50 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (25%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	4	2	50 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (33%)	0	0 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	2 (67%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	1	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (67%)	1	50 %	2.07	2.10	2.05	0.1 (3%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (33%)	0	0 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	-1.0 (-100%)
	3	1	33 %	1.79			-0.9 (-32%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Eamonn Keenan's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Nov	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	5	0.1	1%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,000.67
2nd Dec	TUF 26 Finale	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.01	$1,000.67	$980.65
2nd Dec	UFC 218	7	-0.2	-3%		$9.81	$980.65	$978.83
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.79	$978.83	$969.05
31st Dec	UFC 219	7	-4.1	-59%		$9.69	$969.05	$929.32
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	1	1.6	160%		$9.29	$929.32	$944.18
20th Jan	UFC 220	3	3.4	112%		$9.44	$944.18	$975.88
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	10.2	0.0	0%		$9.76	$975.88	$976.13
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	0.5	0.1	25%		$9.76	$976.13	$977.35
9th Feb	UFC 234	5.5	-5.5	-100%		$9.77	$977.35	$923.59
1st Jan	PFL 2019: Week 10	6.75	-3.5	-52%		$9.24	$923.59	$890.92

ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.91% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Eamonn Keenan: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '20	Ray Cooper III	David Michaud	1.61	2	TKO, R2 (2:56)
2.	Jan '19	Ryan Bader	Fedor Emelianenko	1.25	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:35)
3.	Jan '19	Paige VanZant	Rachael Ostovich	1.63	2.2	Sub, R2 (1:50)
4.	Jan '19	Donald Cerrone	Alexander Hernandez	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (3:43)
5.	Jan '19	Dennis Bermudez	Te Edwards	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '17	Carla Esparza	Cynthia Calvillo	2.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jan '18	Daniel Cormier	Volkan Oezdemir	1.36	1	TKO, R2 (2:0)
8.	Jan '18	Stipe Miocic	Francis Ngannou	2.50	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Jan '18	Jeremy Stephens	Doo Ho Choi	2.60	1	TKO, R2 (2:36)
10.	Dec '17	Tecia Torres	Michelle Waterson	1.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Dec '17	Henry Cejudo	Sergio Pettis	1.33	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '17	Francis Ngannou	Alistair Overeem	1.43	1	TKO, R1 (1:42)
13.	Dec '17	Max Holloway	Jose Aldo	1.33	2	TKO, R3 (4:51)
14.	Nov '17	Yan Xiaonan	Kailin Curran	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '17	Wang Guan	Alex Caceres	2.20	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '17	Zabit Magomedsharipov	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	1.20	1	Sub, R3 (4:30)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '20	Jordan Johnson	Emiliano Sordi	1.77	2	TKO, R1 (2:1)	No
2.	Jan '20	David Valente	Brendan Loughnane	6.80	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jan '20	Alex Gilpin	Lance Palmer	7.20	0.25	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Jan '20	Loik Radzhabov	Natan Schulte	2.80	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Jan '20	Larissa Pacheco	Kayla Harrison	7.80	0.25	U Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
6.	Feb '19	Sam Alvey	Jim Crute	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (2:49)	No
7.	Feb '19	Wuliji Buren	Jonathan Martinez	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '19	Raulian Paiva	Kai Kara-France	3.55	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '19	Callan Potter	Jalin Turner	3.00	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:53)	No
10.	Feb '19	Sam Alvey	Jim Crute	2.10	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:49)	No
11.	Jan '19	Dustin Ortiz	Joseph Benavidez	2.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '17	Marc Diakiese	Daniel Hooker	1.50	1	Sub, R3 (0:42)	No
13.	Dec '17	Louis Smolka	Matheus Nicolau	2.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '17	Rick Glenn	Myles Jury	2.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Dec '17	Khalil Rountree	Michal Oleksiejczuk	1.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '17	Edson Barboza	Khabib Nurmagomedov	3.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Dec '17	Holly Holm	Cristiane Justino	4.15	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Dec '17	Aljamain Sterling	Marlon Moraes	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:7)	No
19.	Dec '17	Alex Oliveira	Yancy Medeiros	1.38	1	TKO, R3 (2:3)	No
20.	Dec '17	Justin Gaethje	Eddie Alvarez	1.53	1	TKO, R3 (3:59)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Eamonn Keenan: Progress Chart

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