MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: AlwaysSoGrim

AlwaysSoGrim (Cynical Cunt)

MMA MHandicapper - AlwaysSoGrim

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	47 (26%)	Right	3 (43%)	Right	18 (18%)	Right	26 (37%)
Wrong	132 (74%)	Wrong	4 (57%)	Wrong	84 (82%)	Wrong	44 (63%)
Avg Odds	4.07	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	4.11	Avg Odds	4.53
Units Bet	401.7	Units Bet	70.6	Units Bet	191.3	Units Bet	139.9
Avg Bet	2.24	Avg Bet	10.09	Avg Bet	1.88	Avg Bet	2.00
Units Profit	55.07	Units Profit	-7.86	Units Profit	-69.53	Units Profit	132.46
ROI %	14%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-36%	ROI %	95%

AlwaysSoGrim : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	6.4	12.6	197%		4.0 / 0.4 (1,000%)	8.6 / 6 (144%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	15.2	-15.2	-100%		-9.2 / 9.2 (-100%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	3	1.0	34%		-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	2.2 / 1.8 (124%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	6.4	8.5	133%		-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)	9.9 / 5 (198%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	0.5	20.8	4,153%			20.8 / 0.5 (4,153%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	0.8	-0.8	-100%			-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	0.1	-0.1	-100%			-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	3.8	0.0	1%		3.3 / 0.5 (670%)	-3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	17.1	12.6	74%		4.6 / 10.6 (43%)	8.0 / 6.5 (123%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	6.2	-6.2	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
17th Mar '18	UFC Fight Night 127	7.9	-7.9	-100%		-7.9 / 7.9 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	3.3	-3.3	-100%			-3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	13	10.8	83%		-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)	13.5 / 10.3 (131%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	21	28.1	134%	15.0 / 10 (150%)	-5.7 / 5.7 (-100%)	18.8 / 5.3 (354%)
27th Jan '18	UFC on Fox 27	10	-10.0	-100%		-4.1 / 4.1 (-100%)	-5.9 / 5.9 (-100%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	68.6	27.8	41%		-38.3 / 38.3 (-100%)	66.1 / 30.3 (218%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	3.25	-3.3	-100%		-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)	-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)
16th Dec '17	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	8.08	8.2	101%		-2.1 / 2.08 (-100%)	10.3 / 6 (171%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	27.88	-27.9	-100%		-27.5 / 27.48 (-100%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	42.72	-1.3	-3%	-9.6 / 9.6 (-100%)	8.5 / 26.88 (32%)	-0.3 / 6.24 (-4%)
18th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	13.7	-13.7	-100%		-12.7 / 12.7 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	4.08	3.6	87%			3.6 / 4.08 (87%)
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	15.54	-0.8	-5%		13.4 / 1.34 (997%)	-14.2 / 14.2 (-100%)
28th Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	20.68	12.2	59%	5.6 / 9 (63%)	0.2 / 10.28 (2%)	6.4 / 1.4 (457%)
21st Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	18.9	-0.2	-1%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	10.8 / 7.9 (137%)
7th Oct '17	UFC 216	30.6	13.9	45%	7.1 / 16 (44%)	5.8 / 13.2 (44%)	1.0 / 1.4 (72%)
16th Sep '17	UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch	6	4.5	74%			4.5 / 6 (74%)
9th Sep '17	UFC 215	12	-12.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov	4	4.2	104%			4.2 / 4 (104%)

Winning Events: 15 (48%)
Losing Events: 16 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.96 units
Most Staked On One Event: 68.60 units
Best Event: 28.05 units
Worst Event: -27.88 units
Average Event: 1.78 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 30.30
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -42.91

AlwaysSoGrim : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	194.3	67.8	35%	5.0 / 20 (25%)	-61.6 / 85 (-72%)	124.3 / 89.3 (139%)	9 / 9 (50%)	3.76
2017	207.43	-12.7	-6%	-12.9 / 50.6 (-25%)	-8.0 / 106.26 (-8%)	8.1 / 50.57 (16%)	6 / 7 (46%)	-0.98

AlwaysSoGrim : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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AlwaysSoGrim : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	401.73	55.1	14%	-7.9 / 70.6 (-11%)	-69.5 / 191.26 (-36%)	132.5 / 139.87 (95%)

AlwaysSoGrim : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (25%)	2	100 %	16.00	7.11	3.56	44%
Slight Favorites	4 (50%)	1	25 %	35.00	-20.37	-5.09	-58%
Slight Underdogs	1 (13%)	1	100 %	10.00	15.00	15.00	150%
Big Underdogs	1 (13%)	0	0 %	9.60	-9.60	-9.60	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (88%)	4	57 %	61.00	1.74	0.25	3%
Co-Main Event	1 (13%)	0	0 %	9.60	-9.60	-9.60	-100%
Position 3-5	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
6+ (Undercard)	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

AlwaysSoGrim : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (13%)		0 %	9.60	-9.60	-9.60	-100%
Middleweight	2 (25%)	2	100 %	19.00	20.63	10.31	109%
Welterweight	2 (25%)		0 %	21.00	-21.00	-10.50	-100%
Lightweight	2 (25%)	2	100 %	16.00	7.11	3.56	44%

Women's Fights	1 (13%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (13%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	78 (44%)	60	77 %
Slight Favorites	62 (35%)	39	63 %
Slight Underdogs	28 (16%)	20	71 %
Big Underdogs	11 (6%)	6	55 %
	179	125	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	14 (8%)	7	50 %
50-65%	34 (20%)	23	68 %
35-50%	49 (29%)	27	55 %
<35% chance	73 (43%)	7	10 %
	170	64	38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	16 (9%)	10	63 %	1.47	2.10	1.29	-0.5 (-3%)
X Wins by Decision	23 (14%)	9	39 %	2.48	7.50	1.57	-2.3 (-10%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (2%)	2	67 %	2.33	2.80	2.15	1.3 (43%)
X Wins in Round X	49 (29%)	7	14 %	5.67	34.00	2.20	9.1 (19%)
Others	79 (46%)	36	46 %	2.69	41.00	1.14	-4.1 (-5%)
	170	64	38 %	2.86			3.6 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail AlwaysSoGrim 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov	4	4.2	104%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,041.68
9th Sep	UFC 215	12	-12.0	-100%		$10.42	$1,041.68	$916.68
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch	6	4.5	74%		$9.17	$916.68	$957.53
7th Oct	UFC 216	30.6	13.9	45%		$9.58	$957.53	$1,090.60
21st Oct	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	18.9	-0.2	-1%		$10.91	$1,090.60	$1,088.41
28th Oct	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	20.68	12.2	59%		$10.88	$1,088.41	$1,221.63
4th Nov	UFC 217	15.54	-0.8	-5%		$12.22	$1,221.63	$1,211.37
11th Nov	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	4.08	3.6	87%		$12.11	$1,211.37	$1,254.59
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	13.7	-13.7	-100%		$12.55	$1,254.59	$1,082.71
2nd Dec	UFC 218	42.72	-1.3	-3%		$10.83	$1,082.71	$1,068.27
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	27.88	-27.9	-100%		$10.68	$1,068.27	$770.44
16th Dec	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	8.08	8.2	101%		$7.70	$770.44	$833.47
31st Dec	UFC 219	3.25	-3.3	-100%		$8.33	$833.47	$806.38
20th Jan	UFC 220	68.6	27.8	41%		$8.06	$806.38	$1,030.78
27th Jan	UFC on Fox 27	10	-10.0	-100%		$10.31	$1,030.78	$927.70
10th Feb	UFC 221	21	28.1	134%		$9.28	$927.70	$1,187.96
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.88	$1,187.96	$1,176.08
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	13	10.8	83%		$11.76	$1,176.08	$1,303.36
3rd Mar	UFC 222	3.3	-3.3	-100%		$13.03	$1,303.36	$1,260.35
17th Mar	UFC Fight Night 127	7.9	-7.9	-100%		$12.60	$1,260.35	$1,160.78
7th Apr	UFC 223	6.2	-6.2	-100%		$11.61	$1,160.78	$1,088.81
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	17.1	12.6	74%		$10.89	$1,088.81	$1,225.86
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	3.8	0.0	1%		$12.26	$1,225.86	$1,226.47
12th May	UFC 224	0.1	-0.1	-100%		$12.26	$1,226.47	$1,225.24
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	10	-10.0	-100%		$12.25	$1,225.24	$1,102.72
9th Jun	UFC 225	0.8	-0.8	-100%		$11.03	$1,102.72	$1,093.90
7th Jul	UFC 226	0.5	20.8	4,153%		$10.94	$1,093.90	$1,321.04
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	6.4	8.5	133%		$13.21	$1,321.04	$1,433.45
4th Aug	UFC 227	3	1.0	34%		$14.33	$1,433.45	$1,448.15
6th Oct	UFC 229	15.2	-15.2	-100%		$14.48	$1,448.15	$1,228.03
8th Dec	UFC 231	6.4	12.6	197%		$12.28	$1,228.03	$1,383.04

ROI % from starting bank balance: 38.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

AlwaysSoGrim : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '18	Yoel Romero	Luke Rockhold	2.50	10	TKO, R3 (1:48)
2.	Oct '17	Derek Brunson	Lyoto Machida	1.63	9	TKO, R1 (2:30)
3.	Oct '17	Tony Ferguson	Kevin Lee	1.44	6	Sub, R3 (4:2)
4.	Oct '17	Tony Ferguson	Kevin Lee	1.44	10	Sub, R3 (4:2)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '18	Stephen Thompson	Darren Till	1.80	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Dec '17	Alistair Overeem	Francis Ngannou	3.00	9.6	TKO, R1 (1:42)	Yes
3.	Oct '17	Donald Cerrone	Darren Till	1.63	11	TKO, R1 (4:20)	Yes
4.	Sep '17	Valentina Shevchenko	Amanda Nunes	1.91	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

AlwaysSoGrim : Progress Chart

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