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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1479
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 609

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Mystic Mac Predictions

Mystic Mac Predictions (NotoriousMoney)


MMA MHandicapper - Mystic Mac Predictions

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 25 (47%) Right 19 (51%) Right 6 (43%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 28 (53%) Wrong 18 (49%) Wrong 8 (57%) Wrong 2 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds 2.37 Avg Odds 5.17
Units Bet 184.0 Units Bet 134.5 Units Bet 42.5 Units Bet 7.0
Avg Bet 3.47 Avg Bet 3.64 Avg Bet 3.04 Avg Bet 3.50
Units Profit -17.12 Units Profit -10.21 Units Profit 0.09 Units Profit -7.00
ROI % -9% ROI % -8% ROI % 0% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 13 3.5 27% 5.5 / 11 (50%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 10 2.5 25% 3.5 / 9 (39%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 16 -1.6 -10% -1.6 / 16 (-10%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 27 -19.9 -74% -19.9 / 27 (-74%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 13 8.5 65% 8.5 / 13 (65%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 36 -4.3 -12% 1.5 / 15.5 (10%) -0.8 / 15.5 (-5%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 24 4.5 19% 2.5 / 11 (23%) 2.0 / 13 (15%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 17 1.5 9% -1.6 / 12 (-13%) 3.0 / 5 (61%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 15 1.2 8% -1.7 / 13 (-13%) 2.9 / 2 (145%)


Winning Events: 6 (55%)
Losing Events: 5 (45%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 29 -0.0 -0% 9.0 / 20 (45%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2 / 1 (67%) -0.01
2018 16 -1.6 -10% -1.6 / 16 (-10%) / 1 (0%) -1.56
2017 139 -15.5 -11% -17.6 / 98.5 (-18%) 7.1 / 35.5 (20%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 4 / 3 (57%) -2.22

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 184 -17.1 -9% -10.2 / 134.5 (-8%) 0.1 / 42.5 (0%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (32%) 8 67 % 57.00 -3.17 -0.26 -6%
Slight Favorites 11 (30%) 6 55 % 35.00 -4.31 -0.39 -12%
Slight Underdogs 7 (19%) 4 57 % 23.00 3.27 0.47 14%
Big Underdogs 7 (19%) 1 14 % 19.50 -6.00 -0.86 -31%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (22%) 2 25 % 28.50 -12.13 -1.52 -43%
Co-Main Event 5 (14%) 3 60 % 22.00 -1.25 -0.25 -6%
Position 3-5 12 (32%) 5 42 % 47.00 -17.11 -1.43 -36%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (32%) 9 75 % 37.00 20.27 1.69 55%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (8%) 2 67 % 19.00 -2.63 -0.88 -14%
Light Heavy 3 (8%) 1 33 % 6.00 -0.60 -0.20 -10%
Middleweight 4 (11%) 2 50 % 16.50 -1.13 -0.28 -7%
Welterweight 8 (22%) 4 50 % 22.00 -5.65 -0.71 -26%
Lightweight 8 (22%) 5 63 % 32.00 9.45 1.18 30%
Featherweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 4.00 1.10 0.55 27%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Flyweight 3 (8%) 2 67 % 9.00 0.97 0.32 11%
               
Women's Fights 5 (14%) 2 40 % 24.00 -9.73 -1.95 -41%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 7.00 0.78 0.78 11%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 10.00 -3.50 -1.75 -35%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (29%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 4 (57%) 2 50 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (14%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
7 5 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 6 (43%) 4 67 %
35-50% 3 (21%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 5 (36%) 0 0 %
14 6 43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (29%) 3 75 % 1.73 1.87Pick was correct 1.61Pick was correct 1.2 (30%)
Goes to Decision 1 (7%) 0 0 % 3.25 3.25Pick was incorrect 3.25Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (14%) 2 100 % 2.10 2.40Pick was correct 1.87Pick was incorrect 2.3 (113%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (21%) 0 0 % 3.18 4.00Pick was incorrect 2.70Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (14%) 0 0 % 2.15 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (7%) 0 0 % 17.00 17.00Pick was incorrect 17.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (7%) 1 100 % 2.45 2.45Pick was correct 2.45Pick was correct 1.5 (145%)
14 6 43 % 2.37     -2.1 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Jul UFC 214 15 1.2 8% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,012.26
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 17 1.5 9% $10.12 $1,012.26 $1,027.02
9th Sep UFC 215 24 4.5 19% $10.27 $1,027.02 $1,072.79
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 36 -4.3 -12% $10.73 $1,072.79 $1,027.10
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 13 8.5 65% $10.27 $1,027.10 $1,114.31
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 7 -7.0 -100% $11.14 $1,114.31 $1,036.31
31st Dec UFC 219 27 -19.9 -74% $10.36 $1,036.31 $829.91
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 16 -1.6 -10% $8.30 $829.91 $817.00
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 10 2.5 25% $8.17 $817.00 $837.26
9th Feb UFC 234 6 -6.0 -100% $8.37 $837.26 $787.03
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 13 3.5 27% $7.87 $787.03 $814.55


ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.55% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '19 Paul Felder James Vick 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Cynthia Calvillo Cortney Casey 1.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.62 1 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '19 Glover Teixeira Karl Roberson 1.80 3 Sub, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '19 Joseph Benavidez Dustin Ortiz 1.44 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '18 Thiago Santos Anthony Smith 1.33 5 TKO, R2 (1:3) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '18 Valentina Shevchenko Priscila Cachoeira 1.11 7 Sub, R2 (4:25) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '17 Matheus Nicolau Louis Smolka 1.42 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '17 Belal Muhammad Tim Means 2.85 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '17 Fabricio Werdum Marcin Tybura 1.29 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '17 Anthony Smith Hector Lombard 1.74 5 TKO, R3 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '17 Gilbert Burns Jason Saggo 1.67 5 TKO, R2 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '17 Kajan Johnson Adriano Martins 4.50 3 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '17 Mairbek Taisumov Felipe Silva 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (1:24) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '17 Alexander Volkov Stefan Struve 1.71 2 TKO, R3 (3:34) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '17 Brian Ortega Renato Moicano 2.55 2 Sub, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '17 Robbie Lawler Donald Cerrone 1.63 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '17 Tyron Woodley Demian Maia 1.49 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Bryan Barberena Vicente Luque 4.00 1 TKO, R3 (4:54) Yes MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 2 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '18 Eryk Anders Lyoto Machida 1.38 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '17 Holly Holm Cristiane Justino 3.90 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '17 Edson Barboza Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.35 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '17 Marc Diakiese Daniel Hooker 1.49 5 Sub, R3 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '17 Cynthia Calvillo Carla Esparza 1.38 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '17 Carlos Condit Neil Magny 1.61 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '17 Chase Sherman Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.15 7 TKO, R1 (1:24) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '17 Tony Martin Olivier Aubin-Mercier 1.87 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '17 David Branch Luke Rockhold 4.75 2.5 Sub, R2 (4:5) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '17 Neil Magny Rafael dos Anjos 2.55 3 Sub, R1 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.80 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '17 Bryan Barberena Leon Edwards 3.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '17 Daniel Cormier Jon Jones 3.10 1 TKO, R3 (3:1) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '17 Jimi Manuwa Volkan Oezdemir 1.63 2 TKO, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '17 Jason Knight Ricardo Lamas 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '17 Renan Barao Aljamain Sterling 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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