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Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1822

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Merlin

MMA Merlin (MMAMERLIN)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MMA Merlin

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 28 (41%) Right 23 (47%) Right 3 (100%) Right 2 (13%)
Wrong 40 (59%) Wrong 26 (53%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 14 (88%)
Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 2.41 Avg Odds 5.53
Units Bet 393.8 Units Bet 302.0 Units Bet 19.0 Units Bet 72.8
Avg Bet 5.79 Avg Bet 6.16 Avg Bet 6.33 Avg Bet 4.55
Units Profit -59.61 Units Profit -44.60 Units Profit 27.17 Units Profit -42.18
ROI % -15% ROI % -15% ROI % 143% ROI % -58%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMA Merlin : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Dec '16 UFC on Fox 22 99.1 -81.7 -82% -59.6 / 77 (-77%) -22.1 / 22.1 (-100%)
10th Dec '16 UFC 206 76.5 31.6 41% 3.3 / 50 (7%) 27.2 / 19 (143%) 1.1 / 7.5 (15%)
3rd Dec '16 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale 67 -25.9 -39% -7.9 / 49 (-16%) -18.0 / 18 (-100%)
26th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 101 46 37.2 81% 20.2 / 41 (49%) 17.0 / 5 (340%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 62.1 -12.4 -20% -2.3 / 52 (-4%) -10.1 / 10.1 (-100%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 17.1 -7.9 -46% -7.8 / 17 (-46%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
12th Nov '16 UFC 205 - New York City 26 -0.6 -2% 9.4 / 16 (59%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)


Winning Events: 2 (29%)
Losing Events: 5 (71%)

Average Staked Per Event: 56.26 units
Most Staked On One Event: 99.10 units
Best Event: 37.25 units
Worst Event: -81.72 units
Average Event: -8.52 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 37.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -81.72

MMA Merlin : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 0.0 nan% / (nan%) nan
2016 393.8 -59.6 -15% -44.6 / 302 (-15%) 27.2 / 19 (143%) -42.2 / 72.8 (-58%) 2 / 5 (29%) -8.52

MMA Merlin : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Merlin : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 393.8 -59.6 -15% -44.6 / 302 (-15%) 27.2 / 19 (143%) -42.2 / 72.8 (-58%)

MMA Merlin : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (12%) 5 83 % 16.00 2.26 0.38 14%
Slight Favorites 15 (31%) 6 40 % 111.00 -38.63 -2.58 -35%
Slight Underdogs 23 (47%) 11 48 % 148.00 15.76 0.69 11%
Big Underdogs 5 (10%) 1 20 % 27.00 -24.00 -4.80 -89%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (6%) 2 67 % 14.00 -8.39 -2.80 -60%
Co-Main Event 5 (10%) 3 60 % 40.00 -6.08 -1.22 -15%
Position 3-5 10 (20%) 4 40 % 53.00 -31.20 -3.12 -59%
6+ (Undercard) 31 (63%) 14 45 % 195.00 1.07 0.03 1%

MMA Merlin : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (6%) 0 % 8.00 -8.00 -2.67 -100%
Light Heavy 4 (8%) 2 50 % 32.00 -5.48 -1.37 -17%
Middleweight 6 (12%) 4 67 % 22.00 18.26 3.04 83%
Welterweight 7 (14%) 1 14 % 59.00 -41.75 -5.96 -71%
Lightweight 9 (18%) 6 67 % 50.00 -4.72 -0.52 -9%
Featherweight 4 (8%) 3 75 % 25.00 3.23 0.81 13%
Bantamweight 5 (10%) 4 80 % 39.00 34.48 6.90 88%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 10.00 -10.00 -10.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 10 (20%) 3 30 % 57.00 -30.62 -3.06 -54%
Bantamweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 13.00 -8.00 -2.00 -62%
Strawweight 6 (12%) 2 33 % 44.00 -22.62 -3.77 -51%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (5%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 10 (24%) 6 60 %
Slight Underdogs 23 (56%) 8 35 %
Big Underdogs 6 (15%) 0 0 %
41 16 39 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 1 (33%) 1 100 %
35-50% 1 (33%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 1 (33%) 1 100 %
3 3 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (33%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.00Pick was correct 2.00Pick was correct 1.0 (100%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (33%) 1 100 % 1.83 1.83Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 0.8 (83%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (33%) 1 100 % 5.00 5.00Pick was correct 5.00Pick was correct 4.0 (400%)
3 3 100 % 2.41     5.8 (194%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Merlin 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Nov UFC 205 - New York City 26 -0.6 -2% $10.00 $1,000.00 $994.49
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 17.1 -7.9 -46% $9.94 $994.49 $915.74
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 62.1 -12.4 -20% $10 $9.16 $915.74 $792.19
26th Nov UFC Fight Night 101 46 37.2 81% $7.92 $792.19 $1,087.25
3rd Dec UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale 67 -25.9 -39% $10.87 $1,087.25 $805.65
10th Dec UFC 206 76.5 31.6 41% $8.06 $805.65 $1,060.49
17th Dec UFC on Fox 22 99.1 -81.7 -82% $10.60 $1,060.49 $193.86


ROI % from starting bank balance: -80.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Merlin : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '16 Eddie Wineland Takeya Mizugaki 1.58 11 TKO, R1 (3:4)
2. Dec '16 Matthew Lopez Mitch Gagnon 2.06 11 U Decision (3 rounds)
3. Dec '16 Lando Vannata John Makdessi 1.61 10 TKO, R1 (1:40)
4. Dec '16 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Drew Dober 1.62 9 Sub, R2 (2:57)
5. Dec '16 Devin Clark Josh Stansbury 2.02 11 U Decision (3 rounds)
6. Dec '16 Jamie Moyle Kailin Curran 2.36 8 U Decision (3 rounds)
7. Nov '16 Marlon Vera Ning Guangyou 2.00 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '16 Jonathan Meunier Richard Walsh 1.72 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '16 Robert Whittaker Derek Brunson 2.20 10 TKO, R1 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '16 Darren Stewart Francimar Barroso 2.15 2 TKO, R1 (1:34)
11. Nov '16 Thomas Almeida Albert Morales 1.35 6 TKO, R2 (1:37)
12. Nov '16 Krzysztof Jotko Thales Leites 2.26 5 U Decision (3 rounds)
13. Nov '16 Pedro Munhoz Justin Scoggins 2.60 10 Sub, R2 (1:55)
14. Nov '16 Artem Lobov Teruto Ishihara 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '16 Stevie Ray Ross Pearson 1.91 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '16 Gegard Mousasi Urijah Hall 1.18 2 TKO, R1 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '16 Khabib Nurmagomedov Michael Johnson 1.36 2 Sub, R3 (2:31) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '16 Raquel Pennington Miesha Tate 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '16 Frankie Edgar Jeremy Stephens 1.29 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '16 Tim Boetsch Rafael Natal 2.30 2 TKO, R1 (3:22) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '16 Bojan Velickovic Sultan Aliev 1.67 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No
2. Dec '16 Scott Holtzman Josh Emmett 2.55 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No
3. Dec '16 Cole Miller Mizuto Hirota 2.00 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No
4. Dec '16 Mike Perry Alan Jouban 1.80 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No
5. Dec '16 Sage Northcutt Mickey Gall 2.35 11 Sub, R2 (1:40) No
6. Dec '16 Paige VanZant Michelle Waterson 2.00 11 Sub, R1 (3:21) No
7. Dec '16 Nikita Krylov Misha Cirkunov 1.88 9 Sub, R1 (4:38) No
8. Dec '16 Valerie Letourneau Viviane Pereira 1.57 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No
9. Dec '16 Alexis Davis Sara McMann 2.67 8 Sub, R2 (2:52) No
10. Dec '16 Gray Maynard Ryan Hall 1.88 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No
11. Dec '16 Jake Ellenberger Jorge Masvidal 2.80 11 TKO, R1 (4:5) No
12. Nov '16 Geane Herrera Ben Nguyen 1.72 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '16 Christian Colombo Luis Henrique 3.20 5 Sub, R3 (2:12) No
14. Nov '16 Zak Ottow Sergio Moraes 2.85 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No
15. Nov '16 Cortney Casey Claudia Gadelha 3.98 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No
16. Nov '16 Rogerio Nogueira Ryan Bader 3.65 10 TKO, R3 (3:51) No
17. Nov '16 Kwan Ho Kwak Brett Johns 2.88 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '16 Milana Dudieva Marion Reneau 2.80 2 TKO, R3 (3:3) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '16 Alexander Yakovlev Zak Cummings 2.50 1 Sub, R2 (4:2) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '16 Mark Godbeer Justin Ledet 2.25 1 Sub, R1 (2:16) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Merlin : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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