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MMA Handicapper Stats: Matthew Couture

Matthew Couture (casm9757)

MMA MHandicapper - Matthew Couture

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	18 (45%)	Right	17 (49%)	Right	1 (25%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	22 (55%)	Wrong	18 (51%)	Wrong	3 (75%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	2.33	Avg Odds	1.37
Units Bet	88.1	Units Bet	77.6	Units Bet	8.5	Units Bet	2.0
Avg Bet	2.20	Avg Bet	2.22	Avg Bet	2.13	Avg Bet	2.00
Units Profit	-22.56	Units Profit	-13.39	Units Profit	-7.17	Units Profit	-2.00
ROI %	-26%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-84%	ROI %	-100%

Matthew Couture: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	4	-1.6	-40%	-1.6 / 4 (-40%)
18th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Mar '17	UFC 209	0.6	-0.2	-32%	-0.2 / 0.6 (-32%)
11th Feb '17	UFC 208	0.5	0.7	130%	0.7 / 0.5 (130%)
4th Feb '17	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	0.5	0.8	150%	0.8 / 0.5 (150%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	1.5	1.0	67%	1.5 / 1 (150%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Dec '16	UFC on Fox 22	6	-4.0	-67%	-4.0 / 6 (-67%)
10th Dec '16	UFC 206	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Dec '16	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	10.5	1.9	18%	1.9 / 10.5 (18%)
12th Nov '16	UFC 205 - New York City	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Nov '16	UFC Mexico City	12	1.8	15%	7.8 / 6 (130%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
8th Oct '16	UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
1st Oct '16	UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson	21	-5.5	-26%	-5.5 / 21 (-26%)
24th Sep '16	UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia	7	-3.2	-46%	-1.5 / 4 (-38%)	0.3 / 1 (33%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Sep '16	UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem	2	0.5	25%	0.5 / 2 (25%)
27th Aug '16	UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia	1	0.4	45%	0.4 / 1 (45%)
20th Aug '16	UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2	2	-0.4	-22%	-0.4 / 2 (-22%)
6th Aug '16	UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres	1	0.5	54%	0.5 / 1 (54%)
9th Jul '16	UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Jul '16	UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Apr '16	UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Apr '16	UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb	1	1.3	125%	1.3 / 1 (125%)
17th Jan '16	UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz	0.5	0.5	105%	0.5 / 0.5 (105%)

Winning Events: 10 (40%)
Losing Events: 15 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.52 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.00 units
Best Event: 1.90 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -0.90 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 2.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -18.69

Matthew Couture: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	9.1	-1.4	-15%	-0.9 / 8.6 (-10%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		3 / 5 (38%)	-0.17
2016	79	-21.2	-27%	-12.5 / 69 (-18%)	-6.7 / 8 (-83%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	7 / 10 (41%)	-1.25

Matthew Couture: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Matthew Couture: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	88.1	-22.6	-26%	-13.4 / 77.6 (-17%)	-7.2 / 8.5 (-84%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Matthew Couture: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (23%)	4	50 %	23.50	-6.07	-0.76	-26%
Slight Favorites	5 (14%)	2	40 %	14.00	-10.91	-2.18	-78%
Slight Underdogs	15 (43%)	9	60 %	26.50	1.28	0.09	5%
Big Underdogs	7 (20%)	2	29 %	13.60	2.31	0.33	17%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (31%)	5	45 %	33.00	-4.47	-0.41	-14%
Co-Main Event	8 (23%)	5	63 %	18.60	2.51	0.31	13%
Position 3-5	11 (31%)	7	64 %	21.00	-6.43	-0.58	-31%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (14%)	0	0 %	5.00	-5.00	-1.00	-100%

Matthew Couture: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (17%)	2	33 %	10.50	-5.77	-0.96	-55%
Light Heavy	4 (11%)	2	50 %	4.50	-1.55	-0.39	-34%
Middleweight	8 (23%)	3	38 %	13.00	-7.81	-0.98	-60%
Welterweight	6 (17%)	3	50 %	10.00	-3.10	-0.52	-31%
Lightweight	3 (9%)	3	100 %	11.10	18.61	6.20	168%
Featherweight	4 (11%)	2	50 %	3.00	-0.30	-0.08	-10%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	10.50	-9.47	-4.74	-90%
Flyweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	15.00	-4.00	-2.00	-27%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	2 (100%)	1	50 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	2	1	50 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (25%)	1	100 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	2 (50%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (25%)	0	0 %
	4	1	25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (25%)	0	0 %	2.70	2.70	2.70	-1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (25%)	0	0 %	2.35	2.35	2.35	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (25%)	1	100 %	1.33	1.33	1.33	0.3 (33%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (25%)	0	0 %	6.00	6.00	6.00	-1.0 (-100%)
	4	1	25 %	2.33			-2.7 (-67%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Matthew Couture's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
17th Jan	UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz	0.5	0.5	105%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,005.25
10th Apr	UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb	1	1.3	125%		$10.05	$1,005.25	$1,017.82
16th Apr	UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.18	$1,017.82	$1,007.64
7th Jul	UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.08	$1,007.64	$997.56
9th Jul	UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.98	$997.56	$987.59
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres	1	0.5	54%		$9.88	$987.59	$992.92
20th Aug	UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2	2	-0.4	-22%		$9.93	$992.92	$988.45
27th Aug	UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia	1	0.4	45%		$9.88	$988.45	$992.90
10th Sep	UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem	2	0.5	25%		$9.93	$992.90	$997.86
24th Sep	UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia	7	-3.2	-46%		$9.98	$997.86	$966.03
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson	21	-5.5	-26%		$9.66	$966.03	$912.90
8th Oct	UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2	10	-10.0	-100%		$9.13	$912.90	$821.61
5th Nov	UFC Mexico City	12	1.8	15%		$8.22	$821.61	$836.40
12th Nov	UFC 205 - New York City	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.36	$836.40	$828.04
3rd Dec	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	10.5	1.9	18%		$8.28	$828.04	$843.77
10th Dec	UFC 206	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.44	$843.77	$835.33
17th Dec	UFC on Fox 22	6	-4.0	-67%		$8.35	$835.33	$801.92
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	1.5	1.0	67%		$8.02	$801.92	$809.94
4th Feb	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	0.5	0.8	150%		$8.10	$809.94	$816.01
11th Feb	UFC 208	0.5	0.7	130%		$8.16	$816.01	$821.31
4th Mar	UFC 209	0.6	-0.2	-32%		$8.21	$821.31	$819.75
18th Mar	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.20	$819.75	$811.56
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	4	-1.6	-40%		$8.12	$811.56	$798.57
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$7.99	$798.57	$794.58
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$7.95	$794.58	$790.61

ROI % from starting bank balance: -20.94% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Matthew Couture: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '17	Thiago Alves	Patrick Cote	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '17	David Teymur	Lando Vannata	4.10	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '17	Anderson Silva	Derek Brunson	2.30	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '17	Chan Sung Jung	Dennis Bermudez	2.50	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:49)
5.	Jan '17	Jorge Masvidal	Donald Cerrone	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (1:0)
6.	Dec '16	Alan Jouban	Mike Perry	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '16	Jared Cannonier	Ion Cutelaba	2.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '16	Demetrious Johnson	Tim Elliott	1.10	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Nov '16	Tony Ferguson	Rafael dos Anjos	2.30	6	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Oct '16	Alex Oliveira	Will Brooks	3.10	5	TKO, R3 (3:30)
11.	Sep '16	Roy Nelson	Antonio Silva	1.24	2	TKO, R2 (4:10)
12.	Sep '16	Mickey Gall	Phil Brooks	1.25	2	Sub, R1 (2:14)
13.	Aug '16	Anthony Pettis	Charles Oliveira	1.45	1	Sub, R3 (1:49)
14.	Aug '16	Anthony Johnson	Glover Teixeira	1.55	1	TKO, R1 (0:13)
15.	Aug '16	Thales Leites	Chris Camozzi	1.54	1	Sub, R3 (2:58)
16.	Apr '16	Francis Ngannou	Curtis Blaydes	2.25	1	TKO, R2 (5:0)
17.	Jan '16	Dominick Cruz	T.J. Dillashaw	2.05	0.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '17	Artem Lobov	Cub Swanson	5.50	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '17	Sean Strickland	Kamaru Usman	3.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '17	Anthony Johnson	Daniel Cormier	2.00	2	Sub, R2 (3:37)	No
4.	May '17	Junior dos Santos	Stipe Miocic	2.62	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:22)	No
5.	Mar '17	Corey Anderson	Jimi Manuwa	2.25	1	TKO, R1 (3:5)	No
6.	Mar '17	Rashad Evans	Daniel Kelly	1.43	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '16	Sage Northcutt	Mickey Gall	2.15	5	Sub, R2 (1:40)	No
8.	Dec '16	Anthony Pettis	Max Holloway	2.70	1	TKO, R3 (4:50)	No
9.	Oct '16	Daniel Omielanczuk	Stefan Struve	2.62	5	Sub, R2 (1:41)	No
10.	Oct '16	Vitor Belfort	Gegard Mousasi	3.50	5	TKO, R2 (2:43)	No
11.	Oct '16	Cody East	Curtis Blaydes	2.95	1	TKO, R2 (2:2)	No
12.	Oct '16	Louis Smolka	Brandon Moreno	1.25	5	Sub, R1 (2:23)	No
13.	Oct '16	John Dodson	John Lineker	1.80	10	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Sep '16	Thiago Santos	Eric Spicely	1.19	2	Sub, R1 (2:58)	No
15.	Aug '16	Neil Magny	Lorenz Larkin	1.71	1	TKO, R1 (4:8)	No
16.	Jul '16	Thiago Santos	Gegard Mousasi	3.15	1	TKO, R1 (4:32)	No
17.	Jul '16	Roy Nelson	Derrick Lewis	1.95	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '16	Oluwale Bamgbose	Cezar Ferreira	1.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Matthew Couture: Progress Chart

Chart

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