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Total MMA Handicappers: 1747
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 724

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The 30-26 Breakdown

The 30-26 Breakdown (30-26breakdown)


MMA MHandicapper - The 30-26 Breakdown

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 31 (48%) Right 19 (46%) Right 6 (46%) Right 6 (60%)
Wrong 33 (52%) Wrong 22 (54%) Wrong 7 (54%) Wrong 4 (40%)
Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 1.85
Units Bet 108.2 Units Bet 75.2 Units Bet 15.1 Units Bet 17.9
Avg Bet 1.69 Avg Bet 1.83 Avg Bet 1.16 Avg Bet 1.79
Units Profit -3.81 Units Profit -5.44 Units Profit -1.22 Units Profit 2.85
ROI % -4% ROI % -7% ROI % -8% ROI % 16%
View Handicapper's Profile

The 30-26 Breakdown: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 4.1 -4.1 -100% -4.1 / 4.1 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 3 -0.8 -26% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.2 / 1 (123%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 3.65 -1.7 -45% -0.7 / 2.65 (-25%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 7.7 -7.7 -100% -7.7 / 7.7 (-100%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 2 2.9 145% 2.9 / 2 (145%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 10.6 3.0 28% 4.0 / 9.6 (42%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 9.6 3.3 35% 4.3 / 8.6 (50%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 3.8 -0.0 -0% 2.8 / 1 (280%) -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 11.28 -6.3 -56% -3.5 / 8.5 (-41%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -2.4 / 2.38 (-100%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 7.1 -1.4 -20% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 2.1 / 3.6 (57%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 11.1 3.4 31% 4.9 / 9.6 (51%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 2.75 1.4 51% 1.0 / 1.6 (63%) 0.4 / 1.15 (36%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 2.5 0.0 0% 0.0 / 2.5 (0%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 2 2.3 115% 2.3 / 2 (115%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 2.35 2.0 85% 2.0 / 2.35 (85%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 4.01 -2.6 -65% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.6 / 2.01 (-31%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 1.35 -1.4 -100% -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 4.55 4.2 92% 3.0 / 3.55 (85%) 1.2 / 1 (118%)
15th Jan '17 UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 7.04 3.6 51% 1.6 / 5 (32%) 2.0 / 2.04 (99%)
17th Dec '16 UFC on Fox 22 5 -3.7 -73% -3.7 / 5 (-73%)
26th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 101 1.38 -1.4 -100% -1.3 / 1.28 (-100%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 9 (43%)
Losing Events: 12 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.09 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.28 units
Best Event: 4.18 units
Worst Event: -7.70 units
Average Event: -0.23 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 9.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -14.22

The 30-26 Breakdown: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2017 100.48 0.2 0% -0.5 / 68.9 (-1%) -1.2 / 15.06 (-8%) 1.9 / 16.52 (12%) 9 / 10 (47%) 0.01
2016 6.38 -5.0 -79% -4.9 / 6.28 (-79%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) 0 / 2 (0%) -2.52

The 30-26 Breakdown: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The 30-26 Breakdown: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 104.86 -7.7 -7% -8.3 / 73.18 (-11%) -1.2 / 15.06 (-8%) 1.8 / 16.62 (11%)
Bellator 2 2.9 145% 2.9 / 2 (145%)

The 30-26 Breakdown: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (27%) 7 64 % 35.90 -0.93 -0.08 -3%
Slight Favorites 12 (29%) 6 50 % 20.28 -1.53 -0.13 -8%
Slight Underdogs 12 (29%) 4 33 % 13.00 -3.75 -0.31 -29%
Big Underdogs 6 (15%) 2 33 % 6.00 0.77 0.13 13%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (17%) 2 29 % 10.95 -4.40 -0.63 -40%
Co-Main Event 9 (22%) 3 33 % 12.18 -3.28 -0.36 -27%
Position 3-5 13 (32%) 5 38 % 22.90 -3.43 -0.26 -15%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (29%) 9 75 % 29.15 5.67 0.47 19%

The 30-26 Breakdown: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (10%) 4 100 % 7.40 4.35 1.09 59%
Light Heavy 2 (5%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.20 0.10 10%
Middleweight 7 (17%) 2 29 % 11.38 -7.28 -1.04 -64%
Welterweight 7 (17%) 3 43 % 11.10 -1.13 -0.16 -10%
Lightweight 8 (20%) 4 50 % 21.05 -1.45 -0.18 -7%
Featherweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 8.60 4.00 2.00 47%
Bantamweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 2.35 -0.00 -0.00 -0%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.97 0.49 49%
               
Women's Fights 7 (17%) 1 14 % 9.30 -5.10 -0.73 -55%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.20 2.00 2.00 91%
Strawweight 5 (12%) 0 % 5.10 -5.10 -1.02 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 12 (100%) 8 67 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
12 8 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 10 (48%) 9 90 %
50-65% 3 (14%) 2 67 %
35-50% 5 (24%) 2 40 %
<35% chance 3 (14%) 0 0 %
21 13 62 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 14 (67%) 12 86 % 1.51 2.20Pick was correct 1.32Pick was correct 4.5 (32%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (19%) 1 25 % 2.08 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct -2.4 (-61%)
X Wins by KO 1 (5%) 0 0 % 6.50 6.50Pick was incorrect 6.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (10%) 0 0 % 15.44 19.00Pick was incorrect 13.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
21 13 62 % 1.83     -0.9 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The 30-26 Breakdown's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
26th Nov UFC Fight Night 101 1.38 -1.4 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $986.20
17th Dec UFC on Fox 22 5 -3.7 -73% $9.86 $986.20 $950.20
15th Jan UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 7.04 3.6 51% $9.50 $950.20 $984.63
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 4.55 4.2 92% $9.85 $984.63 $1,025.74
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 1.35 -1.4 -100% $10.26 $1,025.74 $1,011.90
11th Feb UFC 208 4.01 -2.6 -65% $10.12 $1,011.90 $985.32
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 2.35 2.0 85% $9.85 $985.32 $1,005.04
4th Mar UFC 209 2 2.3 115% $10.05 $1,005.04 $1,028.16
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 2.5 0.0 0% $10.28 $1,028.16 $1,028.16
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 2.75 1.4 51% $10.28 $1,028.16 $1,042.66
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 11.1 3.4 31% $5 $10.43 $1,042.66 $1,073.35
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 7.1 -1.4 -20% $10.73 $1,073.35 $1,057.79
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 11.28 -6.3 -56% $10.58 $1,057.79 $991.36
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 3.8 -0.0 -0% $9.91 $991.36 $991.36
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 9.6 3.3 35% $9.91 $991.36 $1,024.28
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 10.6 3.0 28% $10.24 $1,024.28 $1,055.00
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 2 2.9 145% $10.55 $1,055.00 $1,085.60
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 7.7 -7.7 -100% $10.86 $1,085.60 $1,002.01
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 3.65 -1.7 -45% $10.02 $1,002.01 $985.47
8th Jul UFC 213 3 -0.8 -26% $9.85 $985.47 $977.85
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 4.1 -4.1 -100% $9.78 $977.85 $937.76


ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The 30-26 Breakdown: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '17 Brad Tavares Elias Theodorou 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '17 Douglas Lima Lorenz Larkin 2.70 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '17 Ryan Bader Phil Davis 2.20 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '17 Marcin Tybura Andrei Arlovski 1.42 2.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '17 Marcin Tybura Andrei Arlovski 1.42 2.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '17 Jon Tuck Takanori Gomi 1.42 4.8 Sub, R1 (1:12) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '17 Mark Hunt Derrick Lewis 2.35 1 TKO, R4 (3:51) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '17 Ben Nguyen Tim Elliott 2.97 1 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '17 Alex Volkanovski Mizuto Hirota 1.36 5.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '17 Damir Hadzovic Marcin Held 3.80 1 TKO, R3 (0:7) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. May '17 Frankie Edgar Yair Rodriguez 1.67 3 TKO, R2 (5:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '17 Paid Pick Gregor Gillespie Andrew Holbrook 1.44 4.5 TKO, R1 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '17 Gegard Mousasi Chris Weidman 1.91 1.1 TKO, R2 (3:13) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '17 Kamaru Usman Sean Strickland 1.48 4 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '17 Timothy Johnson Daniel Omielanczuk 1.63 1.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '17 Kevin Lee Francisco Trinaldo 1.67 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:12) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '17 Raphael Assuncao Aljamain Sterling 1.74 1.35 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup
18. Jan '17 Valentina Shevchenko Julianna Pena 1.91 2.2 Sub, R2 (4:29) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '16 Colby Covington Bryan Barberena 1.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '17 Gunnar Nelson Santiago Ponzinibbio 1.48 2.1 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '17 Albert Morales Brett Johns 4.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '17 Joanne Calderwood Cynthia Calvillo 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '17 Jim Miller Anthony Pettis 2.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '17 Yoel Romero Robert Whittaker 2.05 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '17 Michael Johnson Justin Gaethje 1.61 1.65 TKO, R2 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '17 Michael Chiesa Kevin Lee 2.15 1 Sub, R1 (4:37) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '17 Justine Kish Felice Herrig 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '17 Erik Koch Clay Guida 1.36 5.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '17 Daniel Kelly Derek Brunson 3.25 1 TKO, R1 (1:16) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '17 Krzysztof Jotko David Branch 1.57 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. May '17 Jessica Andrade Joanna Jedrzejczyk 2.35 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. May '17 Jorge Masvidal Demian Maia 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '17 Michelle Waterson Rose Namajunas 2.15 1 Sub, R2 (2:47) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '17 Ronaldo Souza Robert Whittaker 1.40 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:28) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '17 Jussier Formiga Ray Borg 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '17 Holly Holm Germaine de Randamie 2.05 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '16 Luis Henrique da Silva Paul Craig 1.01 1 Sub, R2 (1:59) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '16 Mike Perry Alan Jouban 1.78 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '16 Sage Northcutt Mickey Gall 2.26 1 Sub, R2 (1:40) No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The 30-26 Breakdown: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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