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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mark Negan

Mark Negan (NeganMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Mark Negan

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	57 (56%)	Right	33 (55%)	Right	2 (40%)	Right	22 (59%)
Wrong	45 (44%)	Wrong	27 (45%)	Wrong	3 (60%)	Wrong	15 (41%)
Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	1.93	Avg Odds	1.85	Avg Odds	2.18
Units Bet	271.0	Units Bet	213.3	Units Bet	8.0	Units Bet	49.8
Avg Bet	2.66	Avg Bet	3.55	Avg Bet	1.60	Avg Bet	1.35
Units Profit	3.09	Units Profit	-7.30	Units Profit	-3.58	Units Profit	13.97
ROI %	1%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-45%	ROI %	28%

Mark Negan : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	7	-3.2	-45%	-3.2 / 7 (-45%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	33.1	-13.7	-41%	-12.5 / 14.5 (-87%)	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)	1.1 / 16.4 (7%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	16.55	12.7	77%	5.4 / 8.55 (64%)	-1.3 / 4 (-33%)	8.6 / 4 (215%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	9.8	-0.6	-6%	1.4 / 7.8 (18%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	22.85	18.6	81%	8.7 / 13.25 (65%)	0.7 / 1 (72%)	9.2 / 8.6 (107%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	2.3	0.6	27%	0.6 / 2.3 (27%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	10.12	4.2	41%	3.6 / 5 (71%)		0.6 / 5.12 (12%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	6	3.4	57%	3.4 / 6 (57%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	25	-8.7	-35%	-8.7 / 25 (-35%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	10	0.6	6%	3.1 / 4.5 (69%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	-1.7 / 4.7 (-36%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	25	-10.1	-40%	-10.1 / 25 (-40%)
17th Feb '18	Bellator 194	5	1.0	20%	1.0 / 5 (20%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	25	1.8	7%	1.8 / 25 (7%)
4th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 125	22	17.2	78%	17.2 / 22 (78%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	1.5	0.9	60%			0.9 / 1.5 (60%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	9.8	0.1	1%	-0.1 / 5.35 (-2%)		0.2 / 4.45 (5%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	40	-21.8	-55%	-18.8 / 37 (-51%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 11 (65%)
Losing Events: 6 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.94 units
Most Staked On One Event: 40.00 units
Best Event: 18.61 units
Worst Event: -21.83 units
Average Event: 0.18 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 26.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -21.83

Mark Negan : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	231.02	24.9	11%	11.5 / 176.25 (7%)	-3.6 / 8 (-45%)	17.0 / 46.77 (36%)	11 / 5 (69%)	1.56
2017	40	-21.8	-55%	-18.8 / 37 (-51%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	0 / 1 (0%)	-21.83

Mark Negan : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mark Negan : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	266.02	2.1	1%	-8.3 / 208.25 (-4%)	-3.6 / 8 (-45%)	14.0 / 49.77 (28%)
Bellator	5	1.0	20%	1.0 / 5 (20%)

Mark Negan : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	14 (22%)	10	71 %	69.30	-14.28	-1.02	-21%
Slight Favorites	18 (28%)	10	56 %	84.95	-18.76	-1.04	-22%
Slight Underdogs	21 (33%)	11	52 %	42.65	12.93	0.62	30%
Big Underdogs	11 (17%)	5	45 %	16.35	12.80	1.16	78%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (14%)	5	56 %	33.80	-8.26	-0.92	-24%
Co-Main Event	13 (20%)	6	46 %	56.15	-20.11	-1.55	-36%
Position 3-5	18 (28%)	10	56 %	63.40	11.86	0.66	19%
6+ (Undercard)	24 (38%)	15	63 %	59.90	9.21	0.38	15%

Mark Negan : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (11%)	4	57 %	25.50	14.85	2.12	58%
Light Heavy	6 (9%)	4	67 %	26.30	-2.58	-0.43	-10%
Middleweight	5 (8%)	2	40 %	11.00	-6.05	-1.21	-55%
Welterweight	12 (19%)	7	58 %	33.55	-0.84	-0.07	-3%
Lightweight	15 (23%)	9	60 %	55.60	-8.77	-0.58	-16%
Featherweight	5 (8%)	1	20 %	18.40	-10.10	-2.02	-55%
Bantamweight	5 (8%)	2	40 %	17.50	-4.68	-0.94	-27%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	5.00	4.50	4.50	90%

Women's Fights	8 (13%)	6	75 %	20.40	6.38	0.80	31%
Featherweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.42	1.42	71%
Flyweight	3 (5%)	3	100 %	8.00	4.54	1.51	57%
Strawweight	4 (6%)	2	50 %	10.40	0.42	0.11	4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	52 (67%)	41	79 %
Slight Favorites	22 (28%)	17	77 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (4%)	2	67 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	1	100 %
	78	61	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (40%)	2	100 %
50-65%	2 (40%)	1	50 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	1 (20%)	0	0 %
	5	3	60 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (60%)	3	100 %	1.38	1.72	1.20	1.2 (41%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (40%)	0	0 %	2.53	3.75	1.91	-2.0 (-100%)
	5	3	60 %	1.69			-0.8 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mark Negan 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	40	-21.8	-55%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$781.70
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	9.8	0.1	1%		$7.82	$781.70	$782.79
20th Jan	UFC 220	1.5	0.9	60%		$7.83	$782.79	$789.89
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night 125	22	17.2	78%		$7.90	$789.89	$925.75
10th Feb	UFC 221	25	1.8	7%		$9.26	$925.75	$942.42
17th Feb	Bellator 194	5	1.0	20%		$9.42	$942.42	$951.84
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	25	-10.1	-40%		$9.52	$951.84	$855.89
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	10	0.6	6%		$8.56	$855.89	$861.02
3rd Mar	UFC 222	25	-8.7	-35%		$8.61	$861.02	$785.68
7th Apr	UFC 223	6	3.4	57%		$7.86	$785.68	$812.55
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	10.12	4.2	41%		$8.13	$812.55	$846.49
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	2.3	0.6	27%		$8.46	$846.49	$851.74
9th Jun	UFC 225	22.85	18.6	81%		$8.52	$851.74	$1,010.26
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	9.8	-0.6	-6%		$10.10	$1,010.26	$1,003.96
7th Jul	UFC 226	16.55	12.7	77%		$10.04	$1,003.96	$1,131.83
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	33.1	-13.7	-41%		$11.32	$1,131.83	$977.21
8th Sep	UFC 228	7	-3.2	-45%		$9.77	$977.21	$946.14

ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.39% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mark Negan : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '18	Jimmie Rivera	John Dodson	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '18	Andrew Sanchez	Markus Perez	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '18	Curtis Millender	Max Griffin	2.10	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '18	Luis Pena	Richie Smullen	1.61	5.7	Sub, R1 (3:32)
5.	Jul '18	Drakkar Klose	Lando Vannata	2.50	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '18	Daniel Hooker	Gilbert Burns	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (2:28)
7.	Jul '18	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	3.40	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:33)
8.	Jul '18	Drakkar Klose	Lando Vannata	2.63	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '18	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	1.50	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jun '18	Holly Holm	Megan Anderson	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jun '18	Colby Covington	Rafael dos Anjos	2.00	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Jun '18	Colby Covington	Rafael dos Anjos	2.10	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	May '18	Kamaru Usman	Demian Maia	1.27	2.3	U Decision (5 rounds)
14.	Apr '18	Dustin Poirier	Justin Gaethje	3.00	1	TKO, R4 (0:33)
15.	Apr '18	Lauren Mueller	Shana Dobson	5.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Apr '18	Alex Oliveira	Carlos Condit	1.53	2	Sub, R2 (3:17)
17.	Apr '18	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Felice Herrig	1.57	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '18	Andrei Arlovski	Stefan Struve	3.25	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Feb '18	Ilir Latifi	Ovince St Preux	2.05	2	Sub, R1 (3:48)
20.	Feb '18	Ilir Latifi	Ovince St Preux	2.10	1	Sub, R1 (3:48)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '18	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Jessica Andrade	4.50	2	TKO, R1 (1:58)	No
2.	Sep '18	Darren Till	Tyron Woodley	2.00	3	Sub, R2 (4:19)	No
3.	Aug '18	George Sullivan	Mickey Gall	4.00	0.5	Sub, R1 (1:11)	No
4.	Aug '18	James Vick	Justin Gaethje	1.71	7	TKO, R1 (1:27)	No
5.	Aug '18	Andre Fili	Michael Johnson	2.20	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '18	Luke Sanders	Rani Yahya	2.05	1	Sub, R1 (1:31)	No
7.	Aug '18	James Vick	Justin Gaethje	1.75	4	TKO, R1 (1:27)	No
8.	Jul '18	Francis Ngannou	Derrick Lewis	2.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '18	Joe Giannetti	Mike Trizano	1.67	2.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '18	Gokhan Saki	Khalil Rountree	3.00	1.3	TKO, R1 (1:36)	No
11.	Jun '18	Mike Santiago	Dan Ige	3.00	0.75	TKO, R1 (0:50)	No
12.	Jun '18	Andrei Arlovski	Tai Tuivasa	3.47	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '18	Ricky Rainey	Muslim Salikhov	2.75	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:12)	No
14.	Apr '18	Marvin Vettori	Israel Adesanya	2.25	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '18	Andre Soukhamthath	Sean O'Malley	1.77	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '18	Frankie Edgar	Brian Ortega	1.58	10	TKO, R1 (4:44)	No
17.	Feb '18	Albert Morales	Manny Bermudez	2.50	0.5	Sub, R2 (2:33)	No
18.	Feb '18	Derek Campos	Patricky Freire	3.10	2	TKO, R1 (2:23)	No
19.	Feb '18	Jared Gordon	Carlos Diego Ferreira	1.40	8	TKO, R1 (1:58)	No
20.	Feb '18	Marcin Tybura	Derrick Lewis	1.90	7	TKO, R3 (2:48)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mark Negan : Progress Chart

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