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MMA Handicapper Stats: AlwaysSoGrim

AlwaysSoGrim (Cynical Cunt)


MMA MHandicapper - AlwaysSoGrim

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 48 (27%) Right 4 (50%) Right 18 (18%) Right 26 (37%)
Wrong 132 (73%) Wrong 4 (50%) Wrong 84 (82%) Wrong 44 (63%)
Avg Odds 4.02 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 4.11 Avg Odds 4.53
Units Bet 401.7 Units Bet 70.6 Units Bet 191.3 Units Bet 139.9
Avg Bet 2.23 Avg Bet 8.83 Avg Bet 1.88 Avg Bet 2.00
Units Profit 55.07 Units Profit -7.86 Units Profit -69.53 Units Profit 132.46
ROI % 14% ROI % -11% ROI % -36% ROI % 95%
View Handicapper's Profile

AlwaysSoGrim : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 6.4 12.6 197% 4.0 / 0.4 (1,000%) 8.6 / 6 (144%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 15.2 -15.2 -100% -9.2 / 9.2 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 3 1.0 34% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) 2.2 / 1.8 (124%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 6.4 8.5 133% -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%) 9.9 / 5 (198%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 0.5 20.8 4,153% 20.8 / 0.5 (4,153%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 0.8 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 0.1 -0.1 -100% -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 3.8 0.0 1% 3.3 / 0.5 (670%) -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 17.1 12.6 74% 4.6 / 10.6 (43%) 8.0 / 6.5 (123%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 6.2 -6.2 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 7.9 -7.9 -100% -7.9 / 7.9 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 3.3 -3.3 -100% -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 13 10.8 83% -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%) 13.5 / 10.3 (131%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 21 28.1 134% 15.0 / 10 (150%) -5.7 / 5.7 (-100%) 18.8 / 5.3 (354%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 10 -10.0 -100% -4.1 / 4.1 (-100%) -5.9 / 5.9 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 68.6 27.8 41% -38.3 / 38.3 (-100%) 66.1 / 30.3 (218%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 3.25 -3.3 -100% -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%) -1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 8.08 8.2 101% -2.1 / 2.08 (-100%) 10.3 / 6 (171%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 27.88 -27.9 -100% -27.5 / 27.48 (-100%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 42.72 -1.3 -3% -9.6 / 9.6 (-100%) 8.5 / 26.88 (32%) -0.3 / 6.24 (-4%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 13.7 -13.7 -100% -12.7 / 12.7 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 4.08 3.6 87% 3.6 / 4.08 (87%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 15.54 -0.8 -5% 13.4 / 1.34 (997%) -14.2 / 14.2 (-100%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 20.68 12.2 59% 5.6 / 9 (63%) 0.2 / 10.28 (2%) 6.4 / 1.4 (457%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 18.9 -0.2 -1% -11.0 / 11 (-100%) 10.8 / 7.9 (137%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 30.6 13.9 45% 7.1 / 16 (44%) 5.8 / 13.2 (44%) 1.0 / 1.4 (72%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 6 4.5 74% 4.5 / 6 (74%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 12 -12.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 4 4.2 104% 4.2 / 4 (104%)


Winning Events: 15 (48%)
Losing Events: 16 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.96 units
Most Staked On One Event: 68.60 units
Best Event: 28.05 units
Worst Event: -27.88 units
Average Event: 1.78 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 30.30
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -42.91

AlwaysSoGrim : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 194.3 67.8 35% 5.0 / 20 (25%) -61.6 / 85 (-72%) 124.3 / 89.3 (139%) 9 / 9 (50%) 3.76
2017 207.43 -12.7 -6% -12.9 / 50.6 (-25%) -8.0 / 106.26 (-8%) 8.1 / 50.57 (16%) 6 / 7 (46%) -0.98

AlwaysSoGrim : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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AlwaysSoGrim : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 401.73 55.1 14% -7.9 / 70.6 (-11%) -69.5 / 191.26 (-36%) 132.5 / 139.87 (95%)

AlwaysSoGrim : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (25%) 2 100 % 16.00 7.11 3.56 44%
Slight Favorites 4 (50%) 1 25 % 35.00 -20.37 -5.09 -58%
Slight Underdogs 1 (13%) 1 100 % 10.00 15.00 15.00 150%
Big Underdogs 1 (13%) 0 0 % 9.60 -9.60 -9.60 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (88%) 4 57 % 61.00 1.74 0.25 3%
Co-Main Event 1 (13%) 0 0 % 9.60 -9.60 -9.60 -100%
Position 3-5 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%
6+ (Undercard) 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%

AlwaysSoGrim : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (13%) 0 % 9.60 -9.60 -9.60 -100%
Middleweight 2 (25%) 2 100 % 19.00 20.63 10.31 109%
Welterweight 2 (25%) 0 % 21.00 -21.00 -10.50 -100%
Lightweight 2 (25%) 2 100 % 16.00 7.11 3.56 44%
               
Women's Fights 1 (13%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (13%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 78 (44%) 60 77 %
Slight Favorites 62 (35%) 39 63 %
Slight Underdogs 28 (16%) 20 71 %
Big Underdogs 11 (6%) 6 55 %
179 125 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 14 (8%) 7 50 %
50-65% 34 (20%) 23 68 %
35-50% 49 (29%) 27 55 %
<35% chance 73 (43%) 7 10 %
170 64 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 16 (9%) 10 63 % 1.47 2.10Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct -0.5 (-3%)
X Wins by Decision 23 (14%) 9 39 % 2.48 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -2.3 (-10%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (2%) 2 67 % 2.33 2.80Pick was incorrect 2.15Pick was correct 1.3 (43%)
X Wins in Round X 49 (29%) 7 14 % 5.67 34.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was correct 9.1 (19%)
Others 79 (46%) 36 46 % 2.69 41.00Pick was incorrect 1.14Pick was correct -4.1 (-5%)
170 64 38 % 2.86     3.6 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail AlwaysSoGrim 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 4 4.2 104% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,041.68
9th Sep UFC 215 12 -12.0 -100% $10.42 $1,041.68 $916.68
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 6 4.5 74% $9.17 $916.68 $957.53
7th Oct UFC 216 30.6 13.9 45% $9.58 $957.53 $1,090.60
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 18.9 -0.2 -1% $10.91 $1,090.60 $1,088.41
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 20.68 12.2 59% $10.88 $1,088.41 $1,221.63
4th Nov UFC 217 15.54 -0.8 -5% $12.22 $1,221.63 $1,211.37
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 4.08 3.6 87% $12.11 $1,211.37 $1,254.59
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 13.7 -13.7 -100% $12.55 $1,254.59 $1,082.71
2nd Dec UFC 218 42.72 -1.3 -3% $10.83 $1,082.71 $1,068.27
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 27.88 -27.9 -100% $10.68 $1,068.27 $770.44
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 8.08 8.2 101% $7.70 $770.44 $833.47
31st Dec UFC 219 3.25 -3.3 -100% $8.33 $833.47 $806.38
20th Jan UFC 220 68.6 27.8 41% $8.06 $806.38 $1,030.78
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 10 -10.0 -100% $10.31 $1,030.78 $927.70
10th Feb UFC 221 21 28.1 134% $9.28 $927.70 $1,187.96
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 1 -1.0 -100% $11.88 $1,187.96 $1,176.08
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 13 10.8 83% $11.76 $1,176.08 $1,303.36
3rd Mar UFC 222 3.3 -3.3 -100% $13.03 $1,303.36 $1,260.35
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 7.9 -7.9 -100% $12.60 $1,260.35 $1,160.78
7th Apr UFC 223 6.2 -6.2 -100% $11.61 $1,160.78 $1,088.81
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 17.1 12.6 74% $10.89 $1,088.81 $1,225.86
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 3.8 0.0 1% $12.26 $1,225.86 $1,226.47
12th May UFC 224 0.1 -0.1 -100% $12.26 $1,226.47 $1,225.24
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 10 -10.0 -100% $12.25 $1,225.24 $1,102.72
9th Jun UFC 225 0.8 -0.8 -100% $11.03 $1,102.72 $1,093.90
7th Jul UFC 226 0.5 20.8 4,153% $10.94 $1,093.90 $1,321.04
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 6.4 8.5 133% $13.21 $1,321.04 $1,433.45
4th Aug UFC 227 3 1.0 34% $14.33 $1,433.45 $1,448.15
6th Oct UFC 229 15.2 -15.2 -100% $14.48 $1,448.15 $1,228.03
8th Dec UFC 231 6.4 12.6 197% $12.28 $1,228.03 $1,383.04


ROI % from starting bank balance: 38.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

AlwaysSoGrim : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '18 Yoel Romero Luke Rockhold 2.50 10 TKO, R3 (1:48) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '17 Derek Brunson Lyoto Machida 1.63 9 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '17 Tony Ferguson Kevin Lee 1.44 6 Sub, R3 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '17 Tony Ferguson Kevin Lee 1.44 10 Sub, R3 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 1.80 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '17 Alistair Overeem Francis Ngannou 3.00 9.6 TKO, R1 (1:42) Yes MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '17 Donald Cerrone Darren Till 1.63 11 TKO, R1 (4:20) Yes MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.91 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

AlwaysSoGrim : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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