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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz

Boston
2016-01-17 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 7
$10 on all favourites nets: $-43.20
$10 on all underdogs nets: $52.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 2.25. Profit: 2.99
Total Unit Profit: 2.99

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-42.30 (4 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $20.50 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $44.10 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $58.46 (7 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile T.J. Dillashaw vs Dominick Cruz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
43%
40 (49)%
 
41 (51)%
52%
 
48%
47%
 
53%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#13 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@1.74 Suggested Bet: 2.25 units on Dominick Cruz: Returned 2.99 Units   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $13.3 #13 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $17.1 #9 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $15.2

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Pettis vs Eddie Alvarez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
24%
78 (94)%
 
5 (6)%
96%
 
4%
66%
 
34%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #12 Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.10
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $-1.43 #13 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $48.7

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Travis Browne vs Matt Mitrione Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
55 (77)%
 
16 (23)%
81%
 
19%
59%
 
41%
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8
LOST
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.35
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #8 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #8 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $1.97

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francisco Trinaldo vs Ross Pearson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
58%
10 (36)%
 
18 (64)%
36%
 
64%
58%
 
42%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #6
LOST
@2.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.71
$10 Bet Profit: $13.5 #6 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $21.21 #6 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $19.29

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Patrick Cote vs Ben Saunders Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
53%
21 (48)%
 
23 (52)%
50%
 
50%
73%
 
27%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #5
LOST
@2.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.87
$10 Bet Profit: $11 #5 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $18.85 #5 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $18.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Boetsch vs Ed Herman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
32 (76)%
 
10 (24)%
78%
 
22%
67%
 
33%
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #9
WON
@1.48 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $-11.43 #10 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $-4.29

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mehdi Baghdad vs Chris Wade Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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24%
   
78%
4 (20)%
 
16 (80)%
22%
 
78%
27%
 
73%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.28
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #11 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $1.6 #12 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $-7.14

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Maximo Blanco vs Luke Sanders Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
49%
13 (93)%
 
1 (7)%
94%
 
6%
70%
 
30%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #4
WON
@1.89 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.05
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $-14.29 #4 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $-12.86

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Paul Felder vs Daron Cruickshank Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
31%
26 (76)%
 
8 (24)%
74%
 
26%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7
LOST
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #7 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $3.51 #7 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $0.59

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sean O'Connell vs Ilir Latifi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
72%
6 (23)%
 
20 (77)%
24%
 
76%
32%
 
68%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #2 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.34 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.39
$10 Bet Profit: $3.9 #2 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $2.78 #2 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $-5.71

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Charles Rosa vs Kyle Bochniak Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
31%
0 (0)%
 
1 (100)%
0%
 
100%
0%
 
100%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Fantastic Pick Rating
LOST
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.21
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #1 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $0 #1 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $-18.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rob Font vs Joey Gomez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
34%
8 (53)%
 
7 (47)%
52%
 
48%
61%
 
39%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #3 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #3 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $2.14 #3 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francimar Barroso vs Elvis Mutapcic Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
60%
5 (42)%
 
7 (58)%
45%
 
55%
47%
 
53%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Fair #10 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.66
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $-2.86 #11 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $12.43


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Dominick Cruz vs T.J. Dillashaw (@2.33) 53%   2.25   2.99   2.99   $0.00   $0.00 133%
Average Odds: @2.33   2.25 2.99 2.99   $0.00 $0.00 133.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 $18.57 $24.70
 
NA
#2 Patrick Cote Ben Saunders $17.14 $18.85
 
$18.85
#3 Francisco Trinaldo Ross Pearson $15.71 $21.21
 
$21.21
#4 Maximo Blanco Luke Sanders $14.29 $12.72
 
-$14.29
#5 Dominick Cruz T.J. Dillashaw $12.86 $17.10
 
$17.10
#6 Tim Boetsch Ed Herman $11.43 $5.49
 
-$11.43
#7 Travis Browne Matt Mitrione $10.00 $6.90
 
$6.90
#8 Paul Felder Daron Cruickshank $8.57 $3.51
 
$3.51
#9 Ilir Latifi Sean O'Connell $7.14 $2.78
 
$2.78
#10 Chris Wade Mehdi Baghdad $5.71 $1.60
 
$1.60
#11 Rob Font Joey Gomez $4.29 $2.14
 
$2.14
#12 Elvis Mutapcic Francimar Barroso $2.86 $1.89
 
-$2.86
#13 Anthony Pettis Eddie Alvarez $1.43 $0.47
 
-$1.43
      $130.00 $119.37 (92%)   $44.10 (34%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Kyle Bochniak Charles Rosa $18.57 $41.04
 
-$18.57
#2 Patrick Cote Ben Saunders $17.14 $18.85
 
$18.85
#3 Eddie Alvarez Anthony Pettis $15.71 $48.70
 
$48.70
#4 Francisco Trinaldo Ross Pearson $14.29 $19.29
 
$19.29
#5 Maximo Blanco Luke Sanders $12.86 $11.45
 
-$12.86
#6 Dominick Cruz T.J. Dillashaw $11.43 $15.20
 
$15.20
#7 Joey Gomez Rob Font $10.00 $19.00
 
-$10.00
#8 Francimar Barroso Elvis Mutapcic $8.57 $12.43
 
$12.43
#9 Mehdi Baghdad Chris Wade $7.14 $22.49
 
-$7.14
#10 Sean O'Connell Ilir Latifi $5.71 $13.36
 
-$5.71
#11 Tim Boetsch Ed Herman $4.29 $2.06
 
-$4.29
#12 Travis Browne Matt Mitrione $2.86 $1.97
 
$1.97
#13 Paul Felder Daron Cruickshank $1.43 $0.59
 
$0.59
      $130.00 $226.43 (174%)   $58.46 (45%)
 
 
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