MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Don Papa

Don Papa (bart1110)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	23 (46%)	Right	20 (50%)	Right	2 (22%)	Right	1 (100%)
Wrong	27 (54%)	Wrong	20 (50%)	Wrong	7 (78%)	Wrong	0 (0%)
Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	2.09	Avg Odds	2.22
Units Bet	150.0	Units Bet	129.0	Units Bet	20.0	Units Bet	1.0
Avg Bet	3.00	Avg Bet	3.23	Avg Bet	2.22	Avg Bet	1.00
Units Profit	-9.34	Units Profit	-2.61	Units Profit	-7.94	Units Profit	1.22
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-40%	ROI %	122%

Don Papa: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	10	0.2	2%	4.2 / 6 (70%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	22	-9.0	-41%	-9.0 / 22 (-41%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	10	-10.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	2	1.2	61%	1.2 / 2 (61%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	5	4.3	86%	4.3 / 5 (86%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th May '18	Bellator 199	2	1.2	61%	1.2 / 2 (61%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	5	-0.4	-7%	-0.4 / 5 (-7%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	4	2.1	53%	2.1 / 4 (53%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	4	-4.0	-100%		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	2	1.1	55%	2.1 / 1 (210%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	5	5.5	109%	4.2 / 4 (106%)		1.2 / 1 (122%)
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
7th Oct '17	UFC 216	3	2.2	72%		2.2 / 3 (72%)
9th Sep '17	UFC 215	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Aug '17	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	1	1.5	155%	1.5 / 1 (155%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Jul '17	DWTNF 3	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	3	4.8	160%	4.8 / 3 (160%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	3	3.9	130%		3.9 / 3 (130%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	4	3.8	96%	3.8 / 4 (96%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	13	0.5	4%	3.5 / 10 (35%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	8	3.2	40%	3.2 / 8 (40%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	11	-0.0	-0%	-0.0 / 9 (-0%)	0.0 / 2 (0%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	7	6.4	92%	6.4 / 7 (92%)

Winning Events: 15 (52%)
Losing Events: 14 (48%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.00 units
Best Event: 6.44 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -0.32 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 22.69
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.00

Don Papa: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	32	-8.8	-27%	-4.8 / 28 (-17%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)		1 / 1 (50%)	-4.40
2018	45	-18.5	-41%	-12.5 / 39 (-32%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)		4 / 7 (36%)	-1.68
2017	75	18.0	24%	14.7 / 62 (24%)	2.1 / 12 (17%)	1.2 / 1 (122%)	10 / 6 (63%)	1.12

Don Papa: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Don Papa: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	148	-8.6	-6%	-1.8 / 125 (-1%)	-7.9 / 22 (-36%)	1.2 / 1 (122%)
Bellator	2	1.2	61%	1.2 / 2 (61%)
Other	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Don Papa: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (14%)	5	83 %	32.00	1.75	0.29	5%
Slight Favorites	18 (43%)	9	50 %	56.00	-5.20	-0.29	-9%
Slight Underdogs	10 (24%)	6	60 %	23.00	2.74	0.27	12%
Big Underdogs	8 (19%)	2	25 %	18.00	-1.90	-0.24	-11%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (29%)	5	42 %	36.00	-5.00	-0.42	-14%
Co-Main Event	11 (26%)	5	45 %	43.00	-9.95	-0.90	-23%
Position 3-5	10 (24%)	4	40 %	25.00	-6.29	-0.63	-25%
6+ (Undercard)	9 (21%)	8	89 %	25.00	18.63	2.07	75%

Don Papa: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (10%)	2	50 %	9.00	-1.18	-0.29	-13%
Light Heavy	1 (2%)	1	100 %	8.00	3.20	3.20	40%
Middleweight	8 (19%)	4	50 %	24.00	1.36	0.17	6%
Welterweight	12 (29%)	6	50 %	35.00	0.61	0.05	2%
Lightweight	3 (7%)	2	67 %	4.00	2.73	0.91	68%
Featherweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	11.00	-2.00	-0.67	-18%
Bantamweight	3 (7%)	2	67 %	10.00	0.82	0.27	8%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	10.00	-6.76	-3.38	-68%

Women's Fights	6 (14%)	3	50 %	18.00	-1.39	-0.23	-8%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Strawweight	5 (12%)	3	60 %	15.00	1.61	0.32	11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	3 (100%)	3	100 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	3	100 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (10%)	0	0 %
50-65%	4 (40%)	1	25 %
35-50%	2 (20%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	3 (30%)	0	0 %
	10	2	20 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision	1 (10%)	0	0 %	1.47	1.47	1.47	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (10%)	0	0 %	1.95	1.95	1.95	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (10%)	0	0 %	1.62	1.62	1.62	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (10%)	0	0 %	1.84	1.84	1.84	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	6 (60%)	2	33 %	2.68	5.50	1.72	-1.0 (-16%)
	10	2	20 %	2.18			-5.0 (-50%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Don Papa's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	7	6.4	92%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,064.36
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	11	-0.0	-0%		$10.64	$1,064.36	$1,064.36
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	8	3.2	40%		$10.64	$1,064.36	$1,098.42
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	13	0.5	4%		$10.98	$1,098.42	$1,104.02
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	4	3.8	96%		$11.04	$1,104.02	$1,146.41
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	3	3.9	130%		$11.46	$1,146.41	$1,191.13
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	3	4.8	160%		$11.91	$1,191.13	$1,248.30
25th Jul	DWTNF 3	2	-2.0	-100%		$12.48	$1,248.30	$1,223.33
29th Jul	UFC 214	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.23	$1,223.33	$1,186.63
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	1	1.5	155%		$11.87	$1,186.63	$1,205.02
9th Sep	UFC 215	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.05	$1,205.02	$1,168.87
7th Oct	UFC 216	3	2.2	72%		$11.69	$1,168.87	$1,194.12
4th Nov	UFC 217	4	-4.0	-100%		$11.94	$1,194.12	$1,146.36
11th Nov	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	5	5.5	109%		$11.46	$1,146.36	$1,208.92
2nd Dec	UFC 218	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.09	$1,208.92	$1,172.65
31st Dec	UFC 219	2	1.1	55%		$11.73	$1,172.65	$1,185.55
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	4	-4.0	-100%		$11.86	$1,185.55	$1,138.13
7th Apr	UFC 223	4	-4.0	-100%		$11.38	$1,138.13	$1,092.61
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	4	2.1	53%		$10.93	$1,092.61	$1,115.77
12th May	UFC 224	5	-0.4	-7%		$11.16	$1,115.77	$1,111.75
12th May	Bellator 199	2	1.2	61%		$11.12	$1,111.75	$1,125.32
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.25	$1,125.32	$1,091.56
9th Jun	UFC 225	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.92	$1,091.56	$1,069.73
7th Jul	UFC 226	5	4.3	86%		$10.70	$1,069.73	$1,115.83
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	2	1.2	61%		$11.16	$1,115.83	$1,129.44
4th Aug	UFC 227	10	-10.0	-100%		$11.29	$1,129.44	$1,016.50
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.16	$1,016.50	$975.84
2nd Mar	UFC 235	22	-9.0	-41%		$9.76	$975.84	$888.01
13th Apr	UFC 236	10	0.2	2%		$8.88	$888.01	$889.79

ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Don Papa: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '19	Israel Adesanya	Kelvin Gastelum	1.70	6	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Mar '19	Diego Sanchez	Mickey Gall	3.25	4	TKO, R2 (4:13)
3.	Jul '18	Junior dos Santos	Blagoy Ivanov	1.61	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Jul '18	Drakkar Klose	Lando Vannata	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '18	Raphael Assuncao	Rob Font	1.69	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '18	Jon Fitch	Paul Daley	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '18	Jack Hermansson	Thales Leites	1.72	1	TKO, R3 (2:10)
8.	May '18	Warlley Alves	Sultan Aliev	1.46	2	TKO, R2 (5:0)
9.	Apr '18	Alex Oliveira	Carlos Condit	1.53	4	Sub, R2 (3:17)
10.	Dec '17	Carla Esparza	Cynthia Calvillo	3.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Nov '17	Marlon Moraes	John Dodson	2.03	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Nov '17	Dustin Poirier	Anthony Pettis	2.09	2	TKO, R3 (2:8)
13.	Aug '17	Niko Price	Alan Jouban	2.55	1	TKO, R1 (1:44)
14.	Jul '17	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Gunnar Nelson	2.60	3	TKO, R1 (1:22)
15.	Jun '17	Mark Hunt	Derrick Lewis	2.30	2	TKO, R4 (3:51)
16.	Jun '17	John Moraga	Ashkan Mokhtarian	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '17	Claudia Gadelha	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	1.40	3	Sub, R1 (3:3)
18.	Jun '17	Claudia Gadelha	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	1.33	7	Sub, R1 (3:3)
19.	May '17	Alexander Gustafsson	Glover Teixeira	1.40	8	TKO, R5 (1:7)
20.	May '17	Frankie Edgar	Yair Rodriguez	1.80	5	TKO, R2 (5:0)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '19	Jeremy Stephens	Zabit Magomedsharipov	3.05	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '19	Robbie Lawler	Ben Askren	3.57	4	Sub, R1 (3:20)	No
3.	Mar '19	Cody Garbrandt	Pedro Munhoz	1.76	4	TKO, R1 (4:52)	No
4.	Mar '19	Tyron Woodley	Kamaru Usman	1.70	6	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Sep '18	Mark Hunt	Aleksei Oleinik	1.83	4	Sub, R1 (4:26)	No
6.	Aug '18	Demetrious Johnson	Henry Cejudo	1.22	8	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Jun '18	Rafael dos Anjos	Colby Covington	2.15	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	May '18	Stephen Thompson	Darren Till	1.91	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	May '18	Ronaldo Souza	Kelvin Gastelum	1.78	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	May '18	Amanda Cooper	Mackenzie Dern	3.12	1	Sub, R1 (2:27)	No
11.	Apr '18	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Rose Namajunas	2.00	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '18	Al Iaquinta	Khabib Nurmagomedov	8.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '17	Alistair Overeem	Francis Ngannou	2.95	1	TKO, R1 (1:42)	No
14.	Dec '17	Jose Aldo	Max Holloway	3.50	2	TKO, R3 (4:51)	No
15.	Nov '17	Michael Bisping	Georges St-Pierre	2.06	4	Sub, R3 (4:23)	No
16.	Sep '17	Valentina Shevchenko	Amanda Nunes	1.91	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '17	Donald Cerrone	Robbie Lawler	2.35	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jul '17	Ryan Spann	Karl Roberson	1.68	2	TKO, R1 (0:15)	No
19.	May '17	Jorge Masvidal	Demian Maia	1.90	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	May '17	Krzysztof Jotko	David Branch	1.67	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Don Papa: Progress Chart

Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event