MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Balazs Pal

Balazs Pal (chrm)

MMA MHandicapper - Balazs Pal

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	75 (37%)	Right	39 (54%)	Right	19 (29%)	Right	17 (27%)
Wrong	126 (63%)	Wrong	33 (46%)	Wrong	46 (71%)	Wrong	47 (73%)
Avg Odds	2.48	Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	2.83	Avg Odds	2.63
Units Bet	340.6	Units Bet	145.5	Units Bet	74.8	Units Bet	120.4
Avg Bet	1.69	Avg Bet	2.02	Avg Bet	1.15	Avg Bet	1.88
Units Profit	-28.53	Units Profit	26.62	Units Profit	-16.20	Units Profit	-38.95
ROI %	-8%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	-22%	ROI %	-32%

Balazs Pal: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th May '16	UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic	5.25	-0.7	-14%	1.0 / 3.5 (30%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
8th May '16	UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski	4.5	-0.8	-17%			-0.8 / 4.5 (-17%)
23rd Apr '16	UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux	5.5	-3.6	-65%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.1 / 3 (-36%)
16th Apr '16	UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans	6	-3.7	-62%		-0.7 / 3 (-23%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Apr '16	UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb	11.75	-2.6	-22%	-0.8 / 5 (-15%)	1.1 / 3.75 (31%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Mar '16	UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir	8	-0.9	-11%	1.6 / 2 (79%)	-1.2 / 2.5 (-47%)	-1.3 / 3.5 (-37%)
5th Mar '16	UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz	11.5	3.8	33%	2.6 / 1 (263%)	0.0 / 4.5 (0%)	1.2 / 6 (20%)
27th Feb '16	UFC Fight Night 84 - Silva vs. Bisping	20	5.3	26%	8.7 / 8 (109%)	1.3 / 3 (44%)	-4.8 / 9 (-53%)
21st Feb '16	UFC Fight Night 82 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira	14	7.0	50%	0.7 / 5 (14%)	4.1 / 6 (68%)	2.2 / 3 (74%)
6th Feb '16	UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson	16	-10.2	-64%	2.8 / 3 (92%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
30th Jan '16	UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader	18	1.4	8%	0.4 / 9 (5%)	-0.1 / 3 (-4%)	1.1 / 6 (19%)
17th Jan '16	UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz	10	2.4	24%		-1.1 / 5 (-23%)	3.5 / 5 (70%)
2nd Jan '16	UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit	18	-7.9	-44%	-0.9 / 11 (-8%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Dec '15	UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2	16	-4.5	-28%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	3.5 / 4 (87%)	-5.0 / 9 (-56%)
12th Dec '15	UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor	20.5	3.4	17%	1.7 / 13 (13%)		1.7 / 7.5 (23%)
12th Dec '15	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale	7	-7.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Dec '15	UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas	2	5.7	284%		2.2 / 1 (215%)	3.5 / 1 (353%)
28th Nov '15	UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal	12	18.2	151%	7.5 / 3 (250%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	11.7 / 8 (146%)
21st Nov '15	UFC Fight Night 78 - Magny vs. Gastelum	10	2.3	23%	5.3 / 7 (76%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th Nov '15	UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Nov '15	UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3	18	-1.7	-9%	0.3 / 16 (2%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Oct '15	UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson	12.5	-2.8	-22%	-0.4 / 7 (-6%)	0.6 / 2.5 (26%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Sep '15	UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson	8	-4.1	-51%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-3.1 / 7 (-44%)
19th Sep '15	Bellator 142 - Dynamite	10	1.0	10%	1.0 / 10 (10%)
5th Sep '15	UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2	18.1	-9.4	-52%	-4.0 / 10 (-40%)	-2.3 / 5 (-46%)	-3.1 / 3.1 (-100%)
23rd Aug '15	UFC Fight Night 74 - Holloway vs. Oliveira	11	4.4	40%	4.8 / 7 (68%)	-0.3 / 4 (-8%)
8th Aug '15	UFC Fight Night - St. Preux vs. Teixeira	11	1.2	11%	6.2 / 6 (103%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
1st Aug '15	UFC 190 - Rousey vs. Correia	13	-10.6	-82%	-4.6 / 7 (-66%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
25th Jul '15	UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2	18	-9.3	-52%	1.5 / 3 (50%)	0.2 / 4 (5%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)

Winning Events: 12 (41%)
Losing Events: 17 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.74 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.50 units
Best Event: 18.15 units
Worst Event: -10.62 units
Average Event: -0.98 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 26.12
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -19.92

Balazs Pal: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2016	148.5	-10.4	-7%	15.3 / 48.5 (31%)	-8.1 / 42.25 (-19%)	-17.7 / 57.75 (-31%)	5 / 8 (38%)	-0.80
2015	192.1	-18.1	-9%	11.4 / 97 (12%)	-8.2 / 32.5 (-25%)	-21.3 / 62.6 (-34%)	7 / 9 (44%)	-1.13

Balazs Pal: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Balazs Pal: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	330.6	-29.6	-9%	25.6 / 135.5 (19%)	-16.2 / 74.75 (-22%)	-39.0 / 120.35 (-32%)
Bellator	10	1.0	10%	1.0 / 10 (10%)

Balazs Pal: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	14 (19%)	12	86 %	46.00	6.53	0.47	14%
Slight Favorites	12 (17%)	8	67 %	22.00	6.07	0.51	28%
Slight Underdogs	26 (36%)	12	46 %	46.00	-0.54	-0.02	-1%
Big Underdogs	20 (28%)	7	35 %	31.50	14.56	0.73	46%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (15%)	5	45 %	27.00	1.99	0.18	7%
Co-Main Event	7 (10%)	6	86 %	15.00	11.71	1.67	78%
Position 3-5	21 (29%)	12	57 %	45.50	10.76	0.51	24%
6+ (Undercard)	33 (46%)	16	48 %	58.00	2.17	0.07	4%

Balazs Pal: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (8%)	4	67 %	9.00	0.98	0.16	11%
Light Heavy	9 (13%)	6	67 %	24.00	4.56	0.51	19%
Middleweight	9 (13%)	6	67 %	18.00	15.01	1.67	83%
Welterweight	15 (21%)	8	53 %	23.50	6.19	0.41	26%
Lightweight	13 (18%)	6	46 %	35.00	-3.53	-0.27	-10%
Featherweight	6 (8%)	1	17 %	12.00	-7.59	-1.26	-63%
Bantamweight	7 (10%)	4	57 %	13.00	6.16	0.88	47%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	2	50 %	6.00	0.58	0.14	10%

Women's Fights	3 (4%)	2	67 %	5.00	4.25	1.42	85%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	3.00	3.39	1.69	113%
Strawweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.00	0.86	0.86	43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	69 (59%)	47	68 %
Slight Favorites	28 (24%)	8	29 %
Slight Underdogs	18 (16%)	11	61 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	1	100 %
	116	67	58 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (9%)	5	63 %
50-65%	19 (21%)	11	58 %
35-50%	26 (29%)	8	31 %
<35% chance	36 (40%)	7	19 %
	89	31	35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (3%)	3	100 %	1.39	1.44	1.35	1.2 (39%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (2%)	0	0 %	1.58	1.66	1.50	-2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.65	1.65	1.65	0.7 (65%)
X Wins by KO	9 (10%)	1	11 %	2.86	10.00	1.36	-7.0 (-78%)
X Wins by Decision	16 (18%)	9	56 %	2.82	7.00	1.73	12.3 (77%)
X Wins Inside Distance	54 (61%)	17	31 %	2.50	8.00	1.34	-16.3 (-30%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (4%)	0	0 %	2.94	8.00	2.20	-4.0 (-100%)
	89	31	35 %	2.49			-15.3 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Balazs Pal's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Jul	UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2	18	-9.3	-52%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$906.98
1st Aug	UFC 190 - Rousey vs. Correia	13	-10.6	-82%	$5	$9.07	$906.98	$805.66
8th Aug	UFC Fight Night - St. Preux vs. Teixeira	11	1.2	11%	$5	$8.06	$805.66	$810.41
23rd Aug	UFC Fight Night 74 - Holloway vs. Oliveira	11	4.4	40%		$8.10	$810.41	$846.46
5th Sep	UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2	18.1	-9.4	-52%		$8.46	$846.46	$766.74
19th Sep	Bellator 142 - Dynamite	10	1.0	10%		$7.67	$766.74	$774.71
26th Sep	UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson	8	-4.1	-51%		$7.75	$774.71	$743.10
3rd Oct	UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson	12.5	-2.8	-22%		$7.43	$743.10	$722.60
7th Nov	UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3	18	-1.7	-9%		$7.23	$722.60	$710.65
14th Nov	UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm	5	-5.0	-100%		$7.11	$710.65	$675.12
21st Nov	UFC Fight Night 78 - Magny vs. Gastelum	10	2.3	23%		$6.75	$675.12	$690.56
28th Nov	UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal	12	18.2	151%		$6.91	$690.56	$815.91
10th Dec	UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas	2	5.7	284%		$8.16	$815.91	$862.27
12th Dec	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale	7	-7.0	-100%		$8.62	$862.27	$801.91
12th Dec	UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor	20.5	3.4	17%		$8.02	$801.91	$829.41
19th Dec	UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2	16	-4.5	-28%		$8.29	$829.41	$792.09
2nd Jan	UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit	18	-7.9	-44%		$7.92	$792.09	$729.76
17th Jan	UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz	10	2.4	24%		$7.30	$729.76	$747.17
30th Jan	UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader	18	1.4	8%		$7.47	$747.17	$757.87
6th Feb	UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson	16	-10.2	-64%		$7.58	$757.87	$680.31
21st Feb	UFC Fight Night 82 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira	14	7.0	50%		$6.80	$680.31	$728.09
27th Feb	UFC Fight Night 84 - Silva vs. Bisping	20	5.3	26%		$7.28	$728.09	$766.42
5th Mar	UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz	11.5	3.8	33%		$7.66	$766.42	$795.68
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir	8	-0.9	-11%		$7.96	$795.68	$788.58
10th Apr	UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb	11.75	-2.6	-22%		$7.89	$788.58	$768.08
16th Apr	UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans	6	-3.7	-62%		$7.68	$768.08	$739.66
23rd Apr	UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux	5.5	-3.6	-65%		$7.40	$739.66	$713.18
8th May	UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski	4.5	-0.8	-17%		$7.13	$713.18	$707.61
14th May	UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic	5.25	-0.7	-14%		$7.08	$707.61	$702.58

ROI % from starting bank balance: -29.74% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Balazs Pal: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '16	Bryan Barberena	Warlley Alves	4.18	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '16	Stipe Miocic	Fabricio Werdum	2.45	1	TKO, R1 (2:47)
3.	Apr '16	Jared Cannonier	Cyril Asker	1.69	1	TKO, R1 (2:44)
4.	Apr '16	Timothy Johnson	Marcin Tybura	2.56	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '16	Neil Magny	Hector Lombard	1.79	2	TKO, R3 (0:46)
6.	Mar '16	Siyar Bahadurzada	Brandon Thatch	3.63	1	Sub, R3 (4:11)
7.	Feb '16	Brad Pickett	Francisco Rivera	2.91	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '16	Michael Bisping	Anderson Silva	3.64	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Feb '16	Sean Strickland	Alex Garcia	1.90	3	TKO, R3 (4:25)
10.	Feb '16	Mike Pyle	Sean Spencer	2.49	1	TKO, R3 (4:25)
11.	Feb '16	Roy Nelson	Jared Rosholt	1.64	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jan '16	Rafael Natal	Kevin Casey	1.63	2	TKO, R3 (3:37)
13.	Jan '16	Tarec Saffiedine	Jake Ellenberger	1.45	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jan '16	Jimmie Rivera	Yuri Alcantara	1.63	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jan '16	Justine Kish	Nina Nunes	1.43	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jan '16	Dustin Poirier	Joseph Duffy	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jan '16	Albert Tumenov	Lorenz Larkin	1.49	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Dec '15	Luke Rockhold	Chris Weidman	2.43	3	TKO, R4 (3:12)
19.	Dec '15	Yoel Romero	Ronaldo Souza	2.48	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '15	Tae Hyun Bang	Leo Kuntz	3.50	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '16	Rob Font	John Lineker	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '16	Matt Brown	Demian Maia	3.50	1	Sub, R3 (4:31)	No
3.	Apr '16	Andre Fili	Yair Rodriguez	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (2:15)	No
4.	Apr '16	Robert Whiteford	Lucas Martins	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '16	Curtis Blaydes	Francis Ngannou	2.09	2	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
6.	Feb '16	Jarjis Danho	Daniel Omielanczuk	1.81	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '16	Thales Leites	Gegard Mousasi	3.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '16	Shane Campbell	James Krause	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '16	Matt Dwyer	Randy Brown	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '16	Dustin Ortiz	Wilson Reis	1.49	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jan '16	Tony Sims	Abel Trujillo	1.77	1	Sub, R1 (3:18)	No
12.	Jan '16	Diego Brandao	Brian Ortega	2.75	1	Sub, R3 (1:37)	No
13.	Jan '16	Carlos Condit	Robbie Lawler	2.05	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '15	Donald Cerrone	Rafael dos Anjos	2.86	3	TKO, R1 (1:6)	No
15.	Dec '15	Frankie Saenz	Urijah Faber	5.72	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '15	Chad Mendes	Frankie Edgar	2.48	5	TKO, R1 (2:28)	No
17.	Dec '15	Gunnar Nelson	Demian Maia	2.33	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Dec '15	Marcio Alexandre Jr.	Court McGee	2.64	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Dec '15	John Makdessi	Yancy Medeiros	1.62	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Nov '15	Efrain Escudero	Leandro Silva	2.23	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Balazs Pal: Progress Chart

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