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Event Predictions

UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor

Las Vegas
2015-12-12 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 6
$10 on all favourites nets: $-34.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $55.40

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 14.5. Profit: 7.88
Total Unit Profit: 7.88

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-53.70 (5 right, 7 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $74.20 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $129.09 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $75.97 (5 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good+

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jose Aldo vs Conor McGregor Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
49%
67 (53)%
 
60 (47)%
51%
 
49%
21%
 
79%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.91 Suggested Bet: 6.25 units on Conor McGregor: Returned 6.56 Units   @2.05
$10 Bet Profit: $10.5 #4 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $17.77 #6 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $14.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Weidman vs Luke Rockhold Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
44%
97 (84)%
 
19 (16)%
84%
 
16%
80%
 
20%
LOST
Pick Rating Good #1
WON
@1.78 Suggested Bet: 4 units on Chris Weidman: Returned -4.00 Units   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #2 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ronaldo Souza vs Yoel Romero Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
44%
59 (69)%
 
26 (31)%
69%
 
31%
36%
 
64%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.74 Suggested Bet: 4.25 units on Yoel Romero: Returned 5.31 Units   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $12.5 #6 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $19.23 #8 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $13.46

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gunnar Nelson vs Demian Maia Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
52%
52 (65)%
 
28 (35)%
67%
 
33%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Low #3
WON
@2.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.94
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #5 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Max Holloway vs Jeremy Stephens Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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82%
   
17%
69 (86)%
 
11 (14)%
87%
 
13%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #8 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.75
$10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #8 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.68 #11 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Urijah Faber vs Frankie Saenz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
16%
99 (95)%
 
5 (5)%
96%
 
4%
77%
 
23%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @6.25
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #9 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $0.83 #10 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tecia Torres vs Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
41 (89)%
 
5 (11)%
90%
 
10%
69%
 
31%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #5 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.66
$10 Bet Profit: $3.5 #5 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $2.15 #7 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Warlley Alves vs Colby Covington Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
53%
12 (44)%
 
15 (56)%
45%
 
55%
55%
 
45%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fair #7
LOST
@2.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.87
$10 Bet Profit: $10.8 #7 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $11.63 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $6.64

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kevin Lee vs Leonardo Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
16%
19 (68)%
 
9 (32)%
74%
 
26%
50%
 
50%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#12 Fantastic Pick Rating
WON
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.41
$10 Bet Profit: $54.1 #12 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $99.87 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $99.87

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Proctor vs Magomed Mustafaev Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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23%
   
78%
11 (31)%
 
24 (69)%
35%
 
65%
39%
 
61%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good+ #11 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.26 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.29
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #11 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.45 #4 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile John Makdessi vs Yancy Medeiros Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
15 (60)%
 
10 (40)%
64%
 
36%
64%
 
36%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #10
WON
@1.63 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #12 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marcio Alexandre Jr. vs Court McGee Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
63%
5 (15)%
 
28 (85)%
12%
 
88%
23%
 
77%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.60 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.59
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #2 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $7.26 #3 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $4.54


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Conor McGregor vs Jose Aldo (@2.05) 79%   6.25   6.56   6.56   $0.00   $0.00 105%
Bet on Yoel Romero vs Ronaldo Souza (@2.25) 64%   4.25   5.31   5.31   $0.00   $0.00 125%
Bet on Chris Weidman vs Luke Rockhold (@1.78) 80%   4   3.12   -4.00   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @2.01   14.5 15.00 7.88   $0.00 $0.00 54.31%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Leonardo Santos Kevin Lee $18.46 $99.87
 
$99.87
#2 Conor McGregor Jose Aldo $16.92 $17.77
 
$17.77
#3 Yoel Romero Ronaldo Souza $15.38 $19.23
 
$19.23
#4 Chris Weidman Luke Rockhold $13.85 $10.80
 
-$13.85
#5 Court McGee Marcio Alexandre Jr. $12.31 $7.26
 
$7.26
#6 Warlley Alves Colby Covington $10.77 $11.63
 
$11.63
#7 John Makdessi Yancy Medeiros $9.23 $5.81
 
-$9.23
#8 Gunnar Nelson Demian Maia $7.69 $7.69
 
-$7.69
#9 Tecia Torres Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger $6.15 $2.15
 
$2.15
#10 Urijah Faber Frankie Saenz $4.62 $0.83
 
$0.83
#11 Max Holloway Jeremy Stephens $3.08 $0.68
 
$0.68
#12 Magomed Mustafaev Joe Proctor $1.54 $0.45
 
$0.45
      $120.00 $184.17 (153%)   $129.09 (108%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Leonardo Santos Kevin Lee $18.46 $99.87
 
$99.87
#2 Jeremy Stephens Max Holloway $16.92 $80.37
 
-$16.92
#3 Joe Proctor Magomed Mustafaev $15.38 $50.14
 
-$15.38
#4 Conor McGregor Jose Aldo $13.85 $14.54
 
$14.54
#5 Frankie Saenz Urijah Faber $12.31 $64.63
 
-$12.31
#6 Yoel Romero Ronaldo Souza $10.77 $13.46
 
$13.46
#7 Chris Weidman Luke Rockhold $9.23 $7.20
 
-$9.23
#8 Court McGee Marcio Alexandre Jr. $7.69 $4.54
 
$4.54
#9 Warlley Alves Colby Covington $6.15 $6.64
 
$6.64
#10 Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger Tecia Torres $4.62 $12.29
 
-$4.62
#11 John Makdessi Yancy Medeiros $3.08 $1.94
 
-$3.08
#12 Gunnar Nelson Demian Maia $1.54 $1.54
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $357.16 (298%)   $75.97 (63%)
 
 
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