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MMA Handicapper Stats: Don Papa

Don Papa (bart1110)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Don Papa

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 25 (48%) Right 22 (52%) Right 2 (22%) Right 1 (100%)
Wrong 27 (52%) Wrong 20 (48%) Wrong 7 (78%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.09 Avg Odds 2.22
Units Bet 150.0 Units Bet 129.0 Units Bet 20.0 Units Bet 1.0
Avg Bet 2.88 Avg Bet 3.07 Avg Bet 2.22 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit -9.34 Units Profit -2.61 Units Profit -7.94 Units Profit 1.22
ROI % -6% ROI % -2% ROI % -40% ROI % 122%
View Handicapper's Profile

Don Papa: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 10 0.2 2% 4.2 / 6 (70%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 22 -9.0 -41% -9.0 / 22 (-41%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 10 -10.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 2 1.2 61% 1.2 / 2 (61%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 5 4.3 86% 4.3 / 5 (86%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 2 1.2 61% 1.2 / 2 (61%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 5 -0.4 -7% -0.4 / 5 (-7%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 4 2.1 53% 2.1 / 4 (53%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 2 1.1 55% 2.1 / 1 (210%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 5 5.5 109% 4.2 / 4 (106%) 1.2 / 1 (122%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 3 2.2 72% 2.2 / 3 (72%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 1 1.5 155% 1.5 / 1 (155%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Jul '17 DWTNF 3 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 3 4.8 160% 4.8 / 3 (160%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 3 3.9 130% 3.9 / 3 (130%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 4 3.8 96% 3.8 / 4 (96%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 13 0.5 4% 3.5 / 10 (35%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 8 3.2 40% 3.2 / 8 (40%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 11 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 9 (-0%) 0.0 / 2 (0%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 7 6.4 92% 6.4 / 7 (92%)


Winning Events: 15 (52%)
Losing Events: 14 (48%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.00 units
Best Event: 6.44 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -0.32 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 16.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.00

Don Papa: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 32 -8.8 -27% -4.8 / 28 (-17%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 1 / 1 (50%) -4.40
2018 45 -18.5 -41% -12.5 / 39 (-32%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 4 / 7 (36%) -1.68
2017 75 18.0 24% 14.7 / 62 (24%) 2.1 / 12 (17%) 1.2 / 1 (122%) 10 / 6 (63%) 1.12

Don Papa: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Don Papa: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 148 -8.6 -6% -1.8 / 125 (-1%) -7.9 / 22 (-36%) 1.2 / 1 (122%)
Bellator 2 1.2 61% 1.2 / 2 (61%)
Other 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Don Papa: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (14%) 5 83 % 32.00 1.75 0.29 5%
Slight Favorites 18 (43%) 9 50 % 56.00 -5.20 -0.29 -9%
Slight Underdogs 10 (24%) 6 60 % 23.00 2.74 0.27 12%
Big Underdogs 8 (19%) 2 25 % 18.00 -1.90 -0.24 -11%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (29%) 5 42 % 36.00 -5.00 -0.42 -14%
Co-Main Event 11 (26%) 5 45 % 43.00 -9.95 -0.90 -23%
Position 3-5 10 (24%) 4 40 % 25.00 -6.29 -0.63 -25%
6+ (Undercard) 9 (21%) 8 89 % 25.00 18.63 2.07 75%

Don Papa: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (10%) 2 50 % 9.00 -1.18 -0.29 -13%
Light Heavy 1 (2%) 1 100 % 8.00 3.20 3.20 40%
Middleweight 8 (19%) 4 50 % 24.00 1.36 0.17 6%
Welterweight 12 (29%) 6 50 % 35.00 0.61 0.05 2%
Lightweight 3 (7%) 2 67 % 4.00 2.73 0.91 68%
Featherweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 11.00 -2.00 -0.67 -18%
Bantamweight 3 (7%) 2 67 % 10.00 0.82 0.27 8%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 10.00 -6.76 -3.38 -68%
               
Women's Fights 6 (14%) 3 50 % 18.00 -1.39 -0.23 -8%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Strawweight 5 (12%) 3 60 % 15.00 1.61 0.32 11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 3 (100%) 3 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
3 3 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (10%) 0 0 %
50-65% 4 (40%) 1 25 %
35-50% 2 (20%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 3 (30%) 0 0 %
10 2 20 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.47 1.47Pick was incorrect 1.47Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.95 1.95Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.62 1.62Pick was incorrect 1.62Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.84 1.84Pick was incorrect 1.84Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 6 (60%) 2 33 % 2.68 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct -1.0 (-16%)
10 2 20 % 2.18     -5.0 (-50%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Don Papa's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 7 6.4 92% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,064.36
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 11 -0.0 -0% $10.64 $1,064.36 $1,064.36
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 8 3.2 40% $10.64 $1,064.36 $1,098.42
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 13 0.5 4% $10.98 $1,098.42 $1,104.02
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 4 3.8 96% $11.04 $1,104.02 $1,146.41
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 3 3.9 130% $11.46 $1,146.41 $1,191.13
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 3 4.8 160% $11.91 $1,191.13 $1,248.30
25th Jul DWTNF 3 2 -2.0 -100% $12.48 $1,248.30 $1,223.33
29th Jul UFC 214 3 -3.0 -100% $12.23 $1,223.33 $1,186.63
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 1 1.5 155% $11.87 $1,186.63 $1,205.02
9th Sep UFC 215 3 -3.0 -100% $12.05 $1,205.02 $1,168.87
7th Oct UFC 216 3 2.2 72% $11.69 $1,168.87 $1,194.12
4th Nov UFC 217 4 -4.0 -100% $11.94 $1,194.12 $1,146.36
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 5 5.5 109% $11.46 $1,146.36 $1,208.92
2nd Dec UFC 218 3 -3.0 -100% $12.09 $1,208.92 $1,172.65
31st Dec UFC 219 2 1.1 55% $11.73 $1,172.65 $1,185.55
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 4 -4.0 -100% $11.86 $1,185.55 $1,138.13
7th Apr UFC 223 4 -4.0 -100% $11.38 $1,138.13 $1,092.61
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 4 2.1 53% $10.93 $1,092.61 $1,115.77
12th May UFC 224 5 -0.4 -7% $11.16 $1,115.77 $1,111.75
12th May Bellator 199 2 1.2 61% $11.12 $1,111.75 $1,125.32
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 3 -3.0 -100% $11.25 $1,125.32 $1,091.56
9th Jun UFC 225 2 -2.0 -100% $10.92 $1,091.56 $1,069.73
7th Jul UFC 226 5 4.3 86% $10.70 $1,069.73 $1,115.83
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 2 1.2 61% $11.16 $1,115.83 $1,129.44
4th Aug UFC 227 10 -10.0 -100% $11.29 $1,129.44 $1,016.50
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 4 -4.0 -100% $10.16 $1,016.50 $975.84
2nd Mar UFC 235 22 -9.0 -41% $9.76 $975.84 $888.01
13th Apr UFC 236 10 0.2 2% $8.88 $888.01 $889.79


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Don Papa: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.70 6 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.25 4 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '18 Junior dos Santos Blagoy Ivanov 1.61 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '18 Drakkar Klose Lando Vannata 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '18 Raphael Assuncao Rob Font 1.69 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '18 Jon Fitch Paul Daley 1.61 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '18 Jack Hermansson Thales Leites 1.72 1 TKO, R3 (2:10) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '18 Warlley Alves Sultan Aliev 1.46 2 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '18 Alex Oliveira Carlos Condit 1.53 4 Sub, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '17 Carla Esparza Cynthia Calvillo 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '17 Marlon Moraes John Dodson 2.03 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '17 Dustin Poirier Anthony Pettis 2.09 2 TKO, R3 (2:8) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '17 Niko Price Alan Jouban 2.55 1 TKO, R1 (1:44) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '17 Santiago Ponzinibbio Gunnar Nelson 2.60 3 TKO, R1 (1:22) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '17 Mark Hunt Derrick Lewis 2.30 2 TKO, R4 (3:51) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '17 John Moraga Ashkan Mokhtarian 1.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '17 Claudia Gadelha Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.40 3 Sub, R1 (3:3) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '17 Claudia Gadelha Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.33 7 Sub, R1 (3:3) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. May '17 Alexander Gustafsson Glover Teixeira 1.40 8 TKO, R5 (1:7) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. May '17 Frankie Edgar Yair Rodriguez 1.80 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Jeremy Stephens Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.05 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Robbie Lawler Ben Askren 3.57 4 Sub, R1 (3:20) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.76 4 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.70 6 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '18 Mark Hunt Aleksei Oleinik 1.83 4 Sub, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '18 Demetrious Johnson Henry Cejudo 1.22 8 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '18 Rafael dos Anjos Colby Covington 2.15 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 1.91 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '18 Ronaldo Souza Kelvin Gastelum 1.78 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '18 Amanda Cooper Mackenzie Dern 3.12 1 Sub, R1 (2:27) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Rose Namajunas 2.00 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '18 Al Iaquinta Khabib Nurmagomedov 8.00 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '17 Alistair Overeem Francis Ngannou 2.95 1 TKO, R1 (1:42) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '17 Jose Aldo Max Holloway 3.50 2 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '17 Michael Bisping Georges St-Pierre 2.06 4 Sub, R3 (4:23) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.91 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '17 Donald Cerrone Robbie Lawler 2.35 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '17 Ryan Spann Karl Roberson 1.68 2 TKO, R1 (0:15) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. May '17 Jorge Masvidal Demian Maia 1.90 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. May '17 Krzysztof Jotko David Branch 1.67 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Don Papa: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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